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Transcript of FINANCIAL RESULTS 3Q 2016 - Bank Pekao · PDF file10 97 94 Net fees and commissions Other...
FINANCIAL RESULTS 3Q 2016
Warsaw, 10.11.2016
Solid results towards full year plan delivery
1
Disclaimer
This presentation (the ”Presentation”) has been prepared by Bank Polska Kasa Opieki Spółka Akcyjna („Bank”) for the clients, shareholders and financial analysts.
This presentation should not be treated as an offer or invitation to purchase any securities or financial instruments or as an advice or recommendation in respect
to such securities or financial instruments.
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products of the Bank, one should be thoroughly familiar with the characteristics of the particular service or product, its rules, risk and legal and tax consequences
of the use of particular service or product.
The strategy presented in this presentation contains goals which are the ambition of the Management Board and do not constitute any financial results forecast.
Rights for the Presentation as a whole are entitled to the Bank. Presentation is a subject to the protection provided by the law, in particular: the Act dated on
February 4th, 1994 on Copyright and Related Rights (consolidated text in Journal. Laws of 2006, No. 90, item. 631, as amended); the Act dated on July 27th,
2001 on the Databases protection(Journal of Laws No. 128, item. 1402, as amended); the Act dated on April 16, 1993 on Combating Unfair Competition
(consolidated text in Journal of Laws of 2003 , No. 153, item 1503, as amended) and the Act dated on June 30, 2000 on Industrial Property Law (consolidated text
in Journal. Laws of 2003, No. 119, item. 1117 as amended).
This presentation may include forward looking statements, Bank’s outlook for the future, future plans and strategies or anticipated events that are not historical
facts. Since these statements are based on assumptions, expectations, projections and provisional data about future events, the content is inherently uncertain.
Factors that could cause or contribute to differences in current expectations include, but are not limited to: (i) general economic conditions, among which the
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Bank, nor any of its representatives shall not be responsible for any loss or damage it may arise from the use of this Presentation or of any information contained
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by law.
2
▪ Net profit after nine months of PLN 1 785m, in line with 2016 plan,
▪ NII growing by 5.3% yoy thanks to volumes and further improvement of NIM to 2.81% in Q3,
▪ Continuation of asset mix improvement with key retail lending confirming double digit pace,
▪ Operational efficiency and effective risk management confirmed.
9M16 highlights
3
Net profit
610
521
3Q 15 3Q 16
-14.7%
- dynamic excluding impact of new banking tax; PLN 322m for 9M 2016
9M 15 9M 16
1 854 1 785
+13.6%
PLNm
-3.8%+5.1%
▪ Nine months net profit at PLN 1 785m, -3.8% yoy (excluding banking tax +13.6% yoy) withQ3 at PLN 521m.
▪ ROE at 10.2% with Core Tier I at 18.1%.
4
900962
3Q 15 3Q 16
+6.8%
Gross operating profit
2 8703 168
9M 15 9M 16
+10.4%
PLNm
▪ Double digit growth in nine months operating profit +10.4% yoy, supported by good Q3performance.
5
Operating incomePLNm
1 6071 555
153 148
3Q 15 3Q 16
+2.7%
1 709 1 755
4 7284 608
683 858
9M 15 9M 16
+5.6%
5 2915 586
Core operating income Other
+3.3% +2.6%
▪ Nine months core operating income up by +2.6% yoy thanks to contribution of Q3 results(+3.3% yoy).
▪ Total operating income after 9 months at PLN 5 586m, +5.6% yoy.
6
1 1171 048
3Q 15 3Q 16
Net interest income (PLNm)
Net interest income and net interest margin
3 106 3 269
9M 15 9M 16
+6.7%
+5.3%
2,73% 2,73%2,75%
2,80% 2,81%
3Q 15 4Q 15 1Q 16 2Q 16 3Q 16
Net interest margin
▪ Nine months NII at PLN 3 269m, +5.3% yoy, driven by customer volumes.▪ Continuation of NIM improvement to 2.81% in Q3 thanks to cost of deposits and retail
lending.
7
25 565
44 84544 034 44 296
24 52825 995
Sep 15 Jun 16 Sep 16
50 31045 516
48 972
6 912 6 5146 764
Sep 15 Jun 16 Sep 16
Key corporate loans
Loans
+1.8%
+1.2%
Key retail loans Other retail loans
+10.5%
Other corporate loans(*)
+2.7%
(*) excl. BSB and reverse repo transactions
Retail loans (PLNm) Corporate loans (PLNm)
▪ Solid growth in key retail lending +10.5% yoy and +2.7% qoq.▪ Key corporate lending +1.8% yoy and +1.2% qoq while preserving margin target
8
New key retail lending
2 0581 668
1 8651 849
3Q 15 3Q 16
New loans volumes (mln PLN)
3 5183 923
PLN Mortgage Loans Consumer Loans
▪ PLN 3.9bn in new retail loans in the third quarter driven by record level of consumer loansand continuously solid PLN mortgages origination.
+12%
Sep 15 Sep 16
PLN mortgage stock market share
18.1%
17.7%
9
60 58267 630
60 101
Sep 15 Jun 16 Sep 16
Savings
-10.4%
+0.8%
Retail deposits MF
+11.5%
67 590
60 639
68 174
16 936 16 75116 140
Sep 15 Jun 16 Sep 16
-0.9%
(*) excl. SBB and repo transactions
Retail savings (PLNm) Corporate deposits (*) (PLNm)
▪ Double-digit growth in retail deposits +11.5% yoy.▪ Corporate deposits dynamic reflecting tactical approach in safe liquidity management.
10
97 94
Net fees and commissions
LendingOther Cards Capital Markets
PLNm
▪ Nine months banking fees and commission up 0.1% yoy with lending and card fees offsettingpressure on other fees.
▪ Capital markets down by 14.4% affected by industry-wide pressure, gradually improving q/qdynamic in comparison with previous quarters.
-3.8%
306 262
-14.4%
183
127
101
172
124
100
3Q 15 3Q 16
411 396
-3.4%
549
371
275
528
389
279
9M 15 9M 16
1 195 1 196
+0.1%
11
485 470
242 239
82 85
3Q 15 3Q 16
Operating costs
808
Non-personel costsPersonnel costs Depreciation
Cost
PLNm
794
1 437 1 414
738 748
247 257
9M 15 9M 16
2 421 2 418
-0.1%-1.8%
877 980
BFG+ banking tax
Cost incl. BFG, banking tax
68 186
2 627 2 937
206 518
▪ Nine months operating costs PLN at 2 418m, -0.1% yoy, C/I at 43.3%.▪ Regulatory charges at PLN 518m.
12
3Q 15 2Q 16 3Q 16
8 093
118 638117 517112 260
8 030 8 105
Sep 15 Jun16 Sep 16
Assets quality
Provision coverage ratio
PerformingNPL NPL ratio
Sep 15 Jun 16 Sep 16
74.2%
Note: Performing loans excl. BSB and reverse repo transactions
Loans (PLNm)
▪ Cost of risk at 48 bp.▪ NPL ratio at 6.4%, coverage ratio at 74.3%.
70.8%
Cost of risk
0.49% 0.47% 0.48%
74.3%
6.7% 6.4% 6.4%
13
Conclusions
� 9 months net profit of PLN 1 785m, +13.6% on comparable bases, on a track to 2016 plan delivery,
� Strong commercial development driven by double digit key retail volumes and progressing NIM improvement,
� Operational and risks costs under control, improving further bank efficiency,
� Solid performance, healthy and effective business model based on sustainable revenues, improving our market position and reinforcing our track record in value creation.
14
AGENDA
▪ Appendix
15
Polish economy outlook 2016
Note: Internal macroeconomic scenario
2015 2016F
GDP, % y/y 3.9 2.7
Consumption, % y/y 3.2 3.6
Investments, % y/y 6.1 -4.9
Unemployment, % eop 9.8 8.5
CPI, % avg -0.9 -0.7
3M Wibor, % avg 1.72 1.70
Reference rate, % eop 1.50 1.50
Exchange rate EUR, eop 4.26 4.30
Exchange rate USD, eop 3.90 3.94
Public sector balance, % GDP -2.6 -2.8
16
Polish banking sector outlook 2016
(1) all non-mortgage retail loans
(2) Internal scenario
(3) deposits + assets in mutual funds dedicated to retail cliens
(4) assets in mutual funds dedicated to retail clients
2015 2016F(2)
Loans, % y/y 6.8 3,1
Retail, % y/y 6.6 3,7
Mortgage loans PLN 10.4 6,8
Consumer loans(1) 6.8 5,8
Corporate, % y/y 8.1 5,9
SME loans 7,0 4,0
Savings (3)
, % y/y 7,6 6,9
Deposits, % y/y 7.4 7,6
Retail, % y/y 9.4 9,9
Corporate, % y/y 10.3 8,7
Mutual Funds (4)
, % y/y 8,9 0,0
17
Polish economy trendsKey parameters (1)
TRADE BALANCE ACCOUNT (bln EUR)
GDP (% YoY) FIXED INVESTMENTS (% YoY)
PRIVATE CONSUMPTION (% YoY)
Source: Central Statistical Office; March 2007 – September 2016
7,7
1,9
0,90,1 0
0,51,8
2,63,3 3,3 3,3 3,3
3,63,1
3,44,3
3 3,12,8
5,3
54,84,94,8
4
3,6
1,5
2,1
4,2
1,92,7
5,5
7,36,9 6,9
4,93,7
2,33,3
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
1Q 0
72Q
07
3Q 0
74Q
07
1Q 0
82Q
08
3Q 0
84Q
08
1Q 0
92Q
09
3Q 0
94Q
09
1Q 1
02Q
10
3Q 1
04Q
101Q
112Q
11
3Q 1
14Q
11
1Q 1
22Q
12
3Q 1
24Q
12
1Q13
2Q13
3Q 1
34Q
13
1Q 1
42Q
14
3Q 1
44Q
14
1Q 1
52Q
15
3Q 1
54Q
15
1Q 1
62Q
16
3Q 1
6
GDP Pr Consumption contribution
Net export contribution Investment contribution
9,66,7
-0,1
-3,2
-4,9-
2,5
-3,5
-0,20,3
12,0
9,69,79,711
,85,8
4,44,4-1
,8-4
,9-6
,0
10,4
7,8
5,4
0,12,5
24,0
0,7
-9,3
-2,9
-4,7
-0,7
5,3
0,0
5,0
15,9
22,6
19,2
13,014
,5
1Q 0
72Q
07
3Q 0
74Q
07
1Q 0
82Q
08
3Q 0
84Q
08
1Q 0
92Q
09
3Q 0
94Q
09
1Q 1
02Q
10
3Q 1
04Q
10
1Q 1
12Q
11
3Q 1
14Q
11
1Q 1
22Q
12
3Q 1
24Q
12
1Q 1
32Q
13
3Q 1
34Q
13
1Q 1
42Q
14
3Q 1
44Q
14
1Q 1
52Q
15
3Q 1
54Q
15
1Q 1
62Q
16
3Q 1
6
2,4
2,1
0,8
0,2
0 0,2
-0,5
0,7
0,7
2,3
2,9
2,3 2,
83,1
3,1
3,1
3 3,2 3,33
,8
66,4
5,96,3
4,9
6
3,2
5,8
42,
63,
6
1,7
2,7
8,2
3,1
2,6
3,7
3,6
3,3
1Q 0
72Q
07
3Q 0
74Q
07
1Q 0
82Q
08
3Q 0
84Q
08
1Q 0
92Q
09
3Q 0
94Q
09
1Q 1
02Q
10
3Q 1
04Q
10
1Q 1
12Q
11
3Q 1
14Q
11
1Q 1
22Q
12
3Q 1
24Q
12
1Q 1
32Q
13
3Q 1
34Q
13
1Q 1
42Q
14
3Q 1
44Q
14
1Q 1
52Q
15
3Q 1
54Q
15
1Q 1
62Q
16
3Q 1
6
-3,4-
2,8-2
,2-1
,2-1
,9-1
,10,50,3
-0,1
-0,8 -0
,4-1
,21,6
0,3-0
,71,01,0
1,4-0
,7
-3,3
-4,1
-2,5
-3,1
-3,5-3
,3
-2,3-2
,0
-2,1-1
,6
-6,5
-5,2
-4,1-3
,8-4
,6-5
,9
1Q 0
72Q
07
3Q 0
74Q
07
1Q 0
82Q
08
3Q 0
84Q
08
1Q 0
92Q
09
3Q 0
94Q
09
1Q 1
02Q
10
3Q 1
04Q
101Q
112Q
11
3Q 1
14Q
11
1Q 1
22Q
12
3Q 1
24Q
12
1Q 1
32Q
13
3Q 1
34Q
13
1Q 1
42Q
14
3Q 1
44Q
14
1Q 1
52Q
15
3Q 1
54Q
15
1Q 1
62Q
16
3Q 1
6
18
4 800,00
4 900,00
5 000,00
5 100,00
5 200,00
5 300,00
5 400,00
5 500,00
5 600,00
5 700,00
5 800,00
1Q 0
72Q
07
3Q 0
74Q
07
1Q 0
82Q
08
3Q 0
84Q
08
1Q 0
92Q
09
3Q 0
94Q
09
1Q 1
02Q
10
3Q 1
04Q
101Q
11
2Q 1
13Q
11
4Q 1
11Q
12
2Q 1
23Q
12
4Q 1
21Q
13
2Q 1
33Q
13
4Q 1
31Q
14
2Q 1
43Q
14
4Q 1
41Q
15
2Q 1
53Q
15
4Q 1
51Q
16
2Q 1
63Q
16
Polish economy trendsKey parameters (2)
UNEMPLOYMENT (%)
CORPORATE EMPLOYMENT (ths. eop)
RETAIL SALES (real terms, % YoY)
AVERAGE CORPORATE WAGES (% YoY)
5,47,8
8,99,81
0,111
,812,0
11,0
7,86,3
3,53,43,6
2,73,8
3,34,34,3
5,25,3
4,6
2,02,23
,03,04,14,1
3,53,43,9
3,13,63,43
,74,4
4,2
2,32,6
5,43,8
4Q 0
61Q
07
2Q 0
73Q
07
4Q 0
71Q
08
2Q 0
83Q
08
4Q 0
81Q
09
2Q 0
93Q
09
4Q 0
91Q
10
2Q 1
03Q
10
4Q10
1Q 1
12Q
11
3Q 1
14Q
11
1Q 1
22Q
12
3Q 1
24Q
12
1Q 1
32Q
13
3Q 1
34Q
13
1Q 1
42Q
14
3Q 1
44Q
14
1Q 1
52Q
15
3Q 1
54Q
15
1Q 1
62Q
16
3Q 1
6
Avg. Corporate Wages CPI
6,98,4
2,71,9-2
,00,01
,53,94,2
5,55,12,6
3,74,2
3,52,84,84,4
5,75,97,1
8,8
6,0
2,97,3
17,4
1,10,3
3,6
1,01,0
4,8 4,7
8,4
12,114
,012
,816
,111
,8
1Q 0
72Q
07
3Q 0
74Q
07
1Q 0
82Q
08
3Q 0
84Q
08
1Q 0
92Q
09
3Q 0
94Q
09
1Q 1
02Q
10
3Q 1
04Q
101Q
11
2Q 1
13Q
11
4Q 1
11Q
12
2Q 1
23Q
12
4Q 1
21Q
13
2Q 1
33Q
13
4Q 1
31Q
14
2Q 1
43Q
14
4Q 1
41Q
15
2Q 1
53Q
15
4Q 1
51Q
16
2Q 1
63Q
16
12,5
13,3
12,312,4
13,4
14,3
13,2
13,01
3,413,5
12,0
11,411,5
10,2
9,79,79,9
8,78,3
9,4
10,9
11,6
12,3
11,2
8,9
12,1
9,511
,110
,610,9
13,0
11,7
14,3
12,4
11,5
13,3
11,9
11,8
11,5
1Q 0
72Q
07
3Q 0
74Q
07
1Q 0
82Q
08
3Q 0
84Q
08
1Q 0
92Q
09
3Q 0
94Q
09
1Q 1
02Q
10
3Q 1
04Q
101Q
11
2Q 1
13Q
11
4Q 1
11Q
12
2Q 1
23Q
12
4Q 1
21Q
13
2Q 1
33Q
13
4Q 1
31Q
14
2Q 1
43Q
14
4Q 1
41Q
15
2Q 1
53Q
15
4Q 1
51Q
16
2Q 1
63Q
16
Source: Central Statistical Office; March 2007 – September 2016
19
2,0 2,
4
3,5
4,1
3,2
2,2
2,9
3,8 4,
1
4,1
-1,5
-0,8
-0,8
-0,9
-0,7
-0,7
-0,5
-0,9
3,7
4,6
4,6
2,23,
0
1,1
4,74,
3
4,0
3,9
2,9
1,3
0,5
0,7
0,6
0,3
-0,3
3,6
3,3
4,2
1,92,32,
72,72,7
2,7
2,73,
44,
14,
95,
14,9
5,0
4,8
4,7
4,2
4,0
3,8
3,94,1
4,34,
24,
4
5,9
6,6
6,7
6,2
5,7
5,1
4,7
4,2
1,7
1,7
1,7
1,7
1,7
1,7
1Q 0
7
2Q 0
7
3Q 0
7
4Q 0
7
1Q 0
8
2Q 0
8
3Q 0
8
4Q 0
8
1Q 0
9
2Q 0
93Q
09
4Q 0
9
1Q 1
0
2Q 1
0
3Q 1
0
4Q10
1Q 1
1
2Q 1
1
3Q 1
1
4Q 1
1
1Q 1
2
2Q 1
2
3Q 1
2
4Q 1
2
1Q 1
3
2Q 1
3
3Q 1
3
4Q 1
3
1Q 1
42Q
14
3Q 1
4
4Q 1
4
1Q 1
5
2Q 1
5
3Q 1
5
4Q 1
5
1Q 1
6
2Q 1
6
3Q 1
6
CPI
REF. RATE
3M WIBOR
Polish economy trendsKey parameters (3)
EXCHANGE RATES
INFLATION, INTEREST RATES
Source: NBP
20
8
1413
26
3338
45
1214
1210
84
03 2 4 5 5 5 6 7 8
5 51 2
-4
3
14
2428
-40
19181515
3 2 2 0 2
9 8 75
6 4 7
588 9
79
65
-9
1
11
21
31
41
51
4Q 0
24Q
03
4Q 0
44Q
05
4Q 0
64Q
07
4Q 0
84Q
09
4Q 1
04Q
11
1Q 1
22Q
12
3Q 1
24Q
12
1Q 1
32Q
13
3Q 1
34Q
13
1Q 1
42Q
14
3Q 1
44Q
14
1Q 1
52Q
15
3Q 1
54Q
15
1Q 1
62Q
16
3Q 1
6
Households
Corporate
Banking sector trendsKey parameters - yoy (4)
HOUSEHOLDS AND CORPORATE LENDING (% YoY) HOUSEHOLDS AND CORPORATE DEPOSITS (% YoY)
TOTAL SECTOR LENDING (% YoY) TOTAL SECTOR DEPOSITS (% YoY)
Source: NBP; December 2002 – September 2016
-2 -21
91011
26
10
14121313
89
8 6 6 5 6 79 8 9
1110
2
17
4
101012
8
2 2
-8
-1
57
107
5
11 111210
95
15
9 10 9
2425 26
14
9
12
7
-9
-4
1
6
11
16
21
26
31
4Q 0
24Q
03
4Q 0
44Q
05
4Q 0
64Q
07
4Q 0
84Q
09
4Q 1
04Q
11
1Q 1
22Q
12
3Q 1
24Q
12
1Q 1
32Q
13
3Q 1
34Q
13
1Q 1
42Q
14
3Q 1
44Q
14
1Q 1
52Q
15
3Q 1
54Q
15
1Q 1
62Q
16
3Q 1
6
Households
Corporate
4 57 8 8 7
5 453
13
23
30
36
8 9
1413
119 9
2 4 4 45 5
-30369
121518212427303336
4Q 0
24Q
03
4Q 0
44Q
05
4Q 0
64Q
07
4Q 0
84Q
09
4Q 1
04Q
11
1Q 1
22Q
12
3Q 1
24Q
12
1Q 1
32Q
13
3Q 1
34Q
13
1Q 1
42Q
14
3Q 1
44Q
14
1Q 1
52Q
15
3Q 1
54Q
15
1Q 1
62Q
16
3Q 1
65
8 8 8 8 9 911
9
667 675
1212
99
15
3-
1010
21
15
13
8
4
-4
2
7
12
17
22
4Q 0
24Q
03
4Q 0
44Q
05
4Q 0
64 Q
07
4Q 0
84Q
09
4Q 1
04Q
11
1Q 1
22Q
12
3Q 1
24Q
12
1Q 1
32Q
13
3Q 1
34Q
13
1Q 1
42 Q
14
3Q 1
44Q
14
1Q 1
52Q
15
3Q 1
54Q
15
1 Q 1
62Q
16
3Q 1
6
21
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007 2008 2009 20102011 2012 2013 20142015 2016
Banking sector trendsKey parameters - YTD (5)
HOUSEHOLDS LENDING (% YTD) HOUSEHOLDS DEPOSITS (% YTD)
CORPORATE DEPOSITS (% YTD)CORPORATE LENDING (% YTD)
Source: NBP; January 2007 – September 2016
-5%0%5%
10%15%20%
25%30%35%40%45%50%
XII' I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007 2008 20092010 2011 20122013 2014 20152016
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
XII' I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007 2008 20092010 2011 20122013 2014 20152016
-13%
-8%
-3%
2%
7%
12%
17%
XII' I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007 2008 2009 20102011 2012 2013 20142015 2016
22
Banking sector trendsNon-performing loans (6)
11,3
%11
,1%
7,4%
7,3%
7,2%
11,4
%
11,5
%12,5
%
12,4
%
12,7
%
12,7
%
11,2
% 12,3
%
12,7
%
13,1
%
12,2
% 13,2
%
12,3
%
12,6
%13,4
%14,1%
12,4
%
9,9%
7,6%8,
2%8,8%9,
3%
9,0%9,
4%8,
4%9,1%9,
8%
9,7%
7,6%7,7%
8,7%
9,7%
9,6%
7,5%
6,6%
Mar
09
Sep
09
Mar
10
Sep
10
Mar
11
Sep
11
Mar
12
Sep
12
Mar
13
Sep
13
Mar
14
Sep
14
Dec
14
Mar
15
Jun
15
Sep
15
Dec
15
May
16
Jun
16
Sep
16
SME Corporate
CORPORATE NPL RATIO
Source: NBP
HOUSEHOLDS NPL RATIO
1,2%1,3%1,4%1,5%1,5%1,6%1,8%
1,9%2,0%2,1%2,2%2,3%2,5%2,6%2,7%2,8% 3,0%
3,0%3,1%
3,1%3,2%
3,2%
3,1%3,4%3,4%
3,3%
2,9%2,9%
2,9%
2,9%
9,1%1
0,0%11,3%
13,1%
14,8%15
,8%16,9%17
,2%18,0%
17,8%18
,2%
18,2%
17,8%
17,9%
17,3
%
16,1%
15,6%
14,7%
14,4
%14
,2%13
,9%12
,8%13
,0%12
,3%12
,2%12
,3%12
,4%12
,2%12
,3%
2,9%
17,3%17
,8%
Mar
09
Sep
09
Mar
10
Sep
10
Mar
11
Sep
11
Mar
12
Sep
12
Mar
13
Sep
13
Mar
14
Sep
14
Mar
15
Sep
15
Mar
16
Sep
16
Mortgage Cash
4,5%4
,9%
6,0%
6,6%6,7%7
,2%
7,2%7,
4%7,
2%7,3%
7,2%7,
5%7,
3%7,5%
7,4%7,5%
7,2%
7,1%
7,0%
7,0%
6,9%
6,5%6,
8%6,
6%6,
5%6,
2%6,3%
6,2%
6,2%
7,1%
Mar
09
Jun
09D
ec 0
9M
ar 1
0Ju
n 10
Sep
10
Dec
10
Mar
11
Jun
11S
ep 1
1D
ec 1
1M
ar 1
2Ju
n 12
Sep
12
Dec
12
Mar
13
Jun
13S
ep 1
3D
ec 1
3M
ar 1
4Ju
n 14
Sep
14
Dec
14
Mar
15
Jun
15S
ep 1
5D
ec 1
5M
ar 1
6Ju
n 16
Sep
16
Total retail
11,5
%11
,5%
10,7
%11
,2%
11,3
%10
,9%
10,6%
9,8%
9,7%
9,6%
9,4%
11,4
%
8,4%
9,6%
11,5
%11
,2%12
,2%
12,4
%11
,5%12
,2%
10,9
%10
,7%
10,5%
10,1
%
10,4
%11,1%11,3
%11
,7%
11,8
%11
,8%
Mar
09
Jun
09S
ep 0
9D
ec 0
9M
ar 1
0Ju
n 10
Sep
10
Dec
10
Mar
11
Jun
11S
ep 1
1D
ec 1
1M
ar 1
2Ju
n 12
Sep
12
Dec
12
Mar
13
Jun
13S
ep 1
3D
ec 1
3M
ar 1
4Ju
n 14
Sep
14
Dec
14
Mar
15
Jun
15S
ep 1
5D
ec 1
5M
ar 1
6Ju
n 16
Sep
16
Total corporate
23
▪ Selected data
24
Consolidated balance sheet
(*) Including loans and advances from customers and receivables from finance leases
mln PLN Sep 15 Jun 16 Sep 16Q/Q
%
Y/Y
%
Cash and amounts due from Central Bank 3 590 5 892 3 996 -32% 11%
Loans and advances to banks 3 761 4 351 3 289 -24% -13%
Loans and advances to customers* 123 668 120 247 121 308 1% -2%
Investment securities 28 198 26 613 27 340 3% -3%
Assets held for sale 37 50 48 -3% 30%
Intangible assets 634 599 585 -2% -8%
Tangible fixed assets 1 468 1 409 1 398 -1% -5%
TOTAL ASSETS 170 792 166 012 163 253 -1,7% -4,4%
Amounts due to the Central Bank 1 6 6 0% 566%
Amounts due to other banks 7 865 4 981 5 500 10% -30%
Financial liabilities held for trading 330 786 499 -37% 51%
Amounts due to customers 128 601 126 894 126 965 0% -1%
Debt securities issued 3 628 2 085 1 626 -22% -55%
Total liabilities 147 929 143 812 140 513 -2,3% -5,0%
Total Shareholders' equity 22 862 22 200 22 739 2,4% -0,5%
25
Consolidated income statement
(4) Operating cost excluding guarantee funds charges (3) Net profit attributable to equity holders of the Bank
(2) Costs excl. guarantee funds charges (1) NII and dividends and other income from equity investments
(5) ROE assuming TCR at 10%(6) NIM calculated based on average daily working assets(7) Loans excluding repo and buy-sell-back transactions, deposits includes only clients liabilities and debt issue excluding reverse repo transactions and sell–buy-back
mln PLN 3Q 15 2Q 16 3Q 16 Q/Q% Y/Y% 9M 2015 9M 2016 Y/Y %
Net interest income (1)
1 059 1 108 1 127 1,7% 6,4% 3 161 3 315 4,9%
Net fee and commission 508 505 490 -3,0% -3,5% 1 502 1 458 -2,9%
Operating income 1 709 2 013 1 755 -12,8% 2,7% 5 291 5 586 5,6%
Operating costs (2) -808 -812 -794 -2,3% -1,8% -2 421 -2 418 -0,1%
OPERATING PROFIT 900 1 201 962 -19,9% 6,8% 2 870 3 168 10,4%
Provisions -130 -131 -134 2,1% 2,9% -397 -394 -0,7%
Guarantee funds charges -68 -64 -66 2,6% -3,8% -206 -197 -4,4%
Banking tax -120 -121 0,4% #DZIEL/0! #ARG! -322 #ARG!
PROFIT BEFORE INCOME TAX 760 884 638 -27,8% -16,0% 2 299 2 250 -2,1%
Income tax -149 -193 -117 -39,2% -21,3% -444 -466 4,9%
GROUP NET INCOME (3) 610 691 521 -24,6% -14,7% 1 854 1 785 -3,8%
Cost/Income Ratio (%) (4) 47,3% 40,3% 45,2% 4,9 2,1 - 45,8% 43,3% 2,5 -
Cost of Risk (%) 0,49% 0,47% 0,48% 0,0 0,0 - 0,50% 0,47% 0,0 -
ROE (%) 10,8% 11,7% 9,3% 2,4 - 1,5 - 10,4% 10,2% 0,2 -
ROE normalised (%) (5) 17,0% 18,4% 14,7% 3,7 - 2,3 - 15,8% 16,0% 0,2
ROA (%) 1,5% 1,7% 1,3% 0,4 - 0,2 - 1,5% 1,5% -
TCR (%) - Basel 3 17,7% 18,1% 18,1% - 0,4 17,7% 18,1% 0,4
NIM (%) (6) 2,73% 2,80% 2,81% 0,0 0,1 2,79% 2,78% 0,0 -
L/D (%) (7) 89,7% 93,6% 94,6% 1,0 4,9 89,7% 94,6% 4,9
26
Selected data
(***) Pożyczka Ekspresowa (Express Loan)
(*) Number of accounts including pre-paid card accounts (**) Retail clients’ accounts
(*****) Pioneer Pekao Investment Management S.A.(******) Including: Dom Maklerski Pekao (Dom Maklerski), subsidiaryCentralny Dom Maklerski Pekao S.A. (CDM), and associated entity Dom Inwestycyjny Xelion Sp. z o.o. (Xelion)
(****) Credit Union (SKOK) Kopernik included since Dec 2014
Bank Sep 15 Dec 15 Mar 16 Jun 16 Sep 16Q/Q
%
Y/Y
%
Outlets 992 975 959 947 942 -0,5% -5,0%
ATM's 1 767 1 759 1 750 1 754 1 754 0,0% -0,7%
Employees 16 501 16 387 16 403 16 258 16 100 -1,0% -2,4%
No of PLN current accounts (ths)* 5 279 5 314 5 338 5 377 5 435 1,1% 2,9%
No of mortgage loan accounts (ths)** 303 310 314 319 324 1,5% 6,9%
No of clients holding a consumer loan accounts (ths)*** 575 576 573 574 574 0,0% -0,2%
Number of individuals with an access to electronic banking Pekao24 (ths) 2 857 2 899 2 955 3 019 3 089 2,3% 8,1%
Number of individuals with an access to mobile banking (ths) 889 1 015 1 117 1 243 1 367 10,0% 53,8%
Number of business clients (SME) with an access to electronic banking systems (ths) 245 248 250 252 255 1,4% 3,9%
Group Sep 15 Dec 15 Mar 16 Jun 16 Sep 16Q/Q
%
Y/Y
%
Employees**** 18 471 18 327 18 315 18 150 17 994 -0,9% -2,6%
Outlets**** 992 975 959 947 942 -0,5% -5,0%
ATM's**** 1 767 1 759 1 750 1 754 1 754 0,0% -0,7%
Number of MF accounts (ths)***** 870 850 826 810 799 -1,4% -8,2%
Number of Brokerage accounts (ths)****** 351 346 346 345 343 -0,6% -2,1%
27
Activity by segments
(1) Total net interest income, dividends and other income from equity investments
(2) Operating cost excluding guarantee funds charges
9M 15 9M 16Y/Y
%9M 15 9M 16
Y/Y
%9M 15 9M 16
Y/Y
%9M 15 9M 16
Y/Y
%9M 15 9M 16
Y/Y
%
Net interest income (1) 1 709 1 792 5% 18 34 85% 1 199 1 225 2% 235 264 13% 3 161 3 315 5%
Non-interest income 1 155 1 131 -2% 25 23 -8% 824 688 -16% 126 428 240% 2 130 2 270 7%
Operating income 2 864 2 924 2% 43 57 32% 2 023 1 913 -5% 361 693 92% 5 291 5 586 6%
Operating costs (2) -1 899 -1 921 1% -38 -39 3% -471 -458 -3% -12,5 0,0 -100% -2 421 -2 418 0%
OPERATING PROFIT 965 1 003 4% 5 18 248% 1 551 1 455 -6% 348 692 99% 2 870 3 168 10%
Net write-downs/provision -143 -215 51% 0 0 -255% -270 -194 -28% 15 14 -7% -397 -394 -1%
Guarantee funds charges -77 -74 -3% -1 0 -21% -128 -116 -10% 0 -6 -206 -197 -4%
Banking tax 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -322 0 -322
PROFIT BEFORE INCOME TAX 745 713 -4% 3,8 17,6 361% 1 150 1 145 0% 400 375 -6% 2 299 2 250 -2,1%
mln PLN
Retail Banking Private BankingCorporate&Investment
Banking
Assets&Liabilities
Management & OthersGroup
28
The structure of the Group net profit
(**) Group net profit attributable to equity holders of the Bank (reported)
NOTE: Data as reported
(*) Entities in liquidation, sold or indirect ownership not presented
mln PLN cumulative
Group's share in
capital % 9M 15 9M 16Y/Y
Y/Y %
Bank Pekao S.A. Banking - Poland 1 917,7 1 825,1 -93 -4,8%
Entities - consolidated under full method 165,3 88,2 #ARG! -47%
of which: (*)
Pekao Leasing Sp. z o.o. Leasing 100% 37,1 27,4 -9,70 -26%
Centralny Dom Maklerski Pekao S.A. Brokerage 100% 33,4 18,2 -15,20 -46%
Pekao Bank Hipoteczny S.A. Mortgage Bank 100% 6,6 6,2 -0,40 -6%
Pekao Pioneer PTE S.A. Pension Fund 65% 2,1 0,9 -1,20 -57%
Pekao Faktoring Sp. z o.o. Factoring 100% 6,5 6,6 0,10 2%
Pekao Investment Banking S.A. Brokerage 100% 9,8 20,2 0,00 106%
Centrum Bankowości Bezpośredniej Sp. z o.o. Call Centre 100% 1,4 1,8 0,40 29%
Pekao Financial Services Sp. z o.o. Servicing MF/PF 100% 6,2 5,9 -0,30 -5%
Centrum Kart S.A. Cards 100% 0,7 0,4 -0,30 -43%
Pekao Fundusz Kapitałowy Sp. z o.o. Business consulting 100% 0,1 0,3 0,20 200%
Pekao Property S.A. Real estate development 100% 0,0 -0,2 -0,20 #######
FPB "MEDIA" Sp. z o.o. Real estate development 100% 0,2 0,1 0,10 -50%
Entities - valued under the equity method 41,5 29,6 -12 -29%
Pioneer Pekao Investment Management S.A. Mutual Funds 49% 34,7 28,1 -6,60 -19%
Krajowa Izba Rozliczeniowa S.A. Clearing Services 5,70% 5,5 0,0 -5,50 -100%
Dom Inwestycyjny Xelion Sp. z o.o. Financial Advisory 50% 1,3 1,5 0,20 15%
Exclusions and consolidation adjustments -270,4 -158,3 112 -41%
Group Net Profit (**) 1 854,1 1 784,6 -70 -3,7%
29
Customers’ financing
(***) Total customers’ financing includes Loans and advances at nominal value , Securities issued by non monetary entities , reverse repo transactions and buy-sell-back
(*) Including debt securities eligible for rediscounting at Central Bank, net investments in financial leases to customers(**) Securities issued by non monetary entities including local governments
mln PLN Sep 15 Jun 16 Sep 16Q/Q
%
Y/Y
%
Loans* 108 850 112 525 113 798 1,1% 4,5%
retail 52 428 55 737 56 824 2% 8%
corporate 56 422 56 788 56 974 0% 1%
Non quoted securities 11 213 12 623 12 566 -0,5% 12,1%
Other 550 612 643 5% 17%
Nominal value adjustment 228 291 319 10% 40%
Impairment losses -5 729 -5 954 -6 020 1% 5%
Net loans and advances 123 663 120 246 121 306 1% -2%
Securities issues by non monetary
entities**928 879 870 -1,0% -6,2%
Reverse repo and buy-sell-back
transactions 8 551 149 0 -100,0% -100,0%
TOTAL CUSTOMERS’ FINANCING*** 129 541 126 176 127 234 1% -2%
30
Loans exposure - sectors
Note: Based on the annual Group data including current exposure and commitment
SECTOR DESCRIPTION* 31.12.2013 31.12.2014 31.12.2015 30.09.2016
Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles 12,9% 14,2% 15,2% 15,1%
Public administration and defence; compulsory social security 13,0% 11,9% 10,9% 10,5%
Real estate activities 12,6% 10,4% 10,5% 11,9%
Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply 8,8% 9,0% 8,6% 7,8%
Finanace and Insurance activity 5,9% 9,6% 7,8% 4,1%
Transportation and storage 6,3% 6,8% 7,2% 6,7%
Construction 5,8% 5,1% 6,3% 6,8%
Mining and quarrying 3,0% 3,9% 4,4% 3,1%
Manufacture of metals, metal products and machinery 3,8% 3,8% 4,0% 4,8%
Manufacture of beverages and food products 3,4% 3,1% 3,8% 4,4%
Manufacture of chemicals, pharmaceuticals and refined petroleum
products3,8% 2,8% 2,9% 4,5%
Information and communication 4,3% 5,0% 2,7% 2,5%
Manufacture of rubber, plastic and non-metalic products 2,3% 1,9% 2,1% 2,2%
Other manufacturing 5,4% 4,5% 5,2% 5,5%
Other sectors 8,7% 8,0% 8,4% 10,1%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
31
Key lending productsStock
36 808 37 955 38 72939 538 40 523
Sep 15 Dec 15 Mar 16 Jun 16 Sep 16
9 7879 4349 0098 9518 708
Sep 15 Dec 15 Mar 16 Jun 16 Sep 16
PLN mortgage loans volumes (mln PLN) Consumer loans volumes (mln PLN)
+2.5%
+10.1% +12.4%
+3.7%
32
Mutual funds
Mutual funds – volumes (mln PLN )
Mutual funds - assets structure (PPIM SA)
Market share (%)
PPIM SA
Third party funds distributed by the Group
Note: Market share – funds distributed by Pekao Group, compared with the market of retail investment funds available for individuals
16 590 15 812 16 425
5 403 5 364 5 512
Sep 15 Jun 16 Sep 16
17,1%17,3%17,9%
Sep 15 Jun 16 Sep 16
72%
15%13%
Equity fundsBalance funds
Money and bonds funds
+3.6%
-0.3%
21 993 21 176 21 937
33
Ratings of Bank Pekao S.A.
FITCH RATINGS PEKAO POLAND
Long-term rating (IDR) A- A-
Short-term rating F2 F2
Viabil ity rating a- -
Support rating 2 -
Outlook Stable Stable
S&P GLOBAL RATINGS* PEKAO POLAND
Long-term rating BBB+ BBB+
Short-term rating A-2 A-2
Stand-alone bbb+ -
Outlook Negative Negative
MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE LTDPEKAO
(unsolicited rating)POLAND
Long-term foreign-currency deposit rating A2 A2
Short-term deposit rating Prime-1 Prime-1
BCA baa1 -
Outlook Stable/ Negative** Negative
* On April 28, 2016, the name Standard & Poor's Ratings Services was changed to S&P Global Ratings.
** Outlook Stable on ratings of liabilities in domestic currency / Negative on ratings of liabilities in foreign currencies.
Bank Pekao S.A. has the highest viability rating assigned by Fitch Ratings, the highest Stand-Alone Credit Profile rating assigned by S&P Global Ratings, and the highest Baseline Credit Assessment as well as long- and short-term counterparty risk ratings assigned by Moody’s Investors Service.
On 9th of November 2016 Fitch Ratings reviewed and affirmed Bank Pekao S.A. ratings at unchanged levels. At the same time Fitch placed Bank’s Support rating on Rating Watch Negative.
34
Investor relations team’s contact and calendar
Dariusz ChoryłoExecutive Directorph.: +48 22 524 55 27 e-mail: [email protected]
Dorota Faszczewska-Wardph.: +48 22 524 55 30e-mail: [email protected]
Iwona Milewskaph.: +48 22 524 55 28 e-mail: [email protected]
Krzysztof Szlichci ńskiph.: +48 22 524 55 29 e-mail: [email protected]
Visit us at: www.pekao.com.plBlackout Period – two weeks period before publication of financial statements. During this period we do not organise meetings with investors and analysts
Q&A related to the presentation:
CONTACT DETAILS FINANCIAL CALENDAR
9 February 2016
26 April 2016
10 May 2016
20 July 2016
3 August 2016
27 October 2016
10 November 2016
Annual Report 2015 and Webcasting
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First Quarter Report and Webcasting
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Semi-annual Report and Webcasting
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Third Quarter Report and Webcasting