Financial Analysis of Fertiliser Use L. Connolly, B. Moran.

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Financial Analysis of Fertiliser Use L. Connolly, B. Moran

Transcript of Financial Analysis of Fertiliser Use L. Connolly, B. Moran.

Financial Analysis of Fertiliser Use

L. Connolly, B. Moran

OUTLINE

Farm Numbers : Current & 2015 Trend & Distribution Farm Incomes Trend In Fertiliser Usage Fertiliser Cost By Farm System Fertiliser Usage Full Time/REPS/NON REPS Farms Fertiliser Usage By Region Fertiliser Cost By Level Of Enterprise Performance Summary

Categories of Farms 2003

Source: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

Viable Farm s38,700

Non-V iablePart-tim e farm s

37,000

Non-V iableTransitional Farm s

40,300

Total Farm s116,000

Categories of Farms 2015

Source: 2015 Committee Report

Viable Farm s40,000

Non-V iablePart-tim e farm s

45,000

Non-viableTransitional Farm s

14,000

Total Farm s99,000

Family Farm Income (FFI)

Source: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

Year €/Farm

1995 14,200

2000 13,500

2001 15,800

2003 14,800

2004 15,600

Family Farm Income (€) 1995 -2004

€14,200€15,600

Source: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

FFI-Current FFI-Real

Family Farm Income (€) 1995 -2004

€14,200€15,600

Source: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

FFI-Current FFI-Real

€11,800

Farm Income by System - 2004

Source: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

DairyingDairying/Other

Cattle Rearing

Cattle Other

Mainly Sheep

Mainly Tillage All

34,400 24,900 7,300 8,700 11,000 24,000 15,600

FFI €/Farm

Direct Payments & FFI - 2004

34420

10970

24010

15560

7290

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

Dairying CattleRearing

Sheep Tillage All

€/Farm

FFI DPs/SubsSource: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

Direct Payments & FFI - 2004

34420

1502010970

24010

15560

7290

1355010700

22090

10150

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

Dairying CattleRearing

MainlySheep

Tillage All

€/Farm

FFI DPs/SubsSource: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

0100200300400500600700800900

€/H

A

Dairying

Dairying/Other

Cattle Rearing

Cattle Other

Mainly Sheep

Mainly Tillage

Farm Income by Enterprise - 2004

Source: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

Trend In Fertiliser Cost/Farm

€/Farm1990 1,9951995 2,3802000 2,6202001 3,0802002 3,0202003 3,0752004 2,940

Source: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

Trend In Fertiliser Cost/Farm

Year Fertiliser Fertiliser€/Farm % Direct Costs

1990 1,995 211995 2,380 192000 2,620 192001 3,080 212002 3,020 192003 3,075 202004 2,940 19

Source: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

Trend In Fertiliser Cost/Farm

Year Fertiliser Fertiliser Fertiliser€/Farm % Direct Costs % Farm Income

1995 2,380 19 192000 2,620 19 182001 3,080 21 192002 3,020 19 202003 3,075 20 202004 2,940 19 19

Source: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

Fertiliser Cost – All Farms - 2004

DairyingCattle

Rearing Sheep Tillage All

Fertiliser €/Farm 5,800 1,230 1,580 7,490 2,940

Source: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

Fertiliser Cost – All Farms - 2004

DairyingCattle

Rearing Sheep Tillage All

Fertiliser €/Farm 5,800 1,230 1,580 7,490 2,940

% Direct Costs 17 19 16 26 19

Source: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

Fertiliser Cost – All Farms - 2004

DairyingCattle

Rearing Sheep Tillage All

Fertiliser €/Farm 5,800 1,230 1,580 7,490 2,940

% Direct Costs 17 19 16 26 19

% Farm Income 17 17 14 31 19

Source: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

Fertiliser Cost – Fulltime Farms -

2004

DairyingCattle

Rearing Sheep Tillage All

Fertiliser €/Farm 6,115 2,990 3,445 12,266 5,947

Source: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

Fertiliser Cost – Fulltime Farms -

2004

DairyingCattle

Rearing Sheep Tillage All

Fertiliser €/Farm 6,115 2,990 3,445 12,266 5,947

% Direct Costs 17 20 18 26 19

Source: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

Fertiliser Cost – Fulltime Farms -

2004

DairyingCattle

Rearing Sheep Tillage All

Fertiliser €/Farm 6,115 2,990 3,445 12,266 5,947

% Direct Costs 17 20 18 26 19

% Farm Income 17 19 17 32 19

Source: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

Dairying CattleRearing

Sheep Tillage All

€/F

arm

Full time farm All farms

Fertiliser Cost Fulltime v All Farms 2004

Source: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

Fertiliser Cost By Region 2004

EastSouth-East West

Farm Income €/farm 20,800 24,600 8,600

Source: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

Fertiliser Cost By Region 2004

EastSouth-

east West

Farm Income €/farm 20,800 24,600 8,600

Fertiliser €/farm 4,480 5,390 1,250

Source: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

Fertiliser Cost By Region 2004

EastSouth-East West

Farm Income €/farm 20,800 24,600 8,600

Fertiliser €/farm 4,480 5,390 1,250

Fertiliser % direct cost 21 20 16

Source: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

Fertiliser Cost By Region 2004

EastSouth-East West

Farm Income €/farm 20,800 24,600 8,600

Fertiliser €/farm 4,480 5,390 1,250

Fertiliser % direct cost 21 20 16

Fertiliser % Farm Income 22 22 14

Source: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

Fertiliser Cost By Region 2004

EastSouth-East West

Farm Income €/farm 20,800 24,600 8,600

Fertiliser €/farm 4,480 5,390 1,250

Fertiliser % direct cost 21 20 16

Fertiliser % Farm Income 22 22 14

% National total fertiliser 9 23 10

Source: National Farm Survey, Teagasc

Fertiliser Cost REPS v NON-REPS Farms 2004

DAIRYINGCATTLE

REARING SHEEP TILLAGE ALL

REPS 4,040 1,430 1,510 3,860 2,160€/Farm

Fertiliser Cost REPS v NON-REPS Farms 2004

DAIRYINGCATTLE

REARING SHEEP TILLAGE ALL

REPS 4,040 1,430 1,510 3,860 2,160

NON-REPS 6,280 1,130 1,620 9,170 3,290

€/Farm

0100020003000400050006000700080009000

10000

Dairying CattleRearing

Sheep Tillage All

REPS NON-REPS

Fertiliser Cost REPS v NON-REPS Farms 2004

Fertiliser Cost by Performance -Dairying - 2004

Bottom Middle Top

25% 50% 25%

Gross Margin €/Ha 1,210 2,044 2,990

Fertiliser €/Ha 130 144 180

LUs/Ha 1.7 2.0 2.4

Dairying

Fertiliser Cost by Performance - Suckling - 2004

Bottom Middle Top

25% 50% 25%

Gross Margin €/Ha 540 600 835

Fertiliser €/Ha 44 40 55

LUs/Ha 1.5 1.6 1.9

Single Suckling

Fertiliser Cost by Performance - Sheep - 2004

Bottom Middle Top

25% 50% 25%

Gross Margin €/Ha 245 670 1,200

Fertiliser €/Ha 52 50 87

Ewes/Ha 6.5 8.4 12.4

Mid-Season Lamb

Fertiliser Cost by Performance - 2004

Bottom Middle Top

25% 50% 25%

Gross Margin €/Ha 590 910 1,260

Fertiliser €/Ha 187 176 160

Yield Tonne/Ha 9.1 10.7 12.0

Winter Wheat

SUMMARY

Farm Numbers Declining / Viable Farms Constant

Farm Income Virtually Static

Dairying Profitable/Drystock in Difficulty

Fertiliser Cost Per Farm Static

Tillage & Dairy Farms – Biggest Users

Fertiliser Cost 52% Higher on NON-REPS Farms

Enterprise Performance – Highest Fertiliser Cost on Top

Performance (except cereals)