Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results David Ory ([email protected]) Metropolitan Transportation...
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![Page 1: Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results David Ory (dory@mtc.ca.gov) Metropolitan Transportation Commission March 23, 2011 Presentation for Regional.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070412/56649e535503460f94b494e1/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results
David Ory ([email protected])Metropolitan Transportation CommissionMarch 23, 2011
Presentation for Regional Modeling Working Group
![Page 2: Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results David Ory (dory@mtc.ca.gov) Metropolitan Transportation Commission March 23, 2011 Presentation for Regional.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070412/56649e535503460f94b494e1/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
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Which scenarios.
GHG first.
Travel model results.
Other targets.
Next steps.
Questions.
![Page 3: Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results David Ory (dory@mtc.ca.gov) Metropolitan Transportation Commission March 23, 2011 Presentation for Regional.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070412/56649e535503460f94b494e1/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
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Year 2005 (version 0.0).
Year 2020, Current Regional Plans (v 0.0).
Year 2020, Initial Vision (v 0.0).
Year 2035, Current Regional Plans (v 0.0).
Year 2035, Initial Vision (v 0.0).
![Page 4: Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results David Ory (dory@mtc.ca.gov) Metropolitan Transportation Commission March 23, 2011 Presentation for Regional.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070412/56649e535503460f94b494e1/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
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Which scenarios.
GHG first. From air basin to nine counties.
Travel model results.
Other targets.
Next steps.
Questions.
![Page 5: Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results David Ory (dory@mtc.ca.gov) Metropolitan Transportation Commission March 23, 2011 Presentation for Regional.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070412/56649e535503460f94b494e1/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
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2035
-15.0 percentARB
Target
Initial Vision with T-2035
Initial Vision
-11.2 percent
-11.6 percent
Current Regional Plans
-10.6 percent
![Page 6: Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results David Ory (dory@mtc.ca.gov) Metropolitan Transportation Commission March 23, 2011 Presentation for Regional.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070412/56649e535503460f94b494e1/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
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ARB Target
-8.8 percentCurrent Regional
Plans
-7.0 percent2020
Initial Vision-10.3 percent
![Page 7: Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results David Ory (dory@mtc.ca.gov) Metropolitan Transportation Commission March 23, 2011 Presentation for Regional.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070412/56649e535503460f94b494e1/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
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Which scenarios.
GHG first.
Travel model results.
Other targets.
Next steps.
Questions.
![Page 8: Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results David Ory (dory@mtc.ca.gov) Metropolitan Transportation Commission March 23, 2011 Presentation for Regional.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070412/56649e535503460f94b494e1/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
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Population Synthesizer
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Pri
ce
Quantity
Roadway & Transit Supply
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15Image source: sedonakathy.wordpress.com
Automobile Ownership
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17Image source: flickr.com/sbisson
Scheduling
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2005
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2035 CRP
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2035 IVS
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21Image source: flickr.com/bigtimes
Activity Locations/ Travel Distance
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24Image sources: sedonakathy.wordpress.com; greencar.com
Travel Mode Choice
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2035 CRP
![Page 28: Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results David Ory (dory@mtc.ca.gov) Metropolitan Transportation Commission March 23, 2011 Presentation for Regional.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070412/56649e535503460f94b494e1/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
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2035 IVS
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30Image source: flickr.com/SpokkerJones
Transit Utilization
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32Image source: flickr.com/cookieevans5
Roadway Utilization
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Year 2005 VMT by Household Location: http://geocommons.com/maps/56363
Year 2035 Current Regional Plans VMT by Household Location: http://geocommons.com/maps/56379
![Page 40: Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results David Ory (dory@mtc.ca.gov) Metropolitan Transportation Commission March 23, 2011 Presentation for Regional.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070412/56649e535503460f94b494e1/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
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![Page 41: Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results David Ory (dory@mtc.ca.gov) Metropolitan Transportation Commission March 23, 2011 Presentation for Regional.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070412/56649e535503460f94b494e1/html5/thumbnails/41.jpg)
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Which scenarios.
GHG first.
Travel model results.
Other targets See Planning Cmte Packet.
Next steps.
Questions.
![Page 42: Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results David Ory (dory@mtc.ca.gov) Metropolitan Transportation Commission March 23, 2011 Presentation for Regional.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070412/56649e535503460f94b494e1/html5/thumbnails/42.jpg)
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Which scenarios.
GHG first.
Travel model results.
Other targets.
Next steps.
Questions.
![Page 43: Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results David Ory (dory@mtc.ca.gov) Metropolitan Transportation Commission March 23, 2011 Presentation for Regional.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070412/56649e535503460f94b494e1/html5/thumbnails/43.jpg)
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Find & Fix Bugs
Find & Fix Bugs
Continue sensitivity tests (HOT & gas prices)
Update runs using model version 0.1
Find & Fix Bugs
Continue RTP analytical work
![Page 44: Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results David Ory (dory@mtc.ca.gov) Metropolitan Transportation Commission March 23, 2011 Presentation for Regional.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022070412/56649e535503460f94b494e1/html5/thumbnails/44.jpg)
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Which scenarios.
GHG first.
Travel model results.
Other targets.
Next steps.
Questions.