FIGURES - Stellenbosch University · Figure 7: Comparing logistics costs for selected countries...
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6 6 FIGURES
Transcript of FIGURES - Stellenbosch University · Figure 7: Comparing logistics costs for selected countries...
66FIGURES
Figure 1: South Africa’s logistics costs as percentage of GDP is rising
10.9
11.0
0 1
1.1 11.2 11.3 11.4 11.5 11.6 11.7 11.8 11.9
1
1.1% 11.2%
11.7% 11.8%
2013
2014
2015e 2016f
13.6%
Figure 2: Long-term view of South Africa’s logistics costs as percentage of GDP
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015e 2016f
12.7%
12.4%12.6%
13.6%13.5%
11.8%
11.4%
11.0%
11.7%
11.1%11.2%
11.7%11.8%
1.0% 1.2%
2.0% 2.1%
4.7%
6.7%
7.8%
Brazil Russia USA South Africa Nigeria India China
World Average = 3.5%
Aver
age
GDP
Grow
th (2
011-
2015
)
Figure 3: Average GDP growth (2011-2015)
9892
54
42
26
25
9
Russia Nigeria Brazil India China South Africa USA
Figure 4: LPI rank (over four editions 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016)
Figure 5: South Africa’s logistics costs trend
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015e 2016f
180
13.6%
188
12.7%
203
12.4%
232
12.6%
287
13.6%
319
13.5%
297
11.8%
313
11.4%
332
11.0%
379
11.7%
393
11.1%
429
11.2%
470
11.7%
499
11.8%
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
Rand
bill
ion
50.4%49.3% 49.1%
52.1%
55.6%
52.6%
48.6% 47.8% 47.9%
52.8%50.5% 51.5%
53.6%56.0%
Logistics costs % of GDP % of transportable GDP
Figure 6: Logistics costs in real 2010 terms
(Inde
x 20
10=1
00)
Logistics costs at 2010 prices Tonne-km
116
114
112
110
108
106
104
102
1002010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Figure 7: Comparing logistics costs for selected countries
Logi
stics
cos
ts a
s a %
of G
DP
Denmark Sweden Norway USA Australia Germany South Africa Finland India Brazil China Russia
6.17.3 7.7 7.9 8.6 8.6
11.2 11.413
15
18
2020
15
10
5
0
International trade logistics costs for South Africa (Rand billions, 2014)
Figure 8: International trade logistics costs for South Africa (Rand billions, 2014)
Port charges 23.1 (10%)
Documentation charges 16.8 (7%)
Ship standing costs 5.2 (2%)
Other 0.77 (0%)
Inland logistics costs 101.1 (42%)
Maritime transport 94.9 (39%)
Figure 9: Trade flows of South African containers in 2014
North America
South America
Africa
Europe
Middle East
Asia
Australia
1255 16
13
463
775
91
40
378
300
98
21
59
70
Total exports of 1 049 691 TEUs in 2014Total imports of 1 354 358 TEUSs in 2014
Thousand TEUsValues: 2014 calendar year
Total logistics costs of R429bn
244
62
65
58
Transport
Warehousing
Inventory Carrying
Management & Admin
Figure 10: 2014 Logistics cost elements (Rand billions)
Figure 11: Trends in South Africa’s logistics costs stack elements
Transport Warehousing Inventory carrying Management and administration
+1.7%
-7.4%
+10.0%
+9.9%
+18.4%
+8.0%
+1.4%
+18.4%
+3.6%
+10.6%
+0.5%
+2.7%
+18.5%
+21.8%
+12.1%
+3.7%
+10.2%
+9.5%
+7.5%
+9.9%
+3.1%
+20.5%
+5.7%
+3.4%
R39bn12%
R48bn15%
R50bn16%
R176bn56%
2010
R40bn12%
R45bn13%
R55bn16%
R193bn58%
2011
R47bn12%
R48bn13%
R55bn15%
R229bn60%
2012
R49bn12%
R53bn14%
R56bn14%
R235bn60%
2013
R55bn13%
R65bn15%
R62bn15%
R244bn57%
2014
R64bn14%
R71bn15%
R67bn14%
R268bn57%
2015eE
R66bn13%
R86bn17%
R71bn14%
R277bn55%
2016f
FuelDrivers’ Wages
Maintenance and repairDepreciation
Cost of CapitalInsurance
Tyres
Toll FeesLicences
Pipeline tariffs
Rail tariffs
2014
2013
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90Rand billion
Figure 12: Cost contribution per transport mode (2014)
Agriculture Mining Manufacturing
10%R83bn
34%R286bn
10%85mt
66%562mt
24%201mt
56%R463bn
Trans
porta
ble
GDP
cont
ributi
on
Volume contributi on
Figure 13: Value and volume contribution to the transportable economy in 2014
Figure 14: Agricultural freight flow volume for 2014
Figure 15: Mining freight flow volume for 2014
Figure 16: Manufacturing freight flow volume for 2014
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
Tonn
e-km
(bn)
2013 2014 2015e 2016f
PipelineRoad distributionRailRoad line-haul
7.8
72
130
151
7.9
73
139
158
8.2
70
140
164
8.3
70
121
165
Figure 17: Tonne-km per mode (South Africa 2014)
130.9bn tonne-km
21%
79%
Corridor
63.2bn tonne-km
20%
80%
Rural
Road
Rail
Tonn
e-km
(bill
ions
)140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
77.8bn tonne-km
1%
99%
Metropolitan Corridor Metropolitan Rural
Figure 18: Typological division of general freight transport (South Africa 2014)
