Exponential technologies and their impact on...

Geneva, October 21, 2014

Charles FadelCharlesfadel (at) gmail (dot) com

Exponential technologies and their impact on humankind

Source: Aaron Kobler

© Charles Fadel – All Rights Reserved

Music exercise – Audio


“1950”


Enjoying artistry


Innovation follows patterns �� automatable

Source: Invention Machine “IM Labs”


Volatile

Uncertain

Complex

Ambiguous

Our New World

Societal Challenges

Greed

Financial Meltdown

Global Warming

Personal Privacy

Intolerance

Religious fundamentalism

Political Absolutism

Personal Challenges

Employability

Belonging

� Happiness

Economic Challenges

Globalization

Innovation


Source: Video extract from “Occupy Wall Street”

The stakes have never been higher


Growing Concern

“~50% of US jobs potentially automatable”

Oxford Martin Study 2014


The Race between Technology and Education

Inspired by “The race between technology and education” Pr. Goldin & Katz (Harvard)

Industrial Revolution

Social pain

Social pain

Prosperity

Technology

Education

Digital Revolution


Displacement due to Technology

Ox � Harvester

Horse � Automobile

Lab Mice � Assays (not soon enough7)

Humans: Scribes � printing pressWashers � washing machineCashiers/Attendants � bar code scannerHealthcare/Finance/Services/Jeopardy champions � Watson

etc


The Power of Exponentials


Exponentials are Misunderstood


Moore’s Law for Semiconductors

� iPhone: $400 price point

• 40T in 2016

• 40E in 2025

� Video record your entire life (2025)} Already possible

in the Cloud !


On the road to ExoBrain

Source: Moravec/Kurzweil/SU


More to come – Augmented Reality - Video


Will we need to learn a foreign language?

iPhone app: Speech-to-speech translator for 95% of world population (23 languages)http://www.ustar-consortium.com/

Google goggles with Translate


More to come8 Virtual Reality - Video


A lot more to come

� 3D printing

� Synthetic biology

� Brain enhancements

� Nanomaterials

� Etc.


Algorithmic Intelligence


Google Autonomous Vehicle - Video

>700kmiles,

one minor accident,

occasional human intervention


Computerized Trading – Flash Crash

>60% of volume is now “high-speed trading”


“Computational Pathologist”

“Computers found more accurate than doctors in breast-cancer diagnosis”

Science Magazine November 10, 2011

“Computational Pathologist” by

Stanford Schools of Engineering and Medicine


WikiBots

42% of Wikipedia is edited by 12 bots !


Even modeling

Source: Le Monde Culture & Idees, December 24, 2011

H&M admits using a mannequin as digital model with “no flaws”


Meet Zoe - Video

Source: University of Cambridge Research Labs, UK


Computers can sketch too !

� Seven artists generated about 8,000 pen strokes for the sketches.

� Individual artist preferences were included in the data.

� Disney's software analyzed how greatly artists exaggerated the distance between facial features.


Even Pop Stars

� Video – Hatsune Miku, “Vocaloid”


More to come8 Robotics


High-speed manipulation - Video


Robot Serves Up 360 Hamburgers Per Hour

� Momentum Machines: “it pays for itself in a year”

� No cashiers or servers.


Replace Workforce With Robots

Terry Guo, CEO of Foxconn: “one million industrial robots to assembly lines inside of three years”.


And the small, mini, micro and nano kinds


And more, including flying - Video


“The future is already here –

it's just not very evenly distributed.”

Science-Fiction author William Gibson,

quoted in The Economist,

December 4, 2003


What’s Likely – a Hybrid Future


So what do we teach for8

7in an era of ubiquitous, symbiotic A.I. and Robotics?

How about:

• Wisdom

• Ethics

And also: (list not exhaustive)

• Fluidity with Technology

• Resilience/Adaptability

• Curiosity

• Courage

• Self-Awareness

• Asking the right questions

• Synthesis/integration

• Creativity


www.curriculumredesign.org

What should students learnfor the 21st century™?


Academia

Corporations

Coalition of key global players

International

organizations

Jurisdictions

Foundations

& Non-Profits

Fondation

Henri Moser


On the basis of all dimensions

Knowledge

Character

Skills


Versatility as Key Strategy


Reassess Knowledge for relevance


Modern, Interdisciplinary Subjects

Journalism

Cinema

Business

Wellness

Social systems

Biosystems

Robotics

Engineering & Technology (M, EE, CS, etc)

MathsPhysics

Language/writing/storyMedia

Communication/RhetoricPhilosophy/ethics/civicsPsychology/SociologyMaths (Stats/Probs)


Learn Skills

CreativityCritical thinkingCommunication

Collaboration


Build Character

Train Metacognition

Learn how to Learn


A prescient view


Conclusion: AND not OR

Inspired by an inscription used by Charles Voysey, Britain 1896

Cognition + Action + Emotion

Knowledge + Skills + Character+ Metacognition


www.curriculumredesign.org

Twitter: @CurrRedesign

Thank you !

“What should students learn for the 21st century?”


Practical book + DVD classroom examples

“The authors have done nothing less than provide a bold framework for designing a 21st century approach to education, an approach aimed at preparing all of our children to successfully meet the challenges of this brave, new world.”

Paul Reville, Former Secretary of Education,Commonwealth of Massachusetts;

former director of the Education Policy and Management Program,

Harvard Graduate School of Education

“It’s about time that we have such an accessible and wise book about the 21st century skills that so many companies, policymakers, and educators are talking about”

Roy Pea, Professor, Education and the Learning Sciences,

Stanford University

http://www.21stcenturyskillsbook.com

Exponential technologies and their impact on...

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