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    environmental effects of the )ulf War seven years earlier"

    What the team found was very different from the surreal

    inferno of %urnin oil wells that had %een the scene in

    1991 a -uiet desert, reen with wavin rasses" #s theteam wrote in its report, however, .other pro%lems are

    literally %elow the surface and one needs only to scratch the

    desert to find the remains of the continuin environmental

    damae./for e!ample, spilled oil that continued to

    percolate throuh the porous soil and threaten +uwait0s

    meaer freshwater a-uifers"

    everal recent wars in varied environments and different

    parts of the world reveal that the ecoloical conse-uences

    of war often remain written in the landscape for many

    years" ut the story is not always straihtforward or clear"

    'nstead, the landscape is li$e a palimpsest/a parchment

    written on, scraped clean, and then written over aain/on

    which the ecoloical effects of war may %e overlain %y

    postwar reeneration or development" 3et loo$in carefully

    and in the riht places can allow the history of past humanconflicts to %e read in the landscape"

    4f course, wars are not the only events that leave their

    sinature on the land" .This is essentially true of all impacts

    on ecosystems,. says 5ohn 6art, a conservation scientist

    %ased in the Democratic Repu%lic of the *ono/floods and

    hurricanes, for e!ample" .o it really puts conflict into the

    conte!t of natural history".till, warfare is not the same as other distur%ances that

    %uffet natural ecosystems, and there are reasons to %e

    concerned a%out the lonterm ecoloical effects of war,

    particularly of the modern variety" 7or one thin, there is

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    incredi%ly destructive, %ut not without precursors". 'n fact,

    the 8"" sprayin proram was inspired %y an earlier

    ritish effort to -uell an insurrection in alaya %y

    chemical sprayin to destroy ?unle crops planted %yre%els"

    #nd the environment has %een war0s victim, %oth deli%erate

    and incidental, at least since the %einnins of recorded

    history" 7ive thousand years ao, warrin esopotamian

    city/states %reached di$es to flood the fields of their

    enemies =a tactic that resonates with recent events in that

    part of the world>" The 6e%rew i%le records in the oo$

    of 5udes that +in #%imelech salted the fields of

    hechem@ the Romans did the same after they sac$ed

    *arthae"

    3et the scale and destructiveness of the 8"" proram =code

    named 4peration Trail Dust %ut %etter $nown as 4peration

    Ranch 6and, which referred specifically to the #ir 7orce

    component> was larely unprecedented" #n estimated AB

    percent of southern ;ietnam0s inland hardwood forest was

    sprayed at least once" ome areas/those %orderin roads

    and rivers, around military %ases, and alon the forested

    transport route $nown as the 6o *hi inh Trail/were hit up

    to half a doCen times"

    Two to three wee$s after %ein sprayed with defoliants, the

    trees would drop their leaves, enerally remainin %are for

    several months after" That was a %oon to the 8"" military%ut a disaster for these tropical forests, where the canopy

    holds the reat reservoir of %iodiversity plants rowin on

    plants, thousands of $inds of insects, hundreds of %irds"

    7orest ecoloist #rthur Westin, who was instrumental in

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    drawin pu%lic attention to the ecoloical conse-uences of

    the ;ietnam War, wrote in 19

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    would have e!pected hundreds of %irds representin

    perhaps (& species" The only other verte%rate they saw was

    a lone crocodile on a mud %an$" Ffeiffer later recalled .a

    vast ray landscape, littered with the s$eletons ofher%icide/$illed manroves".

    y some estimates, half of southern ;ietnam0s manroves

    were $illed %y defoliants" 3et ironically, some of the

    tareted forests owed their e!istence to an earlier conflict,

    says environmental historian David is of the 8niversity

    of *alifornia/Riverside" 'n the 8 inh pecial #rea of the

    southwestern e$on Delta, e!tensive drainin and

    clearin of manrove swamps had ta$en place in the early

    decades of the twentieth century, as 7rench colonial

    authorities carved out immense rice plantations" When the

    ;ietnamese strule for independence ot under way after

    World War '', ;iet inh uerrillas esta%lished a %ase in the

    area" They %reached di$es, reflooded the swamps, and

    planted palms and manroves to provide them with cover"

    .The re%els didn0t have any sort of Western conservationistattitude towards that environment/instead it was more of an

    enineer0s attitude,. is says" 3et the result was the

    dense tanle of native veetation that later %ecame the

    taret of #ent 4rane"

    #fter the departure of 8"" troops in 19

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    always clear, and sortin out what environmental effects of

    the war persist more than three decades later can %e

    complicated"

    'n many areas the invasive rasses and %am%oo thic$etsthat replaced inland hardwood forests are still present" #

    mid/19(&s study %y ;ietnamese ecoloists documented ?ust

    2E species of %irds and B species of mammals present in

    sprayed forests and converted areas, compared to 1EB/1

    5ohn ac+innon, a conservation scientist who has wor$ed

    e!tensively in ;ietnam and elsewhere in #sia, says post/

    war activities are to %lame .'n all cases the failure to

    recover is %ecause there Jhave %eenK continued fires,

    raCin, and wood harvestin that prevent proper

    reeneration". 4n the other hand, clwee arues that

    there are some areas where .it0s pretty clear that a chane in

    forest composition is a direct result of the war,. citin ase!amples the a Da forest near 6o *hi inh *ity, where

    the typical pattern of forest interrupted %y scru%%y %am%oos

    and invasive rasses persists despite relatively little recent

    slash/and/%urn ariculture, and the hard/hit # Luoi ;alley

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    of central ;ietnam" .ome areas that were heavily sprayed

    continue to %e very deraded in terms of the veetation,.

    she says"

    The picture is similarly comple! in the manrove forests"#n estimated 1&B,&&& hectares of manroves were lost to

    defoliants durin the war" The ;ietnamese undertoo$

    e!tensive restoration efforts durin the 19(&s, %ut many of

    the replanted areas/a%out 1&1,&&& hectares, or one/third of

    the manroves0 total e!tent/have recently %een cut down for

    the development of a-uaculture enterprises" 'n other words,

    the effects of the war ?ust a few decades ao are already

    overlain %y multiple layers of ecoloical chane"

    3et a new investiation %y ;ietnamese forester Fhun Tuu

    oi offers some clarity" 6e has analyCed recent satellite

    photos of ;ietnam, and found that imaes from %oth

    hardwood forests and manrove areas show areas of altered

    veetation/in lon, straiht strips that correspond precisely

    to the fliht paths of the */12A caro aircraft that did most

    of the sprayin" .There is no way all these veetation

    chanes could %e attri%uta%le to locals settin fires or

    cuttin forests iven these striped patterns,. clwee says"

    Collateral Damage

    Li$e the ;ietnam War, a ma?ority of conflicts worldwide in

    recent decades have involved uerrilla forces, who may not

    %e numerous or well/e-uipped %ut who find an advantae

    in remainin invisi%le to their enemies, whether %y meltin

    into the civilian population or %y ta$in cover in, for

    e!ample, dense forests" 'n turn, the places where uerrillas

    ta$e cover draw fire" o while scorched/earth tactics in the

    ancient world fre-uently were directed aainst croplands,

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    199E, %ecause of armed conflict"

    'n a world already heavily shaped %y human hands, the

    forests and other landscapes that can offer cover to uerrilla

    roups often represent remnants of natural ecosystems, mayhave protected status, and fre-uently har%or endanered

    species" That raises the sta$es when war %rea$s out, 5ohn

    6art says .Frotected areas can %e depleted, species driven

    to e!tinction, etc"""" #s conservationists, our Mvictories0 are

    only temporary"""" ut our losses loom definitive"""".

    The ;irunas represent all of these trends" The reion0s

    forests/islands of natural ha%itat in one of #frica0s mostdensely settled reions and one of the last %its of a once/

    vast forest ecosystem that %lan$eted mountains from the

    Red ea to southern #frica/were used %y %oth reular army

    units and re%el roups throuhout the recent conflicts in

    Rwanda and the DR*"

    #nd in turn, that made the forests a taret of military

    attac$" 'n 1991, the Rwandan army cleared a swath ofveetation up to 1&& meters wide alon a $ey trail throuh

    %am%oo forest, in order to reduce the threat of am%ush %y

    re%el roups" 4n the *onolese side, in 1999 the army of

    the DR* clear/cut a corridor alon the main road %etween

    )oma and Rutshuru, which runs throuh ;iruna :ational

    Far$" #lthouh carried out on a much smaller scale, these

    events were motivated %y the same concerns as the 8""

    her%icide proram in ;ietnam to deny cover to a forest/%ased enemy"

    When civilian populations are swept up in and displaced %y

    armed conflict, the effects on the environment can %e as

    reat as those of direct military activities" 7or two years

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    %einnin in late 199E, for e!ample, a%out

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    painful series of events that are still unfoldin these days".

    The lastin conse-uences of war in the ;irunas reion

    may %e more su%tle, not necessarily alterin the ecosystem

    as a whole %ut affectin the animal species in it,particularly lare mammals" The deforestation alon the

    )oma/Rutshuru road disrupted a $ey ecoloical corridor

    that crosses the road and lin$s two sectors of ;iruna

    :ational Far$" mmanuel de erode, chief e!ecutive of

    Wildlife Direct, says, .The clearin was not on a lare

    scale, %ut the corridor is critical to elephant and other lare

    mammal movements, such as %uffalos". 'n turn, disruption

    of the elephants0 usual movement patterns %y deforestation

    and other military activities has led to .increased tree cover

    in the emli$i ;alley and on the Rwindi Flains".

    Foachin %y armed roups, refuees, and local residents

    around the par$ may also have lastin effects on a num%er

    of mammal species" The daner is manified %y the fact

    that armed conflict, especially civil conflict, leads to the

    widespread possession of automatic weapons, which are

    vastly more efficient and devastatin than traditional

    huntin weapons such as snares and spears"

    4ver the course of two months at the end of 199H, for

    e!ample, ayi/ayi re%els $illed almost the entire

    population of hippopotamus on the Rutshuru and Rwindi

    Rivers" #ccordin to de erode, as a conse-uence of this

    and other poachin episodes, .There has %een a massivechane in veetation assem%laes around La$e dward".

    6e cites the collapse of the hippo population as one of the

    most sinificant war/related events for the lonterm

    ecoloy of the ;irunas reion, notin that it could lead to

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    irreversi%le veetation chanes, ma?or declines in fish

    production, and a conse-uent %low to the fisheries/

    dependent economy of the DR*0s :orth +ivu reion"

    ecause automatic weapons tend to remain in circulationafter hostilities end, poachin may continue and sometimes

    even increase" 6art says that in the DR*, .the Mpost

    conflict0 conte!t is provin even more of a challene to the

    environment than the open declared period of war". 7or

    e!ample, while the mountain orilla population in ;iruna

    :ational Far$ emered larely unscathed from a decade/

    plus of war, at least nine orillas have %een $illed in 2&& of nearly 2&& industrial

    plants that had spewed effluent into the Tiris and

    uphrates, he concludes, .)enerally spea$in"""this war0s

    effect on the environment has %een positive".

    What scientists $now a%out other environmental effects of

    the current conflict in 'ra- remains larely speculative at

    this point, and mostly %ased on studies of the 1991 )ulf

    War, which involved similar actors, munitions, and

    environments" The most vivid imaes of environmental

    destruction durin that previous conflict came from

    sa%otae of +uwaiti oil fields" Retreatin 'ra-i troops set

    HA& oil wells aliht, eneratin a plume of to!ic %lac$

    smo$e several hundred $ilometers wide and lon" .3ou0d

    o to places downwind and it would %e covered with

    spec$s of oil and car%on,. recalls atthew :aud, then an

    environmental consultant wor$in on contract with the 8""

    nvironmental Frotection #ency who spent si! wee$s in

    audi #ra%ia and +uwait in 1991" oot and oil dropletscovered 9BA s-uare $ilometers of desert, damain the

    fraile veetation and leadin to widespread deradation of

    ranelands in audi #ra%ia"

    :aud, who was also a mem%er of the )reen *ross

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    'nternational team, recalls that in heavily oiled areas of the

    +uwaiti desert .there wasn0t much sin of life. in 199(" 'n

    less affected areas, where annual desert rasses had larely

    recovered, perennial plants were still mostly a%sent" #ndwhere saltwater was used to put out the flames, native

    veetation has %een replaced with salt/resistant coastal

    species" .y impression is that damae to arid

    environments is often loner lastin, simply %ecause of the

    fact that plant reeneration is so slow,. Gahler says" .The

    effects can last for decades and decades" *enturies".

    Despite fears that widespread oil/well fires would occur

    durin the current conflict, ?ust nine well/head fires in

    'ra-0s southern Rumallah oil fields were identified in the

    early days after the 8"" invasion" 6owever, oil/filled

    trenches set aliht in ahdad to interfere with satellite

    surveillance and taretin of laser/uided munitions would

    create the same sort of contamination %y soot and oil mist

    in ecosystems downwind" #nd sa%otae of pipelines and

    other oil infrastructure %y insurents would lead to oil spillssimilar to those that now threaten +uwait0s a-uifers"

    Ferhaps a reater worry is physical damae to the desert,

    particularly the millimeter/thin layer of microoranisms

    that forms a crust at the top of the soil, protectin it from

    erosion" .'f you don0t distur% that, the amount of dune

    formation is limited,. e!plains :aud" .#nd what you learn

    -uic$ly is if you have tan$s and truc$s and vehicles li$ethat drivin all over a desert, you0ve %ro$en up this crust".

    Remote sensin analyses led %y 7arou$ l/aC of oston

    8niversity showed that the )ulf War resulted in an increase

    in sandstorms and dune formation in the reion" l/aC

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    reports that today .sand continues to accumulate on dunes,

    which also continue to move down/wind". 'n fact, the

    effects of physical disruption of the desert can %e a lot

    loner lastin than that trac$s from World War '' tan$s arestill visi%le in some areas of the :orth #frican desert, and

    one study in #riCona suested that desert crusts miht ta$e

    a thousand years to fully recover from the movements of

    heavy vehicles"

    5effrey c:eely points out that warfare is li$ely to have

    the most severe, lonest/lastin effects on protected areas

    that har%or endanered species, and slow/to/recover

    ecosystems such as deserts" ven in the most fraile

    environments, sometimes nature/and people/can surprise

    us, as the esopotamian marshes0 recovery shows" ut turn

    and loo$ in another direction and you are li$ely to see

    warfare0s endurin scars" #ccordin to l/aC, dust storms

    and sand dune formation, similar to what occurred in the

    wa$e of the )ulf War, are also li$ely effects of the

    movements of military vehicles throuh the desert durinthe current 'ra- war" 4f the dunes, l/aC says, .These

    would continue to move for as lon as the wind %lows".

    !uclear Weapon Effects

    :uclear detonations are the most devastatin of the

    weapons of mass destruction" To ma$e this point one

    need only recall the pictures from 6iroshima or the

    international furor over the accidental %ut enormous

    radiation release from the *herno%yl power plant" The

    contamination from *herno%yl was sinificantly

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    larer than would have %een e!pected from a nuclear

    detonation of a%out 2& $T at round level, %ut was

    compara%le in e!tent to what miht result from a small

    nuclear war in which a doCen or so weapons ofnominal yield were e!ploded at altitudes intended to

    ma!imiCe %last damae"

    # nuclear detonation creates a severe environment

    includin %last, thermal pulse, neutrons, !/ and

    amma/rays, radiation, electromanetic pulse =F>,

    and ioniCation of the upper atmosphere" Dependin

    upon the environment in which the nuclear de/vice is

    detonated, %last effects are manifested as round

    shoc$, water shoc$, %lueout, craterin, and lare

    amounts of dust and radioactive fallout" #ll pose

    pro%lems for the survival of friendly systems and can

    lead to the destruction or neutraliCation of hostile

    assets"

    The enery of a nuclear e!plosion is transferred to the

    surroundin medium in three distinct forms %last@

    thermal radiation@ and nuclear radiation" The

    distri%ution of enery amon these three forms will

    depend on the yield of the weapon, the location of the

    %urst, and the characteristics of the environment" 7or a

    low altitude atmospheric detonation of a moderate

    siCed weapon in the $iloton rane, the enery is

    distri%uted rouhly as followsB&P as %last@

    ABP as thermal radiation@ made up of a wide

    rane of the electromanetic spectrum, includin

    infrared, visi%le, and ultraviolet liht and some

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    soft !/ray emitted at the time of the e!plosion@

    and

    1BP as nuclear radiation@ includin BP as initial

    ioniCin radiation consistin chiefly of neutronsand amma rays emitted within the first minute

    after detonation, and 1&P as residual nuclear

    radiation" Residual nuclear radiation is the haCard

    in fallout"

    *onsidera%le variation from this distri%ution will

    occur with chanes in yield or location of the

    detonation"ecause of the tremendous amounts of enery

    li%erated per unit mass in a nuclear detonation,

    temperatures of several tens of million derees

    centirade develop in the immediate area of the

    detonation" This is in mar$ed contrast to the few

    thousand derees of a conventional e!plosion" #t

    these very hih temperatures the nonfissioned parts ofthe nuclear weapon are vaporiCed" The atoms do not

    release the enery as $inetic enery %ut release it in

    the form of lare amounts of electromanetic

    radiation" 'n an atmospheric detonation, this

    electromanetic radiation, consistin chiefly of soft !/

    ray, is a%sor%ed within a few meters of the point of

    detonation %y the surroundin atmosphere, heatin it

    to e!tremely hih temperatures and formin a%rilliantly hot sphere of air and aseous weapon

    residues, the so/called fire%all" 'mmediately upon

    formation, the fire%all %eins to row rapidly and rise

    li$e a hot air %alloon" Within a millisecond after

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    detonation, the diameter of the fire%all from a 1

    meaton =t> air %urst is 1B& m" This increases to a

    ma!imum of 22&& m within 1& seconds, at which time

    the fire%all is also risin at the rate of 1&& mQsec" Theinitial rapid e!pansion of the fire%all severely

    compresses the surroundin atmosphere, producin a

    powerful %last wave"

    #s it e!pands toward its ma!imum diameter, the

    fire%all cools, and after a%out a minute its temperature

    has decreased to such an e!tent that it no loner emits

    sinificant amounts of thermal radiation" The

    com%ination of the upward movement and the coolin

    of the fire%all ives rise to the formation of the

    characteristic mushroom/shaped cloud" #s the fire%all

    cools, the vaporiCed materials in it condense to form a

    cloud of solid particles" 7ollowin an air %urst,

    condensed droplets of water ive it a typical white

    cloudli$e appearance" 'n the case of a surface %urst,

    this cloud will also contain lare -uantities of dirt andother de%ris which are vaporiCed when the fire%all

    touches the earth0s surface or are suc$ed up %y the

    stron updrafts afterwards, ivin the cloud a dirty

    %rown appearance" The dirt and de%ris %ecome

    contaminated with the radioisotopes enerated %y the

    e!plosion or activated %y neutron radiation and fall to

    earth as fallout"The relative effects of %last, heat, and nuclear

    radiation will larely %e determined %y the altitude at

    which the weapon is detonated" :uclear e!plosions are

    enerally classified as air %ursts, surface %ursts,

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    su%surface %ursts, or hih altitude %ursts"

    Air "ursts" #n air %urst is an e!plosion in which a

    weapon is detonated in air at an altitude %elow A& $m

    %ut at sufficient heiht that the fire%all does notcontact the surface of the earth" #fter such a %urst,

    %last may cause considera%le damae and in?ury" The

    altitude of an air %urst can %e varied to o%tain

    ma!imum %last effects, ma!imum thermal effects,

    desired radiation effects, or a %alanced com%ination of

    these effects" urns to e!posed s$in may %e produced

    over many s-uare $ilometers and eye in?uries over a

    still larer area" 'nitial nuclear radiation will %e a

    sinificant haCard with smaller weapons, %ut the

    fallout haCard can %e inored as there is essentially no

    local fallout from an air %urst" The fission products are

    enerally dispersed over a lare area of the lo%e

    unless there is local rainfall resultin in localiCed

    fallout" 'n the vicinity of round Cero, there may %e a

    small area of neutron/induced activity which could %ehaCardous to troops re-uired to pass throuh the area"

    Tactically, air %ursts are the most li$ely to %e used

    aainst round forces"

    Surface "urst" # surface %urst is an e!plosion in

    which a weapon is detonated on or slihtly a%ove the

    surface of the earth so that the fire%all actually touches

    the land or water surface" 8nder these conditions, thearea affected %y %last, thermal radiation, and initial

    nuclear radiation will %e less e!tensive than for an air

    %urst of similar yield, e!cept in the reion of round

    Cero where destruction is concentrated" 'n contrast

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    with air %ursts, local fallout can %e a haCard over a

    much larer downwind area than that which is affected

    %y %last and thermal radiation"

    Su#surface "urst" # su%surface %urst is an e!plosionin which the point of the detonation is %eneath the

    surface of land or water" *raterin will enerally

    result from an underround %urst, ?ust as for a surface

    %urst" 'f the %urst does not penetrate the surface, the

    only other haCard will %e from round or water shoc$"

    'f the %urst is shallow enouh to penetrate the surface,

    %last, thermal, and initial nuclear radiation effects will

    %e present, %ut will %e less than for a surface %urst of

    compara%le yield" Local fallout will %e very heavy if

    penetration occurs"

    $igh Altitude "urst" # hih altitude %urst is one in

    which the weapon is e!ploded at such an altitude

    =a%ove A& $m> that initial soft !/rays enerated %y the

    detonation dissipate enery as heat in a much larer

    volume of air molecules" There the fire%all is much

    larer and e!pands much more rapidly" The ioniCin

    radiation from the hih altitude %urst can travel for

    hundreds of miles %efore %ein a%sor%ed" inificant

    ioniCation of the upper atmosphere =ionosphere> can

    occur" evere disruption in communications can occur

    followin hih altitude %ursts" They also lead to

    eneration of an intense electromanetic pulse =F>which can sinificantly derade performance of or

    destroy sophisticated electronic e-uipment" There are

    no $nown %ioloical effects of F@ however,

    indirect effects may result from failure of critical

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    medical e-uipment"

    #lthouh some nuclear weapons effects =:W> such

    as %last and craterin have analos in the effects of

    conventional weapons, many :W are uni-ue tonuclear use" 'n addition, %last and other common

    weapons effects are li$ely to %e much more powerful

    in the nuclear case than in the realm of conventional

    weapons" :W are so severe that com%inations of two

    or more simultaneously =as in a real event> may not

    add linearly, complicatin the desin and construction

    of physical simulators or the writin and validation of

    computer simulation codes"

    #lthouh thermal radiation, F, and ioniCin

    radiation from a nuclear %last are all damae

    producin, at yields %elow a%out a meaton the %last

    and shoc$ produced %y a nuclear weapon are the

    predominant means of damain a taret" 7or some

    tarets, such as underround %un$ers and missile silos,

    %last and shoc$ are virtually the only effective

    destructive mechanisms"

    The intensity of thermal radiation decreases only as

    the inverse s-uare of the distance from a nuclear

    detonation, while %last, shoc$, and prompt ioniCin

    radiation effects decrease more rapidly" Thus, hih/

    yield weapons are primarily incendiary weapons, a%le

    to start fires and do other thermal damae at distanceswell %eyond the radius at which they can topple

    %uildins or overturn armored vehicles"

    :uclear effects on electromanetic sinal propaation,

    which affects command, control, communications,

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    computers, and intellience =* E '>, are of concern to

    countries e!pected to use nuclear weapons,

    particularly those which intend to e!plode a weapon at

    reat altitudes or those which e!pect to have to defendaainst such a nuclear attac$" *A' technoloy is

    primarily affected %y hih/altitude nuclear effects that

    could interrupt satellite/to/satellite communications,

    satellite/to/aircraft lin$s, or satellite/to/round lin$s"

    ost nations will hope that sinals from )lo%al

    Fositionin ystem =)F> satellites and round/%ased

    differential )F transmitters will %e usa%le shortly

    after a nuclear e!plosion, as well as traditionalcommunications channels which must %e protected"

    The electromanetic pulse enerated %y the detonation

    of a sinle nuclear weapon at hih altitudes can %e a

    threat to military systems located as much as a

    thousand miles away" 6F can disa%le

    communications systems and even power rids at

    enormous distances from the %urst" This type of threatcould %e used %y a third world country that has the

    capa%ility to launch a roc$et carryin a hih/yield

    device =a%out 1 meaton or more> a few hundred

    $ilometers into the upper atmosphere and a few

    thousand $ilometers from its own territory =to avoid

    damain its own systems>"

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