Evolution of Long Range Planning, CHS
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Transcript of Evolution of Long Range Planning, CHS
Agenda
Introduction to CHS
Setting the Stage
The Usual Tools
Finance Team Challenge
Choosing Solutions
Lessons Learned
Getting to Done
Who We Are
The nation‟s leading cooperative, owned by farmers, ranchers and co-ops across the United States.
A diversified energy, grains and foods business committed to providing the essential resources that enrich lives around the world.
Business Divisions CHS Grains, Crop Nutrients
and Retail
CHS Energy
Renewable Energy
CHS Foods and Processing
CHS Business Solutions
Recent Highlights
Fiscal 2011 net income $961.4 million
Fiscal 2011 net revenues $36.9 billion
#103 on 2011 Fortune 500 listing
Supplier of grain and other products to customers in 60 countries
About 9,000 employees worldwide
9 years as Fortune “Most Admired” company
Earnings History
$ in millions
Ownership
1,100 locally owned cooperatives serving
about 300,000 producers
Voting members
10,000 preferred stockholders(CHSCP on
NASDAQ Exchange)
Non-voting owners
62,000 individual producers (through
company-owned facilities)
Voting members
New Leadership and Vision
© 2011 CHS Inc.7
• New CEO and Key Leadership Retirements/Changes
Jan 2011
New CFO, Controller, Business Unit Leaders
• Updated Guiding Principles
Not a Holding Company
Not a Speculative Buyer and Seller of Businesses
• Focused on Growth
Strategic Expansion
Balanced Business Portfolio
Aspirations
• CHS Finance Department Created
Feb 2011
Food and
Food
Ingredients: Aggressively
grow our grains
and oilseed
based food
businesses by
expanding our
North America
operations and
selectively
pursuing global
opportunities.
© 2011 CHS Inc.8
Aspirations
Enhance/Lever
Enterprise Value: Enhance our value proposition by levering our Enterprise capabilities
and efficiently delivering products and services
Producer
Focused: Expand
and fully integrate
Ag retail operations
to be the full service
solutions provider of
products, services
and financing.
Energy: Drive
CHS energy
business by
opportunistically
expanding our
energy platform.
Global Commodities: Develop and expand
CHS global capabilities
and footprint in
agriculture
and energy
commodities.
Leverage enterprise for
more customer value
CHS
Aspirations
Aspirations To Tactical Plans To Financial Models
CHS ASPIRATIONS
STRATEGIC IMPERATIVES
STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES
FINANCIAL MERITS &
CHS 5-YEAR
GROWTH PLAN
• Business Units Defined Actions
Required to Remain Relevant And
Grow Organically In Current Space
• Aggregated
Customer, Operational, Regional, a
nd Enterprise Leader POVs on
Future Incremental Opportunities
• Outcome: Tactical Playbook for
Next 5 Years By Business
• Producer –
Focused
• Global
Commodities
• Energy
• Food and
Food
Ingredients
• Enhance/
Leverage
Enterprise
Value
The result of our work was a Strategic Growth Plan that carves
the path of CHS for the next 5 years
This is a key component of our planning process going
forward as it defines where our growth will come from
• Unbiased Validation of Plays aka
“The Aspirations”
• First Pass Financials:
EBITDA, CAPITAL, Time to Scale
• Objective Scoring/First Pass at
Prioritizing Playbook
• Score each Play Based on:
Relevance to the
Aspirations
Risk in Execution
Reward Potential
CHS Finance Team Challenge
Driver based 5 year strategic planning at an annual level Vary drivers/growth rates by line of business
Analyze and set top down‟s annual budget targets by line of business
Assess patron equity options and allocations
Drive Consistency: Apples to Apples Comparison Across All Businesses Units
Prioritize and optimize current portfolio and playbook over next 5 years Scenario Analysis: Include/Exclude Aspirations based on Objective Scores
Value acquisitions/divestitures independently and integrated within portfolio
Model Range of Risk/Uncertainty
Analyze various funding strategies/scenarios and capital needs by year Connect treasury / corporate development with corporate FP&A functions
Funding routine to define cash balancing process
Model debt issuances, share buybacks, credit ratings & debt covenants
Ability to update plans with actuals and forecasts Create Proactive Forecast Deliverables & Process
Minimal IT involvement, Minimal ongoing costs
State of CHS Financial Modeling
Complex spreadsheet models
Lack of standardization or continuity
Limited history or documentation
Lack of integrated models make scenario analysis cumbersome
Limited consolidated view
Minimal Analysis
Version Control and Security
Duplicative efforts
Board of DirectorsSenior Management
Investors
Corporate Development
FP&A
Annual Plan & Forecast
Revenue & Cost Models
M&A
Operational and
Departmental Plans
Headcount Plans
Treasury Plans
Long-Term Planning
A Unique Solution: Hyperion Strategic Finance
Confidence in Forecasts Out-of-the-box integrated
financial statements Enhanced accounting integrity
Flexibility for end-users End users can modify accounts /
forecast methods on the fly without IT Involvement
Enhanced Scenario Capabilities Scenarios can be created on the
fly and layered on top of each other
Mix & match scenarios across various entities to build the overall plan
Powerful Treasury Utilities Funding routine allows users to
define cash balancing process Model debt issuances, share
buybacks, credit ratings & debt covenants with ease
Independent of ERP system Data can be imported via
Excel, Essbase, FDM
Speed of Implementation 12 Weeks from A-Z
Linked Financial Statements
Customized Drivers and Metrics for
Individual Business Units
Requires Minimal Business Resources
and reasonable consultant hours
Ease of Use Time spent on analysis and
recommendations not development
Ability to solve or allocate targets
Scenarios in a cinch, base case
simplified
Reduces hours spent budgeting
annually
Sales Pitch VS. Real Life
Key Functionality
Tops Down View
Linked Financial
Statements
Primary Business
Models and
Spreadsheets
Consolidated in 1
model, 1 location
Aspirations
Valuation Model
Funding Logic
Patronage Logic
Intercompany Logic
What-If Analysis
Defining the Financial Model
Model Structure and Dimensions
Entities by Business
Dimensions by Region and/or Product
Minority Interest
Alternate Consolidation Structures
Forecast Methodologies
Defined Growth Drivers by Business for
Revenue
Margin
Expense
© 2011 CHS Inc.13
Spend the Time on Model Design
Business team awareness, partnership, and buy-in
Capture the “right” details, build „placeholders‟ as needed
Don‟t doubt the capability of the HSF tool
Know the constraints of the tool and your IT systems up front
Keep it Simple and Strategic
Let the Business Units own and manage the operational plans outside of
HSF
Focus on primary business drivers
Use historic trend as available, play via scenarios
Spend the time: Run the data to find the Optimal solutions
Train the Team on the Functionality of the Tool
Get your hands dirty on reporting, scenarios, updates, formula changes etc.
Manage access effectively
Lessons Learned
© 2011 CHS Inc.14
What’s Next?
Complete HSF Model
Expected, Early March
Use 5 Year Plan to “Kick-Off” FY13 Annual Planning
Employ “Tops Down POV”
Rolling Quarterly Forecast = 5 Year Update
Aspiration Deep Dives
Complete Financial Models
Monte Carlo Optimization of Portfolio
HSF Phase 2: Continuous Improvement
Expected, October 2012