Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY...Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY William...

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Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY William P. Saxonis New York State Department of Public Service ACEEE/CEE 2013 Market Transformation Symposium Washington DC March 26,2013 1

Transcript of Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY...Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY William...

Page 1: Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY...Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY William P. Saxonis New York State Department of Public Service ACEEE/CEE 2013 Market Transformation

Evaluation Guidelines:

Put to the Test in NY

William P. Saxonis

New York State Department of Public Service

ACEEE/CEE 2013 Market Transformation Symposium

Washington DC March 26,2013

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Page 2: Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY...Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY William P. Saxonis New York State Department of Public Service ACEEE/CEE 2013 Market Transformation

Energy Efficiency Portfolio Standard (EEPS)

The PSC established EEPS in June 2008 with a goal of reducing electricity usage by 15% from the 2015 forecast

and a comparable efficiency goal for natural gas

Key Actions:

Approved about 100 new energy efficiency programs, increased the role of utilities in program administration and more than tripled annual program expenditures

Made rigorous evaluation a PSC priority

Increased evaluation funding by 150% and expanded the oversight role of DPS Staff

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Page 3: Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY...Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY William P. Saxonis New York State Department of Public Service ACEEE/CEE 2013 Market Transformation

Evaluation Guidelines - A Key First Step

The Commission required Staff to issue Evaluation Guidelines within 45 days of the order establishing the EEPS

The prime objective was to build a solid foundation to meet the evaluation challenges of the expanding size and scope of the New York’s energy efficiency effort

The Evaluation Guidelines address:

-- Evaluation methodology (e.g., statistical rigor)

-- Ethical and operational standards

-- Data collection

-- Cooperation among interested parties

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Page 4: Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY...Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY William P. Saxonis New York State Department of Public Service ACEEE/CEE 2013 Market Transformation

Lessons Learned

Guidelines are guidelines, not cookbooks!!

A “back to basics approach” works best

Emphasize avoiding deficiencies in basic

evaluation planning and design, such as a

failing to collect the “right data”

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Page 5: Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY...Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY William P. Saxonis New York State Department of Public Service ACEEE/CEE 2013 Market Transformation

Lessons Learned

Balance tough standards with the flexibility to

permit evaluators to use the most reliable,

practical and cost-effective methodology

Address key issues - e.g., the 90/10 conundrum

Link evaluation rigor with evaluation priority

Avoid a one size fits all approach!

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Page 6: Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY...Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY William P. Saxonis New York State Department of Public Service ACEEE/CEE 2013 Market Transformation

Characteristics of Successful Guidelines

Understandable

Relevant

Embraced

Used

Evolving

Associated with a strong support mechanism …Things don’t just happen

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Page 7: Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY...Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY William P. Saxonis New York State Department of Public Service ACEEE/CEE 2013 Market Transformation

The Evaluation Advisory Group (EAG)

Created to advise the Commission and DPS

staff on key evaluation issues

A diverse group of energy professionals

Plays a critical role in encouraging

communication and cooperation by creating a

forum where members can discuss concerns,

share ideas, and solve problems

Communication is key!

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Page 8: Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY...Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY William P. Saxonis New York State Department of Public Service ACEEE/CEE 2013 Market Transformation

Listen!!!

Duke Ellington considered himself

"the world's greatest listener"

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Duke Ellington (1899-1974)

American Genius

Page 9: Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY...Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY William P. Saxonis New York State Department of Public Service ACEEE/CEE 2013 Market Transformation

Reviewing Key Evaluation Documents Staff reviews evaluation plans and key

deliverables such as survey instruments, sampling designs and draft reports

A time consuming process, but worth the effort

Check for Guideline compliance

"A stitch in time may save nine“

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Page 10: Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY...Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY William P. Saxonis New York State Department of Public Service ACEEE/CEE 2013 Market Transformation

Spillover -- A Tool To Measure

Market Transformation

Recent Guidelines Address Spillover:

-- Preliminary methodological questions

-- Level of evaluation rigor

-- Avoiding double counting

-- Calculation of spillover at the program and market Levels

-- Sampling, uncertainty, statistical precision

-- Deemed approaches

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Page 11: Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY...Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY William P. Saxonis New York State Department of Public Service ACEEE/CEE 2013 Market Transformation

Conclusions- It Isn’t All About

Equations

Even if we obtain methodological perfection, we need to

better communicate the results

Program managers need to understand that if

evaluation results are below expectation, it is not a “bad

evaluation” provided there is guidance for program

improvement

Think more creatively!

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Page 12: Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY...Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY William P. Saxonis New York State Department of Public Service ACEEE/CEE 2013 Market Transformation

Organized Creativity

Duke Ellington had an “insatiable need to break

old rules, write new ones, break new ground,

and to be creative and innovate.”

Dave Brubeck noted how Duke

thought “out of the box….”

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Page 13: Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY...Evaluation Guidelines: Put to the Test in NY William P. Saxonis New York State Department of Public Service ACEEE/CEE 2013 Market Transformation

More Information

DPS Web Site:

http://www.dps.ny.gov/

Visit the DPS EEPS Evaluation Web Section!

My E-mail address:

[email protected]

Thank You!

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