European Wood-Based Panels Market Prospects UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions 24-25 th...
-
Upload
alisha-lamb -
Category
Documents
-
view
214 -
download
0
Transcript of European Wood-Based Panels Market Prospects UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions 24-25 th...
European Wood-Based Panels Market Prospects
UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions 24-25th September 2002
Geneva, Switzerland
ByMr. Olli Koskiranta
Vice-President, Business DevelopmentFinnforest Corporation
2
Contents European Woodworking Industry & Companies
WBP* Consumption Structure in Europe
WBP Production, Prices & Consumption in Europe** Plywood OSB Particle board MDF
Market Observations in Europe vs. North America
Future Trends
* WBP is wood-based panels ** Including Russia
3
European woodworking industry excluding furniture
Production:
60 billion EUR/year
Workforce:
540 000 workers
Over 100 000 companies
Typical SME-sector, with many sub-sectors
4
Major Wood Working Industry Companies in Europe
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800
AssiDomän
Södra
Nexfor
Finsa (est.)
Frati (est.)
Kunz (est.)
Kronospan (est.)
Swiss Krono (est.)
Stora Enso Timber
Pfleiderer
UPM-Kymmene Wood Products
Sonae Industria
Egger
Finnforest - Moelven
Million €
Solid Wood Panels EWP Building systems Other
Source: FF
5
Wood-based panels Consumption Structure in Europe 1990 - 2002
Plywood
Particle board
OSB
MDF
Other fiberboard
0
10
20
30
40
50
601
99
0
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
Mil
lio
n m
3
Source: FF, FAO,UNECE, WPI
6
European Plywood Production & Consumption 1998-2003
Sources: FF, FAO,UNECE, WPI,
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
7 000
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
SW Ply Prod. HW Ply Prod. SW Ply Cons. HW Ply Cons.
*HW plywood includes tropical,birch and other temperate plywood
7
Finnish Softwood & Birch Plywood Price Development 1990-2002
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
'1-5
200
2
€/m
3
FIN Birch Ply FIN SW Ply
Source: Finnish Customs
8
European OSB Production, Price & Consumption 1998-2003
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
1000
m3
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
EU
R/m
3
Production Consumption Est. Price av.*
Sources: FF, FAO,UNECE, WPI
9
European Particleboard Production, Price & Consumption 1998 - 2003
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
45 000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
1000
m3
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
EU
R/m
3
Production Consumption GER Price av.*
Sources: FF, EPF, FAO, UNECE, WBI, *EUWID
10
European MDF Production, Price & Consumption 1998-2003
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
1000
m3
165
170
175
180
185
190
195
200
205
210
215
220
EU
R/m
3
Production Consumption UK Price av.*
Sources: FF, EPF, FAO, UNECE, WBI
11
Engineered wood products and wood-based panels:North America vs. Western Europe
North America (US+CDN)Population 300 million1)
GDP 12 189 Billion EUR2)
Wood-based panels:Plywood 16,6 Mil. m3OSB 19,3 Mil. m3Particleboard 11,1 Mil. m3MDF 4,4 Mil.m3Total 51,4 Mil. M3
Engineered Wood Products:LVL 1,5 Mil. m3Glulam 0,8 Mil. m3I-beams 270 Mil. linear m
Western Europe (EU-15+CH&N)Population 390 million1)
GDP 8 815 Billion EUR3)
Wood-based panels:Plywood 5 Mil. m3OSB 1,6 Mil. m3Particleboard 29 Mil. m3MDF 7,5 Mil. m3Total 43,1 Mil. M3
Engineered Wood Products:LVL 0,2 Mil. m3Glulam 1,2 Mil. m3I-beams 8 Mil. linear m
Sources: FAO, RISI, APA, Jaakko Poyry 2)=EUROSTAT forecast 3)=EU-15 only (EUROSTAT forecast)1)=Census, US&CAN; EU-15 + SUI&NO
12
European Plywood vs. MDF and OSB Consumption 1989-2001
Plywood Consumption
4,0 3,5
1,8 2,2
0123456789
10
1989 2001
Mil
lio
n m
3
HW Plywood SW Plywood
MDF & OSB Consumption
1,6
8,4
0,2
1,7
0123456789
10
1989 2001M
illio
n m
3
MDF OSB
Sources: FF, EPF, FAO, UNECE, WBI,
13
Plywood and OSB End Use Changes by Segments in USA 1989 - 2001
Plywood Consumption
3,5 5,30
5
10
15
20
1989 2001
Mill
ion
m3
Industry Renovation
New Building
OSB Consumption
5,1
13,0
0
5
10
15
20
1989 2001M
illio
n m
3
Industry Renovation
New Building
+ 7.9
+ 2.0
Source: RISI
19.6
14.4
5.5
18.6
14
Biggest European wood-based panels producers by capacity in 2001
Sources: FF, EPF, WBI,
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
Finnforest
Constantia
Wyerhaeuser
Fantoni
Kunz
Schauman
Spano
Unilin
NexforFinsa
Frati
Hornitex
Pfleiderer
Swiss Krono
Egger
Sonae
M&P Kaindl/Kronospan
Plywood
Particleboard
MDF
Fibreboard
OSB
Total Europeanmarket 50 Mm3
15
Future Trends
The role of Russia & former East-Europe as panel producer is increasing – as is consumption in that area.
Manufacturing plants are growing in size and simultaniously becoming multi-product manufacturing centers
North American plywood will not be back to Europe, Asian plywood decreases its volume and Central - and South European plywood production will become niche business.
Wood chip raw materials will increase in price (regionally) due to the growing popularity of bio-energy (subsidies).
16
Future Trends
Price competition in bulk products Competition by substitutes Construction increasingly R&R Demand shifts to DIY chains Industry, distribution & customer consolidation Building systems: Engineered Wood Green values & recycling
Note! Demand and supply forecasting becomes more and more relevant for investment and business – Where to get reliable information and statistics?