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![Page 1: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Eugene S. TakleIowa State [email protected]
Midwest Weather Working Group
Indianapolis, IN7 October 2009
![Page 2: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Des Moines Airport Data
1983: 31
2009 so far: 1
1988: 26
![Page 3: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Des Moines Airport Data
1983: 13 1988:
10
2009 so far: 0
![Page 4: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Des Moines Airport Data
1983: 13 1988:
10
2009 so far: 0
![Page 5: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Des Moines Airport Data
1983: 13 1988:
10
2009 so far: 0
6 days ≥ 100oF in the last 20 years
![Page 6: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Ames Data
![Page 7: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Des Moines Airport Data
![Page 8: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Des Moines Airport Data
![Page 9: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
State-Wide Average Data
![Page 10: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
![Page 11: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
State-Wide Average Data
![Page 12: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Cedar Rapids Data
![Page 13: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
“One of the clearest trends in the United States observational record is an increasing frequency and intensity of heavy precipitation events… Over the last century there was a 50% increase in the frequency of days with precipitation over 101.6 mm (four inches) in the upper midwestern U.S.; this trend is statistically significant “
![Page 14: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Cedar Rapids Data
![Page 15: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
D. Herzmann, Iowa Environmental Mesonet
![Page 16: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Source: IPCC 4th Assessment Report, 2007
![Page 17: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
December-January-February Temperature Change
A1B Emission Scenario2080-2099 minus 1980-1999
4.0
3.5
Source: IPCC 4th Assessment Report, 2007
![Page 18: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Source: IPCC 4th Assessment Report, 2007
![Page 19: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
June-July-August Temperature Change
A1B Emission Scenario2080-2099 minus 1980-1999
2.5
3.0
Source: IPCC 4th Assessment Report, 2007
![Page 20: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Source: IPCC 4th Assessment Report, 2007
![Page 21: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
December-January-February Precipitation Change
A1B Emission Scenario2080-2099 minus 1980-1999
0.0
0.1
Source: IPCC 4th Assessment Report, 2007
![Page 22: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Source: IPCC 4th Assessment Report, 2007
![Page 23: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
June-July-August Precipitation Change
A1B Emission Scenario2080-2099 minus 1980-1999
-0.1
0.0
Source: IPCC 4th Assessment Report, 2007
![Page 24: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
Change in Annual Cloud Cover
Source: IPCC 4th Assessment Report, 2007
![Page 25: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
A1B Emission Scenario2080-2099 minus 1980-1999
Change in Annual Cloud Cover
-1.0
-1.5
Source: IPCC 4th Assessment Report, 2007
![Page 26: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
Source: IPCC 4th Assessment Report, 2007
Change in Diurnal Temperature Range
![Page 27: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
A1B Emission Scenario2080-2099 minus 1980-1999
0.0
0.3
-0.3
Change in Diurnal Temperature Range
Source: IPCC 4th Assessment Report, 2007
![Page 28: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
Change in Evaporation
Source: IPCC 4th Assessment Report, 2007
![Page 29: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
A1B Emission Scenario2080-2099 minus 1980-1999
0.2
0.1
Change in Evaporation
Source: IPCC 4th Assessment Report, 2007
![Page 30: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
Change in Soil Moisture
Source: IPCC 4th Assessment Report, 2007
![Page 31: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
A1B Emission Scenario2080-2099 minus 1980-1999
-5
0
Change in Soil Moisture
Source: IPCC 4th Assessment Report, 2007
![Page 32: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
*Estimated from IPCC reports
![Page 33: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
*Estimated from IPCC reports
![Page 34: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
*Estimated from IPCC and CCSP reports
![Page 35: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
![Page 36: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
Waxman-Markey Bill Midwest activities relating to a
“national climate service” Question for Midwest Weather Working
Group
![Page 37: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
TITLE I—CLEAN ENERGY TITLE II—ENERGY EFFICIENCY TITLE III—REDUCING GLOBAL WARMING
POLLUTION TITLE IV—TRANSITIONING TO A CLEAN
ENERGY ECONOMY TITLE VII—GLOBAL WARMING POLLUTION
REDUCTION PROGRAM TITLE VIII—ADDITIONAL GREENHOUSE GAS
STANDARDS
![Page 38: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
TITLE IV—TRANSITIONING TO A CLEAN ENERGY ECONOMY Subtitle E—Adapting to Climate Change
PART 1—DOMESTIC ADAPTATION: Subpart A—National Climate Change Adaptation Program
NATIONAL CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENTS.
CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION SERVICES NATIONAL CLIMATE SERVICE
![Page 39: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/39.jpg)
Midwest regional office of the National Weather Service has been exploring climate needs assessment for the Midwest (Doug Kluck)
Corn and Climate Workshop (Ames, 2008) Regional Climate Services Planning Meeting
for Agriculture, September 9-10, 2009 – Champaign/Urbana, IL Pilot project (Steve Hilberg, Dev Niyogi, Gene
Takle) on agriculture needs assessment Calendar for weather-driven agriculture decsions
![Page 40: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
Don’t ask “what climate information do you need and when do you need it?”
Rather, “what do you do and when do you do it?”
When (month) are decisions made? What is the lead time related to that decision?
2 hours (weather forecast) 2 days (weather forecast) 2 weeks (ensemble climate simulation) 2 months (ensemble climate simulation) 6 months (ensemble climate simulation) 2 years (ensemble climate simulation)
![Page 41: Eugene S. Takle Iowa State University gstakle@iastate.edu Midwest Weather Working Group Indianapolis, IN 7 October 2009.](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051418/56649f425503460f94c62a4d/html5/thumbnails/41.jpg)
What decision tools that you currently use can be driven by hourly values of future meteorological or soil variables?
When (month) are these decisions made? What lead time is needed for these weather
conditions?