Es 08 pert final
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Relationshipsbetween Activities
• A project is a sequence of activities.– Large projects have interrelated sequences.
• These are called Precedent activities– They must be defined before the project
begins.
Step 2 Develop a Network Model
• A Network Diagram visually displays the interrelated activities using nodes (circles) and arcs (arrows) that depict the relationships between activities.
• It is a graphical diagram.• Two types of Graphical Network Models
– Activity On Arc (AOA)– Activity On Node (AON) (We will use AON)
Two Types of Network Models
Activity-on-Arc (AOA)
Activity-on-Node (AON)
Activity Activity
Link
We will use this!D E
Time Time
Activity E
Time
Activity D
What AON Nodes look like.
Early Start
Early Finish
Late Finish
Late Start
Activity
Activity Duration
Slack
The earliest you can complete an activity--determined by adding the activity time (duration) to the early start time.
This is the latest you can finish an activity without delaying project completion. It is the same as the Late Start time of the next activity. If there are two or more subsequent activities, this time is the same as the earliest of those “Late Start” times.
The is the earliest you can start an activity. It is determined by the early finish time of the precedent activity. If there are two or more precedent activities, this time is the same as precedent activity with the latest “Early Finish” time.
This is the Late-Finish time minus the activity duration.
Slack (S) is the difference, if any, between the early start (ES) and late start times (LS) or the early finish (EF) and late finish (EF) times.
S = LS - ES or S = LF - EF
© 2011 Lew Hofmann
Precedent Relationships
Precedent relationships determine a sequence for accomplishing activities. They specify that any given activity cannot start until its preceding activity or activities have been completed.
In our AON approach, the nodes (circles) represent activities, and the arcs represent the sequential relationships between them.
AON
S T U
Activity On Node approach
“S” precedes “T” which precedes “U”
Nodes are simplified in the following examples.
Activity Relationships
T
U
S
T & U cannot begin until S has been completed.
S
T
U
S & T must be completed before U can be started.
Activity Relationships
S
T
U
V
U & V can’t begin until S & T have been completed.
S
T
U
V
U cannot begin until S & T have been completed. V cannot begin until T has been completed.
Activity Relationships
S T V
U
T & U cannot begin until S has been completed; V cannot begin until both T & U have been completed.
A Select administrative and medical staff. — JohnsonB Select site and do site survey. — TaylorC Select equipment. A AdamsD Prepare final construction plans & layout. B TaylorE Bring utilities to the site. B BurtonF Interview applicants and fill positions in A Johnson
nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security.
G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C AdamsH Construct the hospital. D TaylorI Develop an information system. A SimmonsJ Install the equipment. E,G,H AdamsK Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Johnson
St. Adolf’s Hospital(A sample project)
ImmediateActivity Description Predecessor(s) *Responsibility
*We won’t be using the “Responsibility” data, but it is important in project management.
St. Adolf’s HospitalDiagramming the Network
FinishStart
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
Immediate Predecessors
A – 12
B – 9
C A 10
D B 10
E B 24
F A 10
G C 35
H D 40
I A 15
J E,G,H 4
K F,I,J 6
Activity Times (wks)
St. Adolf’s Hospital
FinishStart
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
Path Time (wks)
A-I-K33A-F-K28A-C-G-J-K 67B-D-H-J-K 69B-E-J-K 43
Paths are sequences of activities between a project’s start and finish.
St. Adolf’s Hospital
FinishStart
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
KPath Time (wks)
A-I-K33A-F-K28A-C-G-J-K 67B-D-H-J-K 69B-E-J-K 43
Project Expected Time is 69 wks.
The longest path is the critical path!
3. Develop the schedule
• Now we insert the time estimates.– This is where we distinguish between PERT & CPM.
• CPM is used when activity times are Certain.• It is Decision making under Certainty
• You are certain of the time each activity will require to complete.
• PERT is used when activity times are not certain. (Decision making under risk)
Using PERT
• PERT is used when activity times are uncertain.– Decision making under risk (“P” for probabilistic)– Three time estimates are required for each activity.
• OPTIMISTIC TIME: Best time if everything goes perfectly• REALISTIC TIME: Most likely time• PESSIMISTIC TIME: A worst-case situation
B + 4M + PExpected Time = -------------------
6
In this example, the most likely time is given a weight of 4, and the other two times (pessimistic and optimistic) are each given weights of 1. Software allows you to change these as needed, but the denominator must be the total of the weights given.
• Earliest Start Time (ES) for an activity is the earliest finish time of the immediately preceding activity.
• Earliest Finish Time (EF) for an activity is its earliest start time plus how long it takes to do it (estimated duration).
• Latest Start Time (LS) is the latest you can finish the activity minus the activity’s estimated duration.
• Latest Finish Time (LF) is the latest start time of the activity that immediately follows it. (Latest start and finish times for each activity are computed starting at the project’s last activity completion time and working forward.)
St. Adolf’s HospitalDeveloping the schedule
Earliest Start and Earliest Finish Times
K
6
C
10
G
35
J
4
H
40
B
9
D
10
E
24
I
15
FinishStart
A
12
F
10
0
Earliest start time
12
Earliest finish time
0 9
9 33
9 19 19 59
22 5712 22
59 63
12 27
12 22 63 69
© 2012 Lew Hofmann
Earliest Start and Earliest Finish Times
Critical Path
The Critical Path takes 69 weeks
K
6
C
10
G
35
J
4
H
40
B
9
D
10
E
24
I
15
FinishStart
A
12
F
10
0 9
9 33
9 19 19 59
22 5712 22
59 63
12 27
12 22 63 690 12
Path Time (wks)
A-I-K33A-F-K28A-C-G-J-K 67B-D-H-J-K 69B-E-J-K 43
© 2012 Lew Hofmann
K
6
C
10
G
35
J
4
H
40
B
9
D
10
E
24
I
15
FinishStart
A
12
F
10
0 9
9 33
9 19 19 59
22 5712 22
59 63
12 27
12 22 63 690 12
Latest Start and Latest Finish Times(Working from the last activity toward the first activity)
48 63
53 63
59 63
24 59
19 59
35 59
14 24
9 19
2 14
0 9
Latestfinishtime
63 69Lateststarttime
© 2012 Lew Hofmann
Activity Slack Analysis
K
6
C
10
G
35
J
4
H
40
B
9
D
10
E
24
I
15
FinishStart
A
12
F
10
0 9
9 33
9 19 19 59
22 5712 22
59 63
12 27
12 22 63 690 12
48 63
53 63
59 63
24 59
19 59
35 59
14 24
9 19
2 14
0 9
63 69
Slack is the difference between LS and ES or the EF and LF.
Node Duration ES LS Slack
A 12 0 2 2
B 9 0 0 0
C 10 12 14 2
D 10 9 9 0
E 24 9 35 26
F 10 12 53 41
G 35 22 24 2
H 40 19 19 0
I 15 12 48 36
J 4 59 59 0
K 6 63 63 0
© 2012 Lew Hofmann