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    Equity Swaps

    Copyright 1998-2006Investment Analytics

    1

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    Agenda

    Equity Swaps

    ApplicationsValuation

    Slide: 2Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

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    Roadmap: Equity Swaps

    Debt Stock Short PutBuy-write PERCSPut Warrants SHIELDSPRIMES ELKS

    OTMCallEquity SwapCall

    DECSFloor PRIDESWarrantsSCORES

    Call SpreadPENS Convertibles Collar SUPERSGROIS

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    Swaps

    What are Equity Swaps

    How they are TradedSwaps MarketsApplications of Equity Swaps

    Swap Pricing

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    Swaps

    Arrangements between counter-parties to exchange

    Swap TransactionPrincipal:

    Notional (not actually exchanged) - Interest rate, Equity swaps

    Actual (principal actually exchanged) - Forex swaps

    Service Payments:Made at designated periods over life of swap (the tenor)

    One party pays fixed price (rate) - swap coupon

    Other party pays floating price - pegged to some floating index

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    Swap Dealer

    Matches counter-parties

    Prices swapsMakes marketActs as counter-party

    Warehouses swapsTrades own book Takes bid-offer spread

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    A Generic Swap Structure

    Fixed Price Fixed Price

    SwapA BDealer Floating Price Floating Price

    Fixed Price Floating Price

    Counterparty A converts from fixed to floatingCounterparty B converts from floating to fixed

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    Equity for Fixed Swap

    Fixed rate %

    SwapStock ADealer Portfolio

    stock return Index return

    Swaps stock portfolio return for fixed incomeHedges a stock portfolio for the tenor of the swapAlternative to selling index futures or shorting stock

    Index returnS&P500, Nikkei 225, DAX, CAC-40, FT-SE 100

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    Equity for Fixed Swap

    PrincipalNotional Principal typically $50mm - $100mm

    nonamortizing swap

    Fixed over tenor of swap -

    Tenors 1 - 3 year typical

    Service PaymentsService payments quarterly

    Equity return can fluctuate

    Cash flows on equity leg can be +ve or -ve

    If -ve, dealer pays this as well as swap coupon

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    Payment Calculations

    Concurrent (typical):Equity leg pays total return on index over current qtr

    In Arrears:Uses return over previous qtr to calculate paymentsFirst payment occurs 3 months after swap inception

    First payment known at inception

    Equity payer pays:NP x (R - I) / 4

    NP = Notional principal

    R = annualized equity returnI = Fixed interest rate per annum

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    Equity for Fixed Swap Payoff

    Equity Payer:

    Short index futuresLong a coupon bondEquity Markets

    Rise Fall

    -- -+

    + - ++

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    Equity for Floating Swap

    Floating rate %

    SwapStock ADealer Portfolio

    stock return Index return

    Swaps stock portfolio return for floating rateFloating rate typically LIBOR based

    Index returnS&P500, Nikkei 225, DAX, CAC-40, FT-SE 100

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    Equity for Floating Swap

    Equity Payer:Short index futuresShort a zero coupon bond

    Equity MarketsRise Fall

    + - ++

    -- -+

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    Equity Swap Payer

    Typical User: Stock Portfolio Manager Application: HedgingAdvantages

    Avoids restrictions of shorting stocksLower cost than cash transactions (borrowing stock to short)Avoids cost of rolling futures

    Outlook: Bearish stock market, interest rates falling:

    Strategy: Equity for fixedOutlook: Bearish stock market, interest rates rising:

    Strategy: Equity for floating

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    Equity Receiver

    Interest incomeInterest rate %

    FixedSwap B IncomeDealer PortfolioIndex return

    Converts fixed income to equity returnGain equity exposure at lower cost than cash transactionsGuarantees index outperformance if FI income exceeds swapcoupon

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    Applications (Receiver)

    Asset Allocation

    Change equity exposure & fixed income durationAvoids need for cash transactions

    Alternative is to use futures

    Passive Fund - Index Tracking / Out-performanceAlternative to constructing replicating portfolio

    Use cash & equity swap to guarantee index return (or better)

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    Equity Swap Receivers

    More natural equity receivers than

    payers:Passive index fundsHedge FundsPension FundsInsurance companies

    Mutual funds

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    Rationale for Equity Swaps

    Cost Advantages

    Tax AdvantagesLeverageRestrictions on Investment

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    C h i S ( )

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    Cash vs Equity Swap (UK)

    CASH Equity Swap

    No stamp duty50 bp stamp dutyWithholding tax on dividends No withholding tax(15% )

    No custody feesCustody feesNo restriction on effectivelyRestriction on shorting stock shorting stock US Regulation T: leverage of

    2:1 max. Leverage of up to 20:1

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    T & R l F

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    Tax & Regulatory Factors

    Insurance CompaniesPension Funds

    Tax-exempt status NAIC reserve Requirements:IRS UBIT letter on swaps 30% for stocks

    Problem of Foreign Tax 0.3% for fixed incomeCredit usageERISA regulations Mutual Funds

    Pass-through tax status

    Foreign tax creditsrequire over 50% foreignsource income

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    Th Withh ldi T T

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    The Withholding Tax Trap

    XForeign Tax 5% reclaim underCredit 15%

    US/UK Tax TreatyUS PensionFund

    UK Inland80% of RevenueDividends

    20% ACTCant use: UK Investmentsno taxable

    income

    Slide: 21Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    How Equity Swaps Help

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    How Equity Swaps Help

    Pension FundsMinimizes withholding tax on dividends

    Swap income not subject to UBIT (unrelated business income tax)

    Does not endanger tax-exempt status

    Mutual FundsCreates foreign income to allow use of foreign tax credits

    Insurance CompaniesAllows minimum NAIC reserve requirements to be appliedIncreases max. leverage from 0.3% to 30% (x 100)

    Improves return on assets

    Slide: 22Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    Swap Pricing

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    Swap Pricing

    Find fixed rate I, such that PV of fixedpayments = PV of equity leg cash flows

    Fixed Leg

    I

    Ei

    Equity Leg

    Slide: 23Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    Swap Pricing Formula

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    Swap Pricing Formula

    Fixed Rate Payments:

    Equal payments, I = NP x c / Nswap couponc is the %Equity Leg Payments:

    Variable payments E = NP x ei i

    forward rate of equity indexreturns

    e is the for i

    period i

    Determine Swap Coupon, c, by:()N

    = -NPV EI

    i

    + =()1 0 r 1 i

    Slide: 24Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    F P i i Th

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    Futures Pricing Theory

    Futures Price at Time t:

    f = S (1 + E[r ] - d . t)t 0 tS is the index spot price0

    d is the dividend yield

    Proof from Expectations Theory:E[r ] = E[S ] - S + d . t

    t t 0S

    0

    f = E[S ]t t

    So E[r ] = f -S + d . tt t 0S0

    Slide: 25Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    Equity Term Structure

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    Equity Term Structure

    Now obtain unbiased estimate of r :t

    E[r ] = f /S + (d x t) - 1t t 0Spot Rate of Equity Index Returnsr is the at time t

    t

    TermStructure

    The of Equity Index Returns:. . . .,

    The series [r ,r , r ] is called the termt1 t2 tn

    structure

    Like the term structure of interest rates

    Slide: 26Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    Term Structure & Cash Flows

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    Term Structure & Cash Flows

    Total Return R = NP x r R i ti

    3E = R = NP x r 1 1 t1

    EE = R -R = NP (r -r ) R 32 2 1 t2 t1 2

    E ER 2 21

    E EE 1 11

    t1 t2 t3t = 0

    Slide: 27Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    Determining the Swap Coupon

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    Determining the Swap Coupon

    NPV of Swap:

    E - I + E - I + . . . + E -I = 01 2 tN(1 + r ) (1 + r )(1 + r )t1 t2 tN

    r and E are knownti i

    Swap Coupon:I = NP x c /N

    Find c so that NPV is zero

    Slide: 28Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    Example: Equity Swap

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    p q y p

    Swap Details:

    Notional Principal = $100MMEquity Index: S&P500Tenor: 1 year Resets: quarterlyDividend Yield: 2.3% per annum

    Slide: 29Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    Setting up the Problem

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    g p

    Date 14/6/96 22/6/86 20/9/96 20/12/96 21/3/97 20/6/97

    S&P500 667.92 668.75 674.65 680.85 687.95 694.65

    Coupon Dates 14/6/9 14/9/86 14/12/96 14/3/97 14/6/97Interpolated Prices 667.78 674.26 680.44 687.40 694.21F/S 1.009 1.019 1.029 1.039Spot Rates r 1.528% 3.028% 4.637% 6.236%

    iR = NP x Spot Rate

    i

    Vary coupon rate c, usingE = R -R i i i-1Coupon Interest =NP x c / 4

    Goal Seek to set NPV to zeroNet Period Return = E -IiDiscount Factor (1/(1+ r )

    i

    NPV $0 (29,456) (57,250) 48,941 37,766

    Slide: 30Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    Lab: Pricing a Vanilla Swap

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    g p

    Worksheet- Equity Swap

    Compute spot rates, etc.Use Goal Seek to set the coupon rate

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    Solution: Pricing a Vanilla Swap

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    Date 14/6/96 22/6/86 20/9/96 20/12/96 21/3/97 20/6/97

    S&P500 667.92 668.75 674.65 680.85 687.95 694.65

    Coupon Dates 14/6/9 14/9/86 14/12/96 14/3/97 14/6/97Interpolated Prices 667.78 674.26 680.44 687.40 694.21F/S 1.009 1.019 1.029 1.039Spot Rates r 1.528% 3.028% 4.637% 6.236%

    iR = NP x Spot Rate (000s) 1,528.4 3,027.8 4,637.4 6,235.8

    iE = R -R (000s) 1,528.4 1,499.4 1,609.6 1,598.5

    i i i-1Coupon Interest =NP x c / 4 (000s) 1,558.3 1,558.3 1,558.3 1,558.3Net Period Return = E - I (29,907) (58,984) 51,210 40,121

    iDiscount Factor (1/(1+ r ) 0.9849 0.9706 0.9557 0.9413

    i

    Coupon = 6.2334%NPV $0 (29,456) (57,250) 48,941 37,766

    Slide: 32Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    Lab: Off-Market Swaps

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    At Market SwapNPV = 0, Coupon = 6.2334%

    Buy Down, Coupon = 6%What would the equity receiver pay up front?

    Equivalently: How much less than the S&P return wouldthe equity receiver get?

    Buy Up, Coupon = 7%How much would the equity receiver get up front?

    Equivalently: How much more than the S&P return would

    the equity receiver get?

    Slide: 33Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    Solution: Off-Market Swaps

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    Buy Down, Coupon = 6%

    Fixed payer (equity receiver) would pay$224,792 up frontOr receive S&P - 0.2334%

    Buy Up, Coupon = 7%Fixed payer (equity receiver) would get$738,343 up frontOr receive S&P + 0.7666%

    Slide: 34Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    Floating Rate Equity Swaps

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    Valuation procedure:Equity Leg: as beforeInterest Rate Leg: similar procedure

    Use LIBOR rates to back out:Spot rates

    Forward rates

    Calculate expected interest costUse forward rates

    Discount cash flows using spot rates

    Slide: 35Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    Portfolio Hedging with Swaps

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    Hedging a PortfolioManager has portfolio size $P, beta bEquity swap (pays S&P500, receives fixed)Equity swap hedge: NP = P x b

    Example: P = $24MM, beta = 1.2Equity Swap NP = $24MM x 1.2 = $28.8MMSuppose S&P500 declines 5%

    Loss on portfolio = 5% x $24MM x 1.2 = $1.44MM

    Gain on swap = $28.8 x 5% = $1.44MM

    Slide: 36Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    Market Timing with Swaps

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    Market Timing with Swaps

    Portfolio Manager anticipates bullishconditions over next year:

    Wants to increase portfolio beta from b to b*

    Enters Equity Swap:Pays fixed, receives S&P500NP = (b* - b) x Portfolio Value

    Note: hedging is a special case with * = 0

    Slide: 37Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    Benefits of Swap Hedging

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    p g g

    Swap vs. Cash

    Faster (single transaction)Less costly than multiple cash transactionsNo problems effectively shorting stock

    Swap vs. FuturesAvoids having to roll over on expiryLess costly than transacting multiple futures

    contracts

    Slide: 38Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    Extensions of Equity Swaps

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    Power Swaps

    Inverse Equity FloatersFixed/Inverse Equity FloatersChooser Swaps

    Relative Performance SwapsRainbow Swaps

    Slide: 39Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    Power Swaps

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    To increase market exposureStrongly bullish view on market direction

    S&P x NFixed SwapC AIncome Dealer

    Coupon x NPortfolio

    Choose NP = N x Portfolio SizeNet return = (N x S&P) - (N-1) x C

    Assuming FI portfolio matches coupon

    Slide: 40Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    Inverse Equity Floaters

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    Strongly bearish view on market direction

    S&P x NStock SwapS&P A

    Portfolio Dealer Coupon x N

    Choose NP = N x Portfolio SizeNet return = (N x C) - (N-1) x S&P

    Assuming stock portfolio matches S&P

    Slide: 41Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    Fixed/Inverse Equity Floaters

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    Scenario:Expect S&P returns remain stable for next year, then fall

    S&P x 22-year S&P x 3 1-year ASwap Swap

    (3 x NP) Coupon x 2Coupon x 3 S&P (2 x NP)Stock

    Portfolio

    Year 1: (3C - 3xS&P) + (-2C + 2xS&P) + S&P = CYear 2: 3C - 2xS&P

    Slide: 42Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    Chooser Swaps

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    Equity return pegged to greater of two

    indicesHigher swap coupon

    Max[S&P, Nikkei]SwapADealer

    Coupon

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    Outperformance Swaps

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    Two Equity Legs:

    Applications:Take view on relative performance of equity marketsTransport alphas from one equity market to another

    S&PSwapA

    Dealer Nikkei

    US Stock Portfolio

    Slide: 44Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    Rainbow Swaps

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    Equity leg combines returns from several indices

    Used for hedging aggregate equity portfolios0.5S&P + 0.5 Nikkei

    SwapADealer

    Coupon

    JapanUSPortfolioPortfolio

    Slide: 45Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps

    Summary Equity Swaps

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    Important component of many structured

    productsModifies exposure amongst different asset classesSignificant tax/regulatory & cost benefitsWide range of applications

    Slide: 46Copyright 1998-2006 Investment Analytics Equity Swaps