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Transcript of Energy Sunum
8/4/2019 Energy Sunum
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4/19/12
WIND TURBINES, WIND
FARMS AND OPTIMAL
PLACEMENT FOR THE
WIND TURBINES WITHGENETIC ALGORITHM
İsmail KAYAHAN
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Outline
• Introduction
• Modern Wind Power Systems –
Modern Wind Turbines – Wind Farms
• Wind Farm Placement
Optimization With G.A. – System Explanations
– Wind Power Calculations
– GA Optimization for Turbine
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Introduction
• Energy Demand
• The main factors of wind
power popularity – The need
– The potential
–
The technological capacity
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Modern Wind Turbines
• Main Components of Wind Turbine
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Wind Farms
• Wind Farm Technical Issues – Wind turbine spacing (both
downwind and crosswind)
– Wind turbine operatingcharacteristics
– The number of turbines and size
of the wind farm – Turbulence intensity
– Frequency distribution of the
wind direction (the wind rose)
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Operations and Controlof Wind Farms in a Grid• The requirements of grid
connection – The reactive power should be
regulated within a control band,at a maximum level of 10% of rated power
–
Wind turbine will generallyoperate in normal conditions(90– 105% voltage and 49–51Hz)
– Under the condition of a power
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Wind Farm Site of CaseStudies
• The wind farm is on theGökçeada Aydıncık.
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Wind Farm Site Technical Properties
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• Class of place is 4. Somemonths 5.
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Wind Turbine GridDistances
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Wind TurbineCharacteristics
• Enercon E-48 turbine will beused.
Rated Power 810kW
Rotor Diameter 48m
Swept Area 1810 m2
Cut-out wind Speed 20 m/s
Cut-in wind Speed 3 m/s
Number of Blades 3
Trust Factor 0.52Hub Height 50 m
Surface roughness (m) 0.005
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n ur ne owerand Power Coefficient
Curve
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Wind PowerCalculations
• Power
•
is the air density and equalsρto 1.225 kg/m3 at 16ºC,
• r is the radius of wind turbine
and 24 m.• U is wind speed which
changes with Weibull
Distribution.
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p o e ng(Efficiency Analysis of
One turbine)• Gausian Regresion with 5thorder is used for theregression.
5 10 15 20 25
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
0.5
Y vs. X
fit 2
Goodness of fit:R-square: 0.9998Adjusted R-square:
0.9994RMSE: 0.004343
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Cp Regression
a1 0.1212 a4 4.088e+005 a3 -1.824
b1 6.194 b4 -170.1 b3 -0.2933
c1 1.507 c4 48.65 c3 6.583
a2 0.2187 a5 0.374
b2 8.884 b5 4.012
c2 3.81 c5 1.877
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Wake Effect Modelling
• Jensen deficit model
•
Where k is wake spreadingconstant and a is axialinduction factor.
•
The axial induction factor isrelated to the turbine trustcoefficient as
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x a n uc on ac orand Wake Spreading
Constant• Axial Induction Factora=0.1535
• Wake Spreading Constant
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Multiple Turbine DeficitFormulation
• Assuming multiple turbines inthe upstream of a turbine inconcern and ignoring the non-
linear near-wake region, thewake deficits are combinedby summing the squares of
the interacting deficits
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Statistics of WindSpeed
• Probability density functionf(V)
• Weibull shape parameter
•
Weibull scale parameter (m/s)
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Weibull Parametersand Pdf Graph
• From the reference k=1.94and c=9.81
• By the changing wind speedfrom 0 to 20 m2/s
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 200
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
0.09
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Cost Calculations
• The total annual investmentcost of the wind farm relatesonly with the number of
installed wind turbines andcan be expressed as follows
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Genetic AlgorithmProperties
Creation Function Constraint DependentPopulation Type Bit String
Population Size 250
Fitness Scalling Rank
Selection Stochastic Uniform
Mutation Function Gausian
Crossover Scattered
Migration Function Forward
Migration Fraction 0.2
Migration Interval 20Change tolerance 1e-10
Stall Generation 500
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G.A. Flow Chart
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n ur nePlacement Cases (Max.
Power)
Layout No Cost($) Power (W) Number of Turbines
4 19.960.950,0 8.241.200,0 25
5 19.162.477,0 7.924.600,0 24
6 18.364.008,0 7.616.000,0 23
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n ur nePlacement Cases (Max.
Power/Cost Ratio)
Ratio Ranking
Layout No Cost($) Power (W) Power/cost ratio Number of Turbines
7 7.984.336,0 3.756.400,0 0,402305798 10
8 7.186.010,0 3.380.730,0 0,402299767 9
9 6.387.694,0 3.005.100,0 0,402291593 8
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Energy Calculations of Wind Turbine
Wind Speed Probability T[h] P P/Pr Etotal (kWh)0-3 0,0652 571,152 0 0 0,00
3 0,0587 514,212 5 0,006173 2.571,06
4 0,0714 625,464 25 0,030864 15.636,60
5 0,0801 701,676 60 0,074074 42.100,56
6 0,0847 741,972 110 0,135802 81.616,92
7 0,0856 749,856 180 0,222222 134.974,08
8 0,0833 729,708 275 0,339506 200.669,70
9 0,0783 685,908 400 0,493827 274.363,20
10 0,0713 624,588 555 0,685185 346.646,34
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Different Approach ForEnergy Calculation
• The method just multiplyingthe power of one turbine withweibull distribution calculated
and the total hours in oneyear.
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Different Approach ForEnergy Calculation
• where t=8725 hours –
35 hours average formaintenance
• 1st approach result is
3.237.807 kWh
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nergy ro uc on n a Year for Wind Farm
CasesCases Number of
TurbineEnergyProduction (KWh)
Layout 4 25 71.904.470
Layout 5 24 69.142.135
Layout 6 23 66.449.600
Layout 7 10 32.774.590
Layout 8 9 29.496.869
Layout 9 8 26.219.497
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Capacity Factor
• The ratio of the ratio of theactual output of a power plantover a period of time and itsoutput if it had operated atfull rated capacity the entiretime.
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Capacity Factor
Cases EnergyProduction(KWh)
(kWh)
CapacityFactor
Layout 4 71.904.470 176.681.250 0,406973
Layout 5 69.142.135 169.614.000 0,407644
Layout 6 66.449.600 162.546.750 0,408803
Layout 7 32.774.590 70.672.500 0,463753Layout 8 29.496.869 63.605.250 0,463749Layout 9 26.219.497 56.538.000 0,46375
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Economic Analysis
• 3 main concept foroperational costs of a windfarm.
– Operations and Maintenance
• O&M cost in $ = 0.007/kWh * AEP
– Land Lease Costs
• LLC cost = $0.00108/kWh *AEP
– Levelized Replacement Cost
• LRC cost factor = 10.7 kW
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Operations Cost ForCase Studies
Operations
andMaintenance($ /year)
Land LeaseCost ($/year)
Levelized
Replacement Cost($/year)
Total($ /year)
Layout 7 229.422 35.397 40.193 305.012Layout 8 206.478 31.857 36.174 274.509
Layout 9 183.536 28.317 32.155 244.008Layout 4 503.331 77.657 88.181 669.169Layout 5 483.995 74.674 84.793 643.462Layout 6 465.147 71.766 81.491 618.404
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Costs For Next 20 Years
InvestmentCost ($)
OperationalCost ($)
Total Cost ($)
Layout 4 19.960.950,0
13.383.379 33.344.329
Layout 5 19.162.477,0
12.869.233 32.031.710
Layout 6 18.364.008,
0
12.368.079 30.732.087
Layout 7 7.984.336,0 6.100.243 14.084.579Layout 8 7.186.010,0 5.490.170 12.676.180Layout 9 6.387.694,0 4.880.162 11.267.856
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Profits After 20 Years
Total Cost($) AnnualRevenue ($) 20 YearRevenue($)
Profit After20 Years($)
Layout 4 33.344.329
5.033.313100.666.258
67.321.929
Layout 5 32.031.71
0
4.839.949 96.798.989 64.767.279
Layout 6 30.732.087
4.651.47293.029.44062.297.353
Layout 7 14.084.579
2.294.22145.884.42631.799.847
Layout 8 12.676.180 2.064.78141.295.61728.619.437
Layout 9 11.267.856
1.835.36536.707.297 25.439.441
1kWh=7c$
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Decision Making
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Thanks ForLISTENING
QUESTIONS