Energy Scenario Energy Scenario in in

BangladeshBangladeshBy By

Md. MaqbulMd. Maqbul--EE--ElahiElahiFormer Director, PetrobanglaFormer Director, Petrobangla

Energy Energy -- main driving force for the main driving force for the development of the economic growth of a development of the economic growth of a country. country.

To attain desired economic development To attain desired economic development within stipulated time required quantity of within stipulated time required quantity of energy must be supplied. energy must be supplied.

Energy security becomes the top priority Energy security becomes the top priority for all countries of the world. for all countries of the world.

Depending on imported energy not Depending on imported energy not possible achieve digital Bangladeshpossible achieve digital Bangladesh

Father of the nation made his best effort to safe Father of the nation made his best effort to safe guard & promote energy security by various guard & promote energy security by various means including purchasing Gas Fields & means including purchasing Gas Fields & shares of TGTDCL.shares of TGTDCL.

His Govt. took over management of 2 gas fieldsHis Govt. took over management of 2 gas fields--Chhatak and Sylhet Gas fields. Chhatak and Sylhet Gas fields.

Strengthened Petroleum exploration by public Strengthened Petroleum exploration by public (by signing contract with USSR to explore (by signing contract with USSR to explore onshore)onshore) & private sector by introducing PSC in & private sector by introducing PSC in lieu of PCS. lieu of PCS.

Created Petrobangla to operate, monitor & Created Petrobangla to operate, monitor & control all aspect petroleum operation & BMEDC control all aspect petroleum operation & BMEDC to explore & develop solid minerals etc.to explore & develop solid minerals etc.

A1. Present Energy ConsumptionA1. Present Energy Consumption:

Gas Production (Apr09): 1850 Gas Production (Apr09): 1850 1900 MMscfd 1900 MMscfd Electricity Production (Apr09):About 4500Electricity Production (Apr09):About 4500--4800 4800

MW (including about 1000 MW Gas fired captive MW (including about 1000 MW Gas fired captive generation). generation).

Import of Liquid Petroleum (2008): 3.5 MTImport of Liquid Petroleum (2008): 3.5 MT Production of indigenous Coal (2008): 0.8 MTProduction of indigenous Coal (2008): 0.8 MT Import of Coal (2008): About 3.0 MT(estimated).Import of Coal (2008): About 3.0 MT(estimated).

A2. Energy Reserve and Resources in Bangladesh

1. Gas Reserve (December 2008):

Total Gas Reserve

National Oil Company

International Oil Company

Proved (P1) 6.92 Tcf 5.381Tcf 1.538 Tcf

Probable (P2) 5.22 Tcf 3.427 Tcf 1.794 Tcf

Possible (P3) 7.01 Tcf 3.413 Tcf 3.598 Tcf

Production Per day (4.4.2009)

885.7 MMscfd 970.4 MMscfd

2. Gas Resource Potential:2. Gas Resource Potential:Petroleum Resource Assessments by Different Authors:Petroleum Resource Assessments by Different Authors:

ResourcesEstimated by

Min Mean Max Rec.

Anglo-Scandinavian Oil Companies(1988)

7.07 Mymensing, Block # 8 & 11

Bangladesh Study Group (1989)

62 112 340 Excluding # 13, 14 and offshore

UnriskedRecoverable

Shell (2001) 20 40 Entire country

Unocal (2000) 5.3 13.2 22.6 Block#11,12,13,14,7 & 20

Risked Recoverable

USGS/Petrobangla (2001) 8.4 32.1 65.7

Entire country(upto 200m water depth)

Risked Recoverable

(HCU NPD) (2001) 19 42 64Entire country(upto 200m water depth)

Risked

Area Remarks

A3. Status of Petroleum Exploration in Bangladesh

Wells Drilled Gas Discover Success Ratio

Onshore

Offshore

Total Onshore

Offshore

Total Onshore

Offshore

Total

1908 1933 6 6 19471971 21 1 22 8 8 1:2.63 Zero 1:2.7519722001 27 12 39 12 2 14

(+1 Oil)1:2.25 1:6.5 1:2.78

2002 2009 5 4 9 1 1 1:5 0:4 1:9

TOTAL 59 17 76 21 2 23 1:3.8 1:8.5 1:3.3

Petrobangla/BAPEX/OGDC

21 None 20 10 10 1:2.1 1:2.0

IOCS 38 17 47 10 2 12 1:3.4 1:6.5 1:3.92

Phase

Only 9 exploratory wells (5 in onshore and 4 offshore) Only 9 exploratory wells (5 in onshore and 4 offshore) have been drilled after 2001 Petroleum Resource have been drilled after 2001 Petroleum Resource Estimate. Estimate.

One medium size gas field (Bangura) was discovered. One medium size gas field (Bangura) was discovered.

As recommended in the NEP 1995 at least 36 As recommended in the NEP 1995 at least 36 exploratory wells should have been drilled in the past 9.exploratory wells should have been drilled in the past 9.

During last hundred years exploration history only 76 During last hundred years exploration history only 76 exploration wells were drilled both in onshore & exploration wells were drilled both in onshore & offshore Bangladesh. offshore Bangladesh.

A.4 Coal Reserve:1. Estimated Coal Resources/Reserve of Bangladesh

Location/Field

No. ofWells Drilled

Estimated coal

resources(Million Tonnes)

Total in-situ reserves(Million Tonnes)

Proved in-situ

reserves(Million Tonnes)

Remarks

BarapukuriaDinajpur

31(118-509m)

390 390 303*** Produced about 0.8 million tonnes (2008)

KhalashpirRangpur

14 (257-483m)

685 685 143* Submitted a feasibility report. Under review.

Phulbari Dinajpur

108 (150-240m)

572 572 288** Licensing process questioned. Awaiting decision.

Jamalgonj,Joypurhat

10(640-1158m)

1053 - - Good candidate for CBM Exploration.

Dighipara, Dinajpur

5 (328-407m)

600 600 150* Expl. licence awarded to PB & submitted a JV plan to GoB & awaiting approval.

Total 3300 2247 884

2. Peat Deposits:2. Peat Deposits:

Located mostly at shallow depths between 3Located mostly at shallow depths between 3--7 feet 7 feet at greater Faridpur, Khulna and Sylhetat greater Faridpur, Khulna and Sylhet

Total estimated reserve : Total estimated reserve : about 145 Million tonesabout 145 Million tones. .

Environmental issues hindered development.Environmental issues hindered development.

Peat along with aqua culture can be developed.Peat along with aqua culture can be developed.

UseUse-- power generation and other heating purposespower generation and other heating purposes

Policy support needed for development. Policy support needed for development.

3. Coal Resources Potential:3. Coal Resources Potential:

Good potential. More coal deposit may be Good potential. More coal deposit may be discovered if intensive exploration is carried discovered if intensive exploration is carried out even at a shallower depth. out even at a shallower depth.

Expect government would come foreword Expect government would come foreword with revised national energy policy along with with revised national energy policy along with coal policy enabling public, private (national coal policy enabling public, private (national & expatriate) and private& expatriate) and private-- public JV to public JV to explore & produce coal at the earliest.explore & produce coal at the earliest.

4. Coal Bed Methane Potential:

Important source of energy.

Jamalgonj coal deposit alone has a potentiality of about 500 Bcf CBM.

Model contract may be formulated and bid may be invited under Petroleum Act.

A5. Renewable Energy

1. Hydro-electricity: One Hydro-electric Power plant is in

operation -capacity of 230 MW. Geography and socio-economic condition

of the country may not allow much larger expansion of Hydro-electricity.

Studies do not show a big potential.

2. Solar Energy:

Good potential. Higher cost of production. Remote areas - popular for low power application.3. Wind Energy: Few windmills are in operation in the costal area.4. Biogas: May became popular among the rich farmer. State patronization may popularise in the rural

areas for low power application .

A6. Nuclear Energy:

Present government with its democratic and Present government with its democratic and secular image is trying to obtain nuclear secular image is trying to obtain nuclear technology for generation of electricity.technology for generation of electricity.

If successfulIf successful--big boost in electricity generation.big boost in electricity generation.

B1.Gas Demand Projection by Gas System Master Plan (GSMP)-2006:

Year 7 %GDP 8 %GDP

2008-09 1725 MMscfd 1785 MMscfd

2009-10 1896 MMscfd 1983 MMscfd

2012-13 2518 MMscfd 2873 MMscfd

2014-15 2669 MMscfd 3087 MMscfd

2019-20 3818 MMscfd 4737 MMscfd

2024-25 5606 MMscfd 7441 MMscfd

B.2. Electricity Demand Projection by PSMP-2006:

Year 5.5 %GDP 8 %GDP2008 5569MW 5904MW2009 6066 MW 6567MW2010 6608 MW 7355MW2013 8364MW 10473MW2015 9786MW 13408MW2020 13993MW 24445MW2025 19312MW 41899MW

Note: Economists believe that for sustained development we must have at least 7% GDP growth rate. No scope to use 5.5% GDP growth rate as base case for the development planning purpose.

C. Regional Energy Supply Scenario:C. Regional Energy Supply Scenario:

Total Gas Production 1850 to 1900 MMscfd

Supply of Gas to the West Zone 70 to 80 MMscfdTotal Generation of Electricity About 4800MW

(includes captive generation)

Supply of Electricity to West Zone About 800 to 1000MW

Cost of gas per month for two-burner cooker within pipe gas distribution area.

- Tk. 400.00

Cost of gas per month for two-burner cooker in west zone (except Sirajgonj and Bogra town).

- Tk.1700-1800 (Estimated)

D. D. AwamiAwami Leagues Election ManifestoLeagues Election Manifesto--2008:2008:

By 2013 plan to attain 8% annual growth rate and generate 7000MW Electricity

By 2015 plan to generate 8000MW Electricity

By 2017 plan to attain 10% annual growth rate

By 2021 plan to generate 20,000MW Electricity

By 2021 plan Contribution of Agriculture, industry, and service sector to GDP will stand at 15, 40 and 45 respectively

To attain 8% GDP and 10% growth rate against time stipulated in the manifesto- quantity of electricity generation may not be enough. Electricity generation capacity may be revised against targeted GDP. Energy security has to be ensured to attain such target.

E. Short and mid term mitigation plan to relief E. Short and mid term mitigation plan to relief Energy crisis:Energy crisis:

i)i) Obtain optimum production by work over (to Obtain optimum production by work over (to resume and enhance production), install resume and enhance production), install compressor for enhance recovery (wherever compressor for enhance recovery (wherever necessary). necessary).

Carryout 3Carryout 3--D seismic survey (where necessary) D seismic survey (where necessary) and drill appraisal wells to prove the probable/ and drill appraisal wells to prove the probable/ possible gas reserve.possible gas reserve.

Accelerate intensive exploration to find new Accelerate intensive exploration to find new gas/oil fields both by public and private sectors. gas/oil fields both by public and private sectors.

ii) Bapex should carry out regional level seismic by ii) Bapex should carry out regional level seismic by next dry season in Block 8 and 11 even by hiring next dry season in Block 8 and 11 even by hiring third party services. third party services.

The AngloThe Anglo--Scandinavian oil company (1988) Scandinavian oil company (1988) and Bangladesh Study Group (1989) estimated and Bangladesh Study Group (1989) estimated Petroleum potential of block 8 & 11 as about Petroleum potential of block 8 & 11 as about 7 Tcf.7 Tcf.

iii) Bidding round 2008 may be concluded with the iii) Bidding round 2008 may be concluded with the successful bidders may be signed at the earliest.successful bidders may be signed at the earliest.

Without further delay preparation for next round Without further delay preparation for next round bidding the remaining Blocks (onshore & offshore) to bidding the remaining Blocks (onshore & offshore) to be initiated.be initiated.

iv) Gas transmission network has to be extended towards iv) Gas transmission network has to be extended towards South and North Western zone of Bangladesh. The South and North Western zone of Bangladesh. The ongoing gas transmission line project from Hatikumrulongoing gas transmission line project from Hatikumrul--BonparaBonpara--Rajshahi and BonparaRajshahi and Bonpara--BheramaraBheramara--Khulna has Khulna has to be laid by 2011. to be laid by 2011.

A gas transmission line from Bogra A gas transmission line from Bogra RangpurRangpur-- Dinajpur Dinajpur has also to be laid simultaneously. has also to be laid simultaneously.

v) Gas supply to Chittagong may be met by supplying gas directly from Titas gas field to Ashugonj-Bakhrabad (A-B) at process plants outlet pressure (1000-1050 psi).

E.1 Gas Sector:E.1.1 Production Augmentation- Work over:

Under Petrobangla companies there are about has 11 wells where production suspended due to depletion of gas from completed zone or due to mechanical problem or non availability of adequate water handling facilities, the wells can be brought to production at minimum risk, cost and time.

Work over (short termWork over (short term-- 20092009--10)10)Work overCompany

Wells NosBGFCL Bakhrabad

(BKB) # 2 & 52 Dec09 20 35 Gas depleted from completed zone.

Needs to re-completeBGFCL Titas # 14 1 Sept09 20 35 Mechanical problem.SGFL Sylhet#7 1 Dec09 15 25 Mechanical problemSGFL Surma#1A

(Sylhet #8)1 Oct09 10 15 Require water handling facilities.

BGFCL Meghna # 1 1 Oct09 10 25 Re-complete to other zone (s).BAPEX Semutung#1 & 5 2 Feb July10 20 30 Work over, processing facilities and

transmission would require.BGFCL Habigonj # 11 1 Dec09 30 45 Re-design down hole equipment and

perforation.SGFL Kailastila(KTL)#5 1 Dec10 10 25 Re completion to other zone.SGFL Rashidpur # 5 1 Feb10 10 15 Re-completion/cement spotting to

water bearing perforated area. Total 11 145-245

Period Production(MMSCFD)

Remarks

E.1.1.2 By work over of some producing wells:IOCs are producing 50 to 103 MMscfd from single wells. National companies max. production 40 MMscfd having better reservoir.

Operator

Gas Field Well Numbers Expected Additional Production (MMscfd)

BGFCL Titas Gas Field 01,02,04,05,06, 07,11 80-140

Habigonj Gas Field 03, 04, 05,06,07,10 70-120

Total 13 150-260

Note:i) Work over of wells alone may bring additional 300-

500MMscfd gas additional gas from the existing fields.

ii) Time schedule may be adjusted Rig/Materialiii) For material and services tender may be invited at a

time in different groups with staggered supply. iv) To work over each well about $ 2-3 million may be

required. If 24 (13+11) considered for work over, about $ 48-72 million may be required.

E.1.2 By Appraisal/Dev. Wells (Mid Term: 2009E.1.2 By Appraisal/Dev. Wells (Mid Term: 2009--11) 11) Appraisal/Dev. Drilling

CompanyWells No.

BAPEX Begumganj # 3 1 Sep Oct 10 15 30SGFL Kailastila # 7 1 Oct Dec11 20 30 After 3-D Seismic.BGFCL BKB # 9 1 Jul Sep 10 10 20Bapex-Niko *Feni (2 wells) 2 Jun 09 20 50 (*)BGFCL Habiganj # 12 1 Sep Dec 10 20 40BGFCL Titas # 17 1 Jan Mar 10 20 35BGFCL Titas # 18 1 May Aug 10 15 35SGFL Rashidpur # 8 1 Jul Dec 10 10 25 At original Rashidpur # 6

SGFL Sylhet 1 Jul Dec 10 25 30 Bapex SaldhaNadi 2 Feb-June 11 15-30 Risky as seismic control is

inadequate.

Bapex-Niko *Chhatak 2 June-Dec 10 30 -50 Infra structure existing.Total 14 200 -375

Production would depend on location and completion string selection.

PeriodExpected Production(MMSCFD)

Remarks

Note:Note:i) Agreement process of NIKOi) Agreement process of NIKO--BAPEX JV and work BAPEX JV and work performance questioned. Production from Feni / Chhatak performance questioned. Production from Feni / Chhatak Gas Field depends on withdrawal of the High Court Gas Field depends on withdrawal of the High Court embargo on payment to NIKO.embargo on payment to NIKO.

ii) Gas supply to Chittagong would increase on ii) Gas supply to Chittagong would increase on augmentation and commencement of production from Feni, augmentation and commencement of production from Feni, Begumgonj and Semutang.Begumgonj and Semutang.

E.1.2.1 Cost of appraisal/development drilling

For drilling one appraisal cum development well For drilling one appraisal cum development well about $10about $10--12 million may be required.12 million may be required.

These wells may add about 200These wells may add about 200--375 MMscfd gas 375 MMscfd gas into the gas grid of the country.into the gas grid of the country.

Drilling and other development cost would be Drilling and other development cost would be recovered within 2 to 3 years in terms of recovered within 2 to 3 years in terms of replacement cost of IOCs gas price.replacement cost of IOCs gas price.

E.1.3 ReE.1.3 Re--assessment of Reserve by Production assessment of Reserve by Production Seismic and Pressure surveySeismic and Pressure survey

Gas fields of Bangladesh have about 7 Tcf Possible Gas fields of Bangladesh have about 7 Tcf Possible (P3) gas. As a part of the appraisal programme with (P3) gas. As a part of the appraisal programme with the assistance of ADB a project has been taken to the assistance of ADB a project has been taken to carry out 3carry out 3--D Seismic survey over Bakhrabad, Titas, D Seismic survey over Bakhrabad, Titas, Rashidpur, Kailashtila & Syhlet gas fields to be Rashidpur, Kailashtila & Syhlet gas fields to be carried out by 2009carried out by 200911 dry seasons. 11 dry seasons.

Total P3 gas reserve about 7 Tcf. Titas gas field Total P3 gas reserve about 7 Tcf. Titas gas field alone has about 1.7 Tcf P3 gas. If 50% of the P3 alone has about 1.7 Tcf P3 gas. If 50% of the P3 reserve can be Proved, it would give a good reserve can be Proved, it would give a good breathing time.breathing time.

Based on initial reserve estimate MB, JB & Bangura Based on initial reserve estimate MB, JB & Bangura Gas Fields are in matured stage.Gas Fields are in matured stage.

ReRe--estimation of reserve became essential. Based estimation of reserve became essential. Based on Production Data, BHP, 3on Production Data, BHP, 3--D Seismic (if available) D Seismic (if available) rere--estimation of reserve must be carried out at the estimation of reserve must be carried out at the earliest. earliest.

Titas, MB, JB, Bangura, Bibiyana etc gas fields Titas, MB, JB, Bangura, Bibiyana etc gas fields have upward potential of reserves. have upward potential of reserves.

F.1. Exploration Drilling (Mid Term 2009F.1. Exploration Drilling (Mid Term 2009--2011)2011)Exploration Drilling

CompanyWells Nos.

BAPEX Sundalpur # 1 1 Jan Jun 10 20 35

BAPEX Srikail # 2 1 Feb Jun 11 15 30BAPEX Kapasia # 1 1 May Sep 10 15 35BAPEX Mobarakpur#1 1 Nov Jun 11 15 35

Bapex- Niko Chhatak East 1 Feb-May 2010 15-35

5 80-170

*Only after discovery & proper appraisal reserve estimation and production may be made.

Based on present statistics 2-3 fields may be discovered. Based the on field size appraisal and development wells may be drilled.

Period*Expected Production(MMSCFD)

Remarks

PSC Contractors should be pursued to drill exploratory wells.PSC Contractors should be pursued to drill exploratory wells.

F.2 Initial Exploration:i) About 65% of the total Production of Gas is being

consumed in and around Dhaka. The demand of Gas in coming days will be much higher in this area compare to other areas of Bangladesh. As such aggressive exploration may take up in Block-8 & 11 by BAPEX. At least Semi-detail level of Seismic Survey should be completed in the area by 200910 winters season.

ii) Prospect be evaluated in Block 8 & 11 so that by 2011 new well location can be identified based such report.

iii) Existing PSC Contractors should be advised to accomplish their minimum work obligation within schedule. Such as, drilling at Magnama; Hatia; mandatory drillings at Block-9; Seismic & drilling at Blocks 7, 10. No further time extension be allowed during exploration period.

iv) Bidding Round 2008 may be concluded with the successful Bidders at the earliest so that the Contractors can utilize the coming dry season.

v) To Vacate Embargo of the High Court for further On Shore Bidding.

vi) To Prepare Bidding Document for On-Shore as well as the remaining off shore block so that it can be floated as soon as Embargo is vacated by High Court.

vii) Invite offer for JV Petroleum E&P operation with Bapex in technically difficult and financially more risky ring fenced areas of Bapex like Sitakund, Patiya, Jaldhi structure etc.

Based on the above work, further Exploration and development work may be planned.

G. (Mid Term 2009- 2011)Transmission and Distribution of Gas

i)i) HatikumrulHatikumrulBheramaraBheramara--Khulna & BanparaKhulna & BanparaRajshahi Rajshahi should be completed on schedule (Only pipe line should be completed on schedule (Only pipe line size between Hatikumrulsize between Hatikumrul--Bheramara be reviewed Bheramara be reviewed and reduced to 24 from 30.)and reduced to 24 from 30.)

ii) ii) Titas gas fieldTitas gas field may be hooked up with Ashugonjmay be hooked up with AshugonjBakhrabadBakhrabad by next dry season to augment pressure by next dry season to augment pressure and quantity of gas supply to Chittagong area. and quantity of gas supply to Chittagong area.

iii) Gas Distribution Network of Khulna, Jessore etciii) Gas Distribution Network of Khulna, Jessore etcto be developed parallel to construction of Gas to be developed parallel to construction of Gas Transmission Pipe Line.Transmission Pipe Line.

iv) Gas pipe line from Bogra may be extended to iv) Gas pipe line from Bogra may be extended to Rangpur, Syedpur and Dinajpur.Rangpur, Syedpur and Dinajpur.

v) v) Additional production of gas in coming days mayAdditional production of gas in coming days maybe dedicated to Western Region on priority be dedicated to Western Region on priority basis to mitigate disparity in supplying gas.basis to mitigate disparity in supplying gas.

H. Coal Sector:

Best alternate energy in Bangladesh.Best alternate energy in Bangladesh. 5 Coal Deposits have been discovered having 5 Coal Deposits have been discovered having

inin-- situ Coal Deposit of about 2.0 Billion situ Coal Deposit of about 2.0 Billion Tones.Tones.

Time for the Government to take steps for the Time for the Government to take steps for the exploration and development of the Coal of exploration and development of the Coal of the country towards energy security. the country towards energy security.

i) In 2008 Barapukaria Coal Mine produced about 0.8 i) In 2008 Barapukaria Coal Mine produced about 0.8 Million Tones. Good potentiality for open cut mine Million Tones. Good potentiality for open cut mine (about 100m (about 100m bmslbmsl).).

ii) Phulbaria Coal Field ii) Phulbaria Coal Field -- under license of Asia Energy. under license of Asia Energy. License granting procedure is under controversy. License granting procedure is under controversy.

iii) Khalaspir coal deposit iii) Khalaspir coal deposit -- under exploration license to under exploration license to a JV private company of Bangladesh and China. a JV private company of Bangladesh and China. Government may take appropriate action to Government may take appropriate action to expedite exploration and development of the Coal expedite exploration and development of the Coal Deposit. This would supplement gas to produce Deposit. This would supplement gas to produce Electricity.Electricity.

iv) Government has awarded Exploration iv) Government has awarded Exploration Licence for Dhighipara Coal Deposit to Licence for Dhighipara Coal Deposit to Petrobangla. Petrobangla is looking for a Petrobangla. Petrobangla is looking for a strategic partner for the appraisal and strategic partner for the appraisal and development. They sought permission of development. They sought permission of the Government for selection of strategic the Government for selection of strategic partner & awaiting decision.partner & awaiting decision.

v) v) Attempt may be made to explore CBM at Attempt may be made to explore CBM at Jamalgonj Coal Deposit at the earliest.Jamalgonj Coal Deposit at the earliest.

v) Good probability of discovering new Coal v) Good probability of discovering new Coal Deposits in the surrounding area of the Deposits in the surrounding area of the previously discovered Coal Deposits. All out previously discovered Coal Deposits. All out attempt may be made to encourage private attempt may be made to encourage private parties (National/Expatriate) to invest for Coal parties (National/Expatriate) to invest for Coal Exploration in the area by declaring investment Exploration in the area by declaring investment friendly Coal policy.friendly Coal policy.

I. Possible Benefit Out Of Above Suggested Programme:

National companies might be able to add 450 to 700 National companies might be able to add 450 to 700 MMscfd gas within 2MMscfd gas within 2--3 years. Big relieve to Govt.3 years. Big relieve to Govt.i) i) From P2/P3 reserves of the fields and new From P2/P3 reserves of the fields and new discoveries about 2discoveries about 2--4 Tcf gas may add to P1 reserve.4 Tcf gas may add to P1 reserve.

ii) Open a new horizon of Petroleum exploration both ii) Open a new horizon of Petroleum exploration both onshore and offshore in Bangladesh.onshore and offshore in Bangladesh.

iii) iii) ExtensionExtension of gas transmission pipe line from of gas transmission pipe line from a)a)HatikamrulHatikamrul--BonparaBonpara--Khulna b) BonparaKhulna b) Bonpara--Rajshahi and Rajshahi and c)c) BograBogra--RangpurRangpur--Dinajpur would act as the backbone Dinajpur would act as the backbone to mitigate disparity.to mitigate disparity.

iv) iv) Hook up line between Titas g field and AB line Hook up line between Titas g field and AB line and development of Semutang, Begumgonj and and development of Semutang, Begumgonj and further development of Feni, Saldanadhi would help further development of Feni, Saldanadhi would help to mitigate gas crisis at Chittagong, Feni, and to mitigate gas crisis at Chittagong, Feni, and Noakhali area.Noakhali area.

v) v) Timely execution of the contractual obligation of the Timely execution of the contractual obligation of the IOCs would allow addition of gas reserve base.IOCs would allow addition of gas reserve base.

vi) Coal development activities should start earliest.vi) Coal development activities should start earliest.

vii) If explored more coal deposits may be discovered vii) If explored more coal deposits may be discovered even at a shallower depth.even at a shallower depth.

Constrains in implementation:Constrains in implementation:J.1 Lack of clear understanding about the National

goal and time value.

J.2 Delay in decision-making process.

J.3 Delay in procurement of material, equipment and services.

J.4 Acquisition/requisition of land.

J.5 Lack of coordination among the implementing agencies and decision makers.

K. Conclusion:

K1. To reach the cherished goal of the present Government i.e. a digital Bangladesh by 2021, we have to ensure adequate supply of energy. If we fail to ensure energy security, it would not be possible to attain the aspiration of the people of the country and the nation would be frustrated.

K.2 Government should make its best endeavour to supply adequate of energy. As step:

i) make an attempt to assess the real need of present and future demand of energy (category and zone wise) to reach the goal with time e.g. electricity to every houses of Bangladesh;

ii) make assessment of the indigenous source of energy available;

iii) find out the gap between the demand and supply;

iv) increase supply by enhance production or development of gas & coal deposits;

V) make all out effort to explore Petroleum and coal in the country both by public and private sectors;

Vi) mitigate disparity in supplying energy to the west zone, use maximum throughput capacity of Jamuna bridge gas transmission pipe line and extend gas pipe line up to Khulna and Rangpur-Dinajpur.

K4.K4. In the process of implementation of the In the process of implementation of the aboveabove--mentioned activities about 2 to 4 Tcf mentioned activities about 2 to 4 Tcf Probable and Possible reserve of gas would Probable and Possible reserve of gas would be converted to Proved reserve. This would be converted to Proved reserve. This would give a big relief to the present crisis of energy give a big relief to the present crisis of energy and allow government a considerable time to and allow government a considerable time to go ahead with permanent solution to the go ahead with permanent solution to the energy security of Bangladesh. energy security of Bangladesh.

K3.K3. If the above mentioned measures are If the above mentioned measures are considered, 2 to 4 Tcf would be added to considered, 2 to 4 Tcf would be added to the Proved reserve. Would facilitate to the Proved reserve. Would facilitate to increase enough production for smooth increase enough production for smooth supply to the existing power plants, fertilizer supply to the existing power plants, fertilizer factories, and other industries and factories, and other industries and additionally to the proposed Power Plants additionally to the proposed Power Plants like Sirajgonj, Bheramara, Khulna, Rangpur, like Sirajgonj, Bheramara, Khulna, Rangpur, and Syedpur etc. and Syedpur etc.

Only by solving the energy & power Only by solving the energy & power crisis, the country would able to add crisis, the country would able to add about 1.75% to the GDP, which would about 1.75% to the GDP, which would be a step forward to achieve digital be a step forward to achieve digital Bangladesh by 2021.Bangladesh by 2021.

THANK YOUTHANK YOU

Energy Scenario in BangladeshA1. Present Energy Consumption:A2. Energy Reserve and Resources in Bangladesh2. Gas Resource Potential:A3. Status of Petroleum Exploration in BangladeshA.4 Coal Reserve:2. Peat Deposits:3. Coal Resources Potential:4. Coal Bed Methane Potential:A5. Renewable Energy2. Solar Energy:A6. Nuclear Energy:B1.Gas Demand Projection by Gas System Master Plan (GSMP)-2006:B.2. Electricity Demand Projection by PSMP-2006:C. Regional Energy Supply Scenario:D. Awami Leagues Election Manifesto-2008:E. Short and mid term mitigation plan to relief Energy crisis:Work over (short term- 2009-10)E.1.1.2 By work over of some producing wells:E.1.2 By Appraisal/Dev. Wells (Mid Term: 2009-11)Note:i) Agreement process of NIKO-BAPEX JV and work performance questioned. Production from Feni / Chhatak Gas Field dependsE.1.2.1 Cost of appraisal/development drillingE.1.3 Re-assessment of Reserve by Production Seismic and Pressure surveyF.1. Exploration Drilling (Mid Term 2009-2011)F.2 Initial Exploration:G. (Mid Term 2009- 2011) Transmission and Distribution of GasH. Coal Sector:I. Possible Benefit Out Of Above Suggested Programme:Constrains in implementation:K. Conclusion: