ENERGY Dedicated offshore grid development in the ...jwpa.jp/pdf/20190226_2_DNVGL.pdfCap. Reserve...

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SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER DNV GL © Gunnar Heymann Monday, February 25, 2019 ENERGY Dedicated offshore grid development in the Netherlands and Europe 1

Transcript of ENERGY Dedicated offshore grid development in the ...jwpa.jp/pdf/20190226_2_DNVGL.pdfCap. Reserve...

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DNV GL © Monday, February 25, 2019 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENERDNV GL ©

Gunnar Heymann

Monday, February 25, 2019

ENERGY

Dedicated offshore grid development in the Netherlands and Europe

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DNV GL © Monday, February 25, 2019

Agenda

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Phased development of offshore wind02

Potential offshore gird connection solutions03

Energy transition and stakeholders01

How to deal with further increase of offshore wind04

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DNV GL © Monday, February 25, 20193

150+ years

100+countries

100,000customers

12,500employees

MARITIME DIGITAL

SOLUTIONS

BUSINESS

ASSURANCE

ENERGYOIL & GAS

DNV GL: independent quality assurance and risk management

5%of revenue spent on R&D

Stiftelsen Det Norske Veritas is a free-standing, autonomous and independent foundation whose purpose is to safeguard life, property and the environment.

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Energy transition and stakeholders

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DNV GL © 20197

SUITE OF PUBLICATIONS

https://eto.dnvgl.com/2018/download

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The planning process

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Result of the German Network Development Plan 2019Scenario B2030 – Energy transition is now leading to RES share 60.1%

Nuclear LigniteHardcoal

Gas OilPump

storage

otherconv.gen.

Cap.Reserve

Windonshore

Windoffshore

PV Biomass HydrootherRESgen.

Reference 2017 9.5 21.2 25 29.6 4.4 9.5 4.3 0 50.5 5.4 42.4 7.6 5.6 1.3

B 2030 0 9.3 9.8 35.2 1.2 11.6 4.1 2 81.5 17 91.3 6 5.6 1.3

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

P in G

W

Generation Type

Reference 2017 B 2030

16

103,5 GW to 73,2 GW conv. generation 112,8 GW to 202,7 GW RES

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Network development plan (Germany) – scenario B 2030

▪ Establishment of a hybrid grid with AC and DC elements

▪ HVDC corridors for long-distance transport

▪ Onshore network extensions and upgrading

– Target achieve RES share of 60,1 %

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DNV GL © Monday, February 25, 2019

Phased development of offshore wind

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DNV GL © Monday, February 25, 2019

Need for long term policy – Phased development offshore wind in Netherlands

Short Term (to

2023)

Three phase (parallel) development:

➢ North Sea Wind Power Hub ➢ Far-reaching international

cooperation necessary

Medium Term (to

2030)

Long Term (to

2050)

➢ Currently under development (near shore)

➢ Use full potential near shore locations ➢ Prepare for large scale and international

cooperation

NL: 3,5

GWNL: 6,1 GW

NL: >30

GW

Short Term (to 2023)

Three phase (parallel) development:

➢ North Sea Wind Power Hub

➢ International cooperation necessary

Medium Term (to 2030)

Long Term (to 2050)

➢ Currently under development (near shore )

➢ Use full potential near shore locations

➢ Prepare for large scale and international cooperation

3,5 GW

7 – 10 GW

70 to 100 GW

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DNV GL © Monday, February 25, 2019

Year Capacity Area

2019 700 MW Borssele

2020 700 MW Borssele

2021 700 MW Hollandse Kust (zuid)

2022 700 MW Hollandse Kust (zuid)

2023 700 MW Hollandse Kust (noord)

▪ 3.500 MW: 5 x 700 MW

▪ Standardized AC concept

▪ Lean design

▪ Lowest possible LCOE

Phase I: 2019 – 2023 (+3,5 GW)

/DNVGL SE-0190/

Early identification and

Mitigation of risks

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▪ Additional 7,000 MW

▪ Energy Agenda (Dec ’16)

▪ Coalition Agreement (Oct ’17)

▪ Roadmap 2030 (March ’18)

Phase II: 2024 – 2030 (+6,1 GW)

Operational Capacity Wind area AC / DC

2024/2025 1,4 GW Hollandse Kust

(west)

AC

2026 0,7 GW Ten noorden van de

Waddeneilanden

AC

2027/2030 4,0 GW IJmuiden Ver DC

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DNV GL © Monday, February 25, 2019

▪ Larger offshore wind

▪ Location: depth & wind

▪ Power Link Island

▪ Wind Connector

▪ Hub & Spoke

▪ Conversion to hydrogen

Phase III: 2030 – 2050

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How to deal with further increase of offshore wind

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DNV GL © Monday, February 25, 2019

How to deal with further increase of offshore wind – grid optimization

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The development and integration in the electricity system of large scale offshore wind energy requires knowledge, experience

and high investments in the onshore grids

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DNV GL © Monday, February 25, 2019

Research and innovation needs – DNV GL participates in Europe’s PROMOTioN project with over 30 partners

▪ PROMOTioN Progress on meshed offshore transmission networks – European research will prepare next

generation technologies on HVDC addressing following challenges:

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=~

– Offshore requires cables & platforms

– Long cables require HVDC

– HVDC requires converters

– HVDC network requires HVDC control & protection

system

– HVDC protection system requires HVDC switchgear

/ circuit breakers

– Transnational network

o Regulatory differences

o Business models

o Governance

o Financing

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DNV GL © Monday, February 25, 2019

Summary

▪ Stress in offshore supply chains

▪ Grid extensions onshore - optimization

▪ Research and innovation needs like PROMOTioN

▪ Risk mitigation and reduction

– Power system studies

– Technology qualification, 3rd party review, and verification

– Certification, e.g. DNVGL-SE-0190 Certification of wind power plants

▪ Establish good long-term planning processes, especially for energy scenarios and grid

infrastructure to ensure that energy transition becomes a success

– Stable environment for investors, operators, all stakeholders

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DNV GL © Monday, February 25, 2019

SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER

www.dnvgl.com

The trademarks DNV GL®, DNV®, the Horizon Graphic and Det Norske Veritas®

are the properties of companies in the Det Norske Veritas group. All rights reserved.

37

Dr. Gunnar Heymann

Director & Service Area Leader Energy Advisory

[email protected]

+49 172 355 7784

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DNV GL © Monday, February 25, 2019

Back up slides

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DNV GL © Monday, February 25, 2019

▪ London Array

▪ LINCS

▪ Thanet

▪ Walney I & II

▪ Greater Gabbard

▪ Barrow

▪ Kentish Flats

▪ Burbo

▪ Lynn & Inner

Dowsing

▪ Rhyl Flats

▪ Robin Rigg

▪ Teeside

▪ Gunfleet Sands

I, II, III

▪ West of Duddon

▪ Thornton Banks

▪ Egmond aan Zee

▪ Horns Rev II

▪ BARD Offshore I

▪ MeerWind

▪ Nördlicher Grund

▪ Innogy I

▪ Nordsee Ost

▪ Alpha Ventus

▪ Baltic I

▪ Baltic II

▪ Wikinger

▪ GodeWind I + II

▪ Borkum Riffgrund

▪ Sandbank

▪ Albatros

▪ Northwind

▪ Aberdeen

▪ Beatrice

▪ Blyth demo

▪ Bligh Bank

▪ Belwind 2

▪ Courseulles sur

mer

▪ Deutsche Bucht

▪ Fecamp

▪ Horns Rev 3

▪ Hornsea

▪ Nissum Bredning

▪ Saint Nazaire

▪ Norther

▪ Formosa 1

▪ Borssele

▪ Coastal Virginia

▪ Yunlin

Lessons learned from more than 60 offshore wind projects

Independent expertise by a 3rd party – OUR EXPERIENCES excerpt of references

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Sky 2000

ArklowBank

Seanergy

Utgrunden

Horns Rev

Blyth

Beatrice

Docking Shoal

Race Bank

TunøKnob

Nysted

Vindeby

Samsø

Beltsee

Breitling

Nysted II

Smyggeham

Arkona-BeckenSüdost

KriegersFlak II

KlutzerWinkel

OmøStalgrunde

YtteStengrund

Lillegrund

North Misjobanken

Uttgrunden II

Blekinge

SkabrevetMiddelgrunden Bars

ebank

Friedrichshaven

Laesø

Emden

Wilhelmshaven

FINO

Alpha Ventus

RWE InnogyIBorkum

Riffgrund

Bard NL

Butendiek

Nordergründe

AmrumbankWest

Thornton Bank

Riffgat

Dan Tysk

Princess Amalia(Q7)

GodeWind

Baltic 1BARD

Offshore IBorkumRiffgrundWest

Baltic 2NördlicherGrund

Sandbank 24

Nordsee Ost

AmrumbankMee

rwind

GEOGFReE

`He Dreiht‘

`Nordsee‘

Global Tech I

Robin Rigg

Cromer Metmast

ScrobySands

Deutsche Bucht

London Array

Horns Rev II

Delta NordseeBorkum

West II

VejaMate

North Hoyle

Gwynty Mor

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Benefits of independent 3rd party – Certification Body

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Risk

Value

▪ Confirmation of requirements as stated by project developers, investors, operators, manufacturers governmental and non-governmental organisations

▪ Building of trust in the design and construction (confidence in technical integrity)

▪ Increasing reliability in the governmentals’ and consumers’ interests

▪ Securing sustainable energy production throughout life cycle

▪ Supporting authority approvals and allow for subsidies

▪ Secure investments and optimise return of investment

▪ Secure better insurance rates

▪ Minimising financial project risks, eases buying decision

▪ Independent expertise by an objective 3rd-party (four-eyes-principle)

▪ Support of internal quality management

▪ Mitigate risks to environment and people

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DNV GL & Floating Wind

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Development of DNV GL standards

Technical concept design support for several floater concepts

Multiple floating wind market studies and technical due diligence projects

Verification and independent analysis of several floaters and wind farms

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DNV GL © 201942

Technical &

commercial

assessments

Technical

analyses

Third party

services

DNV GL & Floating WindSince 2008

MeasurementsDue diligence Research &

Innovation

• Market studies• Technical

benchmarking• Cost

assessments• Installation and

operation assessments

• Coupled load and response analysis

• Technical advisory

• Concept design support

• Bladed development

• Technology –complete system

• Wind energy assessment

• Design, installation, operations

• Commercial aspects

• Independent load analysis

• Verification• Certification• Technology

qualification

• Design of monitoring system

• Installation of instrumentation

• Remote control monitoring

• Handling recorded data

• Standard development and maintenance

• Standard assessments

• Joint Industry Projects

• EIP and GIP projects

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Concept of overplanting

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/Wolter, Ch., Klinge J., others: Overplanting in offshore wind power plants, 2019/

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DNV GL © 2019

The Energy MarketPrices in Germany are relatively high

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Source: BNetzA

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DNV GL © 2019

RES development Total installed RES-E capacity in MW

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5193 5137 5164 5340 5407 5625 5607 5590 5580 5589 5598

20474 22116 22794 25697 26823 28524 30711 3296937620 41246 45412

0 0 035 80 188 268

508994

32844133

3010 3392 36814871 5463

64246753

70367260

73567562

28994170 6120

1056618006

25916

3407736710

37900

39350

40874

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Water Wind Onshore Wind Offshore Biomass PV Geothermal

Source: BMWi

MW

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DNV GL © 2017 05 June 2017

Variety of capacity vs. energy ratio in selected markets

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Rat

io in

%

Integration of RES in Selected Markets, 2014

Fluctuating (Wind+Solar)/conv. capacity ratio RES (Wind+Solar) energy ratio RES energy share

2014: 1,581 TWh curtailment of green energy in Germany1,7 % of wind + PV generationCompensation worth 83 Mio €