Encuesta de newlink research us hispanics, political preference and immigration reform
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Transcript of Encuesta de newlink research us hispanics, political preference and immigration reform
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US Hispanics and
Immigration Reform
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The Survey
• This survey was conducted by Newlink Research in conjunction
with the Miami Herald.
• These findings are based on a national telephone survey of 587
Hispanic registered voters. The survey was conducted September
1-5, 2010.
• (MoE: +/- 4.2 percentage points)
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In your opinion, is the United States headed in the right direction or
wrong direction?
Party Identification
TOTAL Republican Democrat Others
Right direction 33.7% 17.5% 42.9% 24.9%
Wrong direction 57.2% 73.8% 49.0% 64.6%
Don’t know 9.0% 8.8% 8.1% 10.6%
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In your opinion, is the United States headed in the right direction or wrong
direction?
Gender Age
TOTAL Male Female 18-29 30-45 46-60 61+
Right Direction
33.7% 38.4% 30.1% 46.4% 32.2% 35.1% 31.8%
Wrong Direction
57.2% 53.7% 59.9% 35.7% 60.9% 55.2% 63.6%
Don’t Know9.0% 7.8% 9.9% 17.9% 6.9% 9.7% 4.5%
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In general and in comparison with last year, is your personal situation
much better, better, worse, or much worse?
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In general and in comparison with last year, is your personal situation
much better, better, worse, or much worse?
Party Identification
TOTAL Republican Democrat Others
Much better 7.2% 7.5% 8.4% 5.3%
Better 23.0% 15.0% 26.4% 21.2%
The same 30.5% 15.0% 35.1% 29.6%
Worse 33.4% 51.3% 26.0% 37.6%
Much worse 5.8% 11.3% 4.1% 5.8%
Don’t Know 0.2% 0.5%
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In general and in comparison with last year, is your personal situation
much better, better, worse, or much worse?
Gender Age
TOTAL Male Female 18-29 30-45 46-60 61+
Much Better7.2% 7.8% 6.6% 3.6% 8.0% 6.5% 10.7%
Better23.0% 26.3% 20.5% 46.4% 22.6% 21.8% 17.9%
Same30.5% 26.3% 33.7% 17.9% 26.1% 34.7% 42.9%
Worse33.4% 34.9% 32.2% 25.0% 35.2% 33.5% 17.9%
Much Worse5.8% 4.3% 6.9% 7.1% 7.7% 3.6% 10.7%
Don’t Know0.2% 0.4% 0.4%
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Also in general, do you believe that your personal situation a year
from now will be much better, better, worse, or much worse?
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Also in general, do you believe that your personal situation a year
from now will be much better, better, worse, or much worse?
Party Identification
TOTAL Republican Democrat Others
Much better 11.2% 10.0% 12.2% 10.6%
Better 40.9% 28.8% 45.6% 38.6%
The same 25.2% 22.5% 26.4% 24.9%
Worse 17.5% 27.5% 13.9% 19.0%
Much worse 4.6% 11.3% 1.7% 6.3%
Don’t Know 0.5% 0.3% 0.5%
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Also in general, do you believe that your personal situation a year from
now will be much better, better, the same, worse, or much worse?
Gender Age
TOTAL Male Female 18-29 30-45 46-60 61+
Much Better11.2% 14.1% 9.0% 17.9% 11.1% 10.9% 14.3%
Better40.9% 42.4% 39.8% 60.7% 41.4% 39.5% 25.0%
Same25.2% 20.8% 28.6% 14.3% 24.9% 25.4% 35.7%
Worse17.5% 17.3% 17.8% 7.1% 18.0% 17.3% 21.4%
Much Worse4.6% 4.7% 4.5% 4.2% 6.0% 3.6%
Don’t Know0.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8%
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Thinking about the future of your children, do you think that they will
have better opportunities, the same opportunities, or fewer opportunities
than you have had in the United States?
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Thinking about the future of your children, do you think that they will have
better opportunities, the same opportunities, or fewer opportunities than
you have had in the United States?
Party Identification
TOTAL Republican Democrat Others
Better opportunities 54.7% 35.0% 61.5% 52.9%
Same opportunities 13.8% 18.8% 12.5% 13.2%
Fewer opportunities 22.8% 33.8% 18.9% 24.9%
No opportunities 1.9% 5.0% 0.3% 3.2%
Don’t Know 6.8% 7.5% 6.8% 5.8%
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Thinking about the future of your children, do you think that they will have
better opportunities, the same opportunities, or fewer opportunities than
you have had in the United States?
Gender Age
TOTAL Male Female 18-29 30-45 46-60 61+
Better Opportunities54.7% 56.1% 53.6% 67.9% 55.2% 54.4% 42.9%
Same13.8% 13.3% 14.2% 3.6% 13.0% 16.1% 17.9%
Fewer Opportunities22.8% 22.4% 23.2% 21.4% 24.5% 20.6% 21.4%
No Opportunities1.9% 2.0% 1.8% 1.9% 2.0%
Don’t Know6.8% 6.3% 7.2% 7.1% 5.4% 6.9% 17.9%
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Thinking about the future, do you believe that your children will be very
affected, somewhat affected, or not affected by discrimination and
prejudice?
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Thinking about the future, do you believe that your children will be very
affected, somewhat affected, or not affected by discrimination and
prejudice?
Party Identification
TOTAL Republican Democrat Others
Very affected 12.6% 17.5% 11.1% 12.2%
Somewhat affected 34.1% 23.8% 37.2% 33.3%
Not affected 45.3% 53.8% 42.9% 47.1%
Don´t know 8.0% 5.0% 8.8% 7.4%
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Thinking about the future, do you believe that your children will be very
affected, somewhat affected, or not affected by discrimination and
prejudice?
Gender Age
TOTAL Male Female 18-29 30-45 46-60 61+
Very Affected12.6% 10.6% 14.2% 67.9% 55.2% 54.4% 54.7%
Somewhat Affected34.1% 35.3% 33.1% 21.4% 24.5% 20.6% 22.8%
Not Affected45.3% 47.1% 44.0% 1.9% 2.0% 1.9%
Don’t Know8.0% 7.1% 8.7% 7.1% 5.4% 6.9% 6.8%
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In the past, were you or any member of your family discriminated against
for being Hispanic/Latino?
5.3%
16.7%
7.0%
70.7%
0.3%
Always
Sometimes
Rarely
Never
Don’t know
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In the past, were you or any member of your family discriminated against
for being Hispanic/Latino?
Party Identification
TOTAL Republican Democrat Others
Always 5.3% 5.1% 7.9%
Sometimes 16.7% 8.8% 18.9% 14.8%
Rarely 7.0% 2.5% 8.1% 7.4%
Never 70.7% 87.5% 67.9% 69.3%
Don’t know 0.3% 1.3% 0.5%
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In the past, were you or any member of your family discriminated against
for being Hispanic/Latino?
Gender Age
TOTAL Male Female 18-29 30-45 46-60 61+
Always5.3% 6.3% 4.5% 7.1% 6.9% 4.0% 3.6%
Sometimes16.7% 15.3% 17.8% 17.9% 18.8% 14.9% 14.3%
Rarely7.0% 6.7% 7.2% 10.7% 7.7% 6.0% 7.1%
Never70.7% 71.4% 70.2% 64.3% 65.9% 75.0% 75.0%
Don’t Know0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.8%
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During this past year until today, have you or any member of your family
been discriminated against for being Hispanic/Latino?
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During this past year until today, have you or any member of your family
been discriminated against for being Hispanic/Latino?
Party Identification
TOTAL Republican Democrat Others
Always 4.6% 2.5% 3.7% 7.4%
Sometimes 6.6% 6.3% 8.8% 3.7%
Once 7.8% 5.0% 7.1% 9.0%
Never 79.9% 83.8% 79.7% 78.8%
Don’t know 1.0% 2.5% 0.7% 1.1%
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During this past year until today, have you or any member of your family
been discriminated against for being Hispanic/Latino?
Gender Age
TOTAL Male Female 18-29 30-45 46-60 61+
Always4.6% 5.9% 3.6% 7.1% 6.5% 2.8% 3.6%
Sometimes6.6% 7.5% 6.0% 3.6% 7.3% 6.0% 3.6%
Once7.8% 5.5% 9.6% 17.9% 6.9% 8.1% 3.6%
Never79.9% 80.4% 79.5% 71.4% 78.2% 81.9% 89.3%
Don’t Know1.0% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2%
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Of the following issues, which do you believe is the most serious
problem?
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Of the following issues, which do you believe is the most serious
problem?
Party Identification
TOTAL Republican Democrat Others
The economy 40.5% 35.0% 39.9% 43.9%
Unemployment 18.2% 18.8% 20.6% 15.3%
Education 4.3% 2.5% 4.7% 4.8%
Healthcare 3.2% 5.0% 3.0% 2.6%
Crime 9.2% 12.5% 7.4% 9.0%
Terrorism 3.9% 7.5% 4.1% 2.6%
Global Warming 3.2% 3.7% 4.2%
Illegal immigration 7.2% 10.0% 6.1% 7.9%
Discrimination 7.7% 5.0% 8.1% 7.4%
Other 0.3% 0.3% 0.5%
Don’t know 2.2% 3.8% 2.0% 1.6%
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Very good GoodNeither good
not badBad Very Bad Don’t Know
The economy 7.8% 38.5% 19.3% 24.5% 9.9% 0.0%
Unemployment 3.7% 22.0% 14.8% 38.8% 20.1% 0.5%
Immigration
Reform3.1% 14.5% 22.7% 38.8% 20.4% 0.5%
Education 8.7% 41.9% 21.0% 19.3% 8.2% 1.0%
Healthcare 11.2% 39.7% 17.7% 21.0% 10.2% 0.2%
Discrimination 6.1% 28.3% 24.5% 27.3% 13.3% 0.5%
In general, how would you evaluate President Obama’s performance
in handling:
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Very good GoodNeither good
not badBad Very Bad Don’t Know
The economy 5.0% 12.5% 11.3% 40.0% 31.3% 0.0%
Unemployment 1.3% 8.8% 10.0% 41.3% 38.8% 0.0%
Immigration
Reform1.3% 11.3% 15.0% 36.3% 36.3% 0.0%
Education 3.8% 40.0% 16.3% 22.5% 15.0% 2.5%
Healthcare 6.3% 23.8% 22.5% 28.8% 18.8% 0.0%
Discrimination 8.8% 17.5% 28.8% 21.3% 23.8% 0.0%
In general, how would you evaluate President Obama’s performance
in handling: {Republicans}
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Very good GoodNeither good
not badBad Very Bad Don’t Know
The economy 10.5% 48.0% 21.3% 16.6% 3.7% 0.0%
Unemployment 5.4% 28.7% 14.5% 36.5% 14.2% 0.7%
Immigration
Reform3.4% 17.2% 26.0% 37.5% 14.9% 1.0%
Education 11.5% 43.2% 23.3% 14.2% 6.4% 1.4%
Healthcare 15.5% 44.6% 16.2% 18.6% 5.1% 0.0%
Discrimination 6.8% 32.1% 23.3% 27.0% 10.1% 0.7%
In general, how would you evaluate President Obama’s performance
in handling: {Democrats}
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Very good GoodNeither good
not badBad Very Bad Don’t Know
The economy 5.8% 33.9% 18.0% 31.2% 11.1% 0.0%
Unemployment 2.6% 16.4% 17.5% 41.8% 21.2% 0.5%
Immigration
Reform2.6% 12.2% 20.1% 42.9% 22.2% 0.0%
Education 5.8% 40.7% 18.5% 26.5% 8.5% 0.0%
Healthcare 5.8% 39.7% 18.0% 21.2% 14.8% 0.5%
Discrimination 4.8% 27.5% 22.8% 31.2% 13.2% 0.5%
In general, how would you evaluate President Obama’s performance
in handling: {Independents}
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Completely
AgreeAgree Disagree
Completely
DisagreeDon’t Know
A pathway to citizenship for
those who have lived in the
United States for at least ten
years and have not been
convicted of a crime.
19.9% 65.8% 12.1% 1.9% 0.3%
The undocumented parents of US
citizens should be granted a
pathway to citizenship.11.4% 65.8% 19.1% 3.1% 0.7%
Undocumented aliens should be
fined, granted a resident visa,
and should be forced to wait ten
years before being allowed to
become citizens.
9.0% 39.2% 41.1% 10.2% 0.5%
If an alien entered the country
illegally, no pathway to
citizenship should be granted. 6.3% 25.9% 52.0% 14.8% 1.0%
Immigration reform has been debated in the US Congress and in the
press. Please state if you: completely agree, agree, disagree or
completely disagree with each of the following options
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Completely
AgreeAgree Disagree
Completely
disagreeDon’t Know
Improved border
control 18.2% 60.5% 18.1% 2.7% 0.5%
Temporary worker’s
program 17.5% 68.0% 11.4% 2.2% 0.9%
Deportation of those
who committed crimes
and completed their
sentence.
19.1% 51.4% 23.5% 3.7% 2.2%
Fines for those who hire
undocumented workers. 10.7% 32.7% 43.8% 11.8% 1.0%
Return undocumented
migrants to their
countries, where they
would be allowed to
apply for a visa to
reenter the United
States legally.
11.6% 61.7% 21.0% 4.1% 1.7%
Today a number of immigration reform options are being debated.
Please state if you: completely agree, agree, disagree or completely
disagree with each of the following options.
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Have you heard of Law 1070 that is currently being enforced in the state
of Arizona?
Political Preferences
TOTAL Republican Democrat Others
Yes 88.8% 92.5% 87.8% 89.4%
No 11.2% 7.5% 12.2% 10.6%
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Have you heard of Law 1070 that is currently being enforced in the state
of Arizona?
Gender Age
TOTAL Male Female 18-29 30-45 46-60 61+
Yes88.8% 88.6% 88.9% 78.6% 90.8% 86.7% 96.4%
No11.2% 11.4% 11.1% 21.4% 9.2% 13.3% 3.6%
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Do you agree or disagree with Law 1070?
Party Identification
TOTAL Republican Democrat Others
Agree 16.7% 39.2% 8.5% 21.3%
Disagree 80.0% 56.8% 88.8% 74.6%
Don’t Know 3.3% 4.1% 2.7% 4.1%
17%
80%
3%
Agree Disagree Don't Know
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Do you agree or disagree with Law 1070?
Gender Age
TOTAL Male Female 18-29 30-45 46-60 61+
Agree16.7% 21.2% 13.2% 13.6% 16.9% 17.7% 14.8%
Disagree80.0% 76.5% 82.7% 86.4% 79.7% 79.1% 81.5%
Don’t Know3.3% 2.2% 4.1% 3.4% 3.3% 3.7%
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Of the following reasons, what do you believe is the principal reason
that Arizona passed Law 1070?
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Of the following reasons, what do you believe is the principal reason that
Arizona passed Law 1070?
Party Identification
TOTAL Republican Democrat Others
To contain threats to the national security of
the United States. 5.4% 8.1% 4.6% 5.3%
To control drug trafficking15.5% 21.6% 12.7% 17.8%
To end the uncontrollable flow of illegal
aliens19.4% 28.4% 17.3% 20.1%
Racism42.8% 27.0% 50.0% 38.5%
To prevent the spillover of violence from
Mexico. 11.5% 9.5% 10.4% 13.6%
None of the above. 5.0% 5.4% 4.6% 4.7%
Don’t know0.4% 0.4%
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Of the following reasons, what do you believe is the principal reason that
Arizona passed Law 1070?
Sex Age
TOTAL Male Female 18-29 30-45 46-60 61+
To contain threats to the
national security of the
United States.
5.4% 7.1% 4.1% 4.5% 5.1% 5.6% 7.4%
To control drug trafficking15.5% 16.4% 14.9% 9.1% 14.8% 18.1% 7.4%
To end the uncontrollable
flow of illegal aliens19.4% 20.4% 18.6% 21.1% 17.7% 22.2%
Racism42.8% 38.5% 46.1% 63.6% 42.2% 41.9% 44.4%
To prevent the spillover of
violence from Mexico. 11.5% 11.5% 11.5% 22.7% 11.8% 11.2% 7.4%
None of the above. 5.0% 5.3% 4.7% 5.1% 4.7% 11.1%
Don’t know0.4% 0.9% 0.9%
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Have your heard of the August 2010 murder of 72 migrant workers from
several countries allegedly by the so-called Zetas Cartel, when trying to
cross the border?
Party Identification
TOTAL Republican Democrat Others
Yes 80.7% 92.5% 87.8% 89.4%
No 19.3% 7.5% 12.2% 10.6%
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And, are you familiar with how the Mexican government has responded
to the murder of these migrants?
Party Identification
TOTAL Republican Democrat Others
Yes 44.3% 54.8% 46.8% 38.1%
No 55.7% 45.2% 53.2% 61.9%
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If yes, do you agree with the way in which the Mexican government has
responded to this case?
Agree
Disagree
Neither one nor the other
Don't Know
21.9%
64.8%
12.9%
0.5%
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If yes, do you agree with the way in which the Mexican government has
responded to this case?
Party Identification
TOTAL Republican Democrat Others
Agree 21.9% 17.6% 25.5% 18.0%
Disagreement 64.8% 76.5% 59.1% 67.2%
Neither one or the other 12.9% 5.9% 14.5% 14.8%
Don´t know 0.5% 0.9%
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In your opinion, what can the United States do to prevent similar
situations in the future?
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In your opinion, what can the United States do to prevent similar
situations in the future?
Party Identification
TOTAL Republican Democrat Others Don’t Know
The US should give more support to
the Mexican military and police forces. 34.3% 23.5% 38.2% 36.1%
The US should pressure more the
Mexican government to dismantle drug
cartels like the Zetas.
20.5% 29.4% 23.6% 11.5%
The US should militarize its border to
help Mexico fight against drug cartels. 20.0% 26.5% 15.5% 21.3% 60.0%
The US shouldn’t do anything, this is a
Mexican problem. 10.0% 5.9% 11.8% 9.8%
The US should convoke other
countries in the hemisphere to fight
against these cartels because Mexico
is incapable of conducting this battle
on its own.
14.3% 11.8% 10.0% 21.3% 40.0%
Don’t know 1.0% 2.9% 0.9%
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Politically speaking, do you consider yourself a:
N = 587
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Did you vote in the 2008 presidential elections?
Party Identification
TOTAL Republican Democrat Others
Yes 95.2% 96.1% 97.2% 92.7%
No 4.8% 3.9% 2.8% 7.3%
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Did you vote in the 2008 Presidential Elections?
Sex Age
TOTAL Male Female 18-29 30-45 46-60 61+
Yes 95.2% 94.5% 95.8% 72.2% 95.1% 96.2% 100.0%
No 4.8% 5.5% 4.2% 27.8% 4.9% 3.8%
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If you voted, for whom did you vote?
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If you voted, for whom did you vote?
Party Identification
TOTAL Republican Democrat Others
Barack Obama 61.8% 17.6% 86.9% 39.3%
John McCain 19.5% 78.4% 4.7% 18.6%
Other 12.5% 1.4% 6.5% 30.7%
Don’t know 6.2% 2.7% 1.8% 11.4%
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If you voted, for whom did you vote?
Sex Age
TOTAL Male Female 18-29 30-45 46-60 61+
Barack Obama 61.8% 61.7% 61.8% 61.5% 62.1% 63.1% 50.0%
John McCain 19.5% 19.8% 19.3% 7.7% 19.2% 20.0% 19.2%
Other 12.5% 13.5% 11.6% 15.4% 11.2% 11.6% 26.9%
Don’t know 6.2% 5.0% 7.3% 15.4% 7.5% 5.3% 3.8%
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How certain are you that you will vote in the November congressional
elections?
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How certain are you that you will vote in the November congressional
elections?
Party Identification
TOTAL Republican Democrat Others
Very certain 53.8% 67.5% 56.4% 47.6%
Certain 17.9% 16.3% 21.6% 14.3%
I don’t know yet 12.4% 11.3% 13.5% 11.6%
Very uncertain 2.0% 1.3% 1.4% 3.7%
I won’t vote 9.0% 2.5% 5.1% 17.5%
Don’t know 4.8% 1.3% 2.0% 5.3%
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How certain are you that you will vote in the November congressional
elections?
Sex Age
TOTAL Male Female 18-29 30-45 45-60 60+
Very certain 53.8% 58.4% 50.3% 17.9% 54.0% 56.5% 64.3%
Certain 17.9% 19.2% 16.9% 28.6% 14.9% 20.6% 21.4%
I don’t know yet 12.4% 9.4% 14.8% 28.6% 11.5% 12.1% 7.1%
Very uncertain 2.0% 1.6% 2.4% 2.3% 1.2% 3.6%
I won’t vote 9.0% 7.5% 10.2% 14.3% 11.1% 7.3% 3.6%
Don’t know 4.8% 3.9% 5.4% 10.7% 6.1% 2.4%
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In what country were you born?
29.8%
0.7%2.6%
0.3%1.2%1.2%0.2%0.5%0.9%0.9%0.5%1.7%
3.9%
0.9%
34.1%
3.4% 4.8%
11.6%