Emerging NDE and the Plant Inspector Mark Koens, C.E.T. Petro-Canada IPEIA Conference - Banff 2006.
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Transcript of Emerging NDE and the Plant Inspector Mark Koens, C.E.T. Petro-Canada IPEIA Conference - Banff 2006.
Acknowledgments
Dr. Richard V. Murphy, Natural Resources Canada, NDT Certifying Agency
Dwain Teed, Petro-Canada
Overview
The problem
Where NDE was 10 years ago
Where NDE is today
How to maximize results
Where will NDE be in the future
Conclusions
Questions
Have You Ever……
received the results from an NDE inspection and found the results were inconclusive
had a job done but later discovered a better technique
found out that the chosen NDE technique wasn’t sensitive to the damage mechanism after the inspection was complete
wondered why a technique worked better at the demonstration
10 Years Ago
Datalogging was a recent development for UT
CR, RFT, TOFD, ACFM, EMAT, AUBT, Phased Array, Guided Wave and many other techniques were available but rarely used
Knowledgeable, qualified inspectors were plentiful
Techniques were fairly easily understood by the average visual inspector
Reliability and safety received lower focus
1995
Age of Canadian Certified NDT Inspectors(May 26, 2005)
020406080
100120140160180
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Age in Years (in 1995)
Nu
mb
er o
f P
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2006
Age of Canadian Certified NDT Inspectors(May 24, 2005)
020406080
100120140160180
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Age in Years (in 2005)
Nu
mb
er o
f P
erso
ns
2006
NDE has realized gains from the computer and medical industries
The average inspector is 44, this is 5 years older than just 10 years ago
Inspectors are in high demand, positions remain unfilled
The drive for safe, reliable operation is key to corporate success
The pressure to perform inspections outside of turnaround windows is increasing, on-stream inspections are common
2006
NDE techniques are providing ever increasing amounts of information
NDE techniques are more skill dependant
Fewer plant inspectors are becoming NDE certified
NDE information sessions and short courses are becoming common
There is a greater understanding of damage mechanisms, RBI programs are being implemented
Visual inspectors are increasingly having to rely on vendors or third party inspectors for NDE advice
2006
NDE costs are rising quickly, up approximately 300% over a ten year period
NDE vendors have established “Advanced Groups” to apply new techniques and hired Senior Visual Inspectors
Time between turnarounds is increasing
Non-inspection requirements are increasing, meetings, HAZOPS, MOC’s, etc.
There is no end in sight, the oil industry in Alberta will spend approximately $40 Billion in 2006
Maximizing Results
Improve your computer skills
Plan jobs with the vendor well in advance
Get trained in NDE techniques, take courses, attend conferences, seminars, ask questions, know limitations
Evaluate techniques on non-critical jobs
Re-evaluate techniques as advancements are made
Don’t select a technique just because it’s new!
Confirm results using another technique wherever possible
Maximizing Results
Audit jobs while they are going on, verify qualifications, verify the written procedure
Verify minimum flaw sizes, resolution, signal to noise ratio’s, cleaning requirements
Review reports as soon as they are received, don’t accept reports which are not complete or contain errors
Provide all available information to the NDE vendor when planning the job, give any reasonable assistance
Share feedback
Maximizing Results
Be wary of “Grey Zone” applications
Understand that what you consider to be a minor variable could have a major impact on results
Automate routine tasks wherever possible
Don’t expect that a single technique will work for a variety of applications, usually a specialized technique is only effective for certain applications
Have major NDE jobs overseen by an inspector knowledgeable in the method used
Question vendors who claim to be the only company who can do something
The Results Puzzle
Pre-jobPlanning
Known Damage Mechanism
Good Written Procedure
ResultsVerified
Proper Technique
Skilled Technician
10 Years from Now
Tolerance of failures will lead to increased NDE
Safety, reliability, and the need for non-intrusive inspections will fuel the demand for emerging NDE technologies
The number of CGSB certified technicians will be at 1996 levels or lower, various groups have predicted levels 25 to 50 percent lower than what are required, The average inspector will be about 48
There will be pressure to reduce escalating inspection costs and increase the reliability of results
10 Years from Now
There will be a widened gap between visual and NDE inspectors
NDT will be a managed resource within large organizations
Researching and approving inspection techniques will likely become a central task for most organizations
The Chief Inspector will likely oversee NDE, but will rely on others to select and co-ordinate
The use of a well selected, planned, and executed NDE technique is one of the most valuable tools available to achieve safety and reliability. The use of a poorly selected, planned, or executed technique is worse than performing no inspection at all.Cost effective use of NDE technology demands knowledgeable and engaged plant personnel.
Conclusions