Embraer Day BR 2014 Executive Jets
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Transcript of Embraer Day BR 2014 Executive Jets
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
Embraer Executive Jets
Marco Tulio Pellegrini
President & CEO – Embraer Executive Jets
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
Embraer Executive Jets fleet evolution
Source: GAMA, October 2012 and analysis Embraer
13 13 20 27 36 38 122 145
99 99 119 8 21 34 54 81
117 155
277
422
521
620
739
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Nu
mb
er
of
airc
raft
Deliveries EEJ fleet (accum)
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
Executive Aviation - Revenue evolution
145 175 246 278
582
838 874 937
1,210 1,119
1,292
1,645
´02 ´03 ´04 ´05 ´06 ´07 ´08 ´09 ´10 ´11 ´12 ´13
Net
Rev
enu
e (U
S$ M
M)
CAGR = 22%
P1
00
EIS
P3
00
& L
10
00
EIS
L65
0 E
IS
L60
0
EIS
7%
Commercial and Defense Executive Jets
27%
2013 2005
Embraer revenue per segment
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
Source: GAMA, Feb 2014 and Embraer analysis
Phenom 300 (All bizjet market)
37th 11th 5th 2nd 1st
Phenom 300 - Market share evolution
2% 11% 11%
1%
12% 5%
2% 6% 4%
16%
10%
8% 2%
20%
15%
11% 13% 12%
39%
18%
15% 15%
12%
17%
34% 31%
26%
1%
24% 30% 34%
47%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Phenom 300
CJ4
CJ3
CJ2+
Premier IA
Learjet 40/70
H 400XP
SJ-30-2
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
EEJ market share evolution since EIS (units)
Source: Jetnet and Embraer analysis – February 2014
5
22% accumulated since EIS, within the markets EEJ competes
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Mar
ket
shar
e
5% 9%
16%
21% 22%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Mar
ket
shar
e
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
EEJ market share (New aircraft delivery revenues)
6
Total revenue
Source: GAMA and Embraer analysis
$21.8Bi $17.3Bi $18.2Bi $18.1Bi $21.2Bi $17.7Bi
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent. 7
Embraer Executive Jets at a glance
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
Entry
Light
Mid-light
Mid-size
Super Mid-Size
Large
Ultra-Long Range
Ultra-large EIS 2009
EIS 2010
EIS 2002
EIS 2009
EIS 2008
EIS 2014
EIS 2015
Embraer product portfolio
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
Owners utilization profile (average FH/year)
Source: Jetnet IQ 2Q13 report proprietary data.
Embraer owners tend to have a better annual utilization leading their businesses to higher productivity
344
393
433
445
440
393
372
350
616
0 200 400 600 800
Small jets
Medium Jets
Large Jets
Gulfstream
Dassault
Bombardier
Cessna
Hawker
EMBRAER Owners
Ow
ner
scl
ass
Ow
ner
s O
EM
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
High utilization and reliability
Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Research , January 2014 Y/Y % change in 3M rolling average
Total operation (Y/Y% - 3M)
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
Top 10 best “liquidity” performers
Source: Jetnet, January 2014. Considers only currently in production jets, with an active fleet of 30 or more aircraft
Rank Models Days on market
Active fleet
Fleet for sale
Fleet for sale (%)
1st GULFSTREAM G-650 37 49 1 2.0%
2nd EMBRAER LEGACY 650 51 52 1 1.9%
3rd EMBRAER PHENOM 300 82 177 5 2.8%
4th GULFSTREAM G-550 119 428 12 2.8%
5th AIRBUS ACJ319 148 68 2 2.9%
6th CITATION CJ4 160 140 5 3.5%
7th CHALLENGER 300 207 428 25 5.8%
8th GULFSTREAM G-450 234 279 22 7.8%
9th CITATION CJ3 245 405 23 5.6%
10th EMBRAER PHENOM 100 262 294 20 6.8% .
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
Brazil | São J. Campos
Phenom 100 & 300 Legacy 450 & 500 Legacy 650 Lineage 1000
USA | Melbourne
Phenom 100 & 300 Legacy 450 & 500
China | Harbin
Legacy 650
EEJ manufacturing plants: global distribution
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
Legacy 500 program status
Four prototypes in flight test
1,100+ flight hours
21,000+ systems test hours performed
On track for EIS in 1H 2014
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent. 14
Legacy 450 successful first flight on Dec, 28th
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent. 15
Customer Support and Services
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
Embraer Service Center
Authorized Service Center
New Embraer Service Center in São Paulo - Brazil
Service Center network
Nearly 70 service centers worldwide
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
New Service Center in São Paulo, Brazil
MRO since November 2013
FBO start-up: March 2014
200,000 SQFT and US$ 25 MM investment
Sorocaba Service Center
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Customer satisfaction: 2nd position maintained
18
“Embraer is creeping even
closer to the top spot, up 0.1
to 8.2 from last year’s 8.1”
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent. 19
Market overview
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
Market recovery depends on many factors
Source: Embraer Analysis
Sales of New
Business Jets
Corporate Profits
Willingness to invest
Finance conditions
(for small jets, and Asia mainly)
Pre-owned Market
Business Aviation Traffic Wealthy
Population
Exchange Rates
Stock Markets
Airport Infrastructure
Regulatory Environment
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
U.S. corporate profits
Source: BEA – Bureau of Economic Analysis and Embraer estimates, January 2014. Seasonally adjusted at annual rates
2.288
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
Q3
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
US
Co
rpo
rate
Pro
fits
(U
S$ B
i)
+43% +129%
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
Worldwide HNWIs population
Source: World Wealth Report 2013 edition
7.78.2
8.89.6
10.1
8.6
10.110.8 11.0
11.9
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Po
pu
lati
on
(mi)
North America Europe Asia-Pacific Latin America Middle East Africa
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
Business Jet Traffic – United States
Source: FAA – February 2014
100
130
160
190
220
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Tho
usa
nd
of
Flig
hts
2007
2009
2012
2013
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
Source: Jetnet and Embraer Analysis, February 14th 2014
11.8% 2316 jets
7.4% 600 jets
0%
4%
8%
12%
16%
20%
24%
28%
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
3.500
´00 ´01 ´02 ´03 ´04 ´05 ´06 ´07 ´08 ´09 ´10 ´11 ´12 ´13 ´14TD
% o
f ac
tive
fle
et (
Lin
es)
Un
its
(Bar
s)
Fleet older than 10 yrs Up to 10 yrs & positions
Total fleet % for sale Up to 10 yrs % for sale
Business jets pre-owned market inventory
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
Source: Jetnet and Embraer Analysis, January 2014
Recovery will depend on an improvement in pre-owned prices. Owners are postponing substitutions.
Pre-owned asking prices
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
2.000
2.200
2.400
2.600
2.800
3.000
3.200
May-09 Jan-10 Sep-10 May-11 Jan-12 Sep-12 May-13 Jan-14
# Total Fleet for sale Market Depreciation
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent. 26
Market Forecast 2014-2023
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
Market Recovery in slow motion
Lack of confidence is holding the bizjet market turnaround
USA market dictates the speed of recovery
MILD GROWTH US Corporate profits at record levels
HNWI at record levels
World GDP growth is moderate
Used market inventory leveled off but prices are still an issue
Traffic recovery on track but slower than expected
European markets still at risk; emerging countries slowing down
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
Deliveries Forecast (units)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
20
22
20
23
9,250 jets and US$ 250 Bi in the next 10 years
Units US$
2014-2023 market forecast
900 4,2
1780
15,8
1140
17,3
920
17,8
1270
31,1
1670
64,7
1345
82,2
225 17,3
Deliveries Revenues
N10YF
Ultra Large
Ultra Long Range
Large
Supermid
Midsize
Midlight
Light
Entry
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
2014-2023 market forecast by region
Source: Embraer 2013.
North America 4,530 a/c (49%) US$ 117 Bi (47%)
EMEA 2,330 a/c (25%) US$ 70 Bi (28%)
Asia Pacific 725 a/c (8%) US$ 21 Bi (8%)
Latin America 860 a/c (9%) US$ 15 Bi (6%)
China 805 a/c (9%) US$ 29 Bi (11%)
Worldwide 9,250 units
US$ 250 Bi
This information is the property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written consent.
Phenom 300: 170+
Phenom 100: 290+
Lineage 1000: 15+
Legacy 600/650: 210+
700+ executive jets in service in more than 50 countries
Embraer Executive Jets Global Presence