EL MUNDO QUE VIENEmedia.firabcn.es/content/S092019/docs/ponencies/...© Active Development -...
Transcript of EL MUNDO QUE VIENEmedia.firabcn.es/content/S092019/docs/ponencies/...© Active Development -...
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
Joan Riera
Joan.riera@ActiveDecom
Tel. +34 629 14 58 17
+34 935 57 23 50
Skype: joan--riera
jriera
@riera_joan
EL MUNDO
QUE VIENE
12 Junio 2019
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
VIVIMOS EN UN
MUNDO
EXPONENCIAL
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
¿QUÉ SIGNIFICA
EXPONENCIAL?
Semana 1 €0,10
Semana 5 €1,60
Semana 6 €3,20
Semana 7 €6,40
Semana 8 €12,80
Semana 9 €25,60
Semana 10 €51,20
Semana 11 €102,40
Semana 12 €204,80
Semana 13 €409,60
Semana 14 €819,20
Semana 15 €1.638,40
Semana 16 €3.276,80
Semana 17 €6.553,60
Semana 18 €13.107,20
Semana 19 €26.214,40
Semana 20 €52.428,80
Semana 21 €104.857,60
Semana 22 €209.715,20
Semana 23 €419.430,40
Semana 24 €838.860,80
Semana 2 €0,20
Semana 3 €0,40
Semana 4 €0,80
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
1 Bill m
26!
30 linear steps
Vs
30 exponential steps
PENSAMIENTO LINEAL VS.
EXPONENCIAL
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
MOORE’S LAW
1965
La ley de Moore expresa
que aproximadamente
cada dos años se
duplica el número de
transistores en un
microprocesador.
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
MOORE’S LAW
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
¿POR QUÉ AHORA?
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
INTELIGENCIA ARTIFICIAL
(AI)
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
INTELIGENCIA ARTIFICIAL
(AI)
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
EVOLUCIÓN PRECIO DE
SENSORES
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
GPS RECEIVER
1st commercial GPS Receiver in 1981Weight: 53 lbs; Cost: $119,900
Complete system-on-a-chip (SoC) with a processor, memory, storage, and a communication module.
Single Chip GPS Receiver in 2010<$5 each
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
EVOLUCIÓN DE LA
CÁMARA DIGITAL
1976 – 1st Digital Camera0.01 MP / 3.75 lbs / $10,000
2017– Huawei Mobile Digital Camera40 MP / > 0.03 lbs / >$10
4000x Resolution
1000x Lighter
1000x Cheaper4,000,000,000 x better
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
EVOLUCIÓN DE LA
CÁMARA DIGITAL
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
EVOLUCIÓN
DE LA
CÁMARA
DIGITAL
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
SMART CITIES
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
BIG DATA
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
5G
Source: GSMA Intelligence
1. Testing in 2018
2. 5G enabled Mobile Phones 2019
3. Deployment in 20203. 10-100 Gbps speeds
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
TECH
SALUTENERGIA
AGUAALIMENTACIÓN
Reuse to
Repower
Fresh water
productionSmart
water
tech
Water
efficient
agriculture
Smart
farming
Antibiotic
free food
Internet
of
people
En la intersección
entre mercados
específicos y los
cambios tecnológicos
1 En la frontera entre
mercados existentes,
cuando se encuentran
entre sí.
2
LAS FUTURAS
OPORTUNIDADES
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
IMPACTOS
EXPONENCIALES
SINGULARITY UNIVERSITY
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
21
SALUD EXPONENCIAL
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
SALUD EXPONENCIAL
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
SALUD GLOBAL
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
SALUD GLOBAL
Next time you’re about to
toss a cigarette butt on the
ground, consider this
freaky fact: It takes less
than a nanogram (or less
than one billionth of the
mass of a penny) of your
dried saliva for scientists
to construct a digital
portrait that bears an
uncanny resemblance to
your very own face. For
proof look to Hong Kong,
where a recent ad
campaign takes
advantage of phenotyping,
the prediction of physical
appearance based on bits
of DNA, to publicly shame
people who have littered.
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
ENERGÍA EXPONENCIAL
En una hora de sol, se puede obtener toda la energía que
consume la población humana en un año entero
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
ENERGÍA EXPONENCIAL
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
ENERGÍA EXPONENCIAL
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
ENERGÍA EXPONENCIAL
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
SOSTENIBILIDAD
EXPONENCIAL
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
ALIMENTACIÓN
EXPONENCIAL
World Population
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
34
ALIMENTACIÓN
EXPONENCIAL
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
ALIMENTACIÓN
EXPONENCIAL
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
INFORMACIÓN
EXPONENCIAL
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
NUEVO ESCENARIO
LABORAL
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
NUEVO ESCENARIO
LABORAL
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
NUEVO ESCENARIO
LABORAL
By 2022, the World Economic
Forum estimates that 42% of
the skills of an employee will
be different from the suit of
skill they use in their jobs
today.
Global average skills ability -
the proportion of core skills
required to perfom a job that
wil remain the same.
Source: The Future of Jobs, 2018 – World Economic Forum
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
CIBERATAQUE.
¿IMPACTO?
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
DISRUMPIR O
SER DISRUMPIDO
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
LA CURVA DE LA
INNOVACIÓN
Chaos/ Amazement
You are here
Disappointment
Deception of Linear vs Exponential
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
¿IMPACTO?
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
AV: ¿IMPACTO?
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
AV: ¿IMPACTO?
VUCA: volatilidad, incertidumbre, complejidad y ambigüedad
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
Nov 2018
AV: ¿IMPACTO?La era del taxi autónomo arranca con Waymo a principios
de diciembre 2018 en Phoenix, según Bloomberg.
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
AV: ¿IMPACTO?
Dic 2018
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
¿IMPACTO?
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
¿IMPACTO?
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
CASO TESLA
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
CASO TESLA
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
CASO TESLA
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
CASO TESLA
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
CASO TESLA
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
CASO TESLA
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
CASO TESLA
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
CASO TESLA
90% Fewer Moving Parts
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
CASO TESLA
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
CASO TESLA
VehicleVehicle
Fuel Electricity
GASOLINE
VEHICLEELECTRIC
VEHICLE
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
CASO TESLA
VehicleVehicle
Fuel
Electricity
GASOLINE
VEHICLEELECTRIC
VEHICLE
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
CASO TESLA
PRICE OF BATTERIES + NO DRIVER COSTElectric Autonomous Taxis will cost 1/2 of what a personal vehicle costs, 1/10th of what a Taxi costs, and be competitive with bus and rail.
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
CASO TESLA
Zaki Yamani, minister in the OPEC (Organization of the Petrolium Exporting Countries) for 25 years
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
Y LO QUE VIENE...
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
Y LO QUE VIENE...
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50 74
“El mundo está cambiando muy rápido: ya no es el grande quien golpea al pequeño, es el rápido quien golpea al lento”
Rupert Murdoch
RECETA:
RAPIDEZ + FLEXIBILIDAD
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
Institutions, whether public or private, big or small,
cannot survive in a changing environment such
as the current one unless they are capable of
acquiring entrepreneurial traits and behaviours.
Peter Drucker, 1985
NO TAN NUEVO…
75
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50 76
DE ACUERDO,
PERO ¿CÓMO HAGO MI
ORGANIZACIÓN MÁS FLEXIBLE?
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
¡LOS INTRAEMPRENDEDORES!
77
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50 78
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
March 13, 2014
‘Intrapreneurs’ come to the rescueBy Tim Smedley
Geared for success: no harm in having Ferraris in the car park
79
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
✓ Pasión
✓ Una gran experiencia
✓ Toman riesgos de manera inteligente
✓ Trabajadores
✓ Confían en si mismos
✓ Optimistas
✓ La independencia
✓ Compiten para ganar
✓ Espíritu de superación
✓ Sentido del Humor
LOS VALORES DEL
INTRAEMPRENDEDOR
80
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
Fun is a serious
Business Tool
81
DIVERTIDO!
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
EN EQUIPO
82
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50 83
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50 84
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50 85
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50 86
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
NUNCA ES TARDE…
¿Cual es la edad media del emprendedor español y americano?
87
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50 88
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
EMPRENDIMIENTO
CORPORATIVO: DEFINICIÓN
Estrategia, procesos y herramientas que permiten
identificar, capturar, definir, desarrollar y capitalizaroportunidades de negocio de manera ordenada y profesional a través delemprendimiento.
– IN: Ecosistema para fomentar y cultivar el espíritu emprendedor
(actitud, habilidades y nuevas competencias)
– OUT: Open Innovation en todo el proceso
(colaboración con startups, «corporate venturing»)
89
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
Se aprende, se practica, se mide y se gestiona.
La receta del futuro para transformar organizaciones clásicas
en empresas más innovadoras, ágiles y adaptativas.
90
EMPRENDIMIENTO
CORPORATIVO
UN NUEVO SISTEMA
OPERATIVO
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
GESTOR TRADICIONAL INTRAEMPRENDEDOR
DIFERENCIAS ENTRE
GESTORES
Las organizaciones necesitan 2 tipos de perfiles:
Tim Cook: Explotación Steve Jobs: Exploración
91
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50 94
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50 95
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50 96
PARA LA ORGANIZACIÓN
✓ Fomenta procesos de la innovación que dan lugar a nuevas propuestas que generan crecimiento.
✓ Permite identificar perfiles diferenciados que son relevantes y que están dispuestos a provocar y liderar uncambio→ Clave para la retención de talento.
✓ Mayor vinculación y compromiso del empleado con la empresa.
✓ Mayor rentabilidad del coste salarial: Los trabajadores aportan algo más que su trabajo.
✓ Genera competencia interna sana por los mismos recursos.
✓ Aflora problemas y oportunidades dentro de la organización.
✓ Fomenta la transversalidad y la comunicación interdepartamental mediante proyectos comunes.
BENEFICIOS DEL
EMPRENDIMIENTO CORPORATIVO
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50 97
PARA EL INTRAEMPRENDEDOR
✓ Acceso a know-how y recursos de la organización.
✓ Está mejor retribuido que el no emprendedor ya sea por vía méritos, reconocimiento o víaeconómica.
✓ Aumenta la motivación del trabajador: Sus iniciativas son tenidas en cuenta.
✓ Le permite conocer gente de diferentes perfiles, trabajar en equipo y recibir formación específica.
✓ Le permite hacer algo diferente con su trabajo diario, con lo que puede combatir la rutina.
BENEFICIOS DEL
EMPRENDIMIENTO CORPORATIVO
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
CÓMO UN ELEFANTE…
¿PUEDE APRENDER A BAILAR?
98
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50 99
LAS 5 PALANCAS
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
PALANCA 1
100
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50 102
PALANCA 2
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50 104
PALANCA 3
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50 105
PALANCA 4
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50 107
PALANCA 5
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
• DEPENDERÁ DE LA TÉCNICA:
Estrategia, procesos y herramientas
• DEPENDERÁ DE LA EJECUCIÓN:
Identificar, capturar, capitalizar oportunidades
• CON MUCHA PRÁCTICA:
Ecosistema, cultura, actitud, competencias
• SIN BAILAR SOLO:
En colaboración con startups
108
CÓMO UN ELEFANTE…
¿PUEDE APRENDER A BAILAR?
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50 109
CÓMO UN ELEFANTE…
¿PUEDE APRENDER A BAILAR?
Prólogo de Bill Aulet,Director de
Entrepreneurship en el MIT.
«Esta obra es de una necesidad enorme»
Manuel Bermejo, profesor del IE
Business School.
« Para progresar las empresas necesitan activar la curiosidad,
la inquietud por mejorar»Isla Ramos, Exdirectora ejecutiva de LENOVO en
Europa, Oriente Medio y África.
Entrevistas:
© Active Development - Reproduction is forbidden - www.ActiveDe.com, [email protected], +34 93 557 23 50
Oficina en BarcelonaAvd. Diagonal 608, E108021 – Barcelona – Spain
Tel. +34 629 145 817Skype: joan--riera
jriera
@riera_joan
Joan RieraProfesor de ESADE
Presidente de Active Development
BARCELONA - MADRID - CASABLANCA - MIAMI