Egg Market Evolution in the Mediterranean Basin
-
Upload
george-allison -
Category
Documents
-
view
24 -
download
2
description
Transcript of Egg Market Evolution in the Mediterranean Basin
Egg Market Evolution in the Mediterranean
BasinDr. Thomas Elam, President, FarmEcon LLC
Data sources:
• Egg production statistics are from FAO ProdStat database• Population data to 2050 are from UN population studies• GDP statistics are from World Bank, World Development Indicators
database• U.S. egg feed costs are from USDA feed ingredient prices, FarmEcon
costing formula• All data projections except population are from FarmEcon LLC
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
MIlk
Kg/
Capi
ta
Mea
t -Eg
gs K
g/Ca
pita
Projected Per Capita Production, Total Meat/Poultry, Milk and Eggs
Eggs Meat + Poultry Milk
Meeting Growing Global Food Demand• Most significant long run challenge facing food producers• World’s population projected to hit about 9 billion by 2050• Increasing incomes: demand for animal-based products increases faster than population.• Recent global egg production growth averaged about 2.2% per annum• 2014-2050 conservative 2% average per annum egg demand growth• Need about 100 million tons of egg production to meet potential 2050 demand• Meeting potential demand, while producing a safe, environmentally responsible, welfare
friendly egg supply is going to be a major challenge• Up to the people in this room, and others like you around the world, to make it possible. • Opportunities to bring hen productivity up in middle income areas of the world• Doing so would go a long way toward meeting increasing food demand with minimal
environmental impact.
Element (UOM) Agricultural Item (UOM)2013-2050
CAGRProduction (per cap) Eggs 1.13%Production (per cap) Total Meat 0.81%Production (per cap) Milk 0.93%
Population Population 0.81%
Production (tonnes) Eggs 1.95%Production (tonnes) Total Meat 1.63%Production (tonnes) Milk 1.75%
Coarse Grains Area harvested (Mill Ha) -0.25%Coarse Grains Yield (MT/Ha) 1.09%Coarse Grains Production (Mill MT) 0.83%
Oilcrops Area harvested (Mill Ha) 1.08%Oilcrops Yield (MT/Ha) 1.34%Oilcrops Production (Mill MT) 2.43%
Total Feed Crops Area harvested (Mill Ha) 0.45%
Mediterranean Egg Industry Prospects
The Global Scenario
Today $0.38
Meeting Growing Global Food Demand• Global egg sector is a dynamic, growing, food source• Per capita consumption benefiting from income growth, especially in Asia and
Africa. • The Mediterranean Basin region is sharing in this growth• But compared to the global industry not fully benefiting from income growth• Within the region a very wide range of economic and political situations,
production systems, demand growth, and regulatory regimes• Yet, many common issues facing egg producers across the entire area• Hen productivity in many low productivity countries are a major opportunity
to meet 2050 potential demand with minimal increase in hen numbers • Increased hen productivity would also effectively address many of the other
major issues identified above.