Effects of Recession on u.s Economy

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    OF

    [BUSINESS ENVIORNMENT]

    TOPIC EFFECT OF RECESSION U.S.A

    ECONOMY

    INDEX

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    1. MEANING AND OVERVIEW OF

    RECESSION

    2. INDICATORS OF RECESSION

    3. ILL EFFECTS OF RECESSION

    4. U.S.A RECESSION

    5. KEY DATA

    6. HISTORY OF U.S.A RECESSION

    7. COUNTRIES AFFECTED BY RECESSION

    8. AFFECT OF RECESSION ON ASIAN

    ECONOMIES

    9. INTERPRETATION AND ANALYSIS

    10. BIBLIOGRAPHY

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    RECESSION

    RECESSION: AN OVERVIEW

    MEANING: A recession is general slowdown in economic

    activities for a long period. It is just like a business cycle

    depression. During recession employment, investment

    power, personal and household incomes of the people

    decreases and unemployment bankruptcy situation

    increases in the country. The recession is not confined

    only within a country but its ill effects also affects

    adversly the adjourning countries or the countries whose

    economirs are related with that particular country.

    Depression is a worst financial crisis situation for a

    country.

    DEFINITION: A period of general economicdecline;

    typically defined as a decline in GDP for two or more

    consecutive quarters. A recession is typically

    accompanied by a drop in the stock market, an increase

    in unemployment, and a decline in the housing market. A

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    recession is generally considered less severe than

    a depression, and if a recession continues long enough it

    is often then classified as a depression. There is no one

    obvious cause of a recession, although overall blame

    generally falls on thefederalleadership, often either

    the President himself, the head of the Federal Reserve, or

    the entire administration.

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    INDICATORS OF RECESSION:

    1 ) SAVINGS: during recession savings of the private

    sector increase this happens because of the reason that

    people dont like to spend more durinfg this situation.

    Because of decrease in unemployement rate people

    started to save more and more money and spends a very

    less amount. Because of increase in saving by privatesector they tends to decrease savings of the public

    sector.

    2) CONSUMPTION: Because of the fact that the

    investment power of the people decrease in the

    recession people fear to purchase. Because of which

    consumption also tends to fall.

    3) INVESTMENT: Because of increase in saving and

    decrease in consumption power investment also

    decreases. People are not so much confident to invest

    during recession as they feel that their money may go in

    wain because of market downfall. So they dont invest or

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    invest a very less amount of their capital during

    recession.

    4) GOVERNMENT SPENDING: government spending

    increases during recession because of the fact that the

    government have to spend a lot of money in order to

    increase employment. Government also have to spend a

    lot of money on mainmtaining stability in infrastructure.

    5) AGGREGATE DEMAND: Because of the all above

    facts that consumption power decrease, and even

    decrease in investment power.these factors leads to

    decrease in aggregate demand in the economy.

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    We have so much to discuss on recession. We generally

    say that recession is bad, but some of wont be knowing

    what the recession actually mean and what are the ill

    affects of recession on a common man. We know that

    recession leads to lower national income and even

    decrease in nAtional output.

    Sevaral illeffects of recession :

    1. RISE IN UNEMPLOYMENT: although this is a slow

    process but the unemployment in the country

    decrease. Because of the crisis in the industries

    companies have to remove so many employees. It

    takes a lot of time for employment to increase.

    2. RISE IN GOVERNMENT BORROWINGS: Recession

    is a worst situation for the government. Because of

    recession the revenues from the tax decreases but

    the investments of government increases. It is

    forcasted that UK have to borrow 60 billion dollor.

    This situation may even become worst in upcoming

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    years. Because of these loans higher taxes and

    higher interst payment situation arises in the future.

    3. FALL IN SHARE PRICES: Because of recession

    profitabilty and dividends also lower down. Which

    leads shares to be even less atrractive. Share prices

    also falls because of the future expeectation of

    recession. We should remember that share prices

    may also gfall because of other reasons it not only

    depend upon recession.

    4. Lower down inflation rate: because of recession

    inflation also slows down.

    5. Fall in investment: because of fall in the economy

    growth rate of an economy the investment power

    also lower down.

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    US RECESSION

    HOW RECESSION STARTED:

    Almost in the middle of 2006-2007 the real state

    business was at the peak in U.S.A. And were arising

    so many possibilities and miss conceptions. It was

    estimated that the prices of real estates will rise to a

    great height in the future.

    Because of these possibilties banks started providing

    easy access loans to public on a very low rate of

    interest. Government and banks were anticipating

    that this money would be recovered very soon.

    But it was only a missconception. Soon interest rates

    started rising and inverse to that house prices also

    started lowering down moderately. Now the public

    was not able to pay back the loan. Which resulted for

    the banks and government to refinance its money.

    Soon defaults and contraversies started happening.

    And the prices also didnt rises as the government

    was expecting.

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    This resulted in a big loss to banks and government

    with a large part of mortgage holding securities. And

    the banks become insolvent and even put

    INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS UNDER RISK OF

    COLLAPSING.

    This panic of uncertainity in the international

    financial markets quickly resulted in the dectrease of

    credits capacities.

    Slowly this situation flourished in the whole world

    leading to global recession.

    Althogh different economies tried their best to protect

    themselves from these effects but the affect was so

    extensive that no one was aloof fromm the effect.

    Althogh different countries were affected on different

    levels and INDIA was the least affected country. But U.S.A

    was worst affected country

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    6.

    HISTORY OF US RECESSIONS

    According to different economists since the year 1854,

    U.S.A have faced almost 32 cycles of expansions and

    recession. The average is of 17 months of recession and

    38 months of expansion. But from 1980 there are only 8

    times when U.S.A faced recession. But majorly these

    recessions can be classified into four.

    1. From july 1981 to november 1982. This was of 14

    months.

    2. From july 1990 to march 1991. This was of 8 months.

    3. From march 2001 to november 2001. This was of 8

    months.

    4. From december 2007 to current. Period is still not

    estimated.

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    Current recession is facing fall in private consumption

    first time since last 20 years. This shows how severe this

    recession is. Confidence of conusmer very low .So it will

    take a very long time for the economy of the country to

    recover from recession.

    FEW COUNTRIES WHICH ARE ALSO FACING

    RECESSION ARE:

    1. UNITED KINGDOM

    2. IRELAND

    3.CANADA

    4. JAPAN

    5.CHINA

    6. INDIA

    7. NEW ZEALAND.

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    India and china is not actually facing the recession but

    only economic slow down. Australia prohibited itself from

    the global recession rather it has made an overall growth.

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    Americans who saved their money have already invested

    that in their housing, car and other facilities. The U.S.Aeconomy has seen its peak but now its going into a

    downfall situation.

    Now americans are themselves jobless and they are

    approaching to others countries to search for the jobs.

    Asians countries are providing more job opportunities ascompared to america.

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    EFFECT OF RECESSION ON ASIAN ECONOMIES

    In the beginning many people felt that decouplingtheory would apply. This theory says that asian

    economies wont be affected from usa recession. But in

    actual sense this theory dont work at all. Almost all the

    asian economies were affected by this. But still sian

    countries are in a better position as compared with us

    downturns.

    U.S.A treated as the reason for all the problems.

    Situation of panic in asian markets and stock

    exchanges.

    Fall in the share values.

    Continuous fluctuation in the asian stock exchanges.

    Rise of oil prices in asiian markets.

    Many of the adjourning companies which had their

    alliances with U.S.A companies are closed.

    Exports and imports are turned into mess.

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    Before singapore export 20% of theeir total gdp but

    now this decreases by 11%.

    India is also the affected country from recession.

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    INTERPRETATION AND ANALYSIS

    Here we can say that A recession is general slowdown in

    economic activities for a long period. It is just like a

    business cycle depression. During recession employment,

    investment power, personal and household incomes of

    the people decreases and unemployment bankruptcy

    situation increases in the country. The recession is notconfined only within a country but its ill effects also

    affects adversly the adjourning countries or the countries

    whose economirs are related with that particular country.

    Depression is a worst financial crisis situation for a

    country.

    U.S.A The most powerful country in the world is in the

    grip of recession. Although it was the source of recession

    and which later spread to other countries. But it can be

    truly said that U.S.A is brilliantly facing the recession. It

    has succeded in maintaing its GDP upto 1.0 and home

    price is estimated to decline by 10% in 2009.

    U.S.A has faced recessions recessions so many time even

    before and all the time it has emerged as a more

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    powerful country. Data on U.S.A history explains

    everything about that. U.S.A is the leader of the world.

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    BIBLIOGRAPHY

    1. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Late-2000s_recession

    2. http://en.google/recession\HARDEST HIT BY

    RECESSION

    3. http://www.wikinvest.com/concept/U.S._Economic_Cy

    cles

    4. http://www.sjsu.edu/faculty/watkins/USecon08.htm

    5. http://www.house.gov/jec/economic_conditions.html

    6. http://www.articlesbase.com/business-

    articles/marketing-strategy-during-recession-

    684098.html

    AND

    MEEEE..

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Late-2000s_recessionhttp://www.wikinvest.com/concept/U.S._Economic_Cycleshttp://www.wikinvest.com/concept/U.S._Economic_Cycleshttp://www.sjsu.edu/faculty/watkins/USecon08.htmhttp://www.house.gov/jec/economic_conditions.htmlhttp://www.house.gov/jec/economic_conditions.htmlhttp://www.articlesbase.com/business-articles/marketing-strategy-during-recession-684098.htmlhttp://www.articlesbase.com/business-articles/marketing-strategy-during-recession-684098.htmlhttp://www.articlesbase.com/business-articles/marketing-strategy-during-recession-684098.htmlhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Late-2000s_recessionhttp://www.wikinvest.com/concept/U.S._Economic_Cycleshttp://www.wikinvest.com/concept/U.S._Economic_Cycleshttp://www.sjsu.edu/faculty/watkins/USecon08.htmhttp://www.house.gov/jec/economic_conditions.htmlhttp://www.articlesbase.com/business-articles/marketing-strategy-during-recession-684098.htmlhttp://www.articlesbase.com/business-articles/marketing-strategy-during-recession-684098.htmlhttp://www.articlesbase.com/business-articles/marketing-strategy-during-recession-684098.html