Edmonton Beverly Clareview - April 19

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BILOUS LEADS EDMONTON-BEVERLY-CLAREVIEW April 20th, 2015. A new poll by Mainstreet Technologies in the electoral district of Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview shows NDP incumbent Deron Bilous in the lead over Edmonton City Councillor & PC Candidate Tony Caterina. With 401 respondents the poll carries a margin of error of +/- 4.86, 19 times out of 20. Mainstreet is taking a close look at the races in 6 key electoral districts as determined by the Calgary Herald and Edmonton Journal. Today also saw results released for Calgary-Fort. “In 2012 this was a close race - but that was before the NDP surge we have seen in Alberta over the past few weeks. It’s not surprise that with the strongest NDP numbers in Edmonton that has been good news for MLA Deron Bilous,” said David Valentin, Vice-President of Mainstreet Technologies. "If these numbers hold we should see Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview go NDP again on Election night but there is a long way to go. Councillor Caterina should not be counted out - a strong local machine can make a big difference if the provincial numbers tighten - he will need them to do so.” Highlights: - Deron Bilous of the NDP leads 42% to 21% among all voters - Among decided voters it is 50% to 25% over Tony Caterina -30- For more information or phone interview: David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - [email protected] Methodology The poll surveyed a random sample of Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview residents by Interactive Voice Response (IVR) on April 19th, 2015. All Mainstreet polls include cell phone samples unless otherwise stated. About Mainstreet Technologies Mainstreet Technologies is an emerging national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs. Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority PC government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of November’s Toronto mayoral election and February’s by-election in Sudbury.

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Mainstreet Technologies Poll of Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview finds Deron Biilious in the lead.

Transcript of Edmonton Beverly Clareview - April 19

  • BILOUS LEADS EDMONTON-BEVERLY-CLAREVIEW

    April 20th, 2015. A new poll by Mainstreet Technologies in the electoral district of Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview shows NDP incumbent Deron Bilous in the lead over Edmonton City Councillor & PC Candidate Tony Caterina. With 401 respondents the poll carries a margin of error of +/- 4.86, 19 times out of 20.

    Mainstreet is taking a close look at the races in 6 key electoral districts as determined by the Calgary Herald and Edmonton Journal. Today also saw results released for Calgary-Fort.

    In 2012 this was a close race - but that was before the NDP surge we have seen in Alberta over the past few weeks. Its not surprise that with the strongest NDP numbers in Edmonton that has been good news for MLA Deron Bilous, said David Valentin, Vice-President of Mainstreet Technologies.

    "If these numbers hold we should see Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview go NDP again on Election night but there is a long way to go. Councillor Caterina should not be counted out - a strong local machine can make a big dierence if the provincial numbers tighten - he will need them to do so.

    Highlights:- Deron Bilous of the NDP leads 42% to 21% among all voters- Among decided voters it is 50% to 25% over Tony Caterina

    -30-

    For more information or phone interview:David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - [email protected]

    MethodologyThe poll surveyed a random sample of Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview residents by Interactive Voice Response (IVR) on April 19th, 2015. All Mainstreet polls include cell phone samples unless otherwise stated.

    About Mainstreet TechnologiesMainstreet Technologies is an emerging national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aairs.

    Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority PC government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of Novembers Toronto mayoral election and Februarys by-election in Sudbury.

  • If the provincial election were held tomorrow, who would you vote for in your local constituency?

    DERON BILOUS (NDP)TONY CATERINA (PC)

    STEPHANIE DIACON (WILDROSE)OWAIS SIDDIQUI (ALBERTA)

    TOMI YELLOWFACE (LIBERAL)UNDECIDED

    42%21%7%5%9%17%

    BREAKDOWNS18-3438%29%5%5%6%17%44

    35-4934%16%9%8%12%21%63

    50-6460%11%5%5%8%11%133

    65+39%20%9%4%10%18%161

    Female37%25%7%5%6%

    20%238

    Male48%15%6%6%12%13%164

    DERON BILOUS (NDP)TONY CATERINA (PC)STEPHANIE DIACON (WILDROSE)OWAIS SIDDIQUI (ALBERTA)TOMI YELLOWFACE (LIBERAL)UNDECIDEDSAMPLE

    CERTAIN39%20%6%6%11%18%

    LIKELY54%24%9%3%3%6%

    MIGHT11%27%7%17%6%32%

    UNLIKELY42%7%2%0%7%

    42%

    DERON BILOUS (NDP)TONY CATERINA (PC)STEPHANIE DIACON (WILDROSE)OWAIS SIDDIQUI (ALBERTA)TOMI YELLOWFACE (LIBERAL)UNDECIDED

    Deron Bilous of the Alberta NDP led by Rachel NotleyTony Caterina of the Progressive Conservatives led by Jim Prentice

    Stephanie Diacon of the Wildrose Party led by Brian JeanOwais Siddiqui of the Alberta Party led by Greg Clark

    Tomi Yellowface of the Alberta Liberals led by David Swann

    If the provincial election were held tomorrow, who would you vote for in your local constituency?

  • If the provincial election were held tomorrow, who would you vote for in your local constituency?

    DERON BILOUS (NDP)TONY CATERINA (PC)

    STEPHANIE DIACON (WILDROSE)OWAIS SIDDIQUI (ALBERTA)

    TOMI YELLOWFACE (LIBERAL)

    50%25%8%6%10%

    Deron Bilious (NDP) Tony Caterina (PC)Stephanie Diacon (Wildrose) Owais Siddiqui (Alberta)

    Tomi Yellowface (Liberal)

    40

    30

    20

    10

    0