Edgar A. Cordero President Colombian Coffee Federation ...Sep 27, 2011 · (FNC) The FNC is a...
Transcript of Edgar A. Cordero President Colombian Coffee Federation ...Sep 27, 2011 · (FNC) The FNC is a...
Edgar A. Cordero gExecutive Vice
PresidentPresident Colombian Coffee Federation IncFederation, Inc.
© Copyright FNC 2011
September 27th, 2011
Colombian Coffee Grower’s Federation (FNC)(FNC)
The FNC is a private non-profit organization, founded in 1927by the Colombian coffee growersby the Colombian coffee growers
Mission Statement
To improve the living standards of nearly 566,000 coffee growers and their families through an effectivetheir families through an effective,
democratic and representative organization
VisionTo obtain a competitive and
sustainable coffee sector; strengthensustainable coffee sector; strengthen the social network in coffee zones and maintain the Colombian coffee
th b t ff i th ld
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as the best coffee in the world
A Democratic OrganizationA Democratic Organization
Every four years the coffee growers f C l bi l t th i l l d
National Congress of Coffee growers
of Colombia elect their local and national representatives. A full 65%
of the coffee growers voted in the
Board of directors
National Committee
recent 2010 election. A new election will take place in 2014
Regional Committees
Municipal Committees
15
356Municipal Committees 356Coffee Municipalities 587
Federated Coffee Federated Coffee GrowersGrowers More than 500,000
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Coffee Growers IDCoffee Growers ID
Colombian Coffee Growers:89% have less than 3 hectares89% have less than 3 hectares
COFFEE GROWERSCLASSIFICATION BY COFFEE AREA
More
CLASSIFICATION BY COFFEE AREA
4 77%4 77%
0,49%0,49%More than
20 Hect.
5,79%5,79%
4,77%4,77%5,1 a 20 Hect.
3 1 a 5 Hect
28,36%28,36%
5,79%5,79%3,1 a 5 Hect.
1 a 3 Hect.
60,59%60,59%Less than 1 Hect.
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Colombian Coffee Growers:89% have less than 7.6 acres
The coffee regions are vulnerable communities:
COFFEE GROWERSCOMPOSITION BY COFFEE AREAS
0,49%0,49%More than
4,77%4,77%
50 acres
12.6 to 50 acres
5,79%5,79%7.7 to 12.5 acres
60 59%60 59%
28,36%28,36%2.5 to 7.6 acres
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60,59%60,59%Less than 2.5 acres
National Coffee FundInstrument to improve growers living p g gstandards
The National Coffee Fund is a treasury t d i i t d b th F d tiaccount, administered by the Federation,
created in 1940 to protect and promote the Colombian coffee industry.
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How does the National Coffee Fundwork?work?
INCOMES EXPENSES
NATIONAL
Coffee
Purchase Coffee
Commercialization
NATIONAL COFFEE FUND
growers contributions
CommercializationCosts
Administration Costs
Coffee Sales
Services to the coffee producer (extension research(extension, research, quality controls, promotion and advertising, among
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advertising, among others)
There is a binding agreement between the National Government and the FNC toNational Government and the FNC to administer the National Coffee Fund
CONTRACTCOLOMBIAN
GOVERNMENTGO
NATIONAL COFFEE FUND
$SEPTEMBER 27th, 2011 © Copyright FNC 20118
$
The Fund performs the following activities through its administrative agent the FNC:
Guarantees the purchase of coffee.
through its administrative agent, the FNC:
Provides warehousing, sorting, processing and packaging of coffee beans.
Provides commercialization (Domestically and internationally) of coffee beans and freeze-dried coffee.y)
Provides public goods and institutional services Worldwide marketing, promotion and advertising Enforcing quality standards Research and development
Technical assistance to farmers
Invests in the development and competitiveness of the
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domestic coffee industry.
Colombian Coffee Grower’s Federation
• Technological Research - Cenicafé
• Execution of the Purchase Guarantee
• Technical assistance through the extension serviceTechnical assistance through the extension service
• Quality standards for exported coffees
• Advertising campaigns• Advertising campaigns
• Social and physical investments in the coffee regions
M t f th N ti l C ff F d• Management of the National Coffee Fund
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Purchase GuaranteePurchase Guarantee
A network of about 500 cooperative purchasing points, throughout the Colombian coffee region, that ensures every grower will find a b f hi ff t t tbuyer for his coffee at a transparent and socially responsible price.
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THE DIFFERENTIALTHE DIFFERENTIAL
• A coffee differential is the substitution price, expressed in premiums and discounts of oneexpressed in premiums and discounts, of one type of coffee for another.
• For Arabica coffees we normally use the NY “C” as a peg or benchmark but in reality we are determining what the price of one type of coffee should be compared to another type of coffee, including the perceived average value of the certified stocks.
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Colombian Coffee UGQ Diferential VS Central America and Brasil
84
Colombian Coffee UGQ Diferential VS Central America and Brasil
[ US¢ / lb ]Colombia UGQ
54
64
74 Colombia UGQ
Guatemala HB
Costa Rica HB
El Salvador HG
2124
34
44 Honduras HG
Mexico Lavado
Brasil Santos 2/3
15.58.1
21
6.9
0 92.54
14
24
0,9
-8.7
-26
-16
-6
26
ene-
06m
ar-0
6m
ay-0
6ju
l-06
sep-
06no
v-06
ene-
07m
ar-0
7m
ay-0
7ju
l-07
sep-
07no
v-07
ene-
08m
ar-0
8m
ay-0
8ju
l-08
sep-
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v-08
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09m
ar-0
9m
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11m
ar-1
1m
ay-1
1ju
l-11
sep-
11
Source: Complete Coffee Coverage Inteligencia Competitiva FNC
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Source: Complete Coffee Coverage - Inteligencia Competitiva - FNC
Differentials
100Diferencial Diario Colombia UGQ VS Centro América
2009 ‐11
ColombiaUGQ80
Colombia UGQDiferencial Guatemala HBCosta Rica HBDiferencial Mexico LavadoDiferencial Honduras HG
40
60
¢/lb
Diferencial Honduras HGDiferencial Salvador HG
Fuente: Complete Coffee Coverage - Inteligencia Competitiva - FNC
20
40
US
0
‐20
‐97 97 ‐98 98 ‐99 99 ‐00 00 ‐01 01 ‐02 02 ‐03 03 ‐04 04 ‐05 05 ‐06 06 ‐07 07 ‐08 08 ‐09 09 ‐10 10 ‐11 11
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06‐ene
‐
06‐jul‐
06‐ene
‐
06‐jul‐
06‐ene
‐
06‐jul‐
06‐ene
‐
06‐jul‐
06‐ene
‐
06‐jul‐
06‐ene
‐
06‐jul‐
06‐ene
‐
06‐jul‐
06‐ene
‐
06‐jul‐
06‐ene
‐
06‐jul‐
06‐ene
‐
06‐jul‐
06‐ene
‐
06‐jul‐
06‐ene
‐
06‐jul‐
06‐ene
‐
06‐jul‐
06‐ene
‐
06‐jul‐
06‐ene
‐
06‐jul‐
C l bi C ff UGQ Dif i l VS C l A i Mild A bi
45
50Colombian Coffee UGQ Diferential VS Central America Mild Arabicas
Differentials ‐ 2011 [ US¢/lb ]
Colombia UGQ Diferencial Guatemala HB
35
40 Costa Rica HB Diferencial Mexico Lavado
Diferencial Honduras HG Diferencial Salvador HG
20 5
25
30
16
10 5
20.5
15
20
10.5
4.5
1
9
5
10
10
1‐en
e‐11
9‐en
e‐11
7‐en
e‐11
5‐en
e‐11
2‐feb‐11
0‐feb‐11
8‐feb‐11
6‐feb‐11
6‐mar‐11
4‐mar‐11
2‐mar‐11
0‐mar‐11
7‐abr‐11
5‐abr‐11
3‐abr‐11
‐may‐11
‐may‐11
‐may‐11
‐may‐11
2‐jun‐11
0‐jun‐11
8‐jun‐11
6‐jun‐11
04‐ju
l‐11
12‐ju
l‐11
20‐ju
l‐11
28‐ju
l‐11
5‐ago‐11
3‐ago‐11
1‐ago‐11
9‐ago‐11
6‐sep‐11
4‐sep‐11
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01 09 17 25 02 10 18 26 06 14 22 30 07 15 23 01 09 17 25 0 2 10 18 26 0 1 2 2 05 13 21 29 06 14
Source: Complete Coffee Coverage - Inteligencia Competitiva - FNC
350 00
ICO Indicator Prices (Monthly Average)[US Cents/lb] 2000‐11
300,00
350,00
200,00
250,00 Suaves Colombianos
Otros Suaves
Robusta
Naturales Brasileños
100 00
150,00
US¢/lb
50,00
100,00
0,00
ene‐00
jul‐0
0
ene‐01
jul‐0
1
ene‐02
jul‐0
2
ene‐03
jul‐0
3
ene‐04
jul‐0
4
ene‐05
jul‐0
5
ene‐06
jul‐0
6
ene‐07
jul‐0
7
ene‐08
jul‐0
8
ene‐09
jul‐0
9
ene‐10
jul‐1
0
ene‐11
jul‐1
1
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e e e e e e e e e e e e
Source: OIC Inteligencia Competitiva - FNC
BLACK SCHOLES FORMULABLACK SCHOLES FORMULA
C = S N(d1) - X e-rT N(d2) hWhere:
C = price of the call optionS = price of the underlying stock or assetX = option exercise price or strike pricer = risk-free interest rateT = current time until expirationN() = area under the normal curved1 = [ ln(S/X) + (r + σ2/2) T ] / σ T1/2
d2 = d1 - σ T1/2
σ = volatility of returns of underlying asset
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THANK YOUTHANK YOU
© Copyright FNC 2011
September 27th, 2011