•

DARTFORD LOCAL PLAN

Economic and Employment Paper Dartford Borough Fact File

A selection of statistics and key facts regarding the employment and economic picture

across Dartford Borough. This includes labour market statistics, job densities, floorspace

changes, labour supply, and land values.

June 2018

•••

CONTENTS

SECTION 1: EMPLOYMENT AND LABOUR MARKET STATISTICS 2

EMPLOYMENT 2

UNEMPLOYMENT 5

ECONOMIC ACTIVITY 6

ECONOMIC GROWTH 8

KEY POINTS ARISING FROM SECTION 1 13

SECTION 2: ECONOMIC LAND MARKETS: LOCATIONS & SECTORS 14

LAND VALUES AND RENTS 14

EMPLOYMENT FLOORSPACE 16

LARGE EMPLOYMENT SITES 17

PRIORITY AREA AND STRATEGIC SITE PROGRESS 21

KEY POINTS ARISING FROM SECTION 2 29

ACRONYMS

NOMIS - National Online Manpower Information System

ONS - Office of National Statistics

BRES - Business Register and Employment Survey

GVA – Gross Value Added

SRN – Strategic Road Networks

SRN Sensitive Sectors include: Land transport, Retail and wholesale trade, Primary materials, Manufacturing – users of transport services, Manufacturing - reliant on other sectors which are users of transport services and Construction.

1

•••

SECTION 1: EMPLOYMENT AND LABOUR MARKET STATISTICS

This section will explore labour market statistics, looking at the number of jobs, unemployment, economic activity, economic growth and other economic indicators.

EMPLOYMENT

Business Register and Employment Survey (BRES)

The number of jobs has increased significantly in Dartford Borough, rising some 25% between 2009 and 2015, and now stands at 62,100.

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Change Change 2014- 2009-15 15

Dartford 49,900 50,100 52,400 56,000 56,300 58,500 62,100 +6.2% +24.6%

Gravesham 26,800 26,400 25,900 26,300 26,000 27,500 28,900 +5.3% +7.8%

Sevenoaks 42,000 44,700 45,200 43,900 46,000 45,000 50,400 +11.9% +20%

Bexley[i] 63,700 64,700 63,400 65,500 67,100 68,000 70,000 +2.9% +9.9%

Thurrock[i] 60,000 58,000 59,000 57,000 59,000 60,000 63,000 +5% +5%

Further information available here [i] Bexley and Thurrock are ONS BRES employee job figures - not KCC.

Dartford has the joint third highest (with Tunbridge Wells) number of jobs in Kent (excluding Medway) after both Maidstone and Canterbury respectively. The following bar graph outlines the 2015 employment figures for Kent.

2015 BRES Job Figures for Kent 80000 70000 60000 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000

0

2

-------------------------------------------

•••

BRES Sectoral Employment

The following table indicates the change in employees by sector in Dartford between 2009 and 2015, and 2016 figures. This shows the overall growth of 24.6% across all sectors.

Most sectors have seen an increase, especially ‘Administrative and support service activities’, ‘Human health and social work activities’, ‘Transportation and storage’ and ‘Construction’. Three sectors have declined, these include: ‘Manufacturing’, ‘Public administration and defence’, and ‘Financial and insurance activities’.

DARTFORD Change 2009-15

2009 2015 2016 No. %

Primary Industries (Agriculture/Mining/Utilities)

800 1,000 1,000 200 25%

Manufacturing 4,100 2,700 2,800 -1,400 -34%

Construction 4,700 7,300 7,500 2,500 54%

Wholesale and retail trade 13,000 13,800 13,500 800 6.3%

Transportation and storage 2,900 5,500 6,000 2,600 89%

Accommodation and food service activities 2,700 3,800 3,800 1,000 37%

Information and communication 1,000 1,800 1,500 800 76%

Financial and insurance activities 1,000 600 700 -300 -32%

Real estate activities 500 800 900 200 44%

Professional, scientific and technical activities

2,900 2,300 2,500 -600 -20%

Administrative and support service activities

4,500 7,700 7,500 3,200 72%

Public administration and defence 900 500 500 -400 -47%

Education 3,500 3,700 3,800 200 7.0%

Human health and social work activities 6,400 9,400 10,500 3,000 48%

Arts, entertainment and recreation 600 800 800 300 46%

Other service activities 500 500 500 0 5.8%

TOTAL 49,900 62,100 63,300 12,200 24.6%

NOMIS ONS Data Labour Market Profile – Jobs Density

BRES is the recommended source of information on employment by detailed geography and industry. However, NOMIS provide jobs density figures that are useful

Year Dartford Gravesham Sevenoaks Bexley Thurrock 2009 0.88 0.51 0.76 0.50 0.64 2010 0.91 0.51 0.76 0.53 0.63 2011 0.91 0.51 0.78 0.53 0.64 2012 0.96 0.49 0.78 0.53 0.63 2013 0.98 0.48 0.81 0.54 0.65 2014 1.01 0.48 0.77 0.53 0.65 2015 1.03 0.49 0.82 0.56 0.68 2016 1.04 0.53 0.84 0.57 0.67

in understanding the wider picture. The table above shows the jobs density since 2009 and compares with neighbouring authorities. The density figures represent the ratio of total jobs to population aged 16-64. This includes self-employed.

3

•••

NOMIS Jobs Density Jo

bs

De

nsi

ty

1.2

1

0.8

0.6

0.4

Dartford

Gravesham

Sevenoaks

Bexley

Thurrock

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Comparative Employee Jobs (NOMIS / BRES)

The table and graph below show a 7 year change in employee jobs for Dartford and neighbouring authorities. Dartford has had the highest increase of all, with +12,000 employee jobs. 2016 figures are provisional and provide further context.

Year Dartford Bexley Gravesham Sevenoaks Thurrock Bromley Havering

2009 50,000 64,000 26,000 41,000 60,000 103,000 72,000

2010 50,000 65,000 26,000 44,000 58,000 100,000 71,000

2011 52,000 63,000 25,000 45,000 59,000 96,000 70,000

2012 56,000 65,000 26,000 43,000 57,000 98,000 74,000

2013 56,000 67,000 26,000 45,000 59,000 101,000 75,000

2014 58,000 68,000 27,000 44,000 60,000 103,000 77,000

2015 62,000 70,000 28,000 50,000 63,000 103,000 78,000

2016 62,900 73,000 30,300 50,600 63,400 105,500 82,600

Change 2009- 12,000 6,000 2,000 9,000 3,000 0 6,000 2015

Source: ONS Business Register and Employment Survey Note: Data excludes farm-based agriculture

Change in Employee Jobs (2009-2015)

Ch

ange

in n

um

be

of

Job

s 2

00

9-

20

15

14,000

12,000

10,000

8,000

6,000

4,000

2,000

0

Dartford Bexley Gravesham Sevenoaks Thurrock Bromley Havering

Local Authority

4

2015 Baseline - Employment Density, UK all Sectors Number of employees per hectare by local authority district

< 1,000 1,000 - 3,000 3,000 - 5,000 5,000 - 10,000 10,000 - 20,000 20,000 - 30,000 30,000 - 50,000 50,000 - 200,000 > 200,000

• Selected Airports • Selected Ports --Strategic Road Network

•••

The map below indicates the employment density from 2015, showing Dartford (outlined, on the M25 and A2/M2) to have the highest employment density in Kent. Source: Highways Strategic Economic Growth Plan.

UNEMPLOYMENT

Latest figures from KCC in May 2018 indicate that Dartford’s unemployment rate is below the GB average at 1.2%. This includes the total number of people claiming either Universal Credit or

Jobseekers Allowance primarily for the reason of being unemployed. More is info available here.

The number of people on Job Seekers Allowance stands at 600 as of 2016. The table below provides a

timeseries of chance, indicating year on year reduction in Dartford. Additionally, neighbouring

authorities are shown for comparisons.

(August) 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011

Dartford 815 (1.2%)

600 (0.9%)

750 (1%) 1,000 (1.4%)

1,520 (2.2%)

1,780 (2.6%)

1,950 (2.9%)

Gravesham 2.1% 1.3% 1.6% 2.2% 3.2% 3.9% 3.9%

Sevenoaks 0.8% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 1.8%

5

•••

ECONOMIC ACTIVITY

The following table outlines the number of economically active people aged 16-64 in employment in the Dartford locality, and compared with regional neighbours.

Apr 2015 Mar 2016 Dartford Gravesham Bexley Sevenoaks Thurrock % of population in employment 74.1 72.7 77.1 78.9 72.2

Source: ONS annual population survey.

Labour Supply - Economic Activity: Employment and unemployment (2001-2011)

The Census provides information on economic activity , the table below compares 2001 with 2011 for Dartford.

All People 2001 All People 2011 Dartford Borough Number % of all people

16-74 Number % of all people 16-

74 Aged 16-74 61,481 100% 70,488 100% Economically Active 43,837 71% 53,184 76% Employee: Part-time 8,390 14% 9,765 14% Employee: Full-time 32,631 53% 31,440 45% Self-employed n/a n/a 6,915 10% Unemployed 1,554 3% 3,099 4% Full-time student 1,262 2% 1,965 3% Economically Inactive 17,644 29% 17,304 25% Retired 8,182 13% 8,359 12% Student (including full-time students)

1,570 3% 2,468 4%

Looking after home or family

4,224 7% 3,131 4%

Long-term sick or disabled

2,160 4% 2,098 3%

Other 1508 2% 1,248 2%

6

•••

Labour Supply - Employment and unemployment in Dartford’s locality

ONS also produce Labour Supply data, the following is indicates this for Dartford and regional neighbours. This includes looking at employment by male and female, along with a breakdown of economically active, in employment, employee, self-employed and unemployed.

Apr 2015 Mar 2016 Dartford Bexley Thurrock Gravesham Sevenoaks

(aggregate) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) All people

Economically active† 55,000 77.8 82.4 76.9 79.9 81.9 In employment† 52,400 74.1 77.1 72.2 72.7 78.9

Employees† 45,600 64.8 69.3 63.1 65.6 64.8 Self employed† 6,800 9.3 7.6 8.8 # 13.2 Unemployed § 2,500 4.7 5.3 5.3 5.5 3.2

Males Economically active† 30,500 89 88.5 84.3 82.9 89.5

In employment† 29,400 86 82.9 80 75.2 86.5 Employees† 24,200 70 72.7 66.6 62.7 62.6

Self employed† 5,200 15.4 10.2 13.2 # 22.3 Unemployed§ ! ! 6 5 # !

Females Economically active† 24,500 67.1 76.7 69.6 77.1 74.7

In employment† 23,000 62.8 71.5 64.4 70.3 71.6 Employees† 21,400 59.5 66 59.7 68.3 67

Self employed† # ! 5.1 4.5 ! # Unemployed§ # # 7.2 7 # !

Source: ONS annual population survey

Key: # Sample size too small for reliable estimate (see definitions) ! Estimate is not available since sample size is disclosive (see definitions) † - numbers are for those aged 16 and over, % are for those aged 16-64 § - model based - numbers and % are for those aged 16 and over. % is a proportion of economically active

7

-----...... ____ ,, --

•••

EMPLOYMENT GROWTH

Total Employees

The graph below uses data from the following sources: AES (1991-97), ABI (1998-2008), BRES (2009-14) to provide a timeseries of employee number changes since 1991. This is detailed for Dartford, Gravesham and Bexley below up to 2014.

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

19

91

19

93

19

95

19

96

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

Total Employees - AES (1991-97), ABI (1998-2008), BRES (2009-14)

Bexley Dartford Gravesham

The graph below uses data from the same sources as the previous graph to provide a timeseries of percentage change in total employees since 1991. This is detailed for Dartford, Gravesham and Bexley below, along with London, Kent, south East and England as comparators up to 2014. This shows considerable % increases for Dartford, much higher than elsewhere, including the national average.

-20.0%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

19

91

19

93

19

95

19

96

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

Percentage Change in Total Employees, 1991 baseline - AES (1991-97), ABI (1998-2008), BRES (2009-14)

Bexley

Dartford

Gravesham

Kent

England

South East

London

8

Baseline Scenario- Employment Cb ange. UK all Sectors 2015 • 2• 30 by local authority di5trict

< 0.0 0 .0-2,500 2 .500 - 5,00 5 ,000 - 7 .500 7 ,500 - 10.000 10 ,000 - 15,000 15.000 - 20 .000 20.000 - 30,000 > 30 ,0 00

• Selected Airports • Selected Ports --Strategic Road Netwotk

FiiUre 2.7 Wortforce Jobs in Dover and East Kent

"' .0 0 -, .. u

~ co i~ ii,-. -... ~~ .=-.. O> C:

"' .i= (J

Source:

75% ].

65%

55%

45%

35%

25% ... -15%

Shopway

- - - -Than"t

Dartford

Ashford

Tonbridge & Malling

Gravesham

·~·'-S.vonoak1 TUnbrldge Wells 5% • -5%

-15% ~ 30,000

Dover

50,000 70.000

Kent Average

1 Maidstone

M...tway

90,000 110,000 Total Workforce Jobs (2016)

Experian (September 2016) / Lichfields analysis

•••

The map to the right shows the forecasted employment change as reported in the Highways England Strategic Growth Plan from Atkins analysis of Cambridge Econometrics economic forecast data. This shows that Dartford borough is expected to gain 10,000-15,000 employees across all sectors between 2015 and 2030, higher than adjoining parts of Kent and Greater London.

Workforce and Enterprise Changes

The graph below from Lichfield analysis in Dover, indicates that Dartford has had the largest change in total workface since 1997. Ashford Kent has seen large (but lesser) growth. Sevenoaks is on the Kent average growth on this basis.

9

Figure 2.9 Change in Stock of Enterprises by Kent Local Authority, 2010 • 2016

Gravesham Medway

Canteroury

Ton bridge & Malling

Thanet Dover

Swale

-I========

Shepway Maidstone -f:-======:::::;

Sevenoaks

Ashford Tunbridge Wells -1--------F-=-=----+-------i-----------<

Source:

0% 10% 20% 3% Change in Number of Enterprises (2010 -2016)

lnter·Depanmental Business Register (ONS) / Lichfields analysis

•••

40%

A second graph from the same study indicates the change in number of enterprises between the

years 2010 – 2016. This shows Dartford has had the highest (39%) increase in Kent. North Kent leads

the way, and interestingly Gravesham scores well on this basis.

10

Dartford 2012 2013

% 16-64claimingoutofwork benefits 9.8 9.6 Unemployment Rate (%) 3.1 2.9 Median Gross Weekly Workplace Earnings (£)[I] 564.4 560.2 Median Gross Weekly Resident :Ea rn ings {£) [I] 592.7 568.0 Employment Rate (%) 70.4 75.4 5year% change in employees 2 .. 8 7.5 Stock of businesses 3,245 3,365 3-year Business Survival Rate(%) 60 .. 7 59.7 GVA per Head(£) 22,903 24,(X)6 % Employees in the Knowledge :Economy 10.7 11.6 % NVQ4+ 33 .. 5 25.8

Dartford nearest neighbour chart 2017

tJf. E-mpklyees. in the knowledge Economy. 2015

GVA per Head, 2015

" 16-64 claiming out of work benefits., Feb, 2016

1

•••

2014 2015

10.9 7.9 2.5 l.7

429.1 546.4 485.9 562.2

74.4 83.4 -6.6 8.2

2,250 3,680 62.5 49.4

15,628 26,671 13.3 10.7 11.2 30.0

Median Gross Weekly Workp lace Earnings, 2016

Mecl ian Grnss Wee klv Reside nt Earn ings, 2016

2016

7.0 1.2

567.1 575.7 73.1 19.3

3,930 62.8

27,725 11.0 32.S

St Edmundsbury, Suffolk

C Dartford

i1 Engl and median

2017

6.5 L1

596 . .0 612.5

81.6 24 . .1

4,270 62.5

29,495 10.8 32. 1

ECONOMIC INDICATORS

The following table outlines a number of economic indicators that are useful in understanding the Borough. This includes those claiming work benefits, median weekly workplace and resident earnings, business survival rates, GVA per head etc. See the full KCC report here.

Importantly, people who work in Dartford district had the highest weekly workplace earnings of all the districts in Kent at £596.00. Dartford is the second highest (after Tonbridge and Malling) for Resident based weekly earnings at £612.50 (2018). Dartford ranks in the top 20% of authorities in the country for resident and workplace earnings, along with GVA per head.

KCC created a comparison chart, which compares Dartford with an England median and St Edmundsbury in Suffolk. This shows the “shape” of the economy based in the indicators above. Welwyn Hatfield has the most similar shaped economy to Dartford, and therefore acts as a helpful tool for identifying similar areas.

With regards to the chart, the higher the score the better the outcome, therefore the majority of the indicators show Dartford is performing better than the England median (but less well in some aspects of skills for example).

11

•••

Baseline Scenario- GVA Growth, Transport Sectors 2015 -2030 by local authority district

<0% 0% -20% 20% -25% 25% - 30% 30%- 35% 35% -40% 40%- 50% > 50%

• Selected Ai rports � Selected Ports -- Strategic Road Network

GVA Growth Forecast

The Borough has seen large transport-based economic developments. The map below looks further at gross value added future projections. This Strategic Growth Plan for Highways England outlines the baseline scenario for GVA growth, mapped here for eastern England’s transport sectors. Dartford, at the intersection of the A2 and A282 (Dartford Crossing) can be seen to have >50% growth in 2015-2030.

Source: Cambridge Econometrics; Highways England Strategic Growth Plan

Growth Districts 2015-2030

The Highways England Strategic Growth Plan also set out the top 15 SRN Sensitive Employment Growth Districts 2015-2030. This confirms their expectations that job growth will continue in transport-related economic development in Dartford.

Top 15 Employment Growth areas

Change in employment (SRN sensitive sectors)

% of England change

South Gloucestershire UA 6351 1.9% Leeds 5836 1.8% Dartford 5386 1.6% Basildon 4300 1.3% Epping Forest 3916 1.2% New Forest 3909 1.2% Thurrock UA 3658 1.1% Milton Keynes UA 3641 1.1% Basingstoke and Deane 3211 1.0% Leicester UA 3173 1.0% Kirklees 3028 0.9% East Devon 3019 0.9% Portsmouth UA 2925 0.9% Medway UA 2853 0.9% Three Rivers 2848 0.9% top 15 total 58054 total SRN sectors change 328021 top 15 as % of England total 18%

Dartford is ranked 3rd, accounting for 1.6% of England’s change in employment (for SRN sensitive sectors – outlined in the acronyms section) showing considerable growth forecasted. This corresponds with the document’s observation that growth in transport related industries is concentrated on locations around cities and not within their core.

12

•••

KEY POINTS ARISING FROM SECTION 1:

The total level of jobs in Dartford Borough has been growing significantly, closing the gap with much larger areas such as Thurrock and Bexley, and well ahead of others nearby:

o 62,100 jobs in Dartford. o Dartford has had the biggest increase (+12,200) employee jobs

compared to its direct neighbours (2009-2015). o Dartford has had the second highest increase (+12,200) in employee

jobs across all Kent and Medway (2009-2015). Dartford has continued to have a high level of jobs relative to the local

working age (16-64 years) population : o There are now slightly more jobs than residents of working age. o Jobs density remains the highest in Dartford compared to the

Borough’s direct neighbours. Economic activity rates of the working age population increased over the

last census period in Dartford, although the proportion of these counted as full time employees declined.

o 74.1% of Dartford population are now economically active (2016), higher than Gravesham but below other neighbours.

o In Dartford there is a notable gender split. Males rates of activity are high (89%), but female levels (67%) are the lowest of our neighbours.

Unemployment is now only 1.2% of the Boroughs total population. o Unemployment is now lower than our neighbours, apart from

Sevenoaks. Dartford has the highest weekly workplace earnings of all the districts in

Kent at £596.00 and the second highest for Resident based weekly earnings at £612.50 (2017).

Dartford has had the highest job growth rates in Kent. Research for Highways England projects continued employment growth in Dartford’s transport related economy.

13

ource: Carter Jonas

£ per sq ft

£ 20

£15

£10

£5 ~ ~ ex: ~ ..

0 ~ 0.

I ~ I.. ..c OI .,.

:5 ~ Ill ::t in

I Cl C 3i: .. ro []J Q!l ~

1 r 5 "E iii -e .2 ~ "tl C C .e c _ E 1 di -:!2 (U - 0 -;,.:: 3 i6 ... OJ (I) ... ·C ri) ~ .I:. u LU c., 0 ~ ..J u

SQurce: Carter Jonas

u) C

•• ro 1

1 r lJ H ,

>-

~ ul f 0 ....._ ~ 0 v 0 -~· \._ (/) u:: :5 ~ ~ ai n ~ .E C E :< ~ 2 e" - 0 -';;: ·s ~ L ..,_. CI J ro ro ro ::, .r:::.

• Q_ T tll U ..J i.J 0 :'.:l ...J U

Industrial rents

'e qi a. <,l

•••

- 2012 - 2013 - 2014 - 2015 - 2016

120

100 i 80

60

40

20

0 Gi QI QI ...

~ ?:> I! "t) ~ Q1 JIJ " C i C .>< C I Ol ,Q ::J g ~ .9 9 i 5 ... 10 .s:::. .Cl "' ::s ·c:

~ ... 0 ll ~ "' C 0 ~ "' " GJ

~ .D QI CJ C 0 :!!: llJ f ~ Cl Cl C

"' ,£ t'.5 c,t .. s :12 ~ u ... -~ .D V, ~

~ C ta F

Source: Caxtons

SECTION 2: ECONOMIC LAND MARKETS: LOCATIONS & SECTORS

This section will look at economic land markets and rents across the main sectors. It will also consider 10 year floorspace changes for employment and retail. Job estimates arising from new floorspace are based on HCA employment densities

LAND VALUES AND RENTS

Industrial Land Values in the South East and London

Information released in the 2017 London Commercial Edge Report by Carter Jonas indicates some important information regarding the industrial sector.

Land values for industry in Dartford are approx. £1million per acre. The graph to the right indicates where Dartford is placed with regards to other south East and London based towns.

Industrial Rents in the South East and London / and in Kent

Rent values for industry in Dartford are approx. £10 per sq ft (£108/m2). This compares with new stock at cities such as Cambridge and Oxford. The graph below to the left indicates where Dartford is placed with regards to other south East and London based towns.

The graph below to the right indicates the industrial rents in Kent as a timeseries to show changes between 2012 and 2016. This indicates that Dartford’s are the highest in Kent.

14

• • •

Ashford

Maidstone

Medway

Sevenoaks

~ Sittingbourne ~

~ Tunbridge Wells

Tonbridge

Thanet

0 u, 0

,... 0 0

N u, 0

l,,I 0 0

Ul 0 C:

~ n :-,

l,,I u, 0

"' ~ I "' 0 ,_. .,,.

"' 0 $:

"' 0 ... er,

Ashford

Canterbury

Dover

Fo lkestone

Gravesend

Maidstone

Sittingbourne

.,. - ~- 1ge Wells

~ Jnbridge

N .b,. 0 0

0 0 0

~--

~ Than e.:Jt~ ..... .._ -, ro :::J r-1' C/l

a, 0 0

£ pe r m2 ,... 1-::i ~

,... co 0 a, 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

.... co 0 0

N 0 0 0

N 0 ~

N 0 t;;j

I\.) 0 '.i>'.

N 0 ,... u,

N 0 ~

I (.Q

:::::r Vl rt ""'I (D (D .-,. ""'I (D ...,. Ill

-, (D :::J ...,. Vl

Retail R

ents in Kent

Office R

ents in Kent

The graph to the right indicates the office rents in Kent as a tim

eseries to show

changes between 2012 and 2016. This

indicates that Dartford’s office rents are

performing

well

against regional

neighbours. Whilst greater than cities such

as York, office rents in Kent (with the

exception of Sevenoaks) are lower than

many locations in the south of England

(e.g. Bath).

The graph to the left indicates the high street retail rents in Kent as a tim

eseries to show changes betw

een 2012 and 2016. This indicates that D

artford’s are on par (if not higher) w

ith Ashford, Gravesend, Tonbridge

and Folkestone.

Tunbridge W

ells, C

anterbury and

Maidstone

have rem

ained higher,

likely due

to their

larger retail

centres.

15

•••

EMPLOYMENT FLOORSPACE

Floorspace for sale in Dartford

The table below explains the total employment floorspace for sale in Dartford Borough (September 2016). This includes the amount at major sites, Crossways, Questor and the Town Centre.

Total employment space for sale in Dartford Borough

82,460 sq m premises floorspace + 7.33 hectares of land/works sites

Totals for Major Sites 41,402 sq m in Crossways 16,765 sq m in Questor 2,695 sq m in the Town Centre

Data Source: Locate in Kent

Changes in Floorspace: Employment

The table below indicates the net changes in employment floorspace over a ten year period (2006-2016). The data indicates a large increase in Storage & Distribution (B8) floorspace, moderate increase in Office (B1a & A2) and a small net increase in Industrial (B1 & B2). The total increase was 132,853 sq m of employment floorspace. Values shown are in sq m.

Year 2006-2016 Total Office (B1a & A2) +28,850 Industrial (B1 & B2) +692 Storage & Distribution (B8) +103,311 Totals 132,853

Changes in Floorspace: Retail

The table below indicates the net changes in retail floorspace over a ten year period (2006-2016). The data indicates a large increase in A3 (Restaurants & Cafés) floorspace, and a moderate net increase in A5 (Hot Food Takeaways). A1 (Shops), A2 (Financial & Professional Services) and A4 (Drinking Establishments) have all declined. There was a total decrease of 4,035 sq m of retail floorspace. All of the values in the table are shown in sq m.

Year 2006-2016 Total A1 (Shops) -6,270 A2 (Financial & Professional Services) -661 A3 (Restaurants & Cafés) +5,678 A4 (Drinking Establishments) -1,979 A5 (Hot Food Takeaways) +741 Totals -4035

16

•••

NEW JOBS CREATED FROM FLOORSPACE

Recent internal analysis indicates the number of net new jobs in the Borough created directly from new net floorspace Year Net New Jobs from Floorspace

2007 1244 changes since 2006.

2008 -19 This indicates that circa 4,000 new jobs 2009 801 in Dartford Borough are directly 2010 772 attainable to new economic 2011 297 development. This includes all types of 2012 206 floorspace. 2013 -23 2014 189 However, total jobs growth has been 2015 422 greater, reflecting the relative scale of 2016 96 the existing locations of economic Grand Total +3985 activity.

LARGE EMPLOYMENT SITES

The following table ranks the ten largest employment sites in Dartford Borough and provides a breakdown of employment floorspace (sqm).

# Name of Site B1 B2 B8 Total 1 CROSSWAYS BUSINESS PARK 12,068 5,288 124,02

8 141,38

4 2 QUESTOR & ADJACENT SITES 7,754 10,18

3 40,997 58,934

3 THE BRIDGE 0 0 46,666 46,666 4 BURNHAM ROAD EMPLOYMENT

AREAS 2,390 6,582 17,862 26,834

5 MANOR ROAD BUSINESS PARK 0 5,943 14,520 20,463 6 PRINCES ROAD & WATLING STREET 3,073 5,150 9,422 17,645 7 RIVERSIDE EMPLOYMENT AREA 736 9,119 6,756 16,611 8 NORTHFLEET INDUSTRIAL ESTATE 639 8,837 5,977 15,453 9 ORBITAL ONE 1,015 4,147 6,513 11,675

10 ROCHESTER WAY 910 0 10,589 11,499

17

•••

Changes in floorspace

The table below indicates the changes since 2010 (previous DBC economic evidence) to the floorspace at all identified employment sites across the Borough. It also includes in the final column, potential future changes. This includes all types of floorspace, class A, B, D & Sui Gen. Growth is shown in green, while loss is shown in red. This is up to date as of April 2016.

Location Floorspace at 2010 (sq m)

Floorspace at 2016/ change (sq m) Growth in green Loss in red

Potential future change (2016 Planning permissions Floorspace net changes (sq m))

Town Centre 209,810 (as at 2006)

198,220 -255 (-0.1%)

Questor & Adjacent Sites

103,795 93,880 +18,452 (19.7%)

Crossways Business Park

238,504 241,335 +59,851 (24.8%)

The Bridge 64,232 87,234 +76,565 (87.8%)

Northfleet Industrial Estate

21,075 21,075 0

Eastern Quarry N/A N/A +219,900 Ebbsfleet Valley N/A N/A +293,000 Northern Gateway North

N/A N/A +12,789

Northern Gateway East And Mill Pond

N/A N/A +33,2111

Bluewater N/A +11,319 +2,029 (17.9%) (+30,500 application)

Littlebrook N/A +22,580 +48,494 (214.8%)

Orbital One 14,059 14,341 0 Riverside 19,528 19,528 +114 (0.6%) Burnham Road Employment Areas

46,052 42,897 0

Victoria Road Employment Areas

18,847 22,567 +812 (3.6%)

Princes Road & Watling Street

26,410 26,530 +504 (1.9%)

Manor Road Business Park

29,877 29,877 +2,576 (8.6%)

Rochester Way 15,247 15,247 0 West Hill 13,611 13,625 -2162 (-15.8%)

1 Northern Gateway is a former industrial location.

18

•••

Jobs created since 2006 direct from new net floorspace

The following table considers the top 5 identified employment sites with the highest estimated job growth created directly from floorspace change as detailed above, since 2006 across the whole Borough. Jobs figures include those created from all types of floorspace. This uses standard national job densities. The largest changes have been seen at Crossways and The Bridge.

Net new jobs direct from floorspace

Location Grand Total 2016-2016

Crossways 2000

The Bridge 1539

Littlebrook 362

Bluewater 242

Victoria Road and The Base 140

Borough Wide Total 3985

19

•••

Net Completions 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 A1 -274 2,271 -679 1,195 -9,161 2,152 -624 -1,598 A2 77 25 -249 -25 -56 -619 -155 -124 A3 275 53 872 1,138 1,411 383 385 80 A4 0 -132 -198 0 -726 -403 -630 110 A5 0 -15 54 209 450 31 -50 174

A3 5 Total 275 -94 728 1,347 1,135 11 -295 364 A1 5 Total 78 2,202 -200 2,517 -8,082 1,544 -1,074 -1,358

B1a 7,644 10,350 1,494 -883 -400 2,211 -2,414 -7 B1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 B1c 9,133 -753 884 -951 -1,550 0 0 0

B1 mixed 0 0 0 0 0 0 6,753 0 B1 Total 16,777 9,597 2,378 -1,834 -1,950 2,211 4,339 -7

A2/B1 Total 5,061 2,548 7,270 -2,046 10,412 720 16,854 9,622 2,129 -1,859 -2,006 1,592 4,184 -131 B2 9,586 947 5,206 -7,829 -3,953 -172 -502 0 25 121 -2,353 0 -5,031 0 B8 18,257 12,913 -135 -2,133 78,921 -4,824 1,455 -479 1,688 694 1,667 15,887 -939 0

B1 8 mixed 0 -530 0 0 0 0 0 0 A2/B1 8 Total 32,904 16,408 12,341 -12,008 85,380 -4,276 17,807 8,613 3,842 -1,044 -2,692 17,479 -1,785 -131

B1 8 Total 17,730 8,588 4,091 -1,019 -2,636 18,098 -1,630 -7 C1 (bedrooms) 0 0 28 0 60 0 0 80 C2 (bedrooms) 0 0 0 0 10 0 -17 18

C1/C2 Total (bedrooms) 0 0 28 0 70 0 -17 98 C3 Total (dwellings) 646 622 625 184 659 603 610 152 362 323 422 602 565 971

D1 612 1,347 22 8,006 -187 -182 8,296 3,513 D2 -450 749 438 1,282 140 17 0 1,836

Sui Generis 218 -352 44 0 850 D1/D2 Total 162 2,096 460 9,288 -399 -121 8,296 5,349

Timeseries of Floorspace (m2) Completed since 2002/03 (net)

The table below shows wider changes on a longer timeseries since 2002/03. All figures are measures of floorspace (m2) except for classes C1 and C2, which are measures of bedrooms, and C3, which measures dwellings. Prior to 2008 only the B use classes were monitored and A2 was included with B1.

20

•••

PRIORITY AREA AND STRATEGIC SITE PROGRESS DURING THE CORE STRATEGY (2006 - PRESENT)

NORTHERN GATEWAY

Victoria Road and The Base (Northern Gateway West)

App Site Address Proposal

Gai

n B

1a

Gai

n B

2

Completion Year

Jobs (Net)

10/00017/FUL Unwins Site, Victoria Rd

Erection of buildings for B1 and B2 uses

185 0

93 0 2012 139.6

Total Floorspac e Gained:

2780

Total Jobs: 140

Riverside

App Site Address Proposal G

ain

D1

Loss

B1

Loss B8

Completion Year

Jobs (Net)

08/00618/COU Unit K9 Riverside Industrial Estate

COU to D1 training facility 35 -35 2009 0.35

09/00366/COU Unit K3 Riverside Industrial Estate

COU to D1 training facility 232

-23

2 2010 2.32

09/00526/COU Unit K8 Riverside Industrial Estate

COU to D1 training facility 232 -232 2010 3.67

Total Floorspace Gained: 499

Total Floorspace Lost: -499

Total Jobs: 6

21

•••

Approximately 146 jobs have been created at Northern Gateway directly from new floorspace. This is expected to grow as the site now comes forward fully.

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Northern Gateway Homes and Jobs Completed with Targets 2006/7-2025/6

Northern Gateway Strategic Site Housing Delivered

Northern Gateway Strategic Site Housing Target

Northern Gateway Strategic Site Jobs Increase

Northern Gateway Strategic Site Jobs Target

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

18

20

19

20

20

20

21

20

22

20

23

20

24

20

25

20

26

THAMES WATERFRONT

Manor Way Business Park

App Site

A

ddre

ss

Prop

osal

Gai

n B

1a

Gai

n B

2

Loss

B1

a

Com

plet

ion

Year

Jobs

(Net

) 08/01695/FUL

Lance Box Unit O Manor

Way

2 detached buildings one to replace fire damaged building

218 470 -200 2012 25

Total Floorspace Gained: 688

Total Floorspace Lost: -200

Total Jobs: +9

Northfleet Industrial Estate

App Site

A

ddre

ss

Prop

osal

Gai

n B

1

Gai

n B

1a

Gai

n D

1

Loss

B8

Loss

Sui

G

en

Com

plet

ion

Year

Jobs

(Net

)

08/01181/FUL Land adjacent Units M1 to M5

Erection of 2 storey building

285

2009 18.2

09/00779/COU Unit F2, Kent Kraft

COU from taxi office to B1 221 -221 2010 0.2

22

•••

Industrial Estate

10/00719/COU Unit P4 COU from industrial/storage to place of worship

217 -217 2010 3.4

Total Floorspace Gained: 723

Total Floorspace Lost: -438

Total Jobs: +22

These two tables indicate a growth in 47 jobs since the start of the plan period. However, at Northfleet

there is potential in planning for a further 31 jobs. Crossways and The Bridge are much larger sites and

have had considerably more development, as outlined below:

23

•••

Crossways

App Site

A

ddre

ss

Prop

osal

Gai

n A

1

Gai

n A

2

Gai

n A

3

Gai

n A

5

Gai

n B

1a

Gai

n B

2

Gai

n B

8

Loss

A1

Loss

A2

Loss

B1

Loss

B2

Com

plet

ion

Year

Jobs

(Net

)

05/01092/COU 32-33 Clipper Boulevard, Plots

Change of use of unit from Class B2 (General Industrial) with ancillary offices to Class B2 (General Industrial) and Class B8 (Storage and Distribution) with ancillary offices

804 3645 -804

-3645 2007 -40.8

04/00910/REM Plot A10 Galleon Boulevard, Admirals Park

Erection of a detached 3 storey building for Class B1 use (office)

2801 2007 178.8

05/01322/REM Plot C3(part) Charles, Crossways

Development of 24 units in 6 buildings, comprising Use Classes B1 (Business) and B8 (Storage/Warehouse)

2626 13924 2007 289.3

07/00232/FUL Bridge House, Bridge Close, Edisons Park

Erection of building 318 2009 3.8

07/01047/REM

Plots A8 & A9 Admirals Park, Schooner Court, Crossways

RM to 93/00187/OUT erection of 1x2storey block, 2x3 storey block to provide office, 5x1 storey blocks and 1x2 storey block industrial units

8448 7262 2009 706.8

24

•••

08/00310/FUL Unit 15, Newtons Court, Extension to existing unit 2260 2009 19.7

07/00492/REM Plot A6b, Admirals Park, Anchor Boulevard

Erection of 1 x 4 storey and 2 x 3 storey detached buildings for office

9703 -9703 2010 619.5

08/00343/FUL Asda Superstores, Crossways Boulevard

Provision of an internal mezzanine floor 2191 2010 107.0

09/00615/REM

Land Adjacent Management Centre, Galleon Boulevard, Crossways

Erection of a single storey detached building with Class A3 Use (Café)

116 2011 6.0

10/01392/COU Unit 19 Schooner Court, Crossways

Change of use of unit from Class B1 (Light Industry) to Class B2 (General Industry)

225 -225 2012 1.2

11/00391/FUL Asda Superstores, Crossways Boulevard

Erection of a single storey extension to warehouse and extension to service yard

596 2012 29.1

12/00285/REM Land South of Charles Lake, Crossways

Erection of building to provide 8 units supersedes 10/00654

820 2014 9.7

13/00057/REM

Lakeside Café rear of Drake House, Admirals Park, Anchor Boulevard, Crossways

RM for erection of a single storey building to provide Sandwich Shop (Class A1)

27 2014 1.3

25

•••

08/01623/REM Land East of Pond C, Galleon Boulevard

New unit (supercedes DA 06/00483/REM) 531 512 2014 58.6

13/01648/COU Corinthian House, Galleon Boulevard,

COU of ground floor from mixed retail to B1a 619 -

619 2014 -24.8

09/00615/REM Land Adj Management Centre, Galleon Boulevard

Erection of building for A3 use 112 2015 5.5

13/00599/FUL Units 16 and 17 Schooner Park, Schooner Court

Extension of existing mezzanine 270 2015 17.2

Lakeside Café rear of Drake

15/00538/COU House, Admirals Park, Anchor

COU form A1 to A3/5 135 135 -270 2015 12.2

Boulevard, Crossways

Total Floorspace Gained: 58,080 Total Floorspace Lost: -15,266

Total Jobs: 2,000

The Bridge

App Site

A

ddre

ss

Prop

osal

Gai

n A

1

Gai

n A

3

Gai

n A

5

Gai

n B

1

Gai

n B

1a

Gai

n B

8

Gai

n C

1 (B

eds)

Gai

n D

1

Com

plet

ion

Year

Jobs

(Net

)

26

•••

05/01194/FUL The Bridge,

Management Centre

Erection of a single storey detached building to provide a Management Centre 160 2007 11.1

03/01176/REM Distrib Centre and resources recov,

Plot 1 and 37

RM for erection of two detached buildings on plot 37 to provide resource recovery unit & vehicle maintenance unit; and erection of 2 detached buildings on plot 1 to provide 3

storey car park and regional distribution depot

61179 2007 534.5

04/00686/REM The Bridge,

Innovation Centre, Plot 12

Erection of a detached 3 storey building for use as an innovation centre 2875 2007 183.6

10/01266/FUL Sainsburys Distribution Centre

Erection of a gatehouse to serve the existing distribution centre 152 2012 1.6

08/01735/FUL part plot 16 SUSCON Erection of academy 2849 2013 78.8

10/01543/REM Plot 6, The Bridge Erection of hotel and ancillary restaurant 711 60 2013 45.7

13/01132/FUL Plot 35, The Bridge Erection of warehouse with ancillary offices 1550 10659 2014 213.9

13/0733/FUL Plot 19, The Bridge Erection of college 5077 2015 140.5

13/00394/REM Plot 13, The Bridge Erection of high-tec manufacturing unit 8469 2459 2015 297.6

11/01398/REM Phase 3 Tranche 2, The Bridge Erection of local centre 250 80 50 2016 15.7

14/00517/FUL Premier Inn ( The Bridge Plot 6) Extension of hotel 80 2016 16

Total Floorspace Gained: 96,660 sqm Total Jobs: +1,539

27

•••

3,570 jobs are estimated to have been created at Thames Waterfront since the start of the plan period from new floorspace.

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025

Thames Waterfront Homes and Jobs Completed with Targets 2006/7-2025/6

Thames Waterfront Priority Area Residential Delivered

Thames Waterfront Priority Area Residential Target

Thames Waterfront Priority Area Jobs Delivered

Thames Waterfront Priority Area Jobs Target

28

•••

KEY POINTS ARISING FROM SECTION 2:

Industrial sites in the Borough are the most valuable in the County Land values in Dartford are approx. £1million per acre. Rents for industry in

Dartford are approx. £10 per sq ft. In terms of the location of potential economic and related uses (non C-Class

floorspace): o If Ebbsfleet Valley/ Central were built out as permitted, it would be the

largest (293,000sqm) single location in the Borough. o Crossways is the largest current concentration of economic uses

(c240,000sqm), and has permission for a further approx., 60,000sqm. These are followed by Dartford Town Centre (note this basis

includes non retail uses such as D class)/ Bluewater; and new mixed use locations at Eastern Quarry would in total also be broadly of this scale if built as permitted.

These would be followed by The Bridge. Its permission for 77,000sqm would approximately double its size, and place it well ahead of the other locations in the Borough not mentioned above.

o The Town Centre, Questor and Burham Road are where total economic floorspace has declined:

They have shrunk by the order of 5-10% but however they all remain significant in their economic and wider contribution.

o Information is not available for Darent Valley Hospital size (or employment levels).

There has been a 132,853 sq m in net gain in B-class Employment Floorspace 2006-2016 across the Borough; predominantly for B8 uses.

82,460 sq m of employment floorspace was for sale in Dartford (2016) o Approximately half of this is at Crossways o There was only limited land for sale for employment development

(7ha).

In terms of employment (B-class) sites, Crossways, Questor and the Bridge (in that order) are the largest by floorspace in the Borough:

o They predominantly feature B8 distribution warehousing. o They are also (apart from The Bridge) the main locations for B1 offices/

light industry. (Note the town centre is not classified here as an employment site).

o Conversely, B2 industrial is much more evenly spread across sites. By floorspace, Questor, Northfleet and Riverside Dartford are the largest.

29