Economic achievements and problems of monetary policy of
Transcript of Economic achievements and problems of monetary policy of
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ECONOMIC ACHIEVEMENTS AND
PROBLEMS OF MONETARY POLICY OF UKRAINE IN
THE YEARS OF ITS INDEPENDENCE (1991-
2011)Mykhailo Prokopiv
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The ways of monetary development can be divided into 3 stages :
The first phase (1991-1996 years)
The second phase (1996-1998 years)
The third phase ( 1999 – 2011 years)
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The first phase (1991-1996 years) -
is characterized by the creation of the national monetary system based on
the introduction of the ruble into circulation and the Ukrainian
preparations for the introduction of the national currency into circulation
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Dynamics of the inflation rate
in 1992-1993 years Year Value1992 2100 %1993 10 256 %
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Dynamics of the real GDPin 1992-1994 years
Year Value1992 90.1 %1994 77.1 %
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Dynamics of the inflation rate
in 1994-1995 years Year Value1994 501 %1995 282 %
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The second phase (1996-1998) –
is characterized by the development of the stock market
of government securities (GS), which were issued in the form of
T-bills (government bonds)
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The third phase (January, 1999 -
December, 2011) - is characterized by the
beginning of the stabilization processes in the real
economy
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Year Real GDP(%) Real wages (%) Inflation rate (%) Money supply (%)
1999 99,8 103,4 119,2 140,5
2000 105,9 103,6 125,8 146,1
2001 109,1 120,4 106,1 141,9
2002 105,2 115,6 99,4 141,8
2003 109,6 113,8 108,2 146,5
2004 112,1 120,8 112,3 132,4
2005 102,7 131,5 110,3 154,3
2006 107,3 111,7 111,6 134,5
2007 107,6 110,3 116,6 151,7
2008 102,3 107,2 122,3 130,2
2009 85,2 90,0 112,3 94,5
2010 104,2 110,2 109,1 121,4
2011 105,4 108,6 111,3 116,8
Table 1.1 Dynamics of monetary and macroeconomic indicators in Ukraine
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In 2001 inflation rate was 6.1 % per year and the real GDP grew by 9.1 %
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During 2000-2006 the ratio of banking sector credit to GDP increased from 12.4 % to 30 %
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Chart 1.1 Diagram of the main monetary and macroeconomic indicators
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Real GDP(%)
Real wages (%)
Inflation rate (%)
Money supply (%)
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Positive measures :
stabilization of the currency
reducing inflation
monetary stabilization policy
supporting the purchasing power rate
stabilizing financial markets.
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Mistakes: the growth of money supply emission
delaying the measures to rein in inflation
using bonds as a major source of financing the
budget deficit
reducing the surplus trade balance
slowdown in GDP growth
the imbalance of public finances
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Thank you for your
attention