Solutions for Japan’s aging population

Dr. Toshio Obi Professor, Waseda University, Japan

Washington, D.C., USA , 16 February 2011

Historical trends of World Population

• Year Life Expectancy Population size

• 1700 27 years old 680 million

• 1800 27 980 m

• 1900 30 (Japan 1880: F 38/ M36) 1650 m

• 2000 65(Japan 2010 : F 87/ M 81) 6070 m

• 2050 74 8920 m

• 2100 81 9460 m

• Economic impact: Decline in growth potential 1. Intensifying labor shortage 2. Declining savings rate

• Social impact: Increasingly heavy pressure on social security system 1. Pension system demands reform 2. Increases forecast in medical expenses

• Building a smarter Health

1. Preventive Medicine will reduce total medical expenses by 20%

2. Usability ＆ accessibility ofICT applications will be the key

Japan super Ａｇｅｉｎｇ Society Under Population Onus

Key ICT Factors supporting Ageing Society

e-Participation / e-Inclusion

Usability Accessibility

Safety

Security

Global Standard

Low cost

Environment Friendly Socio-

Innovation

Ageing Society

The ICT Application/ SolutionAdapted for

Ageing Society

Advent of the Ageing Society and Development of a New Growth Industry

Globalization

InformatizationAgeing

Three Key Paradigms

SocialParticipation

LifelongEducation E-Government

E-Municipality

ElderlyHousing

Safe and Secure System

Disaster Prevention

GlobalEnvironment

PensionSystem

Healthcare

NursingCare

New TrafficSystem

Pro-elderly Employment

Estimates of the market size of

Major Silver ICT sectors in Japan (2009)

Estimates by WASEDA University

ICT expenditures in Major Sectors Billion USD Comprehensive figures

(not for quotation )

e-Government /online services + systems 1.89

Security/Safety services + systems 15.49

Disaster reduction 1.34

e-Health +medical ICT equipment 106.96

Supporting Employment /telework 1.81

ITS (e-mobility) /smart transport 2.41

Life-time education + training 1.67

Global environment issues / eco-systems 59.78

Total amount 191.35

billion USD

Interesting Facts about Japanese seniors

• Daily Walking coverage of the ageing is limited to about 500 meters around the house

• About 30 % of Japanese population are elderly or handicapped people • Ageing people (65 and beyond) spend a half of national healthcare cost. • 25% of ageing people lives along and their percentage is expected to

increase • 70 % of persons injured during big disasters such as earthquakes and

typhoons and 50% of traffic accident victims are elderly • 80% of ageing people would like to die at home, not at hospital, and

telemedicine • Ageing people keep a half of national personal financial assets • 80% of retired people look for jobs and only 20 % can get jobs • Ratio of Digital Divide among the senior people was expected to

reduce from 33% to 60 % in 2010 • Average annual income of 30 % of the elderly is around 2 million yen

or below ( about $24000)

OECD ICCP WPIE

SILVER ICT Project

Global Crisis and Borderless Risk to Dynamic Challenges in Barrier Free Ageing and Knowledge Societies Evaluation of Ongoing, Pilot and Potential ICT Applications and opportunities for e-inclusion in Ageing Well Society 2011 Case Studies 2012 Workshop in Japan

Criteria of SILVER ICT applications

Smart home

(supportive housing)

Sensors by bed

occupancy and

nightlight

Home safety alerts and

GPS

OASIS (open

architecture for sensor)

Remote for single living

sensors

Environmental controls

Cooker safety

Home treatment

Telehealth (e-health)

Health information

management

Telecare

Just checking

Robot care (Robot)

Service innovation in

hospital

Dreaming (nursing

home)

E-carte

Client monitoring

system

E-inclusion

Ambient assisted living

Online shopping

Net reservations with

touch panel

E-banking & e-payment

ICT ethics for ageing

TV-seniority and

programs for the elderly

Social alarms

Social communication

technologies

Senior net talking

Easy call, easy mobile

and easy PC

HOME ELECTRONICS HEALTHCARE LIFE INNOVATION

あそびＲｅパーク Asobi-Re Park (Play Rehabilitation Park)

• Video games as a means for helping seniors maintain their mental and physical health

• set up in November 2006 by Ashikitamachi's social welfare council

• 10,000 visitors per year • The games were produced by

Namco Bandai Games Inc

http://hustle-club.com/

Rehabilitation games

• the Fukuoka municipal government is developing software for a rehabilitation game to be used at home in cooperation with Kyushu University and a local game maker.

• In the game, users help a tree grow by standing and sitting--fundamental rehabilitation movement a balance board that accompanies Nintendo Co.'s Wii Fit.

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Community for Ageing

Radio and Television Receivers with Functions to Assist Hearing

three hearing assistance functions

•a function that slows down speech to make listening easier without accumulating time delay.

Adaptive speech rate conversion:

• a function that makes it easier to listen to speech against background sounds.

Multi-band sound level

compression

• a function that continually buffers (stores) a certain interval of audio for playback on demand.

Repetitive listening

(radio only):

Ｓｏｕｒｃｅ： ＮＨＫ

Simple Phones 簡単ケータイ らくらくホン

Source: www.nttdocomo.co.jp, mb.softbank.jp, http://iida.jp, http://www.au.kddi.com/

かんたん携帯

One touch character size switch, large keys, large lamp, large icons, loud speaker volume, loud ringer volume, large clock, Clear Voice“, ”Slow Voice“ and “Noise Canceller” functions, Light Operation Navi, Text-to-Speech, Voice Recognition, Health Management Features

14

Robot Suit Hybrid Assistive Limb® for Well-being

When a person tries to move their body, bio-signals is sent from the brain via moto-neuron. These bio-signals can be detected on the surface of the skin with sensors attached.

applied for rehabilitation support and physical training support, ADL support for disabled people, heavy labor support at factories, and rescue support at disaster sites, as well as in the entertainment field.

Used all over Japan

source: http://www.cyberdyne.jp

Taizo designed to help lead groups of older Japanese in rehabilitation exercises and general fitness routines.

can do about 30 moves, mostly while sitting down

It can recognize simple voice commands and can link to external computers via Bluetooth and wireless LAN.

A single battery charge allows it to operate for about two hours.

Successful offerings

i-pot boils water and records the times a user pushes a button and dispenses the water. A wireless communication device at the bottom of the i-pot sends a signal to a server. Members of the service can see recent records of i-pot usage on a Web site. In addition, twice a day the server e-mails the most recent three usage times to a designated recipient. (http://www.mimamori.net)

My Spoon is a meal assistance robot (http://www.secom.co.jp)

Home System Center Recipient

Ubiquitous Sensor Network Project

• The system uses radio- frequency identification tags to track elderly

• The system tracks the seniors by noting whenever they pass one of the readers, thus there's no battery-hungry GPS locator.

• The devices can last for 100 hours without recharging.

• The devices have voice-over-Internet phone connections to the call center, so the seniors can push a button to talk to a center worker in an emergency.

.

Source: Panasonic

a series of Reminder Robots prototypes

The robot recognizes their user’s voice and speaks to them to tell them when they need to attend appointments or do other tasks.

The robot operates on a schedule and gives the patient reminders The robot speaks as close to that of a human If there is an appointment scheduled the robot will not only remind

the person of it but will also remind them to do things such as go to the toilet before they leave.

"Mamoru" robot watches every move its owner makes and gives a verbal warning if he or she tries to take the same action twice. IPMR-3 monitors a room with cameras and sensors to keep track of exactly where pre-registered objects in the room have been placed. The wheelchair-like machine tells the user where the items are both verbally and visually, and then takes the user to those locations.

- CIO for Crisis, Disaster and Environment management

DISASTER PREVENTION AND RELIEF 70% OF INJURED VICTIMS IS THE ELDERLY

CRISIS MANAGEMENT AND DISASTER EDUCATION/ TRAINING ARE ESSENTIAL

e-Government for Ageing service

•Online service and application •One stop service •Portal for the elderly • Call center for the elderly •E-tax and e-pension system •Information security •E ID for the elderly •(E-voting) •E-local government (digital on-line public service)

E/M/T/D-HEALTH for Ageing well Tele-medicine, Healthcare for ageing communities

(Electronic/Mobile/Tele/Digital)

• remote monitoring • wireless medical prescriptions, • emergency room, • mobile hospital applications, • electronic medical record • measuring, storage and transmission

to a database of patient's health statistics during daily routines, emergencies, the treatments of chronic illnesses, in case of elderly people who live on their own or with other elderly people.

• Smart Home for ageing patients

E-Mobility for Ageing people

Grand design for City mobility is needed

• 60% of accidents are occurred with ageing people.

Ageing Friendly transport system is the key for Safety/Secured life

E - Mobility

• -Smart railway station

• -ITS (intelligent transport system)

• -Digital map service

• -Safety auto driving system

• -Small car for the elderly easy drive

• -Barrier free public transport

• -Barrier free digital city planning

• -Green ITS and Intermodal under Ageing

Society

E-education and E-employment

• University e-learning

•Distance learning and extension

•Digital library

•Telework

•SOHO

•ICT vocational training for the elderly

•Senior venture support

•Virtual recurrent education

•ICT consultant and adviser after retirement

•Companion PC learning

Thank you !!

Contact Information Prof. Dr. Toshio Obi Director, APEC e-Government Research Center Director, Institute of e-Government at Waseda University President, International Academy of CIO

obi.waseda@gmail.com 26