Dr. Steven Martina
Transcript of Dr. Steven Martina
Dr. Steven MartinaMinister of Economic Development & Tourism
Wednesday September 30, 2020
Sustainable Development Pillars
3
National Development Plan
4
SDG 8 Sustainable Economic Growth and Employment for All
5
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT: THE ULTIMATE OBJECTIVE
MORE JOBS
BETTER JOBS
BETTER LIVES
DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH
Let’s embark on a journey
8
Where are we now?
Fisc
al C
liff
-4%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Fiscal Cliff
If the current GDP mix of Investment, Export, Consumption, and Import is allowed to continue as is with no corrective actions; Curaçao economy will fall over a Fiscal Cliff in 2019, due to 3 concurrent factors: ▪ Debt Maturity
▪ Foreign tax rules expires▪ Refinery lease expires
Presented in 2015
The reality 2018/2019
Fisc
al C
liff
-4%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Fiscal Cliff
If the current GDP mix of Investment, Export, Consumption, and Import is allowed to continue as is with no corrective actions; Curaçao economy will fall over a Fiscal Cliff in 2019, due to 3 concurrent factors: ▪ Debt Maturity
▪ Foreign tax rules expires▪ Refinery lease expires
Pe
rfe
ct S
torm
▪ Venezuela crisis▪ Non operational Refinery▪ Bankruptcy several entities▪ Huge 2017 public debt▪ “Aanwijzing”▪ Giro
Where are we now?
CHALLENGES
Economic Challenges Fiscal Challenges Social Challenges
Curacao is facing a number of Challenges; Economic,
Fiscal, and Social; driven by external and internal factors.
CHALLENGES
2020 RECOVERY WAS ENVISIONED
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DESPITE THESE CHALLENGESTHE 2020 OUTLOOK WAS MOST PROMISING AND ECONOMIC RECOVERY WAS UNDERWAY
PUBLIC FINANCES STABILIZING
2017 2018 2019 Proj. 2020
After Covid -166.8 -58.5 -19.3
Pre Covid -166.8 -58.5 -19.3 24.5
-200
-150
-100
-50
0
50
Budget deficit
Source: Ministry of Finance
Source: Assessment of Curacao’s legal and regulatory frame- work, Exchange of Information on Request(EOIR), November 2019
CURACAO COMPLIANCE RATING
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TOURISM WAS THRIVING
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2020 RECOVERY WAS ENVISIONED
DESPITE THESE CHALLENGESTHE 2020 OUTLOOK WAS MOST PROMISING AND ECONOMIC RECOVERY WAS UNDERWAY
AND THEN….
COVID19 PANDEMIC
CHALLENGES
The reality 2020
Fisc
al C
liff
-4%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Fiscal Cliff
If the current GDP mix of Investment, Export, Consumption, and Import is allowed to continue as is with no corrective actions; Curaçao economy will fall over a Fiscal Cliff in 2019, due to 3 concurrent factors: ▪ Debt Maturity
▪ Foreign tax rules expires▪ Refinery lease expires
Pe
rfe
ct S
torm
▪ Venezuela crisis▪ Non operational Refinery▪ Bankruptcy several entities▪ Increased public debt▪ “Aanwijzing”▪ Giro ▪ COVID19▪ Refinery closure
PUBLIC FINANCES SEVERELY IMPACTED
2017 2018 2019 Proj. 2020
After Covid -166.8 -58.5 -19.3 -651.7
Pre Covid -166.8 -58.5 -19.3 24.5
-700
-600
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
Budget deficit
Source: Ministry of Finance
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HOW DO WE COURSE CORRECT?
COURSE CORRECT PHASES
SurvivalApril- 6 MONTHS
“ALIVIO” PACKAGE (NOW, ZZP, JOB LOSS AND RESILIENCE BENEFITS)
LENDING ON FABORABLE CONDITIONS (OBNA, KORPODEKO, QREDITS)
INCOME REDUCTION AND WORKTIME REDUCTION (VOLUNTARY)
EASE ON LOAN REPAYMENT (PRIVATE BANKS)
Others
SURVIVAL
Period April – August 2020
TBZOTijdelijke Bijstand Zelfstandige Ondernemers
Total amount spent 12.2 Million starting with 3051 applicants and gradually decreasing.
NOWNood Maatregel Overbrugging Werkgelegenheid
Total amount spent 71.1 Million started with 1327 companies, 18.843 employees and gradually decreasing.
Credit Facility for SME’sApril – August 2020
Number of applications received : 369Total Amount of the loans : NAF. 911.647
Small Business Coaching ProgramJune – September 2020
253 small businesses369 coaching trajectories100 small business coaches
SME Training programJuly – September
Number of persons trained: 800+ persons trained
www.fondodisosten.org
CURACAO SAFE VACATION DESTINATION (OPENING OF THE BOARDERS )
12.5% REDUCTION ON EMPLOYEE BENEFITS FOR PUBLIC/SEMI PUBLIC
ENTITIES
25% REDUCTION ON EMPLOYEE BENEFITS OF MINISTERS AND PARLIAMENT
MEMBERS
AGRESSIVE COST REDUCTION IN GOVERNMENT BUDGET
OTHERS
RECOVERY
COURSE CORRECT PHASES
SurvivalApril- 6 MONTHS
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ASPIREWhere do we want to be?
ASPIRATION
Curacao’s economic development aspiration is being …
Connected
Sustainable
Hospitable
Innovative
ASPIRATION
Connected
Sustainable
Hospitable
Innovative
Curacao’s economic development aspiration
to become a nation with a vibrant, innovative and sustainable economy recognized globally as a
premier place to live, learn, play, work and do business.
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT: THE ULTIMATE OBJECTIVE
MORE JOBS
BETTER JOBS
BETTER LIVES
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ARCHITECTHow do we get there?
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT: AUSTERITY VS STIMULUS
“Filling in the financing gap with financing in the short term while taking strong action to launch medium-term reforms would achieve better outcomes than implementing temporary/easily reversible expenditure cuts. To the extent of available financing, the fiscal adjustment path should be gradual to avoid the multiplier effects on the economy.”
IMF, June 19 2020
Economic outlook Curaçao and Sint Maarten
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT: AUSTERITY VS STIMULUS
“Fiscal austerity — slashing government spending in an attempt to balance the budget — is a really bad idea in a depressed economy. To avoid a depression you need to have someone — namely, the government — maintain or, better yet, increase spending while everyone else is cutting.” Nobel Price-winning economist Paul KrugmanNew York Times, August 6 2020
Professor in the Graduate Center Economics Ph.D. program and distinguished scholar at the Luxembourg Income Study Center at the City University of New York. In addition, he is professor emeritus of Princeton University’s Woodrow Wilson School.
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT: AUSTERITY VS STIMULUS
“Het is niet verstandig om de diepe economische crisis te lijf te gaan met bezuinigingen of door belastingen te verhogen. Dat ligt niet voor de hand en staat dus niet bovenaan de prioriteitenlijst.
Het is geen tijd voor bezuinigingen of lastenverzwaringen.
In deze fase van de economie is dat niet verstandig. Het kabinet zal daarentegen juist met extra uitgaven komen om te proberen de economische klap zo zacht mogelijk te laten zijn”.
Mark Rutte, 14 augustus 2020Prime Minister of the Netherlands
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK: BUILDING BLOCKS
IMPERATIVES
ENABLERS FORDEVELOPMENT
INVESTMENTSSECTORS/AREASDEVELOPMENT
EXPORT DEVELOPMENT
WORKFORCE DEVELOPMENT
Short term
Medium term
Long term
Tourism Financial Services
Renewable Energy Technology Logistics: Airport, Maritime
Trade,Distribution/Export
Manufacturing Transnational education
Cultural andcreative
AgricultureLivestock / Fisheries
SECTORS FOR DEVELOPMENT
PUBLIC PRIVATE INVESTMENTS
AREAS FOR DEVELOPMENT
BULLENBAY
DOWN TOWN
RIF & ZAKITO
ST. MARTHA
RIF
RIF & CORIDOR AREA
ZAKITó
ZAKITó
ZAKITó
ZAKITó
ZAKITó
BULLENBAY
BULLENBAY
▪ Industrial Waste Water Treatment (IWWT)
▪ Agricultural area
▪ LNG terminal
▪ Oil Terminal expansion / Storage tanks
▪ Bulk transshipment
▪ Service facilities
▪ Mooring location
BULLENBAY
STATE OWNED ENTERPRISES
▪ CPA, RDK, CDMH, CUROIL, AQUALECTRA
IN COLLABORATION WITH
SANTA MARTHA
• 1 Km shoreline• Health corals and underwater life• Circa 1.300 m2 beach
Santa Martha Area Development
Santa Martha Bay 3 Pillars• FACILITY : Quality urban design and architecture
• GREEN : Outdoor activity's , Farm to Fork.
• BLUE : Water-bound activity’s, Marina.GREEN Value
BLUE Value
FACILITY Value
DOWN TOWN
ORANGE ECONOMY
The Creative Cluster
The Creative Hub
The Creative City
Investment summit 10 – 12 October 2019
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AREAS FOR DEVELOPMENT
BULLENBAY
DOWN TOWN
RIF & ZAKITO
ST. MARTHA
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK: BUILDING BLOCKS
IMPERATIVES
ENABLERS FORDEVELOPMENT
INVESTMENTSSECTORS/AREASDEVELOPMENT
EXPORT DEVELOPMENT
WORKFORCE DEVELOPMENT
Short term
Medium term
Long term
EXPORT DEVELOPMENT
Source: CBCS, presentation annual repor 2019
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK: BUILDING BLOCKS
IMPERATIVES
ENABLERS FORDEVELOPMENT
INVESTMENTSSECTORS/AREASDEVELOPMENT
EXPORT DEVELOPMENT
WORKFORCE DEVELOPMENT
Short term
Medium term
Long term
ENABLERS FOR DEVELOPMENT
STRUCTURAL REFORMS MACRO ECONOMIC POLICIES
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTPOLICIES
FISCAL (ABB) MONETARY SME
SOCIAL SECURITY FISCAL COOPERATIVES
LABOR MARKET ENERGY
HEALTH SECTOR INNOVATION
IMMIGRATION ENTREPENEURSHIP
PERMIT PROCESS STI (SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY INNOVATION)
INVEST CURACAO DOUGHNUT ECONOMY
SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
INVEST CURACAO: Instruments for Economic Recovery and Sustainable growth
Job losers After March 15th
Income support for Self Employed
Financing facility SME
Emergency Fund
Job losers Before March 15th
Social Assistance Benefit
Payroll Subsidy(NOW)
Guarantee on Equity Financing
Big Ticket Items
Guarantee on Debt Financing
Guarantee on Equity Financing
Financing for Innovation
Seed Capital
Guarantee on Debt Financing
Early Stage Financing
Economic Recovery Fund
Business DevelopmentInstruments
Business RetentionInstruments
Public Investment Fund
Public Investments
ENABLERS FOR DEVELOPMENT
STRUCTURAL REFORMS MACRO ECONOMIC POLICIES
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTPOLICIES
FISCAL (ABB) MONETARY SME
SOCIAL SECURITY FISCAL COOPERATIVES
LABOR MARKET ENERGY
PUBLIC HEALTH INNOVATION
IMMIGRATION ENTREPENEURSHIP
PERMIT PROCESS STI (SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY INNOVATION)
INVEST CURACAO DOUGHNUT ECONOMY
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ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT: THE ULTIMATE OBJECTIVE
MORE JOBS
BETTER JOBS
BETTER LIVES
AMBITION: THE INVESTMENT AND EXPORT AGENDA 2021 – 2025/2027
RETAIN
EXISTING JOBS
CREATE 15.000
NEW JOBS
PRIVATE
INVESTMENTS
1.500 MILJ.
PUBLIC
INVESTMENTS
500 MILJ.
EXPORT
INCREASE
10%
The Road to sustainable economic growth and employment for all
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Our constant focus should be:meeting the needs of the present
without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their needs.