Does Overseas Experience Matter for Fund Managers … · 2019-04-26 · Abstract:Being different...
Transcript of Does Overseas Experience Matter for Fund Managers … · 2019-04-26 · Abstract:Being different...
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Does Overseas Experience Matter for Fund Managers’ Performance in
China?
Ying Zhou(周莹), Allan Zebedee
(4th Floor, Administrative Building, Center for Economics, Finance and Managment Studies, Hunan
University, Changsha, Hunan, 410006)
Abstract:Being different from the common manager characteristics that other literatures focus on, this
paper examines the relationship between managers’ overseas experience and mutual fund performance
in China. Using the data we collect by hand, we find that the overseas experience is negatively and
significantly related to fund performance. And those managers tend to take less risk while fail to reach a
tradeoff between return and risk, and they trade less frequently in capital market. We also find some
results similar to other famous literatures.
Keywords: Mutual fund manager performance; overseas experience; manager characteristics
中图分类号: F830.91 文献标识码:A
1. Introduction
In recent years, with the constant improvement of the domestic capital market and
increasing investment consciousness of a broad range of investors, Chinese fund
industry develops rapidly. According to Asset Management Association of China, by the
end of 2017, the number of fund in domestic market increases from 4 in 1998 to 4841,
the total net asset reaches to 11,600 million yuan, in which the open-ended fund
increases from 2 in 2001 to 4361, and the net asset is 10,990 million yuan. It’s easy to
see that funds have gradually become one of the most important institutional investors in
the domestic stock market, and have an increasing impact on the security market. Among
those funds, the open-ended funds have been the mainstream and grown in quite fast
speed especially after 2006. So the research on open-ended funds need further updated
and improved.
As the final executor of fund investment decision and implementation, fund
managers’ behavior has a direct influence on the fund performance. Choosing fund
managers is a very important part for both fund corporations and investors, so there is
important theoretic and practical meaning about the research on the relationship between
the individual characteristics of fund managers and performance. As a matter of fact, with
the increasing number of fund managers, the group of fund managers has shown the
individual characteristics which are different from other occupation groups. Before being
fund managers, those people have different background or experience, and there is no
doubt that their former experience will affect their thinking pattern, which will affect their
final decision. Especially the overseas experience, which is quite different compare to
other managers’ domestic experience, and those experience may affect their cognitive
schema, such as knowledge of facts, events and trends, knowledge about alternatives
and knowledge or assumptions about how consequences are attaches to alternatives.
On the other hand, overseas experience may implies higher ability, because it is known
to us all that as a foreigner in another country, a person who want to find a good job
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usually need to get more recognition, and this recognition reflects ability that we cannot
observe. So the changing cognitive schema and the unobserved higher ability may affect
managers’ investment styles and performance. So does overseas experience really
matter for fund managers’ performance? This question needs data to prove.
Another phenomenon is that studying abroad has been an increasing popular choice
for many people. According to the data from Ministry of Education, the number of persons
studying abroad is more than 600 thousand in 2017, and increased by 11.74% compare
to 2016. China remains the largest source country of overseas students in the world. And
a lot of persons going abroad would like to leave there to live and work. Does this mean
the brain drain? Facing such phenomenon, should Chinese government take efforts and
policy to attract those persons to come back to make contributions to Chinese economy?
This paper may partly help to answer the question.
The rest of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 is a review for the literatures
that have investigated the influence of manager characteristics on fund performance.
Section 3 describes the data while Section 4 provides the methodology. Section 5
contains the results and discussion, and Section 6 presents the conclusions.
2. Literature review
The research on relationship between fund manager characteristics and fund
performance starts from 90s in last century. Using annual return of fund and excess
return adjusted by market risk as performance metric, Golec(1996) investigates the
effects of managers’ characteristics on performance, such as age, tenure, years of
education and whether they have MBA degree, and he finds that those managers who
have MBA degree, longer tenure on the fund and are younger perform better. Chevalier
and Ellison(1999) finds those managers with MBA degree have an obvious investing
tendency on low book-to-market ratio growing stocks, while the older managers tend to
use performance momentum strategy so that they make some adjustment on the effect
of investing styles of managers. On the basis of simple excess return and market excess
return, they use four-factors adjusted excess return to measure the performance and
adjust the investment styles of managers, and they find that managers who graduate
from the undergraduate college perform with higher mean SAT score will achieve better
performance through all kinds of metrics. By investigating the effects of education
background on the fund performance, Gottesman and Morey(2006) find that those
managers that have attended high-quality MBA projects perform much better than those
who have not attended MBA projects or the projects are not great enough in a
significance level, and simultaneously, whether owning CFA certificate, the master degree
besides MBA or doctor degree have nothing to do with the fund performance. Li (2011)
firstly investigates the relationship between hedge fund manager characteristics and
performance and gets the similar result, that is, hedge fund managers who graduate from
higher SAT universities always achieve higher raw return and risk-adjusted return, and
also, lower exposing risk.
The domestic research on fund performance mainly focus on the fund performance
assessment (Shen and Huang, 2001; Wang, 2001) and performance persistency (Xu and
Zhao, 2006) and so on. There are also scholars focusing on the relationship between
ownership structure and performance fund (Jiang et. al, 2011). The valuable research
examining relationships between managers and their performance from angel of
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individual characteristics are not too much. By investigates the pressure and competence
faced by close-ended managers from the prospect of tenure, Yao et. al (2006) find that
the appoint and dismiss of managers are not based on the performance and there does
not exist persistency on the performance of close-ended fund. Xu and Zhao(2008) focus
on the influence of manager characteristics on performance and risk and they get the
conclusion that the younger and managers with longer tenure perform better, and the
risk-controlling consciousness need to be improved, however, they only consider 72 open
and close-ended fund during the period January 2nd, 2001 and September 30th, 2004.
There are several papers focusing on the effects of experience of managers on their
performance. Porter and Thrifts (1998) firstly regard experience as the focus of research.
But the researchers do not find evidence for persistence among those managers with
rankings of annual fund manager performance, also no evidence that performance over
the first five years can be used to predict the next five years’ performance. Porter and
Thrifts (2012) find even less encouraging results with respect to the performance of
long-serving managers. Based on the previews studies, Clare (2017) focuses on 357
managers that have had tenure in excess of ten years, however, little evidence shows the
performance persists from one year to the next.
Even though there are a lot of paper focusing on the effects of manager
characteristics and even their experience on fund performance, few papers mainly put
their attention on the overseas experience. However, fund is hard to get in, while fund
prefer those people who have worked abroad, do those people have higher ability and
achieve higher significant performance? This paper is to answer this question.
3. Data
3.1 Fund selection criteria
This paper examines the performance of open-ended stock fund managers from Jan
2014 to Dec 2016, in order to better reflect the stock-picking ability of manager, passive
investments such as index funds are excluded, and for the reason that the tenure of
Chinese fund managers are short, we choose the managers that have been managing
the fund more than one year. Using the classification of database CSMAR, 1028 records
of funds exist during 2014-2016, after dropping the funds that do not satisfy the standards
above, 284 records of managers left.
For every manager, this paper record their specific managing period which includes
starting date and ending date, if a manager starts managing this fund before Jan 2014,
then his starting date is Jan 2014, if the manager stop managing this fund after Dec 2016,
then his ending date is Dec 2016.
3.2 Data source
The managers’ individual characteristics are collected by hand from CV disclosed on
the website, the raw return of funds, risk-free rates and market return come from CSMAR,
the fundamental data and financial data are obtained from Wind, other data such as the
momentum factors in four-factors model, excess return and investing style coefficients of
funds are obtained through calculation and regression, the fee ratio and turnover ratio are
calculated through financial data.
3.3 Variables definition
(1) Individual characteristics of managers
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The variables contained in the paper include managers’ gender, age, security tenure,
fund industry experience, researcher, tenure, master, doctor, MBA, work abroad, whether
they have studied abroad and whether they have overseas experience.
Where, for the variables gender, female = 0, male = 1. For age, we use the age of the
fund managers as of the year of observation, for those managers whose age are not
disclosed, we refer it according to the mangers’ education background and resume, the
undergraduate graduation is 23 years old, master's graduation is 26 years old and
doctor’s graduation is 30 year’s old. The security tenure is how long they have been
working in security industry by the start of their own testing period, the unit is year. The
fund industry experience is how long they have been working in fund industry by the start
of their own testing period, the unit is year. For the variable researcher, if they have been
industry researcher or other similar occupation, we record it as 1, otherwise 0. The
variable tenure is how long they have been managing this fund before the testing period,
if this fund is funded during the testing period, then this variable is 0, and the unit is year,
but specified to month. For the variables master and doctor, if the manager’s highest
education is doctor, then doctor = 1, master = 1, if the manager’s highest education is
master, then doctor = 0, master = 1, if the manager’s highest education is bachelor,
doctor = 0, master = 0. For whether they have MBA degree, yes = 1, no = 0. For whether
they have worked abroad, whether they have worked abroad, yes = 1, no = 0. For
whether they have overseas experience, if this manager have worked abroad or studied
abroad, then we note it as 1, otherwise 0.
(2) Fund characteristics
The fund characteristics in this paper refer to fund size, fund age, fund fee ratio and
fund turnover ratio. The fund size is the natural logarithm of the average net assets of the
fund in the testing period. The average net asset is the average value of the beginning
and end of the period. The fund age is the existing time since the foundation of the fund.
The fee ratio is the total expenses divided by average net asset in the same period, this
definition is a little bit different from the method of Chevalier and Ellison (1999) which
used the management expenses to represent total expenses, because pricing freely for
management fee is not allowed in China and the management expenses is 1.5% of the
managing assets, so the influence of fee on fund performance is actually that of the fund
size. The turnover ratio = (cost of buying stocks + income of selling stocks) / (2*average
net assets) during the testing period.
3.4 A data collecting example
For the reason that the data of this paper are collected by hand, so I would like to
introduce how I collect every record of the manager step by step.
Taking the fund whose code is 000979 as an example. Firstly, we search this fund
according to its code on the Morningstar website, and we can find two managers who
managed this fund between 2014 and 2016, that are, Tianling Xie managed this fund
from May 2015 to May 2016 and Wuke Bao managed this fund from June 2016 to
December 2016, so their managing time are 1 year and 7 months respectively. So only
the manager whose name is Tianling Xie satisfies our standard for the reason that we
require the manager have managed this fund at least 1 year and only one manager
manage this fund in this period. And we record the manager’s managing period, which is
used to calculate their performance metrics. Using the information disclosed on the
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website and the annual report of this fund in 2015, we can get Tianling Xie’s individual
information such as gender, education background and whether she has been the
researcher. The variable tenure is how long the manager has been managing this fund
before the testing period. In this example, her starting date is just in the testing period so
that the tenure is zero. The security tenure in manager’s resume part in the fund’s annual
report is 14, this number records how long this manager has been working in security
and fund industry by 2015, so we can calculate this manager began to work in 2001, that
is when she graduate from university (In the paper, we assume that manager begin to
work after graduation and there is no gap.). Then we can infer her birth year, that is 1976,
which equals to 2001 minus 25, for the reason that most managers haven’t disclosed
their birth year and we assume that those manager get their bachelor degree at the age
of 22, master degree at 25 and doctor degree at 30. So Tianling Xie’s age is 39 by the
year she starts to manage this fund, that is starting year minus birth year (2015-1976 =
39). Then we find that this manager has worked in the place besides mainland, so we
regard her as having worked abroad. And she got the master degree in Taiwan University,
so the variable studying abroad is 1.
4. Methodology
In this paper, we use five metrics to measure the performance of the fund managed
by managers, they are mean monthly excess return, Sharpe ratio (1966), single-index
alpha, Fama-French (1993) three-index alpha and Carhart (1997) four-index alpha, and
we suppose that they can reflect the characteristics of managers and fund only. The
mean monthly excess return, four-index alpha and conditional alpha are used by
Gottesman and Morey (2006), where the former two metrics are commonly used in
literature and the conditional alpha takes the historical public information into
consideration and use a dynamic strategy to match the time-varying risk exposure of
return.
The mean monthly excess return is mean monthly return minus mean risk-free rate.
The Sharpe ratio is calculated as:
Where t is the standard deviation of return during the sample period for fund i. When
evaluating the performance of fund, Sharpe ratio includes the investment risk and
considers both excess return and total risk. So it is a metric which is overall. The higher
the sharpe ratio is, the better the fund performance.
The single-index alpha is defined as:
where it ftR R is the excess total return (net of one-year bank deposit rate for regular
savings) for fund i during time period t, RMRF is the value-weighted average return of all
stocks traded in Shanghai and Shenzhen in excess of risk-free rate.
To estimate the three-index alpha, we use the following regression to make estimation:
sharpe = t f
t
t
R R
1it ft i i t itR R RMRF
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where SMB is the value-weighted average return difference of small and large cap firms.
HML is the value-weighted average return difference of high and low book-to-ratio firms.
On the basis of three-index alpha, we can estimate through the following regression
by adding a factor:
UMD is the difference in return between the high-return and low-return stocks, the
momentum effect which is reflected by momentum factors can be as long as either one
year or one month, in this paper, we choose one year as the time gap, which is the same
as Carhart (1997). These four factors take the market information and some abnormal
return phenomenon into consideration, so we can regard it as, after excluding the effect
of market and some factors that have been proved to be related to stock performance,
then can be regarded as to be associated with the characteristics of managers and
mutual fund.
For all five performance metrics (mean monthly excess return, sharpe ratio, single
index alpha, 3-index alpha and 4-index alpha), we perform estimation using excess
return. It is calculated from accumulative net asset values (NAV) and is calculated as
, , 1 , 1( ) /p t p t p tNAV NAV NAV , where ,p tNAV and , 1p tNAV are the accumulative net
asset values of portfolio p at time t and t-1 respectively and can be obtained from
CSMAR database. As the basic unit of purchase and redemption, the data NAV is easy to
be obtained, and can be used to measure the historical return of the fund, for the reason
that NAV in each period contains the cash dividends.
5. Results
5.1 Summary statistics
Table 1 presents summary statistics for the data we use in the study. The table
reports that the approximately 9.5 percent of the managers have worked abroad and 12.7
percent of managers have studied abroad, which is larger than the former one, this
shows that not all the person who have studied abroad will stay abroad to work, maybe
they cannot or they do not want. Then the percentage for those who have overseas
experience is 13.7, which does not equal to the percentage of studying abroad, this
shows that a small part of managers that graduated from domestic university while
choose to work abroad, which is quite difficult and may require their excellent
background such as ability.
Table 1 Descriptive statistics
Variable Obs Mean Std.Dev. Min Max
Work abroad 284 0.095 0.294 0 1
Study abroad 284 0.127 0.333 0 1
Overseas experience 284 0.137 0.345 0 1
Age/10 284 3.669 0.461 2.900 5.800
Gender 284 0.884 0.321 0 1
Security tenure 284 9.687 4.344 3 34
1 2 3it ft i i t i t i t itR R RMRF SMB HML
1 2 3 4it ft i i t i t i t i t itR R RMRF SMB HML UMD
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Researcher 284 0.782 0.414 0 1
Other experience 284 0.088 0.284 0 1
Tenure 284 0.714 1.466 0 9.170
Master 284 0.979 0.144 0 1
Doctor 284 0.169 0.375 0 1
MBA 284 0.084 0.279 0 1
Fund age 284 1.987 3.038 0 14
Turnover ratio 284 3.584 3.314 0.048 19.36
Fund size 284 20.14 1.516 15.51 24.02
Expense*100 284 2.706 1.355 0.465 10.63
Beta 284 0.769 0.307 -0.051 1.395
Table 2 Descriptive statistics for the performance metrics
Variable Obs Mean Std.Dev. Min Max
Rp*100 284 0.638 1.265 -2.646 5.540
Sharpe*100 284 10.57 37.32 -31.08 471.0
a1*100 284 0.269 0.779 -2.211 3.138
a3*100 284 0.550 0.921 -2.892 4.680
a4*100 284 0.444 0.887 -3.719 3.610
Table 3 presents the correlations between the variables. The results indicate a
correlation coefficient of 0.74 between working abroad and studying abroad. This
indicates that a large part of fund managers who have studied abroad usually will choose
to work abroad, but not all the persons will do so. This result is important as the relatively
high degree of correlation implies more potential multi-collinearity so that these two
variables cannot be put in the same regressions.
Table 3 also shows some interesting results regarding the overseas experience. First,
the overseas experience is not the only chip that those managers hold to get in fund
industry as the correlation between overseas experience and security tenure is 0.20,
besides the overseas experiences which is used to show their high ability, they also
should own practical experience. Secondly, even though 78.2 percent of the managers
had researcher experience, there is an inverse relation between overseas experience
and researcher experience. More specifically, the correlation between researcher and
overseas experience is -0.24. It seems that we can regard the overseas experience as a
substitute for the researcher experience.
The correlation coefficients between the main variables are all smaller than 0.7
besides overseas experience, working abroad and studying abroad the three variables,
this indicates that there does not exist multi-collinearity to a certain degree.
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Table 3 Correlation coefficient
work
a~d
study
~d
overs
e~e
gend
er
securi~
e
resea
r~r
other
~e tenure master doctor mba
fund
age
Turnov
er ratio
fund
s~e
expen
se beta Age
work
abroad 1
study
abroad 0.74 1
overseas
experience 0.81 0.96 1
gender -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 1
security
tenure 0.23 0.21 0.20 0.00 1
researcher -0.24 -0.21 -0.24 0.02 -0.21 1
other
experience -0.06 -0.08 -0.09 0.04 -0.01 0.01 1
Tenure 0.12 0.07 0.08 -0.04 0.24 -0.07 -0.02 1
Master -0.04 0.06 -0.01 -0.05 -0.17 0.04 -0.04 0.00 1
Doctor 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.11 0.05 -0.06 -0.04 -0.06 0.07 1
Mba 0.12 0.07 0.10 0.07 0.17 -0.05 0.08 0.00 0.04 -0.10 1
fund age -0.08 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 0.08 0.16 0.05 0.05 0.01 -0.01 0.08 1
Turnover
ratio -0.11 -0.12 -0.14 0.06 -0.06 0.15 -0.03 0.03 -0.01 0.08 -0.03 0.03 1
fund size -0.09 0.01 -0.03 0.00 0.12 0.13 -0.03 -0.05 -0.03 -0.12 0.02 0.06 -0.18 1
Expense 0.00 -0.05 -0.05 -0.02 -0.02 0.14 0.02 0.04 -0.01 0.07 -0.03 0.08 0.80 -0.33 1
Beta -0.20 -0.21 -0.23 0.11 -0.13 0.04 0.06 -0.16 -0.04 -0.10 -0.06 -0.37 -0.07 0.11 -0.11 1
Age 0.24 0.21 0.19 0.06 0.89 -0.19 0.16 0.18 -0.10 0.33 0.14 0.08 -0.05 0.09 0.01 -0.10 1
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5.2 Fund performance and manager characteristics
The results of our tests of fund performance on manager and fund characteristics are
presented in Tables 4-6. In each of these three tables, we estimate fund performance over
2014-2016 using excess returns. We use five performance measures: simple excess
(mean monthly) returns, the Sharpe ratio, the single-index alpha, the 3-index alpha and the
4-index alpha.
Table 4 presents the result of regression using overseas experience as the
independent variable. The results show that there exists a negative and significant
relationship between overseas experience and manger’s performance when we use
Sharpe ratio, single-index alpha and three-index alpha as the performance metrics. This
result is different from that of Zhao et al (2010), which concluded that the foreign
experience will not affect the fund’s performance. The explanation may be that Zhao
directly use the return of fund as the performance metric while this measure does not
exclude the influence of the market so that the result may be mixed, and we can also see
that our result is the same with Zhao when we use the excess return as metric. The reason
why overseas experience will reduce the manager’s performance may be that those
managers usually have longer security tenure which has been proved in section 5.2, while
managers with longer security tenure tend to have worse performance, which can also
been seen in fourth line of table 4 that there is an inverse relationship between security
tenure and manager performance, even though the result is not significant. The inverse
relationship is consistent with the findings of Porter and Thrifts (2012).
In Table 5 and Table 6, we replicate the regressions presented in Table 4 but we
replace the overseas experience dummy with the work abroad dummy and study abroad
dummy respectively to see which explains the managers’ performance more specifically.
Then we can see that the results of these two are similar with overseas experience as
independent variable, even though the coefficient of working abroad is not so significant.
5.3 Risk and manager characteristics
This part gives evidence that why managers with overseas experience underperform
others. One potential explanation for this is cross-sectional differences in manager behavior,
a subject we begin to explore in this section. Table 4 presents the results of the regressions
of fund characteristics on manager characteristics.
5.3.1 Total risk
We use the standard deviation of the return of each mutual fund manager to represent
total risk. The sample size for each manager ranges from 12 months to 36 months, which is
not the same for every manager. The total risk contains systematic risk and unsystematic
risk.
The first column of Table 4 shows the relationship between total risk of fund and
manager characteristics and we can find managers with overseas experience are more
likely to manage funds of lower risk.
5.3.2 Beta
However, the return of a portfolio should be positively related to its systematic risk
rather than the total risk because the unsystematic risk can be diversified through investing
on the large variety of assets. So we next focus on the relationship between beta which
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measures the systematic risk and manager characteristics.
We calculate a beta for each mutual fund in our sample by regressing the fund’s
monthly return in that testing period minus the risk-free rate on the monthly return of the
market minus the risk-free rate. The testing period ranges from 12 months to 36 months,
which is not the same for every manager, this horizon may give us fewer data points for the
estimation that one might want, but this can avoid longer horizon because of the possibility
of a fund’s riskiness changing over time.
In the second column of Table 4, the coefficient estimates from a regression of fund’s
beta on the manager characteristics described previously are listed. The results show an
inverse relationship between beta and overseas experience. The reason may be that those
managers are not so familiar with the domestic capital market and those stocks that they
managed, so that they tend to adopt more conservative investing strategies to avoid
making the net asset loss. As expected, given that managers with overseas experience do
not appear to take on more systematic risk, their performance remains lower and
significant.
In terms of other manager characteristics that influence beta, both Golec and Chevalier
and Ellison find that age is positively related to beta. Chevalier and Ellison (1999) attempt
to explain this behavior by concluding that younger managers hold less risk in an effort “to
minimize the probability of job loss”. And the result in this research is consistent with their
conclusion. As for the variable age, Gao (2014) find that female fund managers tend to take
less market risk for their own gender characteristics, and their results confirms to the meta
analysis of Byrnes (1999), that is, women have higher levels of risk aversion than men. And
our result is the same with their findings. Another manager characteristics found to be
related to beta in the literature is manager tenure. Both Chevalier and Ellison and Golec
find that manager tenure is negatively related to the beta of the fund, although Golec’s
results are not significant at standard levels. We also find very significant negative
relationship between manager tenure, security tenure and beta. Hence, the longer the
manager has worked for the fund, the lower the beta.
Besides manager age, gender and tenure, the education variables are also found to be
related or unrelated with beta in different literatures. Both Golec and Chevalier and Ellison
find that funds with MBA managers have significantly higher betas. While Morey and
Gottesman (2006) find no significant relationship between beta and the quantity of
education (MBA, Ph. D and other graduate degree). However, in this research, there is a
very significant negative relationship between beta and doctor degree, while no relation
between beta and master or MBA. One possible explanation for doctors tend to take less
risk is that well-educated managers might take on less risky positions in the market, while
for the MBA degree, it is a common sense that the quality of MBA education in China is not
as high as America.
Table 4 Regressions of fund characteristics on manager characteristics
Independent variables Dependent variables
Total risk Beta Fund size expense Turnover ratio
Overseas experience -0.1083* -0.1941*** -0.1189 -0.0775 -1.0668*
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(0.0555) (0.0533) (0.2702) (0.2466) (0.5970)
Gender 0.1779*** 0.1067* -0.0115 -0.1488 0.4970
(0.0575) (0.0552) (0.2799) (0.2555) (0.6183)
Age 0.2132 0.2441* 1.1100* 0.0400 -0.6305
(0.1361) (0.1305) (0.6620) (0.6043) (1.4625)
Tenure -0.0411*** -0.0279** -0.0901 0.0572 0.1396
(0.0129) (0.0124) (0.0627) (0.0572) (0.1384)
Master -0.2277* -0.0978 -0.1116 -0.2539 -0.5460
(0.1311) (0.1257) (0.6378) (0.5821) (1.4090)
Doctor -0.1877*** -0.1791*** -0.9206*** 0.3017 1.0539
(0.0688) (0.0660) (0.3349) (0.3057) (0.7399)
MBA -0.0378 -0.0562 -0.0402 -0.0342 0.0142
(0.0677) (0.0649) (0.3293) (0.3006) (0.7275)
Security tenure -0.0214 -0.0266** -0.0416 -0.0061 0.0267
(0.0136) (0.0131) (0.0663) (0.0605) (0.1464)
Researcher 0.0100 -0.0337 0.5207** 0.4584** 0.9855**
(0.0460) (0.0441) (0.2236) (0.2041) (0.4939)
Other experience -0.0418 -0.0399 -0.5290 0.0939 -0.2475
(0.0765) (0.0733) (0.3720) (0.3395) (0.8218)
Constant 0.4170 0.2445 16.4687*** 2.5541 4.8529
(0.3749) (0.3596) (1.8239) (1.6648) (4.0294)
Observations 284 284 284 284 284
R-squared 0.124 0.118 0.071 0.031 0.050
5.4 Sharpe ratio, Treynor ratio and manager characteristics
We have found that one of the reasons why managers with overseas experience
perform worse than others is that they tend to take less systematic risk in managing fund,
but can they realize a balance between risk and return in making investment strategies?
Table presents the result of regression using Sharpe ratio and Treynor ratio as the
dependent variables. We calculate Sharpe ratio through mean monthly excess return
divided by standard deviation, and Treynor ratio through mean monthly excess return
divided by beta, which correspond to the total risk and systematic risk in above part
respectively. The first two columns of table are the regression using only the manager
characteristics, and the other two columns add the fund characteristics as control variables
as well.
However, the results show that no matter whether we control the fund characteristics,
we find little evidence that there is a significant relationship between overseas experience
and Sharpe ratio, Treynor ratio. That is to say, managers with overseas experience are not
able to maintain a tradeoff between return and total risk, systematic risk, so that they
cannot get equivalent return even though they prefer lower risk portfolio.
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Table 5 performance regression using Sharpe and Treynor ratio as independent variables
Independent variables Dependent variables
Sharpe ratio Treynor ratio Sharpe ratio Treynor ratio
Overseas experience -8.7829 -3.6061 -8.4262 -2.5631
(6.7096) (10.1679) (6.8276) (10.3493)
Age -3.8189 4.2399 -2.6176 3.8102
(14.0209) (21.2477) (14.2140) (21.5457)
Gender -15.9804** 7.5062 -16.2091** 7.5107
(7.0006) (10.6089) (7.1123) (10.7809)
Security tenure 0.4954 0.3315 0.4759 0.2671
(1.4299) (2.1670) (1.4410) (2.1843)
Tenure 1.7237 -1.0682 1.5500 -1.1132
(1.5674) (2.3753) (1.5849) (2.4024)
Researcher -1.8007 3.0977 -1.4985 0.7764
(5.5924) (8.4749) (5.8589) (8.8809)
Master 7.6533 3.7373 7.7765 4.0119
(15.8481) (24.0167) (15.9403) (24.1624)
Doctor 9.4976 17.5875 8.0818 17.6860
(7.7321) (11.7174) (7.9044) (11.9815)
MBA -2.0411 -1.7590 -2.2015 -2.1245
(8.2111) (12.4434) (8.2807) (12.5519)
Fund age 0.0616 0.5792
(0.7569) (1.1473)
Fund size -1.3367 1.3350
(1.6436) (2.4913)
Expense -0.2481 0.2475
(2.9846) (4.5240)
Turnover ratio 0.4367 0.7235
(1.1735) (1.7787)
Constant 26.3596 -30.3513 48.2188 -58.0054
(40.5986) (61.5243) (51.0249) (77.3437)
Observations 284 284 284 284
R-squared 0.037 0.024 0.041 0.028
5.5 The relationship between other fund characteristics and manager
characteristics
5.5.1 Fund size
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Chevalier and Ellison examine how fund manager characteristics are related to fund
size, as measured by net assets under management. They find that manager tenure and
fund size are positively and significantly related while manager age and fund size are
negatively and significantly related. Conversely, in our results we find little relationship
between fund size and tenure and positive relationship between fund size and age. The
reason may be that older person will have more confidence on themselves to manage a
larger fund well.
We also find a very strong inverse relationship between fund size and doctor degree
while positive and significant relationship between fund size and researcher experience.
These two results can be explained by practical experience. A manager who has been the
industry researcher knows more about the industry even the specific company so they tend
to have more confidence to manage larger fund.
5.5.2 Expenses
In the previous literature, Morey and Gottesman find funds with managers who hold
MBAs tend to have high expenses, while we do not get similar result, the reason may be
that the calculating methods for expense ratio are not the same.
5.5.3 Turnover ratio
Our results show that the two factors influence turnover. Specifically, we find that the
overseas experience reduce fund turnover ratio. That is, managers with overseas
experience buy and sell stocks not so frequently as other managers. While those managers
who have been researcher have higher turnover ratio, this confirms to our common sense
for the reason that they know the stocks and industry they are in well, so they can react
very quickly to those information. However, we do not find other manager characteristics to
be related with turnover ratio, which differs from Morey and Gottesman who find that
security tenure and lack of MBA reduce fund turnover.
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Table 5 Performance regressions using overseas experience dummy only
Independent
variables Dependent variables
Risk
premium Sharpe ratio Single-index Three-index Four-index
Risk
premium Sharpe ratio Single-index Three-index Four-index
Overseas experience -0.4489** -8.7829 -0.2937** -0.4300*** -0.1804 -0.4948** -8.4262 -0.3087** -0.4407*** -0.1923
Age -0.3664 -3.8189 0.0993 0.3411 0.1828 -0.3298 -2.6176 0.0751 0.3306 0.1562
Gender 0.1588 -15.9804** -0.0019 0.1588 0.1731 0.1521 -16.2091** -0.0137 0.1377 0.1505
Security tenure 0.0372 0.4954 -0.0234 -0.0515 -0.0365 0.0412 0.4759 -0.0201 -0.0480 -0.0332
Tenure 0.1641*** 1.7237 -0.0815** -0.0941** -0.0701* 0.1633*** 1.5500 -0.0761** -0.0895** -0.0621*
Researcher -0.4421** -1.8007 -0.2464** -0.2682** -0.2845** -0.3243* -1.4985 -0.2243* -0.2365* -0.2585*
Master 0.5557 7.6533 0.5651* 0.6882* 0.9414** 0.5595 7.7765 0.5930* 0.7237* 0.9744***
Doctor 0.1773 9.4976 0.0225 -0.2373 -0.1304 0.1442 8.0818 0.0443 -0.2295 -0.0980
MBA -0.0779 -2.0411 -0.1516 -0.2415 -0.1240 -0.0481 -2.2015 -0.1065 -0.1877 -0.0665
Fund age -0.0429* 0.0616 -0.0484*** -0.0595*** -0.0616***
Fund size -0.0796 -1.3367 0.0410 0.0348 0.0621*
Expense 0.0232 -0.2481 0.0687 0.0720 0.0632
Turnover ratio -0.0282 0.4367 -0.0093 -0.0019 -0.0036
Constant 1.2046 26.3596 -0.1198 -0.6199 -0.6173 2.6776 48.2188 -0.9875 0.144 0.126
Observations 284 284 284 284 284 284 284 284 284 284
R-squared 0.072 0.037 0.082 0.101 0.076 0.093 0.041 0.121 0.144 0.126
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Table 6 Performance regressions using working abroad dummy only
Independent
variables Dependent variables
Risk
premium
Sharpe
ratio
Single-inde
x
Three-inde
x Four-index
Risk
premium
Sharpe
ratio
Single-inde
x
Three-inde
x Four-index
Work abroad -0.3425 -7.6010 -0.2124 -0.3458* -0.1618 -0.4467* -7.7887 -0.2507 -0.3915** -0.1975
Age -0.3453 -3.2885 0.1116 0.3636 0.1945 -0.2908 -1.9335 0.0962 0.3646 0.1740
Gender 0.1547 -16.0969** -0.0042 0.1542 0.1705 0.1422 -16.3833** -0.0192 0.1290 0.1460
Security tenure 0.0340 0.4320 -0.0255 -0.0546 -0.0378 0.0376 0.4135 -0.0225 -0.0513 -0.0346
Tenure 0.1658*** 1.7690 -0.0806** -0.0923** -0.0691* 0.1656*** 1.5907 -0.0751** -0.0876** -0.0609*
Researcher -0.4137** -1.3665 -0.2263** -0.2434* -0.2763** -0.2994 -1.0948 -0.2056* -0.2136 -0.2515*
Master 0.5324 7.1658 0.5502* 0.6652* 0.9312** 0.5325 7.3121 0.5770* 0.6999* 0.9632***
Doctor 0.1697 9.3402 0.0176 -0.2448 -0.1337 0.1286 7.8163 0.0348 -0.2433 -0.1042
MBA -0.0853 -2.1045 -0.1574 -0.2470 -0.1248 -0.0491 -2.2011 -0.1098 -0.1892 -0.0646
Fund age -0.0444* 0.0347 -0.0491*** -0.0608*** -0.0624***
Fund size -0.0850 -1.4306 0.0379 0.0301 0.0597
Expense 0.0207 -0.2826 0.0659 0.0695 0.0633
Turnover ratio -0.0254 0.4805 -0.0069 0.0008 -0.0031
Constant 1.1338 24.7850 -0.1636 -0.6914 -0.6508 2.6698 48.0854 -0.9923 -1.4415 -1.8878
Observations 284 284 284 284 284 284 284 284 284 284
R-squared 0.064 0.034 0.072 0.088 0.074 0.086 0.038 0.112 0.133 0.125
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Table 7 Performance regressions using studying abroad dummy only
Independent
variables Dependent variables
Risk
premium
Sharpe
ratio
Single-inde
x
Three-inde
x Four-index
Risk
premium
Sharpe
ratio
Single-inde
x
Three-inde
x Four-index
Study abroad -0.4470* -9.1884 -0.2741* -0.4199** -0.1882 -0.4756** -8.6303 -0.2941** -0.4355*** -0.2112
Age -0.3752 -3.9763 0.0929 0.3324 0.1796 -0.3387 -2.7658 0.0695 0.3228 0.1529
Gender 0.1558 -16.0513** -0.0034 0.1562 0.1717 0.1469 -16.3063** -0.0169 0.1329 0.1481
Security tenure 0.0394 0.5430 -0.0222 -0.0495 -0.0356 0.0432 0.5165 -0.0189 -0.0461 -0.0321
Tenure 0.1624*** 1.6906 -0.0827** -0.0959** -0.0708* 0.1615*** 1.5225 -0.0772** -0.0910** -0.0627*
Researcher -0.4284** -1.5929 -0.2350** -0.2539* -0.2801** -0.3099 -1.3199 -0.2149* -0.2251* -0.2562*
Master 0.6345 9.2845 0.6129* 0.7619** 0.9748*** 0.6430 9.3078 0.6446** 0.8005** 1.0122***
Doctor 0.1824 9.6073 0.0255 -0.2326 -0.1281 0.1501 8.2037 0.0479 -0.2238 -0.0947
MBA -0.0967 -2.3905 -0.1647 -0.2599 -0.1312 -0.0691 -2.5351 -0.1198 -0.2059 -0.0735
Fund age -0.0430* 0.0582 -0.0484*** -0.0596*** -0.0618***
Fund size -0.0759 -1.2705 0.0432 0.0381 0.0637*
Expense 0.0179 -0.3203 0.0653 0.0677 0.0620
Turnover ratio -0.0251 0.4789 -0.0073 0.0007 -0.0030
Constant 1.1274 24.7720 -0.1670 -0.6923 -0.6498 2.5274 45.4986 -1.0805 -1.5721 -1.9511*
Observations 284 284 284 284 284 284 284 284 284 284
R-squared 0.071 0.037 0.079 0.099 0.076 0.091 0.041 0.119 0.142 0.127
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Table 8 Regressions with control variables
Independent Dependent variables
variables Risk
premium Sharpe ratio Single-index Three-index Four-index
Risk
premium Sharpe ratio Single-index Three-index Four-index
Overseas experience -0.4207* -8.7525 -0.2948** -0.4211*** -0.1814 -0.4086* -8.6563 -0.2993** -0.4289*** -0.1883
Age -0.0620 0.6976 -0.1145 -0.1446 -0.1518 -0.7975 -5.1726 0.1592 0.3286 0.2676
Gender 0.1405 -16.1516** 0.0061 0.1741 0.1855 0.1639 -15.9643** -0.0027 0.1590 0.1721
Tenure 0.1718*** 1.7888 -0.0846*** -0.0996*** -0.0748** 0.1633*** 1.7210 -0.0814** -0.0941** -0.0700*
Researcher -0.4560** -1.9371 -0.2400** -0.2557* -0.2746** -0.4368** -1.7840 -0.2472** -0.2680** -0.2855**
Other experience 0.2331 -0.3427 0.0194 0.1560 0.0371 0.4550 1.4291 -0.0632 0.0132 -0.0894
Master 0.4935 6.7197 0.6093* 0.7888** 1.0106*** 0.6460 7.9366 0.5526* 0.6908* 0.9237**
Doctor 0.0858 8.0033 0.0933 -0.0724 -0.0192 0.3351 9.9933 0.0006 -0.2328 -0.1614
MBA -0.0852 -1.9424 -0.1564 -0.2586 -0.1320 -0.1103 -2.1430 -0.1471 -0.2425 -0.1176
Security tenure 0.0782 0.6241 -0.0291 -0.0503 -0.0446
Constant 0.5224 15.9841 0.3715 0.5036 0.1523 2.2230 29.5581 -0.2613 -0.5904 -0.8175
Observations 284 284 284 284 284 284 284 284 284 284
R-squared 0.073 0.036 0.080 0.096 0.072 0.079 0.037 0.082 0.101 0.077
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6. Discussion
The result presented above indicate that the overseas experience, no matter studying
abroad or working abroad, have a negative effect on the managers performance. The
question we now try to answer is why this might be the case.
One explanation for the results is that those overseas managers’ longer tenure will
negatively cause their worse performance. In table 3, we can easily see that there exists
a negative relationship between overseas experience and security tenure, which means
that those fund managers who have longer overseas experience have longer tenure on
the whole. Indeed we can show that the average security tenure of managers who have
overseas experience is 11.82 while that of mangers who do not have overseas
experience is 9.34. According to Chevalier and Ellison (1999), there is an inverse
relationship between security tenure and performance. However, table 8 shows that this
explanation does not work at least in this sample. The first to fourth column of the table
are the regressions of manager performance on their characteristics besides security
tenure, and the last four columns are the regression which add security tenure. And the
results show that before and after the security is added into the regression, the coefficient
of overseas experience does almost does not change and the significance are the same.
This indicates that the security tenure is not the reason that causing the bad performance
of those overseas managers. To be noticed is that the coefficients of security tenure are
not significant no matter under which performance metric.
Another possible explanation is that those managers know less about the domestic
stock market than those non-overseas managers, that is, information disadvantage.
According to the data, a large part of the overseas managers have worked long in other
areas before they go back to China or come to China, this is why those managers on
average have longer tenure, that is to say, they usually have rich experience about that
capital market. However, this does not means that they can get used to or have a better
understanding about the Chinese capital market. On the other hand, this may show that
fund managing is an industry which requires abundant information about the market.
Although though the security tenure will not add more for the manager’s performance, so
knowing more about the market will not help you perform better, but knowing less does
make you have a worse performance.
7. Conclusion
This paper examines the relationship between overseas experience and mutual fund
performance. We examine if the overseas experience, more specifically, working abroad
or studying abroad affects performance after controlling for expenses, turnover ratio, fund
size, beta, age, gender, education and tenure. We identify several notable results.
First, we find that the overseas experience is negatively and significant related to
beta over the testing period. Hence, managers with overseas experience tend to take
less risk in the capital market. In addition, those persons have lower turnover ratio.
Second, there is an inverse relationship between overseas experience and fund
performance. Even when we change to use another variable such as working abroad and
studying abroad, this relationship remains the same. That is to say, managers with
overseas experience perform worse than other managers. This is not consistent with our
common sense. The explanation is that those managers with overseas experience are
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not as great as we imagine and their experiences do not make sense in the domestic
capital market.
Third, like Chevalier and Ellison, we find some similar results, such as the positive
relationship between beta and age, gender, security tenure.
The results are informative for investors, future managers and fund companies. The
results from this paper indicate that investors, in their relentless search for funds with
superior performance, should not consider funds with managers with overseas
experience. It seems that their ability has not been shown adequately in the stock market.
for students or individuals interested in pursuing graduate education in order to obtain
fund management knowledge, the results suggest that going overseas to study or work is
not worthwhile. A fund also should not take the overseas experience as a standard to hire
managers.
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海归经验对基金经理绩效的影响
周莹,Allan Zebedee
(湖南大学经济管理研究中心行政楼 4 楼,湖南长沙,410000)
摘要:本文从不同于其他文献所关注的公募基金经理的特征出发,考察了基金经理的海归经验与我国公募
基金绩效的关系。我们利用手动收集的数据,我们发现海归经验与基金业绩存在显著的负相关关系。而这
些管理者往往在投资回报和风险之间无法达成平衡的同时,承担较少的风险,而且他们在资本市场的交易
频率也较低。我们也发现了一些与其他著名文献相似的结果。
关键词:公募基金经理绩效,海外经历,经理个人特征
中图分类号: F830.91 文献标识码:A