Docklands Small Area Demographic Profile 2013€¦ · Docklands Small Area Demographic Profile 2....

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Docklands Small Area Demographic Profile 2013 www.melbourne.vic.gov.au

Transcript of Docklands Small Area Demographic Profile 2013€¦ · Docklands Small Area Demographic Profile 2....

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Docklands Small Area Demographic Profile

2013

www.melbourne.vic.gov.au

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Contents

1. Key findings ............................................................................................... 4

2. Profile ......................................................................................................... 5

2.1. History and environment of Docklands ................................................... 5

2.2. Geography of Docklands small area ....................................................... 6

2.3. Demographic profile................................................................................ 6

2.4. Social profile ........................................................................................... 8

2.4.1. Education ............................................................................................ 8

2.4.2. Household and family structure ........................................................... 9

2.4.3. Culture and language profile ............................................................... 9

2.4.4. Internet connection at home ................................................................ 9

2.5. Income profile ....................................................................................... 10

2.6. Socio-economic Index for Areas (SEIFA) ............................................. 11

2.7. Housing ................................................................................................ 13

2.8. Land use and business activity ............................................................. 14

2.9. Workforce ............................................................................................. 15

2.10. Future outlook ....................................................................................... 18

2.10.1. Development activity ......................................................................... 18

2.10.2. Population projections ....................................................................... 19

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Disclaimer

While all due care has been taken to ensure that the content of this report is accurate and current, there may be errors or omissions in it and no legal responsibility is accepted for the information and opinions contained within.

In addition, as the report is based on historic information that is subject to revision and assumptions in preparing forecast figures that are both difficult to predict and liable to change, we do not guarantee the reports currency.

Data sources

Unless otherwise stated, all data in this report are based on the Australian Bureau of Statistics 2011 Census of Population and Housing.

City of Melbourne’s own Census of Land Use and Employment (CLUE) 2010 database also utilised for various economic, land use and employment related analysis.

Forecast population estimates provided via 2011-2036 Population and Household forecasts, id Consultants, last updated October 2013.

Further information

For further information about this small area, another small area with the City of Melbourne or the municipality overall, see the City Research webpage found via the City of Melbourne homepage:

http://www.melbourne.vic.gov.au/AboutMelbourne/Statistics/Pages/Statistics.aspx

This link also contains other demographic reports related to various elements of the City of Melbourne and the small areas contained within it, such as: Workers Profile, Students Profile, High rise Dwellers profile, Younger Persons Profile, Older Persons Profile and Key Changes between 2006 & 2011 Censuses.

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1. Key findings Docklands housed the third least number of residents of all the City of Melbourne’s (the ‘municipality’) small areas, with only East Melbourne and West Melbourne (residential) housing fewer residents. The 5789 residents in Docklands represented six per cent of the municipality’s overall population.

There were 4006 dwellings in Docklands representing seven per cent of the municipality, with residential apartments comprising 94% of all housing types in the small area. With an equal proportion with the small area Southbank (94%), this was the highest proportion of residential apartments in a small area across the municipality.

The proportions of households renting (43%) and those with a mortgage or owning their dwelling outright (24%) were both slightly lower than the averages for the municipality (49% and 27% respectively), while the proportion of unoccupied private dwellings (17%) was the highest of all small areas.

With a median age of 31 years, Docklands was above the municipality average of 28 and had the fourth oldest median age of all small areas. Docklands’ median age was, however, younger than the median of 36 years for Greater Melbourne or 37 years for Australia. Just over one fifth (22%) of Docklands’ residents were aged 12 to 25, with only nine per cent aged 60 years or older.

Just under half (46%) of Docklands’ residents were born overseas with one third (35%) speaking a language other than English at home. China was the most common country of birth (8%) and Mandarin was the most common language spoken at home (8%).

The median personal income of $1060 was the third highest among the municipality’s small areas, with one third of Docklands’ residents (33%) earning a weekly income above $1250.

The most common household type in Docklands was a family household (45%), followed by lone person households (30%) and group households (10%).

Docklands scored higher than the overall municipality for all four SEIFA (Socio-Economic Index for Areas) metrics, indicating minimal relative social disadvantage in the area.

More than 32,000 people worked in Docklands with the most common occupation a ‘professional’ (34%). 89% of the workforce lived outside the City of Melbourne but within Greater Melbourne.

Just over half (55%) of workers used some form of public transport to get to work, with train usage accounting for 46%. A further 32% drove a car, while 3% rode a bicycle to work.

Docklands’ population is forecast to reach 17,000 by 2036, living in around 9000 households. This forecast predicts that Docklands’ share of the municipality’s population and proportion of households are likely to remain at around 9% for each.

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2. Profile

2.1. History and environment of Docklands

Docklands became a part of the City of Melbourne municipality on 1 July 2007. The suburb's 200 hectares of land and water are on Victoria Harbour, west of the city centre. Its inclusion returned a significant area of waterfront to the city.

The area is close to Melbourne's main transport networks, including Southern Cross Station, and is well-known as home to Docklands Stadium (Etihad Stadium) and a large number of modern buildings, public spaces and artworks.

From the original development at New Quay, featuring apartments, restaurants and marina, Docklands has grown as a waterfront precinct offering a mix of inner city living, shopping, business, parks, entertainment, dining, sporting events, community events, arts and culture.

Docklands has also become the national headquarters for a number of major businesses, including the National Australia Bank, ANZ, Myer, AXA, Bendigo Bank, Medibank Private and the Bureau of Meteorology.

It is estimated that by around 2031 Docklands will be a residential area for just under 16,000 people. Upon completion, Docklands is planned to attract 20 million visitors each year and be a workplace for 40,000 people.

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2.2. Geography of Docklands small area

Figure 1: Docklands small area geography within City of Melbourne

The small area of Docklands is bordered by Spencer Street and Southern Cross Station to the east, the small area of West Melbourne to the north and a small section of land south of Yarra River, enclosed by the small areas Port Melbourne at Southbank/South Wharf.

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2.3. Demographic profile

Figure 2: Key metrics of Docklands residents

Key metrics Docklands City of Melbourne

Residential population 5789

(6% of City of Melbourne) 93,627

Younger residents (12-25 years) 22% 33%

Older residents (60 years and over) 9% 10%

Median age 31 28

Residents born overseas 46% 48%

Most common language spoken at home (other than English)

Mandarin (8%)

Mandarin (10%)

Weekly personal income <$300 17% 26%

Weekly personal income >$1250 33% 23%

Median personal weekly income $1060 $711

Higher education (university) students 11% 21%

Bachelor degree or higher 38% 40%

Docklands’ residential population of 5789 represents 6% of the City of Melbourne’s overall population.

With a median age of 31 years, Docklands is towards the older end of the range of median ages across the municipality’s small areas with only three small areas (South Yarra (West), Southbank and Kensington with an older median age.

Just over one in five (22%) residents were aged 12 to 25 years, positioning Docklands as one of the small areas in the municipality least likely to house residents of this age.

Despite the relatively modest proportion of residents aged 12 to 25, Docklands did not house a large proportion of ‘older’ residents aged 60 years or over (9%). The most common age range of Docklands residents was 20 to 34 years (49%).

One third (33%) of Docklands’ residents earned an income of more than $1250 per week, with half of those (16% of all residents) earning $2000 or more. An average personal weekly income of $1060 ranks Docklands as the third highest earning small area in the municipality behind only South Yarra (West) and East Melbourne ($1108 & $1164 respectively).

Docklands was home to a relatively low proportion of higher education students (11%), the fourth least likely small area in the municipality for higher education students to reside. Around four in ten (38%) held a bachelor degree qualification or higher, a proportion only slightly lower than the municipality average of 40%.

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Figure 3: Docklands age profile

As Figure 3 depicts, a significant proportion (49%) of Docklands residents were aged 20 to 34 years. The small ‘peak’ of children aged 0 to 4 years (4%) suggests a proportion of young families in the area that perhaps have a tendency to move out of Docklands for their child’s schooling years.

2.4. Social profile

2.4.1. Education

Less than one in 20 (17%) of Docklands’ residents attended an education institution, the second smallest proportion among the municipality’s small areas ahead of only East Melbourne (15%). Among Docklands’ students, 62% were undertaking higher education (i.e. university or similar).

Higher education students comprised 11% of Docklands’ total population, the fourth smallest proportion in the municipality ahead of Kensington (10%), East Melbourne (10%) and South Yarra (West) (9%).

Around four in ten (38%) of Docklands’ residents held a bachelor degree qualification or higher, a proportion about on par with the overall municipality (40%).

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2.4.2. Household and family structure

Family households* accounted for just under half (45%) of household types in Docklands, making this the most common household type in the small area. Lone person households comprised 30%, with group households accounting for 10% and the second lowest proportion of group households across all the municipality’s small areas.

*Note: a family is defined by the ABS as two or more persons, one of whom is at least 15 years of age, who are related by blood, marriage (registered or de facto), adoption, step or fostering, and who are usually resident in the same household.

2.4.3. Culture and language profile

Just under half (46%) of Docklands’ residents were born overseas, the fourth highest proportion among the municipality’s small areas and about on par with the overall municipality proportion of 48%. The most common countries of birth included: China (8%), India (6%), England (4%), New Zealand (3%) and Malaysia (3%).

More than one third (35%) of Docklands’ residents spoke a language other than English at home, with the most common languages spoken including: Mandarin (8%), Cantonese (4%), Hindi (2%), Korean (2%) and Arabic (1%).

2.4.4. Internet connection at home

A relatively low proportion of 5% of households in Docklands did not have an Internet connection to their dwelling, the second lowest proportion of all small areas behind only Southbank (4%). The most common Internet connection type was broadband, with 69% of households connected this way; a comparable proportion to the 71% with broadband connection across the overall municipality.

Only 2% of households maintained a dial-up Internet connection, 6% accessed the Internet via an other* connection type, and 18% of households did not provide an answer to this Census question – the highest proportion of any small area to not provide an answer to this question.

* Note on Internet connection types:

• Broadband connection includes: ADSL, Cable, Wireless, Satellite, Fibre and Mobile connections

• Dial up connection includes: analogue modem and ISDN connections • Other connection type includes: Internet access through mobile phones, etc.

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2.5. Income profile

Figure 4: Docklands income comparisons

Income (weekly) Docklands City of Melbourne

Median total personal income $1060 $711

Median total family income $2447 $1962

Median total household income $1901 $1352

The median total personal income for Docklands ($1060) was around one and a half times that of the overall municipality median ($711), positioning Docklands as the third highest earning small area behind East Melbourne ($1164) and South Yarra (West) ($1108).

Among the small areas in the City of Melbourne, Docklands has the third highest proportion of persons earning a personal income of more than $1250 per week (33%), behind only East Melbourne (38%) and South Yarra (West) (35%). Conversely, a relatively low 17% of Docklands residents earned less than $300 per week (with South Yarra (West) (14%) and East Melbourne (12%) the only small areas to register lower proportions).

Docklands had the third highest proportion (16%) of residents earning a personal income in the highest bracket reported by the ABS of $2000 or more per week of all the municipality’s small areas, again behind only South Yarra (West) (17%) and East Melbourne (19%).

Figure 5: Docklands personal weekly income profile

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2.6. Socio-economic Index for Areas (SEIFA)

SEIFA is a suite of four indexes compiled from data collected in the ABS 2011 Census which rank areas in terms of the socio-economic characteristics of persons and households in that area. SEIFA allows for comparisons of areas whereby the lower the score, the greater the disadvantage relative to other comparable areas.

The Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage (IRSAD) summarises information about the economic and social conditions of people and households within an area, including both relative advantage and disadvantage measures.

The Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage (IRSD) is a general socio-economic index that summarises a range of information about the economic and social conditions of people and households within an area. Unlike the other indexes, this index includes only measures of relative disadvantage.

The Index of Economic Resources (IER) focuses on the financial aspects of relative socio-economic advantage and disadvantage, by summarising variables related to income and wealth. This index excludes education and occupation variables because they are not direct measures of economic resources. It also misses some assets such as savings or equities which, although relevant, could not be included because this information was not collected in the 2011 Census.

The Index of Education and Occupation (IEO) is designed to reflect the educational and occupational level of communities. The education variables in this index show either the level of qualification achieved or whether further education is being undertaken. The occupation variables classify the workforce into the major groups and skill levels of the Australian and New Zealand Standard Classification of Occupations (ANZSCO) and the unemployed. This index does not include any income variables.

The following diagram represents the continuum that should be considered when interpreting SEIFA scores.

* Note that for the IRSD, a high index score represents “Least Disadvantaged”.

*

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Figure 6: Docklands SEIFA Indexes

SEIFA 2011 Index Docklands City of Melbourne

Advantage and Disadvantage 1113 1051

Disadvantage 1090 1026

Economic Resources 944 870

Education and Occupation 1191 1175

Usual Resident Population 5789 93,627

Relative to all of the City of Melbourne’s small areas, Docklands ranks second for Advantage and Disadvantage, third for both Disadvantage and Economic Resources and fifth for Education and Occupation.

Docklands relatively high performing SEIFA scores positions this small area as affluent with minimal social disadvantage apparent, relative to comparative areas in Australia.

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2.7. Housing

Figure 7: Docklands Housing Statistics

Housing metrics Docklands City of Melbourne

Number of dwellings* 4006 58,733

Most prominent housing type* Residential apartments

(94%) Residential apartments

(67%)

Occupied private dwellings fully owned or being purchased

24% 27%

Occupied private dwellings rented 43% 49%

Unoccupied private dwellings 17% 12%

Median rent per week $503 $400

Median mortgage per month $2700 $2167

*Note: data sourced from CLUE 2010. All other data sourced from ABS 2011 Census

There were 4006 dwellings in Docklands, representing around 7% of the municipality’s overall dwellings. The most common dwelling type in Docklands was residential apartments, comprising 94% of all housing types and the highest proportion of residential apartments across all of the municipality’s small areas.

Docklands had a relatively small proportion of private dwellings either fully owned or being purchased with a mortgage of 24%, with only Melbourne CBD (24%) and Carlton (17%) experiencing lower proportions of dwelling ownership. 43% of dwellings were rented in Docklands and 17% of private dwellings were unoccupied, highest proportion across the municipality’s small areas.

The median weekly rental repayment of $503 and the median monthly mortgage payment of $2700 were the highest across all small areas in the municipality.

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2.8. Land use and business activity

Figure 8: Land use and business activity profile

Land use and business metrics Docklands City of Melbourne % Share

Business locations with employment

843 15,959 5%

Most prominent built space Indoor Common Area Office –

Most prominent industry by floor Other Services Arts and Recreation

Services –

Most prominent industry by employment

Finance and Insurance Business Services –

Retail locations with employment

281 2575 11%

Commercial car parks 22 181 12%

Commercial car park spaces 7754 64,887 12%

Café/restaurant/bistro 127 1951 7%

Food court 3 32 9%

Bar/tavern/pub/nightclub 11 252 4%

Office space (m2) 446,293 5,204,070 9%

Vacant floor space (m2) 419,043 3,092,962 14%

*Note: data in Figure 8 sourced from CLUE 2010

Docklands contains 5% of the municipality’s business locations, with Other Services the most prominent industry type in terms of floor space.

The most prominent built space were Indoor Common Areas, which accounted for around one fifth (18%) of all built space in Docklands. This was closely followed by Office space, which accounted for 17% of all built space in Docklands, with Residential Accommodation (16%) and Commercial Parking (15%) also attributing to significant uses of built space in Docklands.

The industry Finance and Insurance easily employed the largest proportion of workers in Docklands (36%), with the next largest industries of employment being Public Administration and Safety (12%) and Information Media and Telecommunications (11%).

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2.9. Workforce

Figure 9: Where Docklands residents work

Workplace location Docklands resident

Work in Docklands 604

Work in Melbourne CBD 891

Work in City of Melbourne (outside Docklands or CBD) 408

Work outside City of Melbourne 1406

Not stated 70

Total employed Docklands residents 3379

The most common workplace location for employed Docklands residents was outside the City of Melbourne (42%), with Melbourne CBD the next most common location with one quarter (26%) working there. A further 18% worked in Docklands, while the remaining 12% worked in the City of Melbourne, but outside Docklands or Melbourne CBD.

Figure 10: Residential location of workers

Docklands workforce = 32,039

The vast majority of Docklands’ workers, some 89%, reside outside of Docklands, but within Greater Melbourne. A small proportion of 4% commute from outside Greater Melbourne to work in Docklands.

7% of Docklands’ workers lived within the City of Melbourne, made up of 2% who resided within Docklands and a further 5% who resided outside of Docklands but within the municipality.

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Figure 11: Method of transport of workers to Docklands*

Method of transport Docklands City of Melbourne

Train 46% 39%

Car, as driver 32% 34%

Tram 8% 10%

Walked only 4% 5%

Bicycle 3% 4%

Car, as passenger 4% 4%

Bus 1% 2%

Motorbike/scooter 1% 1% #Other transport method combinations 1% 1%

Total 100% (28,422) 100% (320,473)

Public transport total (train, tram, bus) 55% 51%

Workers who travelled to work on Census day = 28,422 (City of Melbourne = 320,473) Workers who did not go to work, worked at home, not stated = 3617 (City of Melbourne = 39,857)

# Other transport method combinations include: taxi, truck, ferry and other combinations, not accounted for in assumptions listed below.

Proportions include single methods of transport and combined methods of transport used by workers.

* When combinations of transport methods are used, the following assumptions have been applied: • Train plus another method or methods are counted as train journeys • Tram plus another method or methods not including train are counted as tram journeys • Bus plus another method or methods not including train nor tram are counted as bus journeys • Ferry plus another method or methods not including train, tram nor bus are counted as ferry journeys • Bicycle plus another method or methods not including any public transport options are counted as bicycle journeys • Car as driver plus another method or methods not including any public transport options nor a bicycle are counted as car as driver • Car as passenger plus another method or methods not including any public transport options, a bicycle nor a car as a driver are counted as car as passenger • Other plus another method or methods not including any public transport options, a bicycle nor car (either driver or passenger), are counted as other

Catching a train was the most common form of transport for Docklands workers (46%), the second highest proportion for using the train across all the small areas behind only Melbourne CBD (50%). Overall, more than half (55%) used some form of public transport to travel to work, with around one third (32%) driving a car to work in Docklands.

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Figure 12: Key characteristics of workers in Docklands

Key metrics Docklands City of Melbourne

Number of job positions* (CLUE 2010)

33,126 428,721

Number of workers 32,036 360,330

Professionals 34% 22%

Managers 19% 8%

Labourers 3% 2%

Full-time 80% 75%

Part-time 15% 20%

*Note: Number of job positions sourced from CLUE 2010

Workers located in Docklands contributed 9% of the municipality’s total workforce, with more than 32,000 people employed in the area covering just over 33,000 job roles.

Three occupation types dominate in Docklands and together account for three quarters (76%) of all occupations: Professionals (34%), Clerical and Administrative Workers (23%) and Managers (19%). Four in five (80%) workers were employed in a full-time capacity.

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2.10. Future outlook

2.10.1. Development activity

Figure 13: Development activity

Development activity

Under construction

Construction 0-2 years

Construction 3-5 years Mooted Total

Residential dwellings

Docklands 1344 555 1326 2248 5473

City of Melbourne 13,451 11,726 13,031 16,329 54,537

Student apartments

Docklands – – – – –

City of Melbourne 435 555 20 – 1010

Office (m2)

Docklands 26,1456 289,078 161,982 62,314 77,4830

City of Melbourne 385,856 362,525 371,722 495,577 1,615,679

Retail (m2)

Docklands 16,759 9061 8607 3876 38,303

City of Melbourne 38,476 30,786 33,489 55,041 157,792

Under Construction (the project was under construction at 27 May 2013). These projects will generally be occupied within the next year. Some larger projects may take longer before they are fully occupied.

Construction 0-2 years (the project is proposed to commence construction in the period 28 May 2013 – 27 May 2015). Projects reported as commencing construction in 0-2 years have usually received building approval and it is assumed that works will commence within two years.

Construction 3-5 years (the project is proposed to commence construction in the period 28 May 2015 – 27 May 2018). Projects reported as commencing construction in 3-5 years are usually in the process of obtaining planning approval, or approval has been granted subject to conditions that mean construction is unlikely to commence within two years.

Mooted. Projects reported as mooted are more speculative in nature. These sites are generally identified by developers as suitable for development, but planning proposals have not yet been lodged.

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2.10.2. Population projections

Figure 14: Docklands population and household forecast

Docklands 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036

Residential population 10,558 12,921 14,687 16,254 17,299

Change in population (5 yrs) - 2363 1766 1567 1045

% change in population (5 yrs) - 22% 14% 11% 6%

Households 5346 6614 7591 8467 9081

Change in households (5 yrs) - 1268 977 876 614

Dockland’s share of municipality’s population

8% 9% 9% 8% 8%

Dockland’s share of municipality’s households

8% 9% 9% 9% 9%

City of Melbourne 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036

Residential population 133,388 151,826 172,617 192,040 211,962

Change in population (5 yrs) - 18,438 20,791 19,423 19,922

% change in population (5 yrs) - 14% 14% 11% 10%

Households 63,100 72,693 83,187 93,269 103,614

Change in households (5 yrs) - 9593 10,494 10,082 10,345

Note: data for Figure 14 sourced from id Small Area Population Forecasts 2011 to 2036, City of Melbourne

Docklands’ share of the overall municipality’s residential population and proportion of households are expected to remain at around 8 to 9% for each, resulting in just over 17,000 residents living in around 9000 households by 2036.

It is also noted that Docklands is expected to grow at a faster pace during 2016 to 2021 (22%), before easing to around 6% growth during 2031 to 2036.

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Figure 15: Docklands population forecast, by age group

Note: data for Figure 15 sourced from id Small Area Population Forecasts 2011 to 2036, City of Melbourne

There is predicted to be an adjustment in the age profile of residents in Docklands with a general shift towards higher proportions of older residents in 2036 than currently present, or indeed forecast to be present in 2026.

The trend of young families moving away from Docklands with school-aged children appears set to generally continue towards 2036, with perhaps a slightly less abrupt reduction in school-aged children than observed in 2011. The proportion of residents above the current average age of 31 will likely push the average age for the area higher.

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