Pearson Correlation, Spearman Correlation &Linear Regression
Diapositiva 1 - Belnuc26/02/2020 12 Lopci # 2020 Seminar on Immunotherapy Scatter plots with...
Transcript of Diapositiva 1 - Belnuc26/02/2020 12 Lopci # 2020 Seminar on Immunotherapy Scatter plots with...
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Cancer immunotherapy treatment response criteria in clinical practice and imaging
hallmarks of treatment toxicity.
EGESTA LOPCI, MD, PhD
Nuclear Medicine department
Humanitas Clinical and Research Hospital
Via Manzoni 56, 20089 Rozzano (MI)
E-mail: [email protected];
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WHAT KIND OF MICROENVIRONMENT SORROUNDS THE TUMOR?
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http://cancerworld.net/e-grandround/the-role-of-immunotherapy-in-treating-solid-cancers/
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Ipilimumab, the first immune checkpoint
inhibitor to receive approval, showed a
significant improvement in survival for
patients with malignant melanoma, with the
characteristic tail showing a proportion of
patients derive long term benefit
Source: Adapted from FS Hodi et al. (2010) Improved Survival with Ipilimumab in Patients with Metastatic Melanoma, NEJM 363:711–723. © 2010
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Landmark analysis of OS beginning from 4 wk post-progression to death in patients who were treated and not treated with nivolumab beyond progression.
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Source: http://cancerworld.net/e-grandround/the-role-of-immunotherapy-in-treating-solid-cancers/
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Total tumor burden
Baseline lesion tumor burden
Ipilimumab dosing
time points
Tumor burden of new lesions
Thresholds for response or
progressive disease
Reduction in tumor burden after appearance of new lesions
Response after initial increase in tumor volume
Ch
an
ge f
rom
baselin
e
SP
D (
%)
SP
D (m
m2)
Relative day from randomisation date
–63 –21 21 63 105 147 189 231 273 315 357
50
25
0
–25
–50
–75
–100
–125
2810
2482
1826
1496
1171
515
187
–468
2154
–140
843
Ch
an
ge f
rom
baselin
e
SP
D (
%)
SP
D (m
m2)
Relative day from randomisation date
–63 –21 21 63 105 147 189 231 273 315 357
150
50
0
–25
–50
–75
–100
–125
25
100
19,373
17,242
12,980
10,849
8718
4456
2325
–1937
15,111
194
6587
Ch
an
ge f
rom
baselin
e
SP
D (
%)
“Stable disease”: Slow, steady decline in tumor volume
SP
D (m
m2)
Ch
an
ge f
rom
baselin
e
SP
D (
%)
Response in baseline lesions
Relative day from randomisation date
SP
D (m
m2)
Relative day from randomisation date
50
25
0
–25
–50
–75
–100
–125
153
135
99
82
64
28
10
–26
117
–8
–63 –21 21 63 105147189231273315357399441483525 –63 –21 21 63 105147189231273315357399441483525
50
25
0
–25
–50
–75
–100
–125
2810
2482
1826
1496
1171
515
187
–468
2154
–140
843
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Confirmation of progression via a subsequent scans; Measuring new lesions to include them into the total tumor volume;
Accounting for durable stable disease as benefit; Treating beyond conventional progression if the clinical situation allows.
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~ 4%
33% COMBI
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Adapted from Wang et al. Int Immunopharmacol 2018
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MSKCC
GRCC
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≥10 mutations per megabase
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https://www.taconic.com/taconic-insights/microbiome-and-germ-free/microbiome-impacts-immunotherapy-efficacy.html
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How can metabolic imaging be of
help in immunotherapy?
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Metabolism
?
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Scatter plots with Spearman’ correlation coefficient (rho) and linear regression tests. A) Correlation of semi-quantitative parameters on FDG-PET (i.e. SUVmax and SUVmean) with human NSCLC stained for CD8-TILs and PD-1-TILs (average values); B) Correlation for CD8-TILs and CD68-TAMs (average values) with respect to PD-1 and PD-L1 (average values).
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Loss of CXCR5+ CD8+ TILs with lung cancer disease progression. (A) SUVmax values among NSCLC patients with pStage I (n = 24), II (n = 15), or III (n = 15); *, P < 0.05; **, P < 0.01; Mann-Whitney t test. (B) Based on the SUVmax values, samples were divided into SUVmax
low and high with the median SUVmax value as cut-off. Frequency of Phenograph cluster 17 (CD69+CXCR5+) is depicted in the SUVmax low (n = 17) and high (n = 16) groups. *, P < 0.05; Mann-Whitney t test. (C) Frequency of Phenograph cluster 17 (CD69+CXCR5+) in tumor samples from patients with NSCLC pStage I (n = 19)
versus II-IVA (n = 34). *, P < 0.05; Mann-Whitney t test. Data were obtained in six independent experiments. *, P < 0.05; **, P < 0.01; Mann-Whitney t test.
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This finding should not be surprising, since the logical consequence of tumors having a high PD-L1 expression is accompanied by the presence of inactive or inefficient immune system response in the surrounding environment, leading to immune tolerance toward malignant cells that would necessarily face no limits to their proliferation and progression. The logical equation might be therefore reported as:
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EORTC 1999
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HR 0.229; p=0.02
EORTC 1999
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PERCIST 2009
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Q J Nucl Med Mol Imaging. 2019 Jun;63(2):150-158.
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This research was originally published in JNM. © SNMMI.
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This research was originally published in JNM. © SNMMI.
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RECIST iRECIST PERCIST PECRIT
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This research was originally published in JNM. © SNMMI.
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imPERCIST
PERCIST1
PERCIST
Metabolic response in Immunotherapy
SMD with imPERCIST5
PMD with PERCIST1/5
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imPERCIST
PERCIST1
PERCIST
imPERCIST
PERCIST1
PERCIST
*
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PERCIST 2009
PETinterim2 demonstrated
iPDhomogeneous, iDR and PsPD in
42% (8/19), 26% (5/19), and
32% (6/19), respectively
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EORTC 1999
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EORTC 1999
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b
• Metabolic response allows for prediction of outcome in solid tumors under immunotherapy
C
• Clinical benefit remains a major component for the discontinuation of treatment
D
• New criteria are introduced to overcome the occurence of new lesions.
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Why not combining parameters?
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Hierarchical clustering combining circulating, tissue
and metabolic parameters identified clusters of
patients with high metabolic tumor burden or high
expression of plasma PD-L1 levels (Z-score≥2) as
having a poor DFS (p= 0.033).
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Circulating Tumor Cells and Metabolic Parameters in NSCLC Patients Treated with Checkpoint Inhibitors
Castello A, … and Lopci E, Cancers 2020
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Figure 3. Two cases of progression (A–C) and response (D–F) to ICI according to metabolic parameters and CTC evaluation. (A) Maximum Intensity Projection (MIP) with two axial slices of liver and celiac node metastases at baseline. (B) Increase of tumor burden and appearance of further metastatic sites within the liver and in the abdominal nodes at the first restaging. (C) Bar graph representation of MTV (blue bars) between the baseline (49.4 ml) and the first restaging (97.2 ml). Likewise CTC count (red bars) increases from 30 to 60. (C) MIP with two large lesions within the lung and liver at baseline. (D) 18F-FDG PET/CT at 8 weeks, which demonstrates a decrease of overall tumor burden. (F) Bar graph representation of MTV (blue bars) at baseline (256.5 ml) and at 8 weeks (48 ml). Likewise CTC count (red bars) decreases from 30 to 5, *= 97.2 ml; **= 256.5 ml.
Circulating Tumor Cells and Metabolic Parameters in NSCLC Patients Treated with Checkpoint Inhibitors
Castello A, … and Lopci E, Cancers 2020
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Circulating Tumor Cells and Metabolic Parameters in NSCLC Patients Treated with Checkpoint Inhibitors
Castello A, … and Lopci E, Cancers 2020
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Circulating Tumor Cells and Metabolic Parameters in NSCLC Patients Treated with Checkpoint Inhibitors
Castello A, … and Lopci E, Cancers 2020
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There exists a comprehensible mutual interaction between tissue and circulating predictive factors with tumor metabolism, leading to the depiction of potential different clusters of patients showing diverse responses to immunotherapy. The holistic vision of the patient as an entity, not just as a summary of single compartments (i.e. tumor, blood, immune system, microbiome, etc.), would lead to the tailored therapeutic approaches becoming mandatory in modern oncology.
Cancer management in the era of immunotherapy: “much more than what strikes the eyes”
Lopci E, Haanen J, QJNM 2020 (in press)
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Aide N, De Pontdeville M, Lopci E, EJNMMI 2020
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b • IrAE can lead to misinterpretation and drop-offs
C • Clinics play an important role in their recognition
D • Biopsy or confirmation with subsequent scan
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Lopci E, Meignan M. PET Clinics 2019
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Disease progression
BX
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A B C
D E F
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3331 Studies found for: immunotherapy | cancer
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132 Studies found for: immunotherapy, PET | cancer
• [11C]-PBR28
• [11C]-PK11195
• [18F]-FHBG
• [18F]-AraG
• [18F]-PD-L1
• [18F]-CFA
• [18F]-FB-IL2
• [68Ga]-NOTA-GZP
• [89Zr]-Ipilimumab
• [89Zr]-Atezulizumab
• [89]Zr-Durvalumab
• [64Cu]-NOTA-Ipilimumab
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Ehlerding E, Cai W, ImmunoPET: The Future of Response Evaluation for Cancer Immunotherapy, Springer: «Atlas of response to Immunotherapy» Lopci E, Fanti S, Editors
ClinicalTrials.gov number
Imaging agent Target Indication
NCT03313323 89
Zr-ipilimumab CTLA-4 Metastatic melanoma
NCT03065764
89
Zr-pembrolizumab
PD-1 Non-small cell lung cancer
NCT03514719 89
Zr-avelumab PD-L1 Non-small cell lung cancer
NCT02453984 89
Zr-atezolizumab PD-L1 Breast, urinary tract, non-small
cell lung cancer
NCT03107663 89
Zr-IAB22M2C CD8 Non-Hodgkins lymphoma,
select solid tumors
NCT02922283 18
F-FB-IL2 IL-2 Metastatic melanoma
NCT02888301 18
F-Clofarabine dCK Any cancers
NCT03409419 18
F-Clofarabine dCK Advanced melanoma
NCT03311672 18
F-AraG dCK/dGK Non-small cell lung cancer
NCT03142204 18
F-AraG dCK/dGK Any cancers
NCT03129061 18
F-AraG dCK/dGK Squamous cell carcinoma of the
head and neck
NCT02323893 18
F-AraG dCK/dGK Healthy volunteers
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Fondazione AIRC per la Ricerca sul Cancro
Grants & research support from…
Lectures for…
Royalties from …
DISCLOSURES
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EGESTA LOPCI, MD, PhD
Nuclear Medicine department
Humanitas Clinical and Research Hospital
Via Manzoni 56, 20089 Rozzano (MI)
E-mail: [email protected];
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