OIE PROCEDURES FOR THE ENDORSEMENT OF NATIONAL OFFICIAL CONTROL PROGRAMMES

WITH REGARD TO FMD AND PPR18- 20 JULY 2017 KIGALI RWANDA

Dr Karim Tounkara

DEVELOPMENT AND CURRENT FMD AND PPR SITUATION IN THE SUB-

REGIONS OF WESTERN, NORTHERN AND EASTERN AFRICA

Regional Representative for AfricaWorld Organisation for Animal Health (OIE)

World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 2

OUTLINE Infection with Foot and Mouth Disease Virus

- Worldwide situation

- Situation in West, Central, Northern, Eastern and SouthernAfrica with overview on current trend

Infection with Peste des Petits Ruminants Virus

- Worldwide situation

- Situation in West, Central, Northern, Eastern and SouthernAfrica with overview on current trend

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Infection with foot and mouth disease virus

World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 4

Reported distribution of FMD in 2016 and early 2017, serotype A

(data based on reports received up to 10 May 2017)

23 countries

*Data provided by Morocco

*

World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 5

Reported distribution of FMD in 2016 and early 2017, serotype O

(data based on reports received up to 10 May 2017)

37 countries and territories

*Data provided by Morocco

*

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Reported distribution of FMD in 2016 and early 2017, serotype Asia 1

(data based on reports received up to 10 May 2017)

4 countries

*Data provided by Morocco

*

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Reported distribution of FMD in 2016 and early 2017, serotype SAT 1

(data based on reports received up to 10 May 2017)

9 countries

*Data provided by Morocco

*

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Reported distribution of FMD in 2016 and early 2017, serotype SAT 2

(data based on reports received up to 10 May 2017)

11 countries

*Data provided by Morocco

*

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*

Reported distribution of FMD in 2016 and early 2017, serotype SAT 3

(data based on reports received up to 10 May 2017)

2 countries

*Data provided by Morocco

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Reported distribution of FMD in 2016 and early 2017, serotype not specified

(data based on reports received up to 10 May 2017)

18 countries

*Data provided by Morocco

*

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OIE Member Countries’ official FMD status (last update January 2017)

82 MC are officially recognized as free or

having an FMD free zone

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Percentage of the reporting countries that notified FMD present

(between 2005 and 2016) (data based on reports received up to 10 May 2017)

y = 2E-05x3 – 0.0011x2 + 0.0146x + 0.2586R² = 0.3759

0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

020406080

100120140160180200

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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

% affectedcountries

Number of countries

Countries reporting the disease presentCountries reporting the disease absent% affected reporting countries with 95% C.I.

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Analysis of WAHIS data

Exploring the regional differences for the occurrence of FMD

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Methodology (1)Regional analysis of data (2005 – 2016)

Defining regional prevalence in 12 years (countries reporting disease presence/total countries reporting)

0% Oceania

1%Europe

5% The Americas

57% Africa

58% Asia

65% Middle East

Analysis focus in 4 regions

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Results (1): Percentage of the reporting countries that notified FMD present by region

(between 2005 and 2016)(data based on reports received up to 10 May 2017)

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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

% of countries with FMD present

Middle East Africa Asia America

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Western Africa

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FMD situation in Western Africa1 January 2016 – 11 May 2017

Guinea BissauRecurrence Dec. 2016 (types A,O,SAT1,SAT2)

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FMD trend in Western Africa2005 – 2016

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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

% affected countriesNumber of countries

Countries reporting the disease presentCountries reporting the disease absent% affected reporting countries

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Central Africa

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FMD situation in Central Africa1 January 2016 – 11 May 2017

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FMD trend in Central Africa2005 – 2016

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% affected countriesNumber of countries

Countries reporting the disease presentCountries reporting the disease absent% affected reporting countries

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Northern Africa

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FMD situation in Northern Africa1 January 2016 – 11 May 2017

* Information for Western Sahara reported by Morocco

AlgeriaNew strain March 2017

& April 2017 (type A)

TunisiaRecurrence April 2017

(type A)

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FMD trend in Northern Africa2005 – 2016

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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

% affected countriesNumber of countries

Countries reporting the disease presentCountries reporting the disease absent% affected reporting countries

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Eastern Africa

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FMD situation in Eastern Africa1 January 2016 – 11 May 2017

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FMD trend in Eastern Africa2005 – 2016

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% affected countriesNumber of countries

Countries reporting the disease presentCountries reporting the disease absent% affected reporting countries

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Southern Africa

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FMD situation in Southern Africa1 January 2016 – 11 May 2017

AngolaRecurrence May 2016

(type unknown)

Mauritius1st occurrence Aug 2016

(type O)

MozambiqueRecurrence Oct. 2016

(type SAT 2)

ZambiaRecurrence Oct. 2016

(type unknown)

South AfricaRecurrence March 2017

(type SAT 2)

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FMD trend in Southern Africa2005 – 2016

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% affected countriesNumber of countries

Countries reporting the disease presentCountries reporting the disease absent% affected reporting countries

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Results (2): Sub-regional differences in

Africa

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% of reporting FMD present in Africa

North South East West Central

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27%

37%

64%

76%

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Conclusion

More than 50% of countries in Africa Region arereporting disease presence

FMD present in all 5 sub regions: clear sub regionaldifference: Northern and Southern better epidemiologicalsituation

Five serotypes: A, O, SAT 1, SAT 2 and SAT 3

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Infection with peste des petits ruminants virus

World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 34

Reported distribution of PPR in 2016 and early 2017

(data based on reports received up to 10 May 2017)

*Data provided by Morocco

*

Copyright © 2017, World Animal Health Information and Analysis Department – OIE

29% countries/territories

First occurrence in Georgia

January 2016

First occurrence in MongoliaAugust 2016

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PPR in Mongolia

© Albert Salemgareyev/ABCK

(December 2016)

More than 3000 deaths in Mongolian Saigas (criticallyendangered)

Reinforces the need to investigate the role of wildlife inPPR epidemiology

©Buuveibaatar Bayabaatar/WCS

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OIE Member Countries’ official status 2016 for PPR

(last update May 2016)

54 Member

Countries

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Percentage of the reporting countries that notified PPR present

(between 2005 and 2016) (data based on reports received up to 10 May 2017)

y = -0.0004x2 + 0.013x + 0.1516R² = 0.8

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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

No. countries% countries

PPR absent PPR present % Affected reporting countries with 95% C.I.Deterioration

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PPR situation in Western Africa1 January 2016 – 11 May 2017

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PPR trend in Western Africa2005 – 2016

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% affected countriesNumber of countries

Countries reporting the disease presentCountries reporting the disease absent% affected reporting countries

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PPR situation in Central Africa1 January 2016 – 11 May 2017

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PPR trend in Central Africa2005 – 2016

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% affected countriesNumber of countries

Countries reporting the disease presentCountries reporting the disease absent% affected reporting countries

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PPR situation in Northern Africa1 January 2016 – 11 May 2017

* Information for Western Sahara reported by Morocco

AlgeriaRecurrence Feb 2016

TunisiaRecurrence Aug 2016

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PPR trend in Northern Africa2005 – 2016

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% affected countriesNumber of countries

Countries reporting the disease presentCountries reporting the disease absent% affected reporting countries

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PPR situation in Eastern Africa1 January 2016 – 11 May 2017

World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 45

PPR trend in Eastern Africa2005 – 2016

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% affected countriesNumber of countries

Countries reporting the disease presentCountries reporting the disease absent% affected reporting countries

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PPR situation in Southern Africa1 January 2016 – 11 May 2017

World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 47

PPR trend in Southern Africa2005 – 2016

No countries affected since 2005

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Conclusion Deterioration of the global PPR situation in the past 12 years

Event in Mongolia raises the question of the role of wildlife

In Africa: All sub regions are infected except Southern

World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 49

Acknowledgments WAHIAD Department

Dr Lina Awada

Dr Paolo Tizzani

Thank you foryour attention

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