Dennis Meadows
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Report to the Club of Rome 11/11/16 Dennis Meadows 1 1 Why Didn’t We Learn: Will We? Dennis Meadows Presented to the Club of Rome Berlin, November 11, 2016 2 Why Didn’t They Learn From Us: What Should We Do Differently? Dennis Meadows Presented to the Club of Rome Berlin, November 11, 2016 3 Our Conclusion in 1972 If the present growth trends in world populaSon, industrializaSon, polluSon, food producSon, and resource depleSon conSnue unchanged, the limits to growth on this planet will be reached someSme within the next one hundred years. 4 Some Leaders Did Learn “We do not need growth. Without growth per capita, that means growth in material- consumpSon per capita, we can beZer survive…” Sicco Mansholt, 4 th President of the EEC and a founding father of the EU. 5 But it was forgoZen “My first priority will be to put policies that create growth and jobs at the centre of the policy agenda of the next Commission.” Jean Claude-Junker, President of the European Commission 6 Some Leaders Did Learn “the Members of the United NaSons have perhaps ten years lec in which to subordinate their ancient quarrels and … defuse the populaSon explosion” U Thant, Secretary General of the UN”
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Transcript of Dennis Meadows
ReporttotheClubofRome 11/11/16
DennisMeadows
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WhyDidn’tWeLearn:WillWe?
DennisMeadowsPresentedtotheClubofRome
Berlin,November11,2016
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WhyDidn’tTheyLearnFromUs:WhatShouldWeDoDifferently?
DennisMeadowsPresentedtotheClubofRome
Berlin,November11,2016
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OurConclusionin1972
IfthepresentgrowthtrendsinworldpopulaSon,industrializaSon,polluSon,foodproducSon,andresourcedepleSonconSnueunchanged,thelimitstogrowthonthisplanetwillbereachedsomeSmewithinthenextonehundredyears.
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SomeLeadersDidLearn
“Wedonotneedgrowth.Withoutgrowthpercapita,thatmeansgrowthinmaterial-consumpSonpercapita,wecanbeZersurvive…”
SiccoMansholt,4thPresidentoftheEECandafoundingfatheroftheEU.
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ButitwasforgoZen
“MyfirstprioritywillbetoputpoliciesthatcreategrowthandjobsatthecentreofthepolicyagendaofthenextCommission.”
JeanClaude-Junker,PresidentoftheEuropeanCommission
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SomeLeadersDidLearn
“theMembersoftheUnitedNaSonshaveperhapstenyearslecinwhichtosubordinatetheirancientquarrelsand…defusethepopulaSonexplosion”
UThant,SecretaryGeneraloftheUN”
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ButitwasforgoZen
“Promotesustained,inclusiveandsustainableeconomicgrowth”
8thSDGoftheUnitedNaSons
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SomeLeadersDidLearn
“WehavelearnedthatmoreisnotnecessarilybeZer,thatevenourgreatnaSonhasitsrecognizedlimits,andthatwecanneitheranswerallquesSonsnorsolveallproblems.”
JimmyCarter,PresidentoftheUS
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ButitwasforgoZen
“overallU.S.economicgrowthhassignificantlyoutpacedthatofeveryotheradvancednaSon.”
BoastofPresidentObama,
101"Growing(Within(Limits,"Netherlands"Environmental"Assessment"Agency,"Bilthoven,"NL,"Octobre"2009,"Page"23"
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FourWaystoHelpThemListen
• Addresstherightneeds• Focusonuniversalproblems• ProvidethecorrectinformaSon
• Takepersonalresponsibility
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Addresstherightneeds
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Hierarchyofneeds14
Focusonuniversalproblems
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UniversalProblems
Now Future
BeZer------->
NextEvaluaSon
AcSon#1
Actual Desired
AcSon#2
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GlobalProblems
Now Future
BeZer------->
NextEvaluaSon
AcSon#1
AcSon#2
ActualDesired
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ProvidethecorrectinformaSon
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AssumedPathtoAcSon:AdaptaSon
DoCareDoUnderstandEffec0veAc0on
DoNotUnderstandDoNotCareNoAcSon
Science
Adapta
Son
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ActualPathtoAcSon
DoCareDoUnderstandEffec0veAc0on
DoCareDoNotUnderstandFuSlity
DoCareDoUnderstandIneffecSveAcSon
DoNotCareDoNotUnderstandNoAcSon
Culture
Science
Poli0cs
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ActualPathtoInacSon:PrevenSon
DoCareDoUnderstandEffec0veAc0on
DoNotCareDoNotUnderstandNoAcSon
DoNotCareDoUnderstandPrevenSveAcSons
Science
PrevenSon
Poli0cs
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• Shortenthelengthoftheworkyear• RaisethereSrementage• Redefine“paidwork”• Increaseunemploymentbenefits• IncreasethetaxaSonofcorporaSonsandtherich• ExpandtheuseofgreensSmulus
ExamplesofadapSveacSons
Maxton&Randers,p.108 22
ExamplesofprevenSveacSons• conductpublicrelaSonscampaigns,• buyscienSficandotherexperSsetocreatecontroversyaboutestablishedfacts,
• fundpoliScalparSes,• hirelobbyiststoinfluencepolicy,• usefrontgroupsandalliedindustriestoopposecontrolmeasures,
• pre-emptstronglegislaSonbypressingfortheadopSonofvoluntarycodesorweakerlaws,
• createinternaSonaltradeagreementsthatoverridelocalcontrol,and
• corruptpublicofficials.BullWorldHealthOrgan.2000;78(7):902-10.“Tobaccoindustrytac8csforresis8ngpublicpolicyonhealth.”SaloojeeY1,DagliE
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Takepersonalresponsibility
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Proclama0on:
Youtelleveryoneelsewhattheyshoulddo.
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Resolu0on:
Youtelleveryoneelsewhatyouwilldo.
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1-2-3CLAP
