Immigration Trends in Minnesota Barbara J. Ronningen State Demographic Center December 23, 2002.
Demographic Trends In Northeast Minnesota
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Transcript of Demographic Trends In Northeast Minnesota
Demographic Trends in Northeast Minnesota
Drew DigbyRegional Labor Market Analyst
Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development
Three Big Demographic Trends In Minnesota
• We are increasingly urban• We are aging• We are increasingly diverse
And Northeast Minnesota ….
• We’re already older, but the rate of increase will be lower than the state average.
• Some counties have a lower average age than in 2000
• Likely caused by a dramatic increase in mobility by people of all ages. Young people leaving. Workers higher mobile. Some retirees choosing to leave, others choosing to move in.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau,Population Estimates
Percent Change in Population, 2000-2007
Decline 10% or more
Decline less than 10%
Increase less than U.S. rate (7.2%)
Population Change 2000-2007
Increase 7.2% to 14.4%
Increase more than twice the U.S. rate (14.4%)
14
Aging Is The Really Big Trend That Is Driving The National Course
• Societal aging is unique in history—it is happening in the US, Canada, Europe, Japan, China, Korea, & increasing number of countries around the world
• 2008 was the start of what has long been called the “Age of Entitlement”
• This affects the economy, labor force, families, churches, state & local government budget, businesses; virtually every aspect of our society
Minnesota Will See a 30 Percent Jump in Workers Turning Age 65 Beginning
2008
2005 ACS
Competition For Future College Students Will Increase
Census Bureau US Proj, Mn State Demographer revised 2007. The 18 year oldpopulation, both Minnesota & nationally are projected to decline starting 2009.
For The First Time In HistoryWe Will Have More 65+ Than School
Age
Census counts & State Demographer projection, revised 2007
Minnesota Will Grow More Diverse; Remain Less Diverse Than The Nation
State Demographer & Census Bureau projections
Minnesota’s Children Are More Diverse Than Older People
2000 Census
Northeast Minnesota
• Big Unknown: How will trend towards diversity affect Northeast Minnesota?
• Some parts have substantial increases in diversity. Others have none or little.
• Where college students go will be critical in diversity mix.
Demography Conclusion
• We are increasingly suburban.• Many rural areas have aged dramatically as younger
people move to opportunities in the big cities, though less so in Northeast Minnesota.
• We age aging—2008 was the beginning of the “Age of Entitlement”
• This aging will affect all aspects of society• We are more diverse and this trend will be
reinforced by slowing labor force growth
For More Information
• www.demography.state.mn.us• www.census.gov • www.demography.state.mn.us/notyet This is something the
state demographer wrote in the mid 1990s in an attempt to illustrate some of the demographic trends. It is a faux newspaper for November 2025, where each story illustrates a demographic trend in Minnesota
• www.deed.state.mn.us/lmi