Debt investor update - Danske Bank · Debt investor update –Q1 2017 Danske Bank Working on...
Transcript of Debt investor update - Danske Bank · Debt investor update –Q1 2017 Danske Bank Working on...
Debt investor update
Q1 2017
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Debt investor update – Q1 2017
DisclaimerNOT FOR DISTRIBUTION INTO ANY JURISDICTION WHERE IT IS UNLAWFUL TO DISTRIBUTE THIS DOCUMENT.
IMPORTANT: You must read the following before continuing. The following disclaimer applies to the following investor presentation (the “Document”) and you are therefore required to read it carefully before reading or making any other use of the Document. By attending the meeting where this presentation is made and/or by otherwise accessing the Document, you shall be deemed to give the representations below and agree to the following limitations.
The Document may not be reproduced, retransmitted or further distributed to the press or any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws. The Document does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or acquire securities Danske Bank OYJ (the “Issuer”) or Danske Bank A/S (the “Parent”) in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity. No part of the Document, nor the fact of its distribution, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever.
Confirmation of your representation: The Document was accessed by you or sent at y our request and, by accepting the email to which the Document was attached and/or accessing the Document, you shall be deemed (in addition to the above) to have represented to the Issuer, the Parent and each of BNP Paribas and Merrill Lynch International (each a "Solicitation Agent" and, together, the "Solicitation Agents") and Lucid Issuer Services Limited (the "Tabulation Agent") that:
• you are a holder or a beneficial owner of the covered bonds issued by the Issuer and listed in the Document (collectively, the "Covered Bonds"); • you are not a U.S. person (as defined in Regulation S under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended), and are not acting for the account or benefit of any U.S. person, and that you are not located or resident in the United States; • you shall not pass on the Document to third parties or otherwise make the Document publicly available; • you are otherwise a person to whom it is lawful to send the Document or for the Issuer to make an invitation pursuant to the Consent Solicitations (as defined in a consent solicitation memorandum dated 2 May 2017 (the “Consent Solicitation Memorandum”) under applicable laws and regulations; • you consent to delivery of the Document to you by electronic transmission (if applicable); and • you have understood and agreed to the terms set forth in this disclaimer.
You are otherwise reminded that the Document has been delivered to you on the basis that you are a person into whose possession the Document may be lawfully delivered in accordance with the laws of the jurisdiction in which you are located or resident. The Document should not be forwarded or distributed to any other person and should not be reproduced in any manner whatsoever. Any materials relating to the Consent Solicitations do not constitute, and may not be used in connection with, any form of offer or solicitation in any place where such offers or solicitations are not permitted by law.
None of the Issuer, the Parent, the Solicitation Agents or the Tabulation Agent are able to, and they do not, express any opinion on the merits or terms of any Consent Solicitation or Extraordinary Resolution (all as defined in the Consent Solicitation Memorandum), or make any recommendation whether or not a holder of Covered Bonds should participate in the relevant Consent Solicitation(s) or otherwise participate at the Meeting(s) applicable to them. Each holder of Covered Bonds must carefully review the applicable documents in connection with the Consent Solicitation(s) and come to a decision, either on its own or with the assistance of its professional advisers, as to whether or not it wishes to participate in any Consent Solicitation or Extraordinary Resolution. If any holder of Covered Bonds is in any doubt as to the action it should take, it is recommended to seek its own financial advice, including as to any tax consequences, from its broker, bank manager, solicitor, accountant, independent financial adviser authorised under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (if in the United Kingdom) or other financial, tax or legal adviser.
Any decision regarding participation or otherwise in any Consent Solicitation or Extraordinary Resolution should be made solely on the basis of the information contained in the Consent Solicitation Memorandum. The information contained in the Document has not been independently verified. None of the Issuer, the Parent, the Solicitation Agents or the Tabulation Agent are under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. Accordingly, no representation or warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is given by or on behalf of the Issuer, the Parent, the Solicitation Agents and the Tabulation Agent as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained herein. None of the Issuer, the Parent, the Solicitation Agents or the Tabulation Agent accepts any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of the Document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the Document.
Restrictions
The Consent Solicitations are only being made outside the United States, to persons other than “U.S. persons” (as defined in Regulation S under the Securities Act). Any purported participation in any Consent Solicitation resulting directly or indirectly from a violation of these restrictions will be invalid and any participation in any Consent Solicitation by a person that is located or resident in the United States or that is a U.S. person or by any agent, fiduciary or other intermediary acting on a non-discretionary basis for a beneficial owner that is giving instructions from within the United States or that is any U.S. person will not be accepted.This Document is not an offer of securities for sale in the United States or to any U.S. person. Securities may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an exemption from registration. The Covered Bonds and the Guarantee (as defined in the Consent Solicitation Memorandum) have not been, and will not be, registered under the Securities Act, or the securities laws of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States, and may not be offered or sold in the United States or to, or for the account or benefit of, U.S. persons, unless an exemption from the registration requirements of the Securities Act is available.Each holder of Covered Bonds participating in any Consent Solicitation will represent that it is not a U.S. person (as defined in Regulation S under the Securities Act), and is not acting for the account or benefit of any U.S. person, and that it is not located or resident in the United States. For the purpose of this Document, “United States” means the United States of America, its territories and possessions, any state of the United States of America and the District of Columbia.The distribution of this Document in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and persons into whose possession this Document comes are requested to inform themselves about, and to observe, any such restrictions. Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws.This presentation contains "forward-looking statements", which include, without limitation, any statements preceded by, followed by or including the words "targets," "believes," "expects," "aims," "intends," "may," "anticipates," "would," "could" or similar expressions or the negative thereof. All statements other than statements of historical facts included in this presentation, including, without limitation, those regarding the Parent’s financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations are forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors beyond the Parent’s control that could cause the Parent's actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Parent’s present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Parent will operate in the future. These forward-looking statements speak only as at the date of this presentation. The Issuer and Parent cautions you that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and that its actual financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. In addition, even if the Parent’s financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations are consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, those results or developments may not be indicative of results or developments in future periods. The Issuer and Parent expressly disclaim any obligation or undertaking to disseminate any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in its expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any of such statements are based.
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Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Agenda
Danske Bank consent solicitation
Group financial update
Funding and liquidity
Covered bonds and ratings
Appendix
3
11
20
23
25
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Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Danske Bank Working on Simplifying its Legal Structure
Overview and Objectives:
Danske Bank is asking for Covered Bondholders’ consent to modify the conditions
to reflect the substitution of the Issuer as part of the Demerger process
• To achieve a uniform organizational structure across the Nordic Markets, Danske Bank is planning to merge its activities in Finland into a single branch. This will be pursued as a cross-border merger between Danske Bank Plc and Danske Bank A/S, Helsinki branch into a single branch.
• As a result of the cross-border merger, Danske Bank Plc will be dissolved and cease to exist
What
Why
• A simplified legal structure will decrease complexity and cater for efficiency by aligning the legal structure to the way Danske Bank operate the bank
• A uniform organizational structure will not lead to changes in Danske Bank´s presence in Finland nor to changes for the way Danske Bank services its customers
How
• Prior to the Cross-Border Merger, Danske Bank Plc intends to:
• Conduct a partial demerger so that its mortgage credit banking business, together with its existing Covered Bonds and the related Cover Pool shall be transferred to a New Issuer, Danske Mortgage Bank Plc (“DMB”)
• Enter into a Deed Poll (and a Supplemental Trust Deed) as well as a guarantee in order to preserve the existing Covered Bonds' status and protect the interest of current Covered Bond holders
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Debt investor update – Q1 2017
1
DANSKE BANK A/S
DANSKE BANK A/S,
HELSINKI BRANCH
DANSKE BANK PLC
VARIOUS
SUBSIDIARIES
Mortgage
Bank operations
DANSKE BANK A/S
FINLAND BRANCH
DANSKE MORTGAGE
BANK PLC
VARIOUS SUBSIDIARIES
DANSKE BANK A/S
DANSKE BANK
PLC
DANSKE
MORTGAGE BANK
PLC
VARIOUS
SUBSIDIARIES
DANSKE BANK A/S
DANSKE BANK A/S,
HELSINKI BRANCH
Overview of Demerger and Merger proposals: The New Issuer
Danske Mortgage Bank Plc (DMB), a wholly owned subsidiary of Danske Bank A/S, will operate solely as a mortgage credit institution and conduct its activities in cooperation with branches and other customer service points of the Danske Bank Group in Finland.
DMB will purchase residential mortgage loans from other members of the Danske Bank Group. Purchases will be financed through theprincipal repayments and interest payments on such loans, the issuance of further covered bonds and by a credit facility provided by Danske Bank Plc and, following the Cross-Border Merger, Danske Bank A/S.
Danske Bank Plc and, following the Cross-Border Merger, Danske Bank A/S will originate the mortgage loans in accordance with itscredit granting policy and handle any credit processes and decisions regarding the mortgage loans contained in the Cover Pool onbehalf of DMB under a Servicing Agreement.
Danske Bank Plc and/or Danske Bank A/S, as applicable, will be responsible for handling DMB's liquidity and short-term funding
Current Structure After Demerger After Demerger and Merger
Key points
The operational aspects with respect to the management of the Finnish Cover Pool will remain substantially unchanged
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Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Deed Poll, Supplemental Trust Deed & Guarantee
Danske Bank Plc /
Danske Bank A/S
Danske Mortgage Bank
Plc (DMB)
1 2
DMB and Danske Bank Plc are also entering into a Deed Poll (for 2019 and 2020 Covered Bonds), a Supplemental Trust Deed (for 2021 Covered Bonds) – both governed by English law - as well as a Danske Bank Plc Guarantee (governed by Finnish law) respectively to ensure that the interests of Covered Bondholders are adequately protected post the implementation of the Demerger
Pursuant to the Deed Poll and Supplemental Trust Deed, DMB will agree to assume all of the obligations of Danske Bank Plc as issuer and principal debtor in respect of the relevant Covered Bonds, on the date of implementation of the Demerger
Danske Bank Plc will enter into a guarantee governed by Finnish law on the date of implementation of the Demerger in favour of the holders of existing Covered Bonds to discharge any claims of such holders in respect of principal and interest under the Covered Bonds only to the extent these are not paid by Danske Bank Plc and are not met out of the assets of the cover pool held by DMB.
If the proposed cross-border merger is implemented the obligations of Danske Bank Plc in respect of the guarantee will become obligations of Danske Bank A/S
A guarantee from Danske Bank Plc and, following the Cross-Border Merger, Danske Bank A/S, is expected to help maintain the Aaa-rating on the bonds and ECB-eligibility
2
1
Danske Bank Plc and Danske Bank A/S have taken, in their opinion, necessary steps to ensure that the interests of Covered
Bondholders are adequately protected post the implementation of the Demerger and the completion of the Cross-Border Merger,
via the execution of each Deed Poll and the Supplemental Trust Deed, as well as each Guarantee
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Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Moody’s: No Rating Impact Expected
“Moody's announced today that the proposed demerger of the covered bond business of Danske Bank Plc (counterparty risk assessment Aa3(cr), long-term rating A1 positive, adjusted baseline credit assessment baa1) into a new entity, Danske Mortgage Bank Plc (the "New Issuer"), would not, in and of itself and as of this time, result in the downgrade or withdrawal of the ratings assigned to the bonds issued under Danske Bank Plc's covered bond programme.
Under the proposed demerger, the assets and liabilities of Danske Bank Plc’s covered bond business, including the covered bonds issued under Danske Bank Plc’s covered bond programme, would be transferred to the New Issuer with effect on or around 1 October 2017.
However, the covered bond rating would be linked to the credit strength of Danske Bank A/S (counterparty risk assessment Aa3(cr), senior unsecured debt rating A2 positive, adjusted baseline credit assessment baa1), the parent company of Danske Bank Plc and of the New Issuer.
This is because Danske Bank A/S will establish a liquidity line for the benefit of the New Issuer to ensure the New Issuer has sufficient funds to meet its payment obligations under the currently existing covered bonds.
In addition, covered bondholders will benefit from a secondary right of recourse against Danske Bank Plc for any missing amounts after recourse to the cover pool. The covered bond rating is currently linked to the credit strength of Danske Bank Plc as Issuer. “
Moody’s, Tuesday 2nd May 2017
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Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Danske Bank Plc. Covered Bond Consent Solicitation
Key Elements Proposed Amendments
• Danske Bank Plc is asking holders of its outstanding Covered Bonds, to consider and pass Extraordinary Resolutions with respect to each series of Covered Bonds in advance of the implementation of the Demerger
• DMB and Danske Bank Plc have taken (in their opinion) necessary steps to ensure the interests of Covered Bondholders are adequately protected post the implementation of the Demerger (and the completion of the proposed cross-border merger), via the execution of the Deed Poll / Supplemental Trust Deed as well as the Danske Bank Plc Guarantee
• Danske Bank Plc is undertaking the Consent Solicitation to receive confirmation from Covered Bondholders that they support the Demerger proposal and the Proposed Amendments and thereby remove any unforeseen legal uncertainties for existing stakeholders including Covered Bondholders
• The interests of Covered Bondholders are of foremost importance to Danske Bank
• It is the intention of Danske Bank Plc to consummate a process which achieves substantially the same results as the Demerger (and the subsequent proposed cross-border merger) irrespective of the outcome of the Consent Solicitation, and which may be achieved without any consent of Covered Bondholders and would not constitute a default under the terms of the Covered Bonds (nor would the subsequent proposed cross-border merger)
• The purpose of each Consent Solicitation is to modify the conditions of the relevant series of Covered Bonds and the related documents to provide that the Covered Bondholders:
1. Approve certain modifications to the Conditions of, and related documents for, the relevant Series to reflect the substitution of DMB in place of Danske Bank Plc as issuer and principal debtor in respect of such Series and the provision of a guarantee from Danske Bank Plc, and
2. agree to release and waive all rights, claims, actions or entitlements arising under Finnish law (including, without limitation, the right to object to the Demerger) against each of Danske Bank Plc, DMB and Danske Bank A/S in respect of the Demerger
• Subject to certain conditions (including the Extraordinary Resolutions being passed for the relevant series) as specified in the Consent Solicitation Memorandum dated 2 May 2017,Covered Bondholders who vote in favour of the relevant
Extraordinary Resolution by the Early Instruction Deadline
will receive an Early Participation Fee of 0.10% of the
principal amount of the relevant Covered Bonds
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Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Summary of Covered Bond Terms Pre- and Post-Demerger:
Current Post-demerger
Issuer
(Primary Obligor)Danske Bank Plc Danske Mortgage Bank plc
Status of Covered
Bonds
Direct, unconditional and unsubordinated obligations of the Issuer and in accordance with the MCBA. Any residual claims rank pari passu with the other unsecured and unsubordinated obligations of Danske Bank Plc
Direct, unconditional and unsubordinated obligations of the Issuer and in accordance with the MCBA. Any residual claims rank pari passu with the other unsecured and unsubordinated obligations of Danske Mortgage Bank Plc
Expected Issue
RatingsAaa (Moody’s) Aaa (Moody’s)
Status N/AGuaranteed by Danske Bank Plc (and after the Merger by Danske Bank A/S), as further described in each Guarantee
Maturity Date 2019/2020/2021 2019/2020/2021
Coupon Fixed Fixed
Coupon Payments Annually Annually
Put/Call Feature None None
Redemption Soft Bullet Soft Bullet
Listing Luxembourg Stock Exchange Luxembourg Stock Exchange
Clearing Euroclear and Clearstream, Luxembourg Euroclear and Clearstream, Luxembourg
Form of Covered
BondsBearer Form Bearer Form
Governing Law
English law, except that provisions relating to the coverage of the Covered Bonds pursuant to MCBA are governed by, and construed in accordance with, Finnish law
English law, except that provisions relating to the coverage of the Covered Bonds pursuant to MCBA are governed by, and construed in accordance with, Finnish law. Each Guarantee will be governed by Finnish law
Danske Bank Plc. Covered Bond Consent Solicitation
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Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Danske Bank Plc. Covered Bond Consent Solicitation
Quorum & Majority Requirements
Investor Steps
ISIN / Common Code Outstanding Nominal Amount Quorum (at original meeting) Requisite Majority
2019 Covered BondsXS0834714254 /
083471425EUR1,000,000,000 ≥50% ≥75% of votes cast
2020 Covered BondsXS1325648761 /
132564876EUR1,000,000,000 ≥50% ≥75% of votes cast
2021 Covered BondsXS0640463062 /
064046306EUR1,000,000,000 ≥75% ≥75% of votes cast
1. Check holdings of target securities
2. Ask Tabulation Agent for Consent Solicitation Memorandum (“CSM”) (which is made available subject to certain distribution restrictions)
• Lucid Issuer Services Limited | Tel: +44 20 7704 0880 | Email: [email protected]
3. If the decision to participate is taken, contact internal Corporate Actions Department or Custodian to deliver valid Consent Instruction
• Vote before Early Deadline (18 May) to be eligible to receive Early Participation Fee of 0.10% of the principal amount of relevant Covered Bonds
4. Contact Solicitation Agents as set out in the CSM for questions concerning the proposals
5. Contact Tabulation Agent for questions concerning voting
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Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Time schedule for consent solicitation, demerger and merger
• Announcement of Consent Solicitation to pass extraordinary resolution 2 May 2017
• Early Participation Deadline in order to be eligible for Early Participation Fee 18 May 2017
• Adjourned meetings if necessary quorum is not obtained June 2017
• Expected incorporation of New issuer on the Demerger date 01 October 2017
Key deadlines
Danske Bank Plc. Covered Bond Consent Solicitation
Early Participation
Deadline for receipt of
consent instruction
2 May
18 May
25 May
Expiration
deadline
Announcement
of Consent
Solicitation
31 May [Jun]
Payment day no later
than 3 business days
following extraordinary
resolution being passed (if
applicable)
Bondholders’
Meetings
Demerger
Complete
Objection Date
Latest date for
creditors to object
to demerger plan
31 Aug
Expected
incorporation
of New Issuer
Merger end
2017
1 Oct
Intermediate
announcement
of result
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Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Overview: Danske Bank has a strong Nordic franchise
1 .Excluding agricultural centres in Denmark * Total lending before loan impairment charges. Lending by country excludes Corporates & Institutions and Wealth Management, however most of these are Nordic clients.
Danske Bank lending breakdown*
For divestment
Non-core (Ireland & Conduits)
Personal banking activities in Estonia
Facts
3.4 million customers
263 branches1
15 countries
19,316 full-time employees
Business Units (% of total lending)
Personal Banking (43%)
Business Banking (39%)
Corporates & Institutions (12%)
Wealth Management (4%)
Northern Ireland (3%)
Northern
Ireland
Denmark
Norway Sweden
Finland
Baltics
3%
51%
10% 12%
9%
1212
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Strong footprint within retail lending
Lending by business unit*; %; Q1 2017 Credit exposure by industry; %; Q1 2017
0
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
4
4
6
12
16
34
Credit Institutes
IT & telecom
Transportation
Constr. & building products
Shipping
Health care
Investment funds
Materials
Energy & Utilities
Insurance
Consumer staples
Other commercials
Agriculture
Banks
Other financials
Consumer discretionary
Non-profit & Associations
Industrial Services etc.
Personal customers
Public Institutions
Commercial property
Total lending of DKK
1,727bn
Total credit exposure
of DKK 2,658bn
43%
39%
4%
12%
3%0%
Personal Banking Wealth Management
Business Banking Northern Ireland
C&I Other
* Total lending before loan impairment charges
1313
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
* Before goodwill impairments in 2014 and 2015 **Expenses in 2014 and 2015 have been restated to reflect the organizational changes
Steadily improving financial results
Total income; DKK bn Total expenses**; DKK bn Group loan loss ratio; bps RoE after tax*; %
8,6
2016
13.1
2015
11.6
20142016
22.6
2015
23.2
2014
24.0
-1
20
20162015
0
20142014
45.3
2016
48.0
2015
45.6
1414
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Key points, Q1 2017 vs Q1 2016
Net profit: DKK 5.5 bn, up 12% from Q1 2016*
Income statement and key figures (DKK m)
• Return on equity of 14.4%
• Total income up 10%, driven by all major income lines
• Other income in Q1 2016 included sale of headquarters
• Expenses up 8%, partly because Q1 2016 benefited from one-off items; cost/income ratio of 45.3%.
• Lending volume up 4%
Key points, Q1 2017 vs Q4 2016
• NII down 1% due to two less interest days in Q1
• Fee income down 5%, reflecting performance fees and shadow account booking in Q4 2016
• Expenses down 5% due to seasonality
• Net loan loss reversal as credit quality continued to improve
• CET1 capital ratio at 15.5% and REA of DKK 799 bn
* Q1 2016 included the sale of headquarters.
Q1 2017 Q1 2016 Index Q4 2016 Index
Net interest income 5,739 5,259 109 5,790 99
Net fee income 3,850 3,382 114 4,032 95
Net trading income 2,705 1,597 169 2,323 116
Other income 356 1,231 29 757 47
Total income 12,649 11,469 110 12,902 98
Expenses 5,724 5,310 108 6,056 95
Profit before loan impairment charges 6,925 6,159 112 6,847 101
Loan impairment charges -235 -130 181 -160 147
Profit before tax, core 7,160 6,289 114 7,007 102
Profit before tax, Non-core -19 -18 106 32 -
Profit before tax 7,140 6,271 114 7,039 101
Tax 1,610 1,326 121 1,449 111
Net profit 5,530 4,945 112 5,590 99
Return on avg. shareholders' equity (%) 14.4 13.1 14.5
Cost/income ratio (%) 45.3 46.3 46.9
Common equity tier 1 capital ratio (%) 15.5 15.0 16.3
EPS (DKK) 5.8 5.0 5.8
Lending (DKK bn) 1,705 1,640 104 1,689 101
Deposits and RD funding (DKK bn) 1,659 1,559 106 1,631 102
- of which deposits (DKK bn) 884 812 109 859 103
Risk exposure amount (DKK bn) 799 841 95 815 98
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
1515
867
944
893 390
572
274
403
22,642
21,034
2015
23,237
20,502
2016
* Includes a VAT reversal and the reversal of a provision for operational risk ** Expenses for 2014 and 2015 are restated to reflect the new Wealth Management unit. *** 2015 charge represents 11 months of amortisation because of a write-down in December 2015.
Expenses: Up 8% from a low level in Q1 2016 owing to activity-
driven costs, regulatory compliance and digitalisation
Total expenses ex goodwill charge, 2012-2016 (DKK m)
Total expenses ex goodwill charge (DKK m)
Other costs
Bonuses
Amortisation of customer relations***
Deposit guarantee and resolution funds
Severance payments
76
134
79
Q1 2017
5,724
Other costs
39
Rent
39
One-offs Q1’16*
ITSeverance pay
41
Variable comp.
Staff costs ex variable comp.
Q1 2016
5,3106
Change in expenses (DKK m)
23,794
2012
24,642
2016
22,642
2015
23,237
21,827
1,410
2014
23,972
22,641
1,331
2013
ReportedRestated**
96
283
81
Q1 2017
5,724
5,264
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
1616* Includes Non-core **The loan loss ratio is defined as annualised quarterly impairment charges as a percentage of loans and guarantees.
Impairments: Loan loss ratio of -5 bp in the first quarter of 2017
Group impairments,* 2012 to Q1 2017 (DKK bn/bp) Impairment drivers, Q1 2017 vs Q4 2016
Loan loss ratio,** annualised (bp)Impairments (DKK m)
• Credit quality continued to improve, resulting in a net reversal of DKK 235 m in core activities
• At Personal Banking, loan impairment charges were up because of model adjustments
• Reversals continued in most industries and all countries in Business Banking
• Impairments at C&I continued to be driven by oil-relatedexposure; collective impairments were unchanged in Q1
• Improved credit quality and higher collateral values drove net reversals in Wealth Management and Northern Ireland
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
18
12
6
0
-6
70
Q1 2017
-0.2
2016
-0.2
2015
-0.1
2014
3.7
2013
5.4
2012
12.5
Loan loss ratio* (rhs)Impairments
Q1 2017 Q1 2016 Q4 2016 Q3 2016
Personal Banking 56 -165 -188 -110
Business Banking -285 -29 -181 -31
C&I 80 195 282 468
Wealth Management -25 -51 -55 -8
Northern Ireland -61 -81 -22 -60
Other activities 0 1 3 5
Total core -235 -130 -160 264
Non-core 1 2 -67 -17
Group -234 -128 -227 247
Q1 2017 Q1 2016 Q4 2016 Q3 2016
Personal Banking 3 -9 -10 -6
Business Banking -17 -2 -11 -2
C&I 7 20 27 42
Wealth Management -13 -29 -30 -4
Northern Ireland -54 -64 -20 -54
Other activities 5 5 137 78
Total core -5 -3 -3 5
Non-core 3 3 -136 -33
Group -5 -3 -5 5
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
1717
Capital: Strong capital base; CET1 capital ratio of 15.5%
Capital ratios, under Basel III/CRR (%) Estimated capital buffer structure, %
Regulatoryrequirement*
16.7
10.6
1.5
Q1 2017fully
loaded
20.0
15.4
2.4
2.2
Q1 2017 reported
20.4
16.3
2.8
2.7
2015 reported
21.0
16.1
2.4
2.5
2016 reported
2.5
2.4
15.5
21.8
Pillar II component (total 2.7%)
Hybrid T1/AT1
Tier 2
CET1
* Pro forma fully phased-in reg. requirement in 2019. ** Assuming REA equal to Q1 2017, CET1 target of min. 14% (target range 14%-15%) and that reg. requirements are met by relevant capital instruments. Under current Danish rules, Pillar II does not count towards automatic MDA.
14
4
0
18
16
2
12
10
8
6
10.6
7.0
14.0
15.5
9.4
2019E
4.5
3.0
2.5
0.6
2018E
4.5
2.4
1.9
0.6
2017E
8.1
4.5
1.8
1.30.6
Q1 2017A
8.1
4.5
1.8
1.30.5
CET1 trigger point 7%
CET1 min req.
Systemic risk buffer
CET1 (Q1 2017) 15.5%
CET1 target (minimum 14%)
Capital conservation buffer
Countercyclical capital buffer
7.0 6.0 4.7 3.5
Sliding scale of restrictions
MDA buffer**
2.7
2.0
12.1
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
1818* On June 30 2016, Danske Bank Group stopped consolidating Danmarks Skibskredit A/S and LR Realkredit A/S for the purpose of regulatory capital. This lead to a drop in CET1 of DKK 3 bn and a simultaneous drop in REA of DKK 16.2 bn.** Before goodwill impairment charges *** Based on year-end communicated distributions
Strong CET1 capital build-up since 2008; Available Distributable
Items (ADI) in excess of DKK 100 bn
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
REA 960 834 844 906 819 852 865 834 815
CET1 ratio 8.1% 9.5% 10.1% 11.8% 14.5% 14.7% 15.1% 16.1% 16.3%
Net profit** 1.0 1.7 3.7 1.7 4.7 7.1 13.0 17.7 19.9
Distributed to shareholders 5.9 0 0 0 0 2.0 10.5*** 17.1*** 18.9***
Total assets 3,544 3,098 3,214 3,424 3,485 3,227 3.453 3,293 3,484
133134130126119
107
857977
2014
+DKK 56 bn
2016*2013201220092008 2010 20152011
REA, CET1, profit and distribution (DKK bn, %)
Common Equity Tier 1, 2008 – 2016; DKK billion
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
1919
Regulatory themes - MREL
Own funds and senior unsecured* (% of REA) MREL requirements in Denmark (preliminary)
• Danske Bank as a D-SIFI will be subject to MREL requirements.
• Danske Bank welcomes the review of the BRRD and the proposal to harmonise the TLAC standard and MREL.
• We expect an MREL requirement from the Danish FSA before the end of 2017.
• The final outcome is yet to be determined.
Volume:
• The Danish FSA has signaled willingness to discuss transitional arrangements with the industry. Details are yet to be disclosed.
• FSA’s preliminary calibration of MREL in line with the current EBA guidelines (not accounting for the proposed changes to the BRRD), i.e.,
• Loss absorption amount = total capital req. + CBR
• Recapitalisation amount = loss absorption amount
Type of instrument:
• Subordination is expected in some form as part of the eligibility requirements for MREL and the FSA has said that it wishes to conform with any emerging European standard.
With appropriate transitional arrangements, our relatively short senior maturity profile leaves ample flexibility to refinance into a new eligible instrument.
Senior maturity profile* (DKK bn)
Q4 2016
19.9
4.5
37.4
13.0Own funds
Senior <1Y
Senior >1Y
34
20242021
2
8
20232017 20222019
37
0
24
2026
16
2020
21
0
2018 2025
0
* Includes structured notes.
2020
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Funding structure and sources: Danish mortgage system is
fully pass-through
Issued RD bondsRD mortgages
Covered bonds
Bank mortgages
DepositsBank loans
Senior debt
Funding
1,969
775
159
884
151
Loans
1,705
775
343
587
10
2
13
9
55
-3
5
9 9
2
13
9
54
-2
79
Deposits credit inst.
Repos, net
CD & CP
EquitySubord. debt
Covered bonds
Senior unsecured
Deposits
Q1 2017
Q4 2016
Short-term funding Long-term funding
Loan portfolio and long-term funding, Q1 2017 (DKK bn) Funding sources (%)
2121
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Funding programmes and currencies: Euro market remains the
main source of funding
Largest funding programmes, end-Q1 2017
Senior debt by currency, end-Q1 2017
Covered bonds by currency, end-Q1 2017
45%
82%
33%
59%
97%
35%
9%
2%
10%
12%
69%
3%
4%SEK
CHF
NOK
DKK
EUR
GBP
Total DKK 159 bn
1%1%
2%
1%3%
9%
26% 57%
HKD
JPY
GBP
AUDNOK
SEK
USD
EUR
Total DKK 151 bn
Utilisation
EMTN Programme
Limit: EUR 35 bn
Global Covered Bond
Limit: EUR 30 bn
US Commercial Paper
Limit: USD 6 bn
US MTN (144A)
Limit: USD 10 bn
French Commercial Paper
Limit: EUR 10 bn
UK Certificate of Deposit
Limit: USD 15 bn
ECP Programme
Limit: EUR 13 bn
2222
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
* Spread over 3M EURIBOR.
Funding and liquidity: DKK 31 bn of long-term funding issued in
Q1 2017; LCR-compliant at 156%
156158
137136
124
Q3 2016Q2 2016Q1 2016
100
Q1 2017Q4 2016
26
35 3835
2027
114 6
2020: DKK 73 bn
478bp263bp
44bp
27bp
2
2019: DKK 59 bn
250bp
33bp
57bp
2018: DKK 71 bn
201bp
40bp
41bp
Tier 1Tier 2SeniorCov. bonds
31
85
7064
39
2017E
70-90
2016201520142013
CompletedFunding plan
17
58
11
17
12
75
0
New Q1 2017: DKK 31 bn
310bp
19bp
17bp
Redeemed Q1 2017: DKK 22 bn
68bp
160bp
193bp
58bp
Redemptions 2017: DKK 66 bn
65bp
100bp
82bp
50bp
1
37
Tier 2Senior Tier 1Cov. bonds
Maturing funding,* 2018–2020 (DKK bn and bp)
Changes in funding,* Q1 2017 (DKK bn and bp) Long-term funding ex RD (DKK bn)
Liquidity coverage ratio (%)
2323
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Overview: Danske Bank Group Covered Bond Universe
• Realkredit Danmark, which has been a Covered Bond issuer since 1851
• Based on Danish legislation
• Specialized Mortgage Bank
• Fully-owned subsidiary in Danske Bank Group
• Primarily loans from Denmark
• Follows the “Specific Balance Principle”= matched funding
• Funding via daily tap issues in DKK through the Danish Market
• AAA/AA+ rating
• Danske Bank PLC, which has been a Covered Bond issuer since 2005
• Sampo Pankki changed name to Danske Bank Plc on 15 November 2012
• Based on Finnish Legislation
• Fully-owned subsidiary in the Danske Bank Group – we are looking into the possibilities of merging the subsidiary and our Finnish branch into a single branch
• Issued directly on the balance sheet
• Only residential loans from Finland
• Funding through benchmarks in EUR, € 10 bn Medium Term Note and Covered Bond programme
• Aaa programme rating
• New Swedish CB programme,
which is to be a Covered Bond issuer from 2017
• Based on Swedish legislation
• Fully-owned subsidiary in Danske Bank Group
• Only loans from Sweden
• Funding via frequent tap issues in SEK through the Swedish Market supplemented by EUR benchmarks
• Expected AAA rating (rating agency to be determined)
• Danske Bank A/S,
which has been a Covered Bond issuer since 2007
• Cover-Pools D, I and C
• Based on Danish legislation
• Loans from the Group’s banking activities in Denmark, Norway and Sweden
• Issued directly on the balance sheet
• Multiple Cover Pool set-up
• Follows the “General Balance Principle”
• Multi currency benchmarks and PP, € 30 bn Global Covered Bond programmeme
• AAA/AAA programme rating
2424
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Danske Bank’s credit ratings
Moody’s (Pos) S&P (Stable) Fitch (Stable)
Aaa AAA AAA
Aa1 AA+ AA+
Aa2 AA AA
Aa3 AA- AA-
A1 A+ A+
A2 A A
A3 A- A-
Baa1 BBB+ BBB+
Baa2 BBB BBB
Baa3 BBB- BBB-
Ba1 BB+ BB+
Ba2 BB BB
… … …
Ca D D
Senior unsecured
Tier 2
Additional Tier 1
Inv
es
tm
en
t g
ra
de
Sp
ec
ula
tiv
e g
ra
de
S&P Global upgrades SACP rating
• On July 8 2016, S&P raised Danske Bank’s SACP (Stand-Alone Credit Profile) rating from a- to a as a result of Danske Bank’s improved capitalisation.
Moody’s upgrades Danske Bank’s deposit rating – outlook
changes to positive
• On 12 October 2016, Moody’s upgraded Danske Bank's long-term deposit rating to A1 from A2 and affirmed all other ratings. Moody’s also changed the outlook to positive from stable on Danske Bank’s ratings.
• The positive outlook reflects Danske Bank’s improvements in financial metrics to date and the expectation of a continuation of the positive trend.
Rating affirmed by Fitch
• On August 22 2016, Fitch affirmed Danske Bank’s rating with a stable outlook. The asset quality and profitability score were raised from ‘a-’ to ‘a’.
Danske Bank’s long-term instrument ratings and outlook*
* Outlook refers to the senior unsecured ratings of Danske Bank A/S. Capital centre T of RD is rated AA+ by Fitch, capital centre S is rated AAA.
Covered bonds Danske Bank A/S
Covered bonds Danske Bank Plc
Covered bonds RD
2525
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Appendix
Covered bonds (Group, Finland, Hypotek, Realkredit Danmark)
Business Units
Special topics
Macroeconomics
Contact details
26
35
37
40
42
2626
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Danske Bank Group: The three cover pools - Overview
Residential Residential Combined
Characteristics Cover Pool D Cover Pool I Cover Pool C
Pool notional DKK 36.3bn (EUR 5.09bn equivalent)
DKK 118.0bn (EUR15.8bn equivalent)
DKK 55.6bn (EUR 7.5bn equivalent)
Number of Loans 64,489 114,882 6,198
Substitution collateral 0 0 0
Average Loan Size DKK 0.6m (EUR 76,000 equivalent)
DKK 1.0m (EUR 138,000 equivalent)
DKK 9.0m (EUR 1.2m equivalent)
Property Type 100% owner-occupied 84% owner-occupied, 16% housing cooperatives
9.0% Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, 15% Industrial, 4% Cooperative Housing, 24% Rental Housing, 43% Retail, 5% Other
WA LTV (Indexed) 55.3% 54.2% 54.8%
Loan seasoning 15 % (<5y), 85 % (>5y) 69 % (<5y), 31 % (>5y) 94 % (<5y), 6 % (>5y)
Repayment type 85 % (Bullet), 15 % (Amortising) 49 % (Bullet), 51 % (Amortising) 33 % (Bullet), 67 (Amortising)
Rate type Floating rate Fixed (18% ), Floating (82%) Floating rate
Geographical location 100% Denmark 36% Sweden, 64% Norway 75% Sweden, 25% Norway
Issuance Notional DKK 31.7bn (EUR 4.3bn equivalent)
DKK 104.9bn (EUR 14.1bn equivalent)
DKK 43.5bn (EUR 5.9bn equivalent)
OC at cut-off date 13.9% (2% committed) 12.70% (2% committed) 28.0% (2% committed)
Cut-off date 31 December 2016 31 December 2016 31 December 2016
Rating (S&P/Fitch/Moody’s) AAA/AAA/- AAA/AAA/- AAA/AAA/-
2727
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Finnish covered bonds: Key characteristics and regional
distribution (as at 31st March 2017)
Pool notional EUR 5.5bn
Number of Loans 81,106
Substitution collateral 0
Number of Borrowers 62,961
Total Value of Properties N/A
Number of Properties 70,825
Average Property Value N/A
Property Type
100% Finnish prime owner occupied residential properties, no vacation/second homes, no commercial mortgages
WA LTV ( Indexed) 50.84%
WA Seasoning 5.8 years
WA Remaining Term 14.8 years
Rate Type Floating (91%), Fixed (9%)
Geographical location 100% Finland
Issuance Notional EUR 5bn
OC at cut-off date 7.6%
Cut-off date 31-Mar-17
Rating (Moody's) Aaa
Danske Bank Plc’s covered bonds carry the ECBC Covered Bond Label. Quarterly cover pool information is available at Danske Bank Plc’s website: http://www.danskebank.fi/en-fi/About/Press/Publications/Pages/InvestorReports.aspx
Key characteristics Regional distribution by collateral value
Finnish demography
2/3 of Finns live
south of this lineHelsinki
62.2%
22.6% 6.4%
6.1%
2.7%
62.2%
6.1%
22.6%
6.4% 2.7%
Oulu
Southern Finland
Western Finland
Eastern Finland
Lapland
2828
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Finnish covered bonds: Asset pool characteristics (as at 31st
March 2017)Loan-To-Value distribution (weighted average LTV 50.86 %) Loan size distribution (weighted average loan size 68 KEUR)
Loan seasoning (weighted average seasoning 5.8 years) Reference rate distribution; %
Total balance (MEUR) Total balance (MEUR)Number of loans Number of loans
Number of loansTotal balance (MEUR)
2,000
0
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
600
1,000
800
4004,000
200
0
10
-20
%
20
-30
%
0-1
0 %
50
-60
%
40
-50
%
30
-40
%
90
-10
0 %
80
-90
%
70
-80
%
60
-70
%
>1
00
%
Loan balance, EURmLoan count
15,000
20,000
25,000
5,000
800
1,000
600
0
10,000
0
400
200
75
-10
0
20
0-2
25
25
0-2
75
22
5-2
50
12
5-1
50
50
-75
25
-50
0-2
5
10
0-1
25
17
5-2
00
15
0-1
75
30
0-3
25
32
5-3
50
35
0-3
75
37
5-4
00
>4
00
27
5-3
00
Loan balance, EURmLoan count
700
4,000300
100
12,000
2,000
500
900
8,000
10,000
6,000
0
800
600
400
200
0
19
99
20
07
19
97
19
96
19
95
19
93
20
13
19
91
20
08
20
09
20
06
20
10
19
92
20
11
20
12
20
14
20
15
20
16
19
98
19
90
19
89
19
88
19
87
19
86
20
00
20
05
20
02
20
04
20
01
20
03
Loan count Loan balance, EURm
50%
23%
10%
5%3%
9%
EURIB 12M
EURIB 3M
EURIB 6M PRIME
FIXED EURIB 1M
2929
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Danske Hypotek: Purpose and Structure
• Ensure stable funding for our customers through the cycle• Long term funding solution for continued growth of Swedish retail mortgage business• Market communication; strong commitment to the Swedish Market
Danske Bank Group has a strong commitment to the Swedish mortgage market
Existing cover pools
Cover pool in Danske Hypotek
New originated loans
Asset release
Danske BankSwedish
mortgage lending
Origination
Principal andinterest
New lending
Swedish mortgage lending
“Danske Hypotek AB”
Parent LoanSale ofmortgages
CoveredBonds
Bondproceeds
Principal andinterest
EMTCNCovered Programme
SEKCovered Programme
Danske Hypotek - Structure Transfer capacity of eligible assets into Danske Hypotek
100
2017 2018 2019 20212020
SEK bn
30
Financial results for Q1 2013Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Danske Hypotek: Availability of assets for future Cover pool
- Overview
Characteristics Eligible assets in phase one Eligible assets in phase two Final Cover Pool
Collateral type – 100 pctSwedish residentialmortgages*
100pct residential mortgages to private individuals (retail)
100pct residential mortgages to owners of Multi-Family Properties
76pct retail, 24pct Multi-Family.
Pool notional SEK 87.6bn (EUR 9.2bn equivalent)
SEK 27.4bn (EUR 2.9bn equivalent)
SEK 114.9bn (EUR 12.0bn equivalent)
Number of Loans 89,156 2,137 91,293
Number of Borrowers 43,238 1,294 44,532
Number of Properties 45,377 2,327 47,704
Average Loan Size SEK 0.98m (EUR 102,000 equivalent)
SEK 12.82m (EUR 1.3m equivalent)
SEK 1.3m (EUR 131,000 equivalent)
Property Type 32% Tenant Owner Rights, 63% Single Family Housing , 5% Holiday Housing
25% Cooperative Housing, 75% Rental Housing
76% Retail, 6% Cooperative Housing, 18% Rental Housing
WA LTV (Indexed) 53.04% 58.37% 54.31%
WA Seasoning 3.85 years 1.24 years 3.23 years
WA Remaining Term 42.32 years 3.51 years 33.10 years
Pool type Dynamic Dynamic Dynamic
Rate type 85% Floating rate, 15% Fixed rate 100pct Floating rate 89% Floating rate, 11% Fixed rate
Geographical location 100% Sweden 100% Sweden 100% Sweden
Pool Cut Date 28-02-2017 28-02-2017 28-02-2017
Personal Banking loans Business Banking loans Total loan book
*Excluding any potential substitution collateral (AAA rated securities)
The relevant assets currently available on the Danske Bank balance sheet is shown below. The actual portfolio and the timing of the transfer to Danske Hypotek will be determined close to the actual relevant transfer dates. Key input factors, in transfer decisions, will be the demand from the Swedish investors and the development in the Swedish loan book
31
Financial results for Q1 2013Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Assets Liabilities
Securities holdings
Due from banks
Equity
Mortgage assets
Debt issued for the funding of OC
Due to banks
Covered bonds issued
Realkredit Danmark balance sheet
End 2016
InvestorBorrower
Loan proceeds
Interest payments
Repayments
Prepayments
Losses
Margins
Mortgage banks are licensed as specialist mortgage banks under
Danish law and financial institutions under EU law
• Mortgage banks required to comply with e.g. the CRR
Activities of mortgage banks confined to mortgage lending funded
by issuance of covered bonds
• Lending activities not eligible for covered bond funding are
prohibited
• Deposit taking is prohibited Covered bond investor bankruptcy
privilege extends to all assets on the balance sheet of the
issuer
• Realkredit Danmark is well capitatised with a total capital ratio
of 30.1% and a solvency need of 10.8% of REA
Mortgage banks employ a cash flow pass through structure
• Proceeds from covered bond sale match mortgage proceeds
• Covered bonds issued on tap on a daily basis
• Borrower payment of interest and repayment match payment
of interest and principal to bondholders
• Borrower prepayments match either bond drawings and bond
buy backs
• Only margins and losses are absorbed by mortgage banks
Elimination of interest rate risk, funding risk, liquidity risk and
prepayment risk
Realkredit Danmark: The Danish mortgage banking model
The specialist mortgage banking principle The pass through principle
32
Financial results for Q1 2013Debt investor update – Q1 2017
DKK238.0bn
Homeowner55%
Rental residential
16%
Commercial21%
Agriculture8%
S&P Fitch Total
Rating OC Rating OC OC posted
AAA 7.07% AA+ 9.0% 9.9%
Exposures
Mortgages and covered bonds issued
Exposures
Mortgages and covered bonds issued
Covered bonds issued Mortgage assetsCovered bonds issued Mortgage assets
DKKbnDKKbn
DKK475.6bn
S&P Fitch Total
Rating OC Rating OC OC posted
AAA 6.44% AAA 6.5% 7.6%
-400 -200 0 200 400
Fixed rate
Interest reset
Floating rate
Capped floating rate
-300 -200 -100 0 100 200 300
Homeowner67%
Rental residential
21%
Commercial9%
Agriculture3%
Capital centre T Capital centre S
Realkredit Danmark capital centres
3333
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
59%
41%
Variable rate (6m-10yrs)
Fixed rate (10yrs-30yrs)
111 10686
68
Fixed rate
5 yrs+3-4 yrs1-2 yrs
500
250
0
8
6
4
2
020162012200820042000
No. of forced sales (rhs)Unemployment10Y swap rate
* In addition, we charge a fee of 30 bp of the bond price for refinancing of 1- and 2-year floaters and a fee of 20 bp for floaters of 3 or more years.
Realkredit Danmark and the Danish housing market:
Portfolio overview
With amortisation Interest-only
Unemployment and foreclosures (%/No.)
Portfolio facts, Realkredit Danmark, Q1 2017 Stock of retail loans (DKK 433 bn), Realkredit Danmark, Q1 17 (%)
Mortgage margins, 80% LTV, owner-occupied (bp)
• Approx. 370,000 loans (residential and commercial)• 1,635 loans in 3- and 6-month arrears• 50 repossessed properties• DKK 10 bn of loans with LTV ratio>100%, including
DKK 3 bn with public guarantee• Average LTV ratio of 64%
LTV ratio at origination (legal requirement)
• Residential: max. 80%• Commercial: max. 60%
+refinancingfee*
143 138118
101
Fixed rate
5 yrs+3-4 yrs1-2 yrs
Adjustable rate*
47%53%
Interest only (up to 10yrs)
Repayment
3434
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Realkredit Danmark: 45% of new retail loans are fixed rate
loans; compliant with all regulatory requirements
165188192201208225230
265
Q4Q2Q1Q4Q3 Q1Q3Q2Q1Q4Q3Q2Q1Q4Q3
-38%
Loan portfolio, FlexLån F1-F4 (DKK bn)
Key points Supervisory diamond for Danish mortgage institutions
• 45% of new retail loans in Q1 were fixed-rate loans and 38% were 5- to 10-year variable rate loans
• Total stock of fixed rate loans to retail customers continued to increase, now amounting to 41% of the book
• Total stock of loans amounted to DKK 757 bn:*
o 57% to retail
o 20% to residential rental
o 17% to commercial property
o 6% to agriculture
2013 2014 2015 2016
Refinancing need:
Max. 12.5% of portfolio quarterly and max. 25% annually
Concentration risk:Sum of 20 largest exposures/CET1 < 1
Interest risk:
(LTV ratio > 75% of legal limit and interest rate fixed < 2 years) < 25% of portfolio
Growth:
Max.15% annually in certain segments
Interest-only loans:
Max. 10% of portfolio with LTV ratio > 75% of legal limit
* Nominal value.
2017
3535
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Banking units: Loan growth and higher activity continue at the
Nordic banking units
Pre-tax return on allocated capital (%) Financial highlights, Q1 2017 vs Q1 2016
Income statement (DKK m)
Personal Banking
• Total income up, driven by all income lines• Expenses up 6% due to increased IT development costs• Lending up 3%, driven by Norway and Sweden Business Banking
• Total income up 4%, reflecting higher NII and fee income• Expenses down 3% due to reduced staff costs • Lending up 4%, with growth in all markets
Northern Ireland
• Result affected by GBP/DKK depreciation of 9%, restructuring costsand decline in net reversal of impairments
15.9
Northern Ireland
16.1
Business Banking
15.8
Personal Banking
24.420.6
18.2
Q1 2016Q1 2017
Q1 2017 Q1 2016 Index Q1 2017 Q1 2016 Index Q1 2017 Q1 2016 Index
Net interest income 1,963 1,904 103 2,135 2,085 102 342 385 89Net fee income 841 789 107 455 393 116 115 121 95Net trading income 200 162 123 146 153 95 24 23 104Other income 178 124 144 141 132 107 3 9 33Total income 3,182 2,979 107 2,877 2,763 104 484 538 90Expenses 1,896 1,795 106 1,112 1,142 97 309 285 108Profit before loan impairment charges 1,286 1,184 109 1,765 1,621 109 176 253 70Loan impairment charges 56 -165 - -285 -29 - -61 -81 75Profit before tax 1,230 1,349 91 2,049 1,650 124 237 334 71
Lending (DKK bn) 746 722 103 672 646 104 47 48 97Deposits and RD funding (DKK bn) 668 647 103 556 527 106 59 60 99- of which deposits (DKK bn) 267 256 104 232 223 104 59 60 99
Northern IrelandPersonal Banking Business Banking
3636
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
C&I and Wealth Management: Increased client activity at C&I;
rebound in fee income at Wealth Management
C&I: Financial highlights, Q1 2017 vs Q1 2016 Wealth Management: Financial highlights, Q1 2017 vs Q1 2016
Wealth Management: Income statement (DKK m)
• Total income up 50% compared to income in challenging environment in Q1 2016
• Fee income up 33% owing to increased client activity in Capital Markets and General Banking
• Trading income reflects strong client activity at FICC driven by geopolitical events
• Expenses up 10% owing mainly to positive one-offs in Q1 2016 and increased performance-based compensation in Q1 2017
• Impairment charges were made mainly against facilities in the oil sector
C&I: Income statement (DKK m)
• Assets under management up 8% owing to positive inflow from net sales, net premiums and performance
• Net sales at Asset Management* of DKK 9.9 bn in Q1 2017, with inflow from both institutional and retail clients; net premiums of DKK 11.4 bn at Danica Pension in Q1 2017
• Fee income up 13% driven by positive financial markets and higher customer activity
• Expenses up 11% due to increased activity and restructuring costs
*Danske Capital and Danica unit-linked.
Q1 2017 Q1 2016 Index
Net interest income 758 727 104Net fee income 722 543 133Net trading income 2,075 1,090 190Other income - 14 - Total income 3,556 2,374 150Expenses 1,217 1,103 110Profit before loan impairment charges 2,338 1,271 184Loan impairment charges 80 195 41Profit before tax 2,259 1,076 210Pre-tax return on allocated capital (%) 23.2 10.7Lending (DKK bn) 199 188 106Deposits (DKK bn) 257 216 119
Q1 2017 Q1 2016 Index
Net interest income 182 168 108Net fee income 1,749 1,550 113Net trading income 103 85 121Other income 28 104 27Total income 2,062 1,907 108Expenses 1,016 918 111Profit before loan impairment charges 1,046 989 106Loan impairment charges -25 -51 49Profit before tax 1,070 1,040 103Pre-tax return on allocated capital (%) 31.6 25.6Lending (DKK bn) 73 69 106Deposits (DKK bn) 62 58 106Assets under management (DKK bn) 1,463 1,351 108
3737
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Credit quality: Positive trend in credit quality continues; NPLs
decreased 14% y/y
* Ex Baltics. Note: Non-performing loans are loans in rating categories 10 and 11 against which individual impairments have been made.
Individual loan impairment charges* (DKK bn) Gross non-performing loans (DKK bn)
Allowance account by business unit (DKK bn)
Q1 2017
0.0
-1.7
0.7
1.0
Q4 2016
-0.4
Q3 2016
0.1
Q2 2016
0.2
Q1 2016
-0.3
Reversal
Increased
New
5.5
12.7
0.51.2
Q1 2017
22.4
2.5
Q4 2016
23.5
Q3 2016
25.1
Q2 2016
25.3
Q1 2016
26.3
Personal Banking
Business Banking
Corporates & Institutions
Wealth Management
Northern Ireland
8.0
11.7
17.7
Q1 2017
37.4
Q4 2016
40.4
Q3 2016
42.7
Q2 2016
42.6
Q1 2016
43.4
Net exposure not in default
Net exposure in defaultIndividual allowance account
3838
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Credit exposure: The agriculture industry benefits from improved
output prices; limited oil-related exposure
Agriculture exposure (2.4 % of Group net exposure) Oil-related exposure (0.9 % of Group net exposure)
Agriculture by segment, Q1 2017 (DKK m)
• Net exposure amounted to DKK 24 bn*
• The vast majority of the oil-related exposure is managed by specialist teams for customer relationship and credit management at C&I
• Total collective charges stood at DKK 1.2 bn
• Collective impairments towards second-round effects of the low oil price in Norway were increased by DKK 36 m to DKK 242 m after a portfolio review
• Individual impairments of DKK 0.2 bn booked in Q1 owing mainly to impairment on derivatives that according to accounting treatment are recognised not in the allowance account but as part of the fair value of derivatives
Oil-related exposure, Q1 2017 (DKK m)
• The pressure on the Danish agricultural industry continued to ease off somewhat as pig prices remained stable while milk prices increased further
• No impairment charges were booked in Q1
• Total collective impairment charges, covering 1.4% of gross credit exposure, amount to DKK 0.9 bn
• RD represented 68% of total gross exposure and 14% of total accumulated impairment charges
Gross credit
exposure
Portionfrom RD
Acc.
Individual
impairment
charges
Net
credit
exposure NPL coverage ratio
Business Banking 55,639 43,317 2,746 52,893 88%
Growing of crops, cereals, etc. 18,365 15,209 336 18,029 92%
Dairy 9,046 7,018 1,050 7,995 88%
Pig breeding 12,916 10,427 1,167 11,750 89%
Mixed operations etc. 15,312 10,662 193 15,119 81%
Northern Ireland 4,747 - 58 4,689 76%
C&I 5,754 2,387 - 5,754 -
Others 224 1 1 223 -
Total before collective impairments 66,365 45,705 2,805 63,560 88%
Collective impairment charges 918 251
Total gross exposure 67,283
* The oil-related net credit exposure of DKK 24 bn is part of the energy and utilities industry (DKK 15 bn) and shipping (DKK 9 bn) industry.
Gross credit exposure
Acc. Individual
impairment
charges
Net credit
exposure
C&I 21,794 210 21,584
Oil majors 5,264 - 5,264
Oil service 7,992 41 7,951
Offshore 8,538 169 8,369
Business Banking 2,060 34 2,026
Oil majors 1 - 1
Oil service 1,956 34 1,922
Offshore 103 - 103
Others 5 0 5
Total before collective impairments 23,860 244 23,615
Collective impairment charges 1,184
Total gross exposure 25,043
3939
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Non-core: Deleveraging progressed according to plan; REA of
DKK 11 bn at Q1 2017
Non-core loan portfolio, Q1 2017 (DKK bn) Non-core REA (DKK bn)
2831353727
14
19
2
3
2
2
Total
24
Commercialportfolio
1
Conduits etc.
6
Personal customers
(incl. Baltics)
18
Performing credit exposure
Non-performing credit exposure
Allowance account
12
10 108 8
6
55
53
-37%
Q1 2017
11
Q4 2016
13
Q3 2016
14
Q2 2016
15
Q1 2016
18
Non-core Banking
Non-core conduits, etc.
4040
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Interest rates, leading (%)
Nordic macro economy
20162010
135
105
2006
120
902012 20142008
NorwayDenmark FinlandSweden
0
-2
2016
2
2006
6
2008 2010
4
20142012
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 20160
2
4
6
8
10
Real GDP, constant prices (index 2005 = 100) Inflation (%)
Unemployment (%)
4141
Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Apartment prices (index 2005 = 100)
Nordic housing markets
Property prices (index 2005 = 100) House prices/nom. GDP (index 2005 = 100)
Apartment prices/nom. GDP (index 2005 = 100)
140
110
120
130
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
90
100
120
210
2016201420122010
90
2006 2008
150
180
2014 2016
120
160
200
240
280
320
2008 20102006 2012
Denmark Sweden Norway Finland
220
100
120
140
160
180
200
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
42
Financial results for Q1 2013Debt investor update – Q1 2017
Contacts
Christoffer MøllenbachHead of Group TreasuryDirect: +45 45 14 63 60Mobile: +45 21 55 10 52E-mail: [email protected]
Bent CallisenHead of Group Funding, Group TreasuryDirect: +45 45 12 84 08Mobile: +45 30 10 23 05E-mail: [email protected]
Nicolaj VerdelinChief Funding Manager, Group TreasuryDirect: +45 45 12 85 14Mobile: +45 23 72 99 14E-mail: [email protected]
Thomas Halkjær JørgensenChief Portfolio Manager, Group TreasuryDirect: +45 45 12 83 94Mobile: +45 25 42 53 03E-mail: [email protected]
Claus Ingar Jensen Head of IR Direct: +45 45 12 84 83Mobile: +45 25 42 43 70 E-mail: [email protected]
John BäckmanChief IR OfficerDirect: +45 45 14 07 92 Mobile: +45 30 51 46 85E-mail: [email protected]
Robin Hjelgaard LøfgrenSenior IR Officer Direct: +45 45 14 06 04Mobile: +45 24 75 15 40E-mail: [email protected]
Louisa Grue BaruchSenior IR OfficerDirect: +45 45 13 92 34Mobile: +45 21 56 19 35E-mail: [email protected]