Data Envelopment Analysisksz.pwr.edu.pl/.../DEA-Seminar-27_11_2019-Despotis.pdf · efficiency of a...
Transcript of Data Envelopment Analysisksz.pwr.edu.pl/.../DEA-Seminar-27_11_2019-Despotis.pdf · efficiency of a...
DataEnvelopmentAnalysis
Presenter: Dimitris Despotis, University of Piraeus, Greece
Wroclaw UST, October 30, 2019
Overview
• Preliminaries• Understanding DEA• Basic models with explanatory illustrations
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The founders of DEA and the seminal paper
• Abraham Charnes (1917-1992)• Finalist for the Nobel Prize in economics (1975)• The John von Neumann Theory Prize (1982)• Distinguished Public Service medal from the U.S. Navy for his contributions as an
operations analyst during World War II.
• William Cooper (1914-2012)• US Comptroller General Award (1986)
• Charnes, Cooper and Rhodes, (1978). Measuring the efficiency of decision making units, European Journal of Operational Research 2, pp. 429-444• Based on the seminal ideas of: M.J. Farrell (1957), The measurement of productive
efficiency, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society
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What is DEA …
• DEA is a non-parametric technique for evaluating the relative efficiency of a set of peer entities, called Decision Making Units (DMUs), which use multiple inputs to produce multiple outputs. • The DMUs are assumed• homogeneous, i.e. they belong to the same system and they consume
different amounts of the same inputs to produce different amounts of the same outputs.• Independent• Black boxes
• The mathematical instrument used is linear programming.
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DMUInputs Outputs
… What is DEA
• The basic logic behind the DEA is that it compares DMUs’ real status to ideal status by projecting their actual input-output bundle onto the production frontier.
• For each DMU, DEA identifies an efficient mix of the observed DMUs that can achieve the DMU’s levels of outputs with the minimal use of resources (inputs). The resources used by the efficient mix are then compared with the actual resources used by the evaluated DMU to produce its observed outputs. This comparison highlights whether the DMU under evaluation is efficient or not.
• To obtain the production frontier, all DMUs’ real inputs and outputs are used to construct a production possible set with certain axiomatic hypotheses, while the production frontier is an outside envelopment of the production possible set.
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Understanding DEAThe elementary single input-single output case
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Input (x)
A
C
B
O
D
E
F G
x
y
Output (y)
Absolute efficiencies: the individual slopes
Relative efficiencies: the individual slopes/max slope at B
Relative efficiency of B=1
Relative efficiency of the others < 1
Understanding DEA
Wroclaw UST, October 30, 2019
Input
Output
A
C
B
O
D
E
F G
Τhe one-eyed man reigns over the blind
The production possibility set (PPS)
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Input (x)
Output (y)
A
C
B
O
D
E
F G
The observed activities belong to PPS .
If an activity (x,y) belongs to PPS then the activity (λx, λy) belongs to PPS for any positive scalar λ (CRS assumption)
For any activity (x,y) in PPS any semipositive (x^,y^ ) with x^≥x and y^≤y is included in PPS.
Any semipositive linear combination of activities in PPS belongs to PPS.
CRS E
ff. fr
ontie
r
Returns to scale: CRS/VRS
Wroclaw UST, October 30, 2019
Input
Output
A
C
B
O
Production possibility set
D
E
F GCR
S fro
ntie
r
VRS
fron
tier
Max slope
Orientation
Wroclaw UST, October 30, 2019
Input
Output
A
C
B
O
D
E
F G
D΄P Input-oriented eff. of D=
' 1PDPD
£
D¨
Q
Output-oriented eff. of D='' 1QD
QD³
IO eff.=1/OO eff.
CRS / VRS efficiency scores
Wroclaw UST, October 30, 2019
Input
Output
A
C
B
O
D
E
F G
VRS score ≥ CRS score
D΄ D΄΄P
.
.
PDCRS eff of D
PDPD
VRS eff of DPD
¢=
¢¢=
DEA (non-parametric) Vs regression (parametric)
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Input (x)
Output (y)
A
C
B
O
D
E
F G
y=ax+b
Best
pra
ctic
e
Average
2 inputs/1 output
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. OFEff of FOF
¢=
A and B are the referent units for F
Β and C are the referent units for G
Input 1/Output
Inpu
t 2/O
utpu
tA
CB
O
D
E
F
GF΄
Radial
reducti
on
G΄
Input excess
A B C D E F GInp1 10 17 30 22 45 20 27Inp2 50 20 15 65 15 35 26Out 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 input/2 outputs
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Output 1/Input
Out
put 2
/Inpu
t
A
C
B
O
D
E
F
G
Radia
l impr
ovem
ent
. ODEff of DOD
¢=
A and B are the referent units for D
Β and C are the referent units for E
A is the referent unit for F
D΄
E΄
F΄
Output shortfall
Constructing an efficient mix to compare F
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A B C D E F GInp1 10 17 30 22 45 20 27Inp2 50 20 15 65 15 35 26Out 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 * OF
OFq
¢=
θ* is the largest possible radial reduction of the inputs of DMU F that preserves the level of its output without stepping outside the PPS (F’ is the efficient mix of DMUs against which F is compared)
C
D
E
F
G
B
A
Input 1/Output
Inpu
t 2/
Out
put
F’
λD=0
λF=0
λG=0
λE=0λC=0
λA=0.23076923
λB=0.76923077
=0.76923077
C
D
E
F
G
B
A
Input 1/Output
Inpu
t 2/O
utpu
t F’
λD=0
λF=0
λG=0
λE=0λC=0
λA=0.23076923
λB=0.76923077
The input oriented CRS DEA model (LP) for DMU F
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min $10'( + 17'+ + 30'- + 22'/ + 45'2 + 20'3 + 27'4 ≤ 20$50'( + 20'+ + 15'- + 65'/ + 15'2 + 35'3 + 26'4 ≤ 35$
'( + '+ + '- + '/ + '2 + '3 + '4 ≥ 1
A B C D E F GInp1 10 17 30 22 45 20 27Inp2 50 20 15 65 15 35 26Out 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
!∗ = 0.76923077; ,- = 0.23076923 ,. = 0.76923077
,/ = 0 ,0 = 0 ,1 = 0 ,2 = 0 ,3 = 0
Optimal solution
F inefficient
'(, '+, '-, '/, '2, '3, '4 ≥ 0; $ ∈ ;
The input oriented CRS DEA model (LP) for DMU G
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min $10'( + 17'+ + 30'- + 22'/ + 45'2 + 20'3 + 27'4 ≤ 27$50'( + 20'+ + 15'- + 65'/ + 15'2 + 35'3 + 26'4 ≤ 26$
'( + '+ + '- + '/ + '2 + '3 + '4 ≥ 1
A B C D E F GInp1 10 17 30 22 45 20 27Inp2 50 20 15 65 15 35 26Out 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Optimal solution
C
D
E
F
G
B
A
Input 1/Output
Inpu
t 2/O
utpu
t
λD=0
λF=0
λG=0
λE=0λB>0
λC>0
λA=0
G΄
!∗ = 0.72938689; -. = 0
-/ = 0.79281184 -2 = 0.20718816
-3 = 0 -4 = 0 -5 = 0 -6 = 0
G inefficient
'(, '+, '-, '/, '2, '3, '4 ≥ 0; $ ∈ ;
The input oriented CRS DEA model (LP) for DMU B
Wroclaw UST, October 30, 2019
min $10'( + 17'+ + 30'- + 22'/ + 45'2 + 20'3 + 27'4 ≤ 17$50'( + 20'+ + 15'- + 65'/ + 15'2 + 35'3 + 26'4 ≤ 20$
'( + '+ + '- + '/ + '2 + '3 + '4 ≥ 1
A B C D E F GInp1 10 17 30 22 45 20 27Inp2 50 20 15 65 15 35 26Out 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Optimal solution
B efficient
!∗ = 1 %& = 0 () = * %+ = 0 %, = 0 %- = 0 %. = 0 %/ = 0
'(, '+, '-, '/, '2, '3, '4 ≥ 0; $ ∈ ;
What about E?
Wroclaw UST, October 30, 2019
A B C D E F GInp1 10 17 30 22 45 20 27Inp2 50 20 15 65 15 35 26Out 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
min $10'( + 17'+ + 30'- + 22'/ + 45'2 + 20'3 + 27'4 ≤ 45$50'( + 20'+ + 15'- + 65'/ + 15'2 + 35'3 + 26'4 ≤ 15$
'( + '+ + '- + '/ + '2 + '3 + '4 ≥ 1
Optimal solution
Is E efficient?
!∗ = 1 %& = 0 %( = 1 )* = + %, = 0 %- = 0 %. = 0 %/ = 0
'(, '+, '-, '/, '2, '3, '4 ≥ 0; $ ∈ ;
To get the full picture for a DMU …
Wroclaw UST, October 30, 2019
min $10'( + 17'+ + 30'- + 22'/ + 45'2 + 20'3 + 27'4 ≤ 45$50'( + 20'+ + 15'- + 65'/ + 15'2 + 35'3 + 26'4 ≤ 15$
'( + '+ + '- + '/ + '2 + '3 + '4 ≥ 1
Phase I
Phase II max :;< + :=< + :;>10'( + 17'+ + 30'- + 22'/ + 45'2 + 20'3 + 27'4 + :;< = 45$∗50'( + 20'+ + 15'- + 65'/ + 15'2 + 35'3 + 26'4 + :=< = 15$∗
'( + '+ + '- + '/ + '2 + '3 + '4 − :;> = 1
!∗ = 1 %& = 0 %( = 1 )* = + %, = 0 %- = 0 %. = 0 %/ = 0 0+1 = +2 031 = 4 0+5 = 4
Optimal solution
'(, '+, '-, '/, '2, '3, '4 ≥ 0; $ ∈ E
'(, '+, '-, '/, '2, '3, '4 , :;<, :=<, :;> ≥ 0
When is a DMU efficient?
A DMU is efficient if and only if θ*=1 and all the slacks are zero
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Multiple Inputs and outputs
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A(λ1) B(λ2) C(λ3) D(λ4) E(λ5) F(λ6) G(λ7)Inp1 20 19 26 28 23 55 35
Inp2151 130 167 168 156 255 235
Out1 100 150 160 180 94 230 220
Out2 90 50 55 72 66 90 88
The input oriented CRS DEA model for unit A
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
min. .20 19 26 28 23 55 35 20151 130 167 168 156 255 235 151100 150 160 180 94 230 220 10090 50 55 72 66 90 88 90, , , , , , 0;
s t
R
q
l l l l l l l ql l l l l l l ql l l l l l ll l l l l l l
l l l l l l l q
+ + + + + + £
+ + + + + + £
+ + + + + + ³
+ + + + + + ³
³ Î
The VRS DEA model
Wroclaw UST, October 30, 2019
A(λ1) B(λ2) C(λ3) D(λ4) E(λ5) F(λ6) G(λ7)Inp1 20 19 26 28 23 55 35
Inp2151 130 167 168 156 255 235
Out1 100 150 160 180 94 230 220
Out2 90 50 55 72 66 90 88
The input oriented VRS DEA model for unit A
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2
min. .20 19 26 28 23 55 35 20151 130 167 168 156 255 235 151100 150 160 180 94 230 220 10090 50 55 72 66 90 88 90
1,
s tq
l l l l l l l ql l l l l l l ql l l l l l ll l l l l l l
l l l l l l ll l
+ + + + + + £
+ + + + + + £
+ + + + + + ³
+ + + + + + ³
+ + + + + + =
3 4 5 6 7, , , , , 0; Rl l l l l q³ Î
The output oriented DEA model: CRS
Wroclaw UST, October 30, 2019
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
max. .20 19 26 28 23 55 35 20151 130 167 168 156 255 235 151100 150 160 180 94 230 220 10090 50 55 72 66 90 88 90, , , , , , 0;
s t
R
q
l l l l l l ll l l l l l ll l l l l l l ql l l l l l l q
l l l l l l l q
+ + + + + + £
+ + + + + + £
+ + + + + + ³
+ + + + + + ³
³ Î
A(λ1) B(λ2) C(λ3) D(λ4) E(λ5) F(λ6) G(λ7)Inp1
20 19 26 28 23 55 35
Inp2151 130 167 168 156 255 235
Out1100 150 160 180 94 230 220
Out290 50 55 72 66 90 88
The output oriented DEA model: VRS
Wroclaw UST, October 30, 2019
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
max. .20 19 26 28 23 55 35 20151 130 167 168 156 255 235 151100 150 160 180 94 230 220 10090 50 55 72 66 90 88 90, , , , , , 0;
s t
R
q
l l l l l l ll l l l l l ll l l l l l l ql l l l l l l q
l l l l l l l q
+ + + + + + £
+ + + + + + £
+ + + + + + ³
+ + + + + + ³
³ Î
A(λ1) B(λ2) C(λ3) D(λ4) E(λ5) F(λ6) G(λ7)Inp1
20 19 26 28 23 55 35
Inp2151 130 167 168 156 255 235
Out1100 150 160 180 94 230 220
Out290 50 55 72 66 90 88
!" + !$ + !% + !& + !' + !( + !) = 1
The dual LP (The multiplier CRS/IO model)
Wroclaw UST, October 30, 2019
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
min. .20 19 26 28 23 55 35 20151 130 167 168 156 255 235 151100 150 160 180 94 230 220 10090 50 55 72 66 90 88 90, , , , , , 0;
s t
R
q
l l l l l l l ql l l l l l l ql l l l l l ll l l l l l l
l l l l l l l q
+ + + + + + £
+ + + + + + £
+ + + + + + ³
+ + + + + + ³
³ Î
1 2
1 2
1 2 1 2
1 2 1 2
1 2 1 2
1 2 1 2
1 2 1 2
1 2 1 2
1 2
max 100 90. .20 151 1100 90 20 151 0 ( )150 50 19 130 0 ( )160 55 26 167 0 ( )180 72 28 168 0 ( )94 66 23 156 0 ( )230 90 55 255 0 ( )220 88 35
AE u us tv vu u v v Au u v v Bu u v v Cu u v v Du u v v Eu u v v Fu u
= +
+ =+ - - £+ - - £+ - - £+ - - £+ - - £+ - - £+ - 1 2
1 2 1 2
235 0 ( ), , , 0
v v Gu u v v
- £³
CRS /IO
The dual LP (The multiplier CRS/IO model)
Wroclaw UST, October 30, 2019
1 2
1 2
1 2 1 2
1 2 1 2
1 2 1 2
1 2 1 2
1 2 1 2
1 2 1 2
1 2
max 100 90. .20 151 1100 90 20 151 0 ( )150 50 19 130 0 ( )160 55 26 167 0 ( )180 72 28 168 0 ( )94 66 23 156 0 ( )230 90 55 255 0 ( )220 88 35
AE u us tv vu u v v Au u v v Bu u v v Cu u v v Du u v v Eu u v v Fu u
= +
+ =+ - - £+ - - £+ - - £+ - - £+ - - £+ - - £+ - 1 2
1 2 1 2
235 0 ( ), , , 0
v v Gu u v v
- £³
1 2
1 2
1 2 1 2
1 2 1 2
1 2 1 2
1 2 1 2
1 2 1 2
1 2 1 2
100 90max
20 151. .(100 90 ) (20 151 ) 1 ( )(150 50 ) (19 130 ) 1 ( )(160 55 ) (26 167 ) 1 ( )(180 72 ) (28 168 ) 1 ( )(94 66 ) (23 156 ) 1 ( )(230 90 ) (55 255 ) 1
Au uEv v
s tu u v v Au u v v Bu u v v Cu u v v Du u v v Eu u v v
+=
+
+ + £+ + £+ + £+ + £+ + £+ + £
1 2 1 2
1 2 1 2
( )(220 88 ) (35 235 ) 1 ( ), , , 0
Fu u v v G
u u v v+ + £
³
Linear form Fractional form
Interpretation of the multiplier form of the DEA model
• DEA estimates optimal weights for the evaluated DMU that maximize its efficiency score
• Each DMU selects its own optimal weights so as to show itself in the best possible light relatively to the other DMUs
Wroclaw UST, October 30, 2019
When is a DMU efficient?
A DMU is efficient if and only if E=1 and there is an optimal solution with non-zero weights
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A DMU is efficient if and only if θ*=1 and all the slacks are zero
Or equivalently
Thank you for your attention
Wroclaw UST, October 30, 2019