CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM · 1 CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM Prof. Dr. Em. Yvo M.I....
Transcript of CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM · 1 CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM Prof. Dr. Em. Yvo M.I....
1
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM
Prof. Dr. Em. Yvo M.I. Dirickx
Faculty of Business and Economics
K.U.Leuven
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
2
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
COURSE OUTLINE (1)
#1
(4/7)
INTRODUCTION TO SCM #6
(5/7)
DEVELOPMENT OF A CS-
STRATEGY – case TUBES (2)
#2
(4/7)
CUSTOMER SERVICE
SURVEY: EXERCISE
#7
(6/7)
CS AND INVENTORY
THEORY: REVIEW OF
TECHNIQUES (1)
#3
(4/7)
DEVELOPMENT OF A CS-
STRATEGY (1)
#8
(6/7)
CS AND INVENTORY
THEORY:
REVIEW OF TECHNIQUES (2)
#4
(5/7)
DEVELOPMENT OF A CS-
STRATEGY (2)
#9
(6/7)
CS- SERVICE CRITERIA IN
INVENTORY THEORY
#5
(5/7)
DEVELOPMENT OF A CS-
STRATEGY – case TUBES (1)
#10
(7/7)
CS-SERVICE CRITERIA:
exercises
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
3
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
COURSE OUTLINE (2)
#11
(7/7)
PRESENTATIONS CASE
STUDY TUBES
#16
(11/7)
DESIGN OF DISTRIBUTION
NETWORKS: exercises (2)
#12
(7/7)
CHANNEL DESIGN ISSUES
IN DISTRIBUTION SYSTEMS
#17
(11/7)
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS
exercise ESPANA (1)
#13
(8/7)
DESIGN OF DISTRIBUTION
NETWORKS: case BBC (1)
#18
(11/7)
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS
exercise ESPANA (2)
#14
(8/7)
DESIGN OF DISTRIBUTION
NETWORKS: case BBC (2)
#19
(12/7)
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS:
case IBERICO (1)
#15
(8/7)
DESIGN OF DISTRIBUTION
NETWORKS: exercises (1)
#20
(12/7)
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS:
case IBERICO (2)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
4
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
COURSE OUTLINE (3)
#21
(12/7)
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS:
case IBERICO (3)
#26
(14/7)
SCM: NEW
DEVELOPMENTS
#22
(13/7)
PRESENTATIONS CASE
STUDY IBERICO
#27
(14/7)
FINAL: THE FUTURE STORE
“END”
#23
(13/7)
INTEGRATION: case
AVIATION LUBRICANTS (1)
#24
(13/7)
INTEGRATION: case
AVIATION LUBRICANTS (2)
#25
(14/7)
INTEGRATION: case
AVIATION LUBRICANTS (3)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
5
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
INTRODUCTION (lecture #1)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
6
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
INTRODUCTION (lecture #1)
“SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT is a set of
approaches utilized to efficiently integrate suppliers,
manufacturers, warehouses, and stores, so that
merchandise is produced and distributed at the right
quantities, to the right location, and at the right time, in
order to minimize systemwide costs while satisfying
service level requirements.”
D. Simchi-Levi, P. Kaminksy, E. Simchi-
Levi (2008)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
7
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
INTRODUCTION (lecture #1)
KEY ISSUES IN SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT:
DESIGN OF DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS
INVENTORY CONTROL
PRODUCTION SOURCING
SUPPLY CONTRACTS
SUPPLY CHAIN INTEGRATION
OUTSOURCING/OFF-SHORING
CREATING CUSTOMER VALUE
IT and DSS
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
8
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
INTRODUCTION (lecture #1)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
9
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
INTRODUCTION (lecture #1)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
10
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
INTRODUCTION (lecture #1)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
11
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
INTRODUCTION (lecture #1)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
12
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
CUSTOMER SERVICE SURVEY (lecture #2)
BACKGROUND: TUBES Inc is active in the US-
market, its main line of business is PVC plumbing
products. These products are used in both
residential and commercial construction. PVC
products account for roughly 95 % of the yearly
turnover of 750 million $.
It is one of the four largest
manufacturers/suppliers op plastic pipes and
fittings in the USA. Its headquarters and
manufacturing facilities are located in Cleveland
(OHIO Mid-West) with a staff of 1050 employees.
Beyond this it operates the following DC‟s:
DC
(# staff)
Throughput in
KM*1000
Atlanta GA
(18)
3 100
Cincinatti OH
(32)
12 100
Cleveland OH
(24)
4 360
Kansas City
(22)
3 930
Miami FL
(15)
2 750
Cliffwood NJ
(20)
4 040
Torrance CA
(15)
2 520
Seattle WA
(41)
20 465
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
13
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
CUSTOMER SERVICE SURVEY (lecture #2)
Import activities take place in Seattle and have mainly to do with the export
of faucets and other metal products that are produced in Taiwan.
Transport from the factory in Cleveland to the DC‟s is by train (except
shipments to the DC Cleveland, these are done by truck). Customers (DIY)
are served from the DC‟s by truck and usually ask for delivery within 5 days.
In the DC‟s certain added-value activities take place (re-packaging,
customization).
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
14
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
CUSTOMER SERVICE SURVEY (lecture #2)
THE CUSTOMER SERVICE SURVEY:TUBES has decided to ask a sample of customers in the Do-It-Yourself
supermarkets to take part in a customer service survey. The average sales volume of a DIY-supermarket is 30 000 000 US$. As a supplier TUBES accounts on the average for 25% of the sales volume of these DIY-supermarkets. The DIY-supermarket account for roughly 50% of Tubes‟ sales volume. Construction companies constitute the other half of Tubes‟ sales volumebut are not considered here.
In the survey 25 DIY customers of Tubes were asked to rank each specific item on a scale from 1 to 7 ( a “1” being completely unimportant, a “7” being of utmost importance). The 25 D-I-Y chains make up 80% of Tubes‟ sales in the D-I-Y market.
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
15
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
CUSTOMER SERVICE SURVEY (lecture #2)
EXERCISE:
EACH STUDENT GROUP (group size 3-4 persons) WILL ACT AS A D-I-Y CUSTOMER
OF TUBES AND WILL CARRY OUT THE CUSTOMER SERVICE (use a “Delphi”-like
approach).
THE RESULT OF THIS EXERCISE WILL BE USED AS INPUT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENTS IN THIS CHAPTER. (Despite of the “statistical” problem of having a
sample size – in practice one would need a sample size of +/- 25.)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
16
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
CUSTOMER SERVICE SURVEY (lecture #2)
FACTOR SCORE
1. DISCOUNTS FOR EARLY PAYMENT
2. ADVANCED INFORMATION ON ORDER DELAYS
3. FAST CORRECTION OF BILLING ERRORS
4. SUPPLY CHAIN INTEGRATION
5. AUTOMATIC REPLACEMENT OF FAULTY DELIVERIES
6. CONSISTENCY OF DELIVERED TECHNICAL QUALITY
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
17
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
CUSTOMER SERVICE SURVEY (lecture #2)
FACTOR SCORE
7. FLEXIBLE RESPONSE TO EMERGENCY ORDERS
8. COMPUTER-TO-COMPUTER ENTRY
9. POSSIBILITIES FOR E-COMMERCE
10. ADVANCED NOTICE FOR SHIPPING DELAYS
11. INFORMATION ON INVENTORY POSITION
12. INFORMATION ON SHIPPING DATES
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
18
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
CUSTOMER SERVICE SURVEY (lecture #2)
13. INFORMATION ON DELIVERY DATES
14. INFORMATION ON SUBSTITUTE PRODUCTS
15. QUICK REACTION TO PRICE CHANGES
16. ADEQUATE/PROTECTIVE PACKAGING
17. QUICK REACTION TO COMPLAINTS
18. NO RESTRICTION ON ORDER SIZES
19. TECHNICAL EXPERTISE OF SALESPERSONS
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
19
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
CUSTOMER SERVICE SURVEY (lecture #2)
20. EXISTENCE OF REVERSE LOGISTICS PROGRAMMES
21. EHS-REPUTATION
22. POSSIBILITY FOR LONG-TERM CONTRACTS
23. PROXIMITY OF DC/WAREHOUSE
24. HIGH FREQUENCY OF DELIVERIES
25. POSSIBILITIES FOR DELIVERY IN FIXED TIME SLOTS
MEAN/
STANDARD DEVIATION
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
20
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CS-STRATEGY
(lectures #3-#4)
These two lectures contain three subjects:
1. The definition of customer service
2. The major elements of customer service
(based on work of LALONDE and ZINSZER)
3. A framework for developing a customer service strategy
(based on word of CHRISTOPHER)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
21
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CS-STRATEGY
(lectures #3-#4)
ECONOMICS: Each consumer chooses a bundle of products and services that is “prefered” to all other possible bundles, given a specific budget. A preference structure ranks all possible consumption bundles. The “best” bundle is said to yield the maximal (budgetary feasible) possible utility level. So, products and services create utility to the consumer.
MANAGEMENT THEORY: In the literature four types of utility creation are identified (“management” –”customers”; “economics” – “consumers”):
1°. DESIGN UTILITY (manufacturing)
2°. PLACE UTILITY (logistics)
3°. TIME UTILITY (logistics)
4°. POSSESSION UTILITY (marketing)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
22
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CS-STRATEGY
(lectures #3-#4)
DEFINITION OF CUSTOMER SERVICE: ALL ACTIVITIES OF A COMPANY TO
INCREASE THE UTILITY OF ITS PRODUCTS/SERVICES TO THE TARGETED
(SEGMENTATION) CUSTOMERS IS CALLED CUSTOMER SERVICE
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
23
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CS-STRATEGY
(lectures #3-#4)
KEY ASPECTS ARE ALWAYS:
- dependability: “do as you promise”
- flexibility: “do what the customer (really) wants”
- communication: “give precise information about everything relating to a customer
order”
A landmark study (1976!) of Lalonde and Zinszer distinguished three types of elements of
customer service:
1° pre-transaction elements (strategic level)
2° transaction elements (operational level)
3° post-transaction elementrs (reverse logistics)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
24
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CS-STRATEGY
(lectures #3-#4)
CUSTOMER SERVICE ELEMENTS AT A STRATEGIC LEVEL - PRE-TRANSACTION
ELEMENTS
1. OPEN AND TRANSPARENT STATEMENT OF POLICY
2. INFORMATION STRATEGY ON THE CS-POLICY STATEMENT
3. ORGANISATIONAL STRUCTURE
4. CORPORATE GOVERNANCE RELATING TO CUSTOMER SERVICE
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
25
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CS-STRATEGY
(lectures #3-#4)
CUSTOMER SERVICE ELEMENTS AT AN OPERATIONAL LEVEL – TRANSACTION LEVEL
1. PROTECTION LEVELS IN INVENTORY MANAGEMENT (RULES FOR SAFETY
STOCKS – LECTURES (#7- #10)
2. ORDER INFORMATION
3. ORDER CYCLE ANALYSIS (REDUCTION OF ORDER CYCLE LENGTH AND
VARIABILITY – “QUALITY MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUES”)
4. EXPEDITION OF SHIPMENTS
5. TRANSSHIPMENTS BETWEEN INVENTORY LOCATIONS (WAREHOUSES)
6. PRODUCT SUBSTITUTION POLICIES
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
26
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CS-STRATEGY
(lectures #3-#4)
ELEMENTS OF CUSTOMER SERVICE – REVERSE LOGISTICS
1. RULES FOR INSTALLATION AND REPAIRS
2. SPARE PARTS MANAGEMENT
3. PRODUCT TRACING POLICIES
4. REACTION TO CLAIMS AND COMPLAINTS FROM CUSTOMERS
5. TEMPORARY REPLACEMENT OF PRODUCTS
6. GREEN LOGISTICS AND ECOLOGY
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
27
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CS-STRATEGY
(lectures #3-#4)
THE SIX STEPS OF
CHRISTOPHER:
1. IDENTIFY KEY COMPONENTS OF THE CS (these are the
items of the customer service survey- see lecture #1))
2. ESTABLISH THE RELATIVE IMPORTANCE OF THE
SERVICE COMPONENTS (simple statistical analysis of the CS-
survey, see lecture #1)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
28
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CS-STRATEGY
(lectures #3-#4)
3. IDENTIFY COMPANY POSITION ON THE
SERVICE COMPONENTS IDENTIFIED IN
THE CS-SURVEY RELATIVE TO THE BEST
PRACTICE IN THE SECTOR
For each factor the company (in this case
TUBES) evaluates its performance and the
performance of the best competitor on a
scale from 1 to 7.
NOTE: in tables T= “Tubes” and
C= “Competitor”
T C T C
1.DISC 3 6 7.FLEX 5 3
2.ADV INFO 6 4 8.COMP 3 6
3.CORR 2 5 9.E-COMM 3 5
4.SCI 3 5 10.SHIPDEL 2 4
5.REPLAC 6 4 11.INF INV 3 5
6.QUAL 6 4 12.SHIPDAT 4 4
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
29
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CS-STRATEGY
(lectures #3-#4)
13.INFODELIVERY 5 4 22.LONG-TERM CONTRACTS 6 3
14.SUBST PROD 3 5 23.PROXIMITY DC 5 2
15.PRICE CHANGE 5 3 24.HIGH FREQ DEL 2 5
16.PACKAGING 5 7 25.TIME SLOTS 2 6
17.COMPLAINTS 3 5
18.ORDER SIZES 5 3
19.EXPERTISE SALES STAFF 6 3
20.REVERSE LOGISTICS 3 5
21.EHS 4 2
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
30
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CS-STRATEGY
(lectures #3-#4)
VARIANCE REDUCTION OF THE ORDER CYCLE:
IF IN SOME PART OF THE ORDER CYCLE ( order placement, order processing, order
preparation, order shipment) VARIABILITY INCREASES, ONE HAS TO CHECK THE
SOURCE OF VARIATION; THIS CAN BE DUE TO:
- ENVIRONMENTAL REASONS ( no control possible, hence no possibility for
improvement, e.g., external strikes, weather conditions, political turmoil,…)
- THE DESIGN OF THE SUPPLY CHAIN ( change and improve)
- CUSTOMER ATTITUDES (difficult!)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
31
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CS-STRATEGY
(lectures #3-#4)
CONCEPT RELATIVE PERFORMANCE:
RP = P(T) – P(C)
If RP = -6, -5, -4, -3 = “-3-”
If RP = 3, 4, 5, 6 = “3+”
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
32
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CS-STRATEGY
(lectures #3-#4)
SCATTER DIAGRAM
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
33
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CS-STRATEGY
(lectures #3-#4)
4. SEGMENT THE CUSTOMERS BASED
ON THE RESULTS OF THE SURVEY (this is
technically completely the same as doing
segmentation in marketing research).
QUITE OFTEN A SIMPLE ABC-ANALYSIS
SUFFICES.
5. DESIGN THE STRATEGY FOR
IMPROVING CUSTOMER SERVICE.
USING THE SEGMENTATION AND THE
KEY FACTORS IDENTIFIED IN STEP 3
STRATEGIC OPTIONS CAN BE DEFINED.
EXAMPLE:
If CONSISTENT LEAD TIME is important to
the A-class customers and the company is
behind competition, the company may decide
to opt for the following:
-Decrease average lead time by 20% in the
coming year
-Decrease variability (range) for A-class
customer by 2.5 days.
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
34
CUSTOMER ORIENTED APPROACH TO SCM:
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CS-STRATEGY
(lectures #3-#4)
6. ESTABLISH CS-MANAGEMENT AND CS-CONTROL PROCEDURES
These procedures should be inspired by creating leadership and commitment by setting goals
based on measurablevariables (success factors).
TQM should help.
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
35
Each student group (size 3-4 persons) will develop a report with as topic:
“How to develop a coherent CS-strategy using the information on Tubes, the results of
the CS-survey while using the six Steps of Christopher”.
PLANNING: two sessions can be used for preparation; the final report is due on 06/07.
DEVELOPMENT OF A CS-STRATEGY FOR TUBES
- CASE STUDY –
(lectures #5 - #6)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
36
CS AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW
(lectures #7 - #8)
Two topics will be discussed:
1. The EOQ model
2. The order-point/order-quantity system ((s,Q)-model)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
37
SC AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW - EOQ
(lectures #6 - #7)
If for a single SKU the following assumptions hold:
a. the demand rate is constant and known
b. relevant costs are are constant (e.g., no inflation)
c. no discounts
d. the lead time is constant (or equivalently zero)
e. no backorders and complete deliveries
the standard Economic Order Quantity model (EOQ-model) holds.
Some of the above assumptions can be relaxed and the EOQ-model can be
generalized or the assupltions hold “approximately” and the EOQ-model can be
applied as an “approximation”.
CS AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW
(lectures #7 - #8)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
38
NOTATION:
Q = order quantity
A = fixed ordering cost
v = value/unit variable cost (depends on where the sku is in the supply chain)
r = carrying charge (€/€/year)
D= demand on a yearly basis (planning horizon is 1 year)
TOTAL COST FUNCTION:
TC(Q) = (A + Qv).(D/Q) + (Q/2).v.r
= A.D/Q + (Q/2).v.r + v.D
the third term is independent of Q, so the relevant cost function to be minimised is
A.D/Q + (Q/2)v.r.
SC AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW - EOQ
(lectures #6 - #7)
CS AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW
(lectures #7 - #8)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
39
Slope = -DInitial inventory
Q
Q/D TIME
SC AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW
(lectures #6 - #7)
SC AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW - EOQ
(lectures #6 - #7)
CS AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW
(lectures #7 - #8)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
40
SC AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW
(lectures #6 - #7)
vrADEOQ /2
ADvrvDEOQTC 2)(
DvrADEOQmonthsSupplyTime /21212//)(
ADvrEOQDRATIOTURNOVER /22//
SC AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW - EOQ
(lectures #6 - #7)CS AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW
(lectures #7 - #8)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
41
EXAMPLE :
Suppose: D = 2 400 units per year
v = 12 €
A = 96 €
r = 0.24 (it takes 0.24€ to keep 1€ in inventory during one year)
Then:
TC(EOQ) = 1 152 + 28 800
Time-supply = 2
Turnover ratio = 12
Now suppose D increases with 15%, then the EOQ value changes with the square root of 1.15, i.e., 7.24%.
In general, the EOQ formula is robust to changes in demand (and other parameters).
40024.0*12/2400*96*2 EOQ
SC AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW
(lectures #6 - #7)
SC AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW - EOQ
(lectures #6 - #7)CS AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW
(lectures #7 - #8)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
42
SC AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW – (s,Q)-model
(lectures #6 - #7)
DEFINTIONS:
ON-HAND STOCK: physical inventory
NET-STOCK: (on-hand- - (backorders)
INVENTORY POSITION: (on-hand) + (on-order) – (backorders) – (committed)
SAFETY STOCK: average level of the net-stock just before a replenishment arrives
Safety stock is a statistical concept!
The other extreme to backordering is lost-sales; this requires a different approach.
CS AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW
(lectures #7 - #8)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
43
SC AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW – (s,Q)-model
(lectures #6 - #7)
Inventory position
TIMEA BL
The time interval is called
the replenishment cycle
s
Q
CS AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW
(lectures #7 - #8)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
44
SC AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW – (s,Q)-model
(lectures #6 - #7)
SAFETY STOCK:
SS = E(Net-stock before replenishment)
Or:
where k is to be determined.
are determined from the forecasting system.
)(ˆ Lxs
)(ˆ)(ˆ)(ˆ LkLxSSLxs
)(ˆ)(ˆ LandLx
CS AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW
(lectures #7 - #8)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
45
SC AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW – (s,Q)-model
(lectures #6 - #7)
ASSUME THAT THE DEVIATIONS FROM THE FORECASTED AVERAGE
DEMAND DURING THE LEAD TIME OBEY APPROXIMATELY A NORMAL
DEVIATION SO:
Now define
Pu(k) = the probability that a standard normal random variable takes on a value >= k.
Let now
THE PROBABILITY THAT A STOCKOUT OCCURS DURING THE LEAD TIME IS
Pu(k)!
))(ˆ),(ˆ()( LLxNormalLx
)(ˆ/))(ˆ)(( LLxLxu
CS AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW
(lectures #7 - #8)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
46
Normal(0; 1)
0,00
0,05
0,10
0,15
0,20
0,25
0,30
0,35
0,40
-2,5
-2,0
-1,5
-1,0
-0,5 0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
< >2,3% 2,3%95,4%
-2,000 2,000
BestFit Student VersionFor Academic Use Only
SC AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW – (s,Q)-model
(lectures #6 - #7)CS AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW
(lectures #7 - #8)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
47
Pu(k=2) = 1 – 0,977 !
SC AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW – (s,Q)-model
(lectures #6 - #7)
CS AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW
(lectures #7 - #8)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
48
)(2/
2/)(ˆ(2/)(
LkQ
SSQLxSQOHAV
It can be shown that
SC AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW – (s,Q)-model
(lectures #6 - #7)
CS AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW
(lectures #7 - #8)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
49
THE THREE MAIN CRITERIA:
[P1]: a specified probability of no stockout per replenishment cycle OR a fraction
of the cycles in which no stockout occurs; for instance P1 = 0.95.
[P2]: a specified fraction of demand that is met (not lost or not backordered);
also called “fill rate” of fraction of demand that can be met from “shelves”; for
instance P2 = 0.90.
[TBS]: a specified average time between two consecutive stockouts; for instance
TBS = 3.5 months
Once one of the three criteria is specified,the other two can be determined! (See
later.)
SC AND INVENTORY THEORY – REVIEW – (s,Q)-model
(lectures #6 - #7)CS CRITERIA IN INVENTORY THEORY
(lectures #9 - #10)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
50
DEMAND IS STOCHASTIC BUT STATIONARY (i.e., average demand is constant).
THE REPLENISHMENT ORDER IS PLACED EXACTLY AT INVENTORY POSITION “s” (i.e., it is as if demand accours in sizes of one unit).
NO “CROSSING” OF OUTSTANDING ORDERS (i.e., lead time is constant).
THE AVERAGE LEVEL OF BACKORDERS IS SMALL COMPARED TO THE AVERAGE LEVEL OF ON-HAND STOCK.
DEVIATION OF DEMAND AROUND THE MEAN FORECAST HAS A NORMAL DISTRIBUTION:
s AND Q ARE DETERMINED INDEPENDENTLY (this is sub-optimal).
CS CRITERIA IN INVENTORY THEORY
(lectures #9 - #10)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
51
Fix P1.
Choose k such that Pu(k) = 1 – P1 (see Tables or Excel NORMSINV(P1)) so that:
Note that SS and s are independent of Q!
EXAMPLE A:
SSLxs
lkSS
)(ˆ
)(̂
761.751.13*28.13.58
178.16
28.110.0)(
1.13)(ˆ;3.58)(ˆ;90.01
ss
SSSS
kkPu
then
LLxP
CS CRITERIA IN INVENTORY THEORY
(lectures #9 - #10)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
52
ASSUMPTION: backordering
ESRC = Expected number of Shortages per Replenishment Cycle
Q = order size
FRACTION OF UNITS BACKORDERED: ESRC/Q
P2 = 1 – ESRC/Q
In (s,Q)-system:
s
dxxfsxESCR
densityxf
LkLxs
)()(
)(
)(ˆ)(ˆ
CS CRITERIA IN INVENTORY THEORY
(lectures #9 - #10)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
53
In fact
METHOD:
1) FIX P2
2) Select safety factor k such that:
3) 3. Set:
)0,1,0,()(ˆ)(1)((ˆ kNORMDISTLkNORMSDISTLkESCR
Q
kESCRP
)(12
)(ˆ)(ˆ LkLxs
CS CRITERIA IN INVENTORY THEORY
(lectures #9 - #10)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
54
57750
761.64.11*58.0
58.0200
199.0
:
4.11)(ˆ
50)(ˆ
200
99.02
s
SSSS
ESRC
so
L
Lx
Q
P
EXAMPLE B:
CS CRITERIA IN INVENTORY THEORY
(lectures #9 - #10)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
55
Let D(TBS) be the expected demand during TBS
IF Q/D(TBS) > 1: set k at the lowest permitted value (set by management)
IF Q/D(TBS) <=1: choose k such that
Pu(k) = Q/D(TBS)
EXAMPLE C:
2.779.183.58
19
9.181.13*44.1
44.1
075.02*200
30)(
1.13)(ˆ,3.58)(ˆ
30,200,2
s
SS
or
SS
k
kPu
LLx
QDyearsTBS
CS CRITERIA IN INVENTORY THEORY
(lectures #9 - #10)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
56
EXAMPLE C (continued):
• EXAMPLE D:
985.030/1.13*03356.0130
1.13*)44.1(12
92.007493.011
)44.1(11
GuP
P
PuP
75.020.0*200/30)84.0(*/
95.00485.0130/13*)84.0(12
84.02.0)(
13)(ˆ,58)(ˆ
30
200
8.01
PuDQTBS
GuP
kkPu
LLx
Q
D
P
CS CRITERIA IN INVENTORY THEORY
(lectures #9 - #10)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
57
CS CRITERIA IN INVENTORY THEORY
(lectures #9 - #10) – exercises (delivered by the beginning of the
session)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
58
PRESENTATIONS OF
CASE STUDY TUBES (lecture #11)
Each student group will have 15 minutes to present its report on “A CS-strategy for
Tubes”.
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
59
SUPPLY CHAIN DESIGN ISSUES
(lecture #12)
A CHANNEL OF DISTRIBUTION IS DEFINED AS THE COLLECTION OF
ORGANISATIONAL UNITS (INTERNAL AND EXTERNAL) WHICH PERFORMS THE
FUNCTIONS INVOLVED IN PRODUCT MARKETING (buying, selling, transporting,
storing,providing informatin).
THE CHANNEL OF DISTRIBUTION IS, IN FACT, THE “INSTITUTIONAL” DESCRIPTION
OF THE OUTBOUND SUPPLY CHAIN.
CHANNEL DESIGN DEPENDS ON: market characteristics and product characteristics.
OFTEN CERTAIN FUNCTIONS ARE OUTSOURCED TO INDEPENDENT
INTERMEDIARIES FOR THEIR EFFICIENCY AND SPECIALISATION
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
60
SUPPLY CHAIN DESIGN ISSUES
(lecture #12)
S. = SUPPLIER; W.= WAREHOUSE. DC.= DISTRIBUTION CENTER. C.= CUSTOMER “ZONE”
S1 S2 S3 S4
W1 W2
DC1 DC2
C1 C2 C3 C4 C5
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
61
“FROM 5 * 5 TO 5 + 5”
SUPPLY CHAIN DESIGN ISSUES
(lecture #12)
S1 S2 S3 S4
C1 C2 C3
S5
C4 C5
DC
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
62
SUPPLY CHAIN DESIGN ISSUES
(lecture #12)
INTENSIVE DISTRIBUTION (USUALLY MULTI-LEVEL) : common lager beer (Stella Artois
- Belgium, Carlsberg - Denmark, Kronenbourg - France, …..
EXCLUSIVE DISTRIBUTION: ROLEX watches, PORSCHE cars, ...
SELECTIVE DISRIBUTION (in between the previous extreme forms):
Stella Artois – UK, CARLSBERG - Belgium, Bordeaux wines - global, …
OTHER EXAMPLES: gasoline, travel agencies (e-commerce), Coca-Cola,…
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
63
SUPPLY CHAIN DESIGN ISSUES
(lecture #12)
TYPE OF BUYING BEHAVIOR: SUPER-
MARKETS
CON-
VENIENCE
STORES
SPECIALTY
STORES
MOST READILY AVAILABLE BRAND AT
MOST ACCESSIBLE STORE
SELECTION FROM ASSORTMENT AT MOST
ACCESSIBLE STORE
FAVORITE BRAND FROM CLOSEST STORE
HAVING ITAM IN STOCK
COMPARISON (price/service) ACROSS/
STORES/BRANDS or BOTH
PREFERENCE FOR ONE STORE (CHAIN)
INDIFFERENT OF BRANDS
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
64
SUPPLY CHAIN DESIGN ISSUES
(lecture #12)
PRODUCT TYPES: bottles/cans/barrels/taps/gasoline … (carrier choice, POS, type of WH-DC)
1. Value/volume: low/medium/high
2. Technicality:low/high
3. Market acceptance: low/high
4. Substitute products: own/competitors/both
5. Possibility for bulk transport: yes/no
6. Perishability: low/medium/high
7. Seasonalities and special events:
high/low and few/many
8. Regional distribution of demand: little/a lot
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
65
DESIGN OF DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS:
case BBC
(lectures #13 - #16)
BBC brews beer at three plants: in Los Angeles, in New
York and in Saint-Louis. The annual production capacity
(in multiples of 1 000 000 hectoliter) of each brewery is
as follows:
The variable cost of producing one liter of beer at any
plant is 0.30$.
Beer can be stored in five potential warehouse sites:
Philadelphia, Chicago, Atlanta, Indianapolis and Kansas
City. The handling capacity is between 4.8 and 10 per
year.
9NEW YORK
8SAINT LOUIS
7LOS ANGELES
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
66
DESIGN OF DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS:
case BBC
(lectures #13 - #16)
The annual operating cost (AOC) is identical for each warehouse and, as a function of throughput or the total amount of beer shipped (SHIP) is:
AOC = 0.899 + 0.512 SHIP
0.899 is the fixed cost (in millions of $)
0.512 $/hl is the variable cost
BBC ships its beer to six distributors. For administrative reasons, each distributor must receive all its beer from a single warehouse. The annual amount of beer required by each distributor is given in the table.
Assume that monthly demand is relatively constant.
6. SAN FRANCISCO: 55. DALLAS: 3.5
4. DENVER: 23. DETROIT: 4
2. MEMPHIS: 2.51. BOSTON : 2
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
67
The cost per liter of transporting beer (COST/LITER) depends on the distance (MILES).
Cost analysis reveals that: COST/LITER = 0.0202 SQRT(MILES)
The road distance between each plant and potential warehouse site is as follows:
257235541289868StL
15892073218220542706LA
1198712841802100NY
KANINDATLCHICPHIL
DESIGN OF DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS:
case BBC
(lectures #13 - #16)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
68
The road distance between each potential warehouse site and distributor is as follows:
18354896007434511391KAN
22568651058278435906IND
249679513986993711037ATL
2142917996266530 963CHIC
2866145216915761000296PHIL
SAN FRAN
DALLAS DENVERDETROITMEMPHISBOSTON
DESIGN OF DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS:
case BBC
(lectures #13 - #16)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
69
A POSSIBLE NETWORK ….
NY-1 LA-2 StL-3
PHIL-1 CHI-2 ATL-3 IND-4
BO-1 MEM-2 DETR-3 DENV-4 DAL-5 SF-6
KAN-5
DESIGN OF DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS:
case BBC
(lectures #13 - #16)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
70
FLOW VARIABLES FROM PLANTS TO POTENTIAL WAREHOUSE SITES:
x11 = AMOUNT SHIPPED FROM PLANT NY-1 TO WAREHOUSE SITE PHIL-1,
x24 = AMOUNT SHIPPED FROM PLANT LA-2 TO WAREHOUSE SITE IND-4,
etc.
If there are no shipments on a link, for instance SL-3 to KAN-5, then x35 = 0.
If a warehouse site remains closed, say ATL-3, then x13 = x23 =x33 = 0.
FLOW VARIABLES FROM POTENTIAL WAREHOUSE SITES TO THE DISTRIBUTORS:
y24 = AMOUNT SHIPPED FROM WH CHI-2 TO DISTRIBUTOR DENV-4,
etc.
If, for instance, IND-4 remains closed then x41 = x42 = x43 = x44 = x45 = x46 = 0.
DESIGN OF DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS:
case BBC
(lectures #13 - #16)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
71
DESIGN VARIABLES RELATING TO WAREHOUSES:
V1 = 0 MEANS WAREHOUSE PHIL-1 REMAINS CLOSED.
Otherwise,
V1 = 1 MEANS WAREHOUSE PHIL-1 IS OPENED.
V2 AND V3 ARE DEFINED SIMILARLY.
LINKS BETWEEN WAREHOUSE AND DISTRIBUTORS:
W34 = 1 MEANS THAT WH ATL-3 SERVES DISTRIBUTOR DENV-4 THUS
W14 = W24 = W44 = W54 = 0 !
W34 = 0 MEANS THERE IS NO TRANSPORT BETWEEN ATL-3 and DEN-4
ALL THESE VARIABLES DRIVE THE OPTIMIZATION OF THE NETWORK.
JUST FOR THE PURPOSE OF INFORMATION THE MODEL IS SHOWN IN THE NEXT SLIDES.
DESIGN OF DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS:
case BBC
(lectures #13 - #16)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
72
min
0.20x11 + 0.57x12 + 0.58x13 + 0.53x14 + 0.69x15
+ 1.04x21 + 0.91x22 + 0.93x23 + 0.91x24 + 0.80x25
+ 0.59x31 + 0.34x32 + 0.47x33 + 0.31x34 + 0.32x35
+ 0.34y11 + 0.63y12 + 0.48y13 + 0.82y14 + 0.76y15 + 1.07y16
+ 0.62y21 + 0.46y22 + 0.33y23 + 0.63y24 + 0.61y25 + 0.92y26
+ 0.64y31 + 0.39y32 + 0.53y33 + 0.75y34 + 0.56y35 + 1.00y36
+ 0.60y41 + 0.42y42 + 0.34y43 + 0.65y44 + 0.59y45 + 0.95y46
+ 0.75y51 + 0.43y52 + 0.55y53 + 0.49y54 + 0.44y55 + 0.86y56
+ 0.90v1 + 0.90v2 + 0.90v3 + 0.90v4 + 0.90v5
subject to
x11 + x12 + x13 + x14 + x15 < 9
x21 + x22 + x23 + x24 + x25 < 7
x31 + x32 + x33 + x34 + x35 < 8
x11 + x21 + x31 - y11 - y12 - y13 - y14 - y15 - y16 = 0
x12 + x22 + x32 - y21 - y22 - y23 - y24 - y25 - y26 = 0
x13 + x23 + x33 - y31 - y32 - y33 - y34 - y35 - y36 = 0
x14 + x24 + x34 - y41 - y42 - y43 - y44 - y45 - y46 = 0
x15 + x25 + x35 - y51 - y52 - y53 - y54 - y55 - y56 = 0
w11 + w21 + w31 + w41 + w51 = 1
w12 + w22 + w32 + w42 + w52 = 1
w13 + w23 + w33 + w43 + w53 = 1
DESIGN OF DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS:
case BBC
(lectures #13 - #16)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
73
w14 + w24 + w34 + w44 + w54 = 1
w15 + w25 + w35 + w45 + w55 = 1
w16 + w26 + w36 + w46 + w56 = 1
2w11 + 2.5w12 + 4w13 + 2w14 + 3.5w15 + 5w16 - 4.8v1 > 0
2w21 + 2.5w22 + 4w23 + 2w24 + 3.5w25 + 5w26 - 4.8v2 > 0
2w31 + 2.5w32 + 4w33 + 2w34 + 3.5w35 + 5w36 - 4.8v3 > 0
2w41 + 2.5w42 + 4w43 + 2w44 + 3.5w45 + 5w46 - 4.8v4 > 0
2w51 + 2.5w52 + 4w53 + 2w54 + 3.5w55 + 5w56 - 4.8v5 > 0
2w11 + 2.5w12 + 4w13 + 2w14 + 3.5w15 + 5w16 - 10v1 < 0
2w21 + 2.5w22 + 4w23 + 2w24 + 3.5w25 + 5w26 - 10v2 < 0
2w31 + 2.5w32 + 4w33 + 2w34 + 3.5w35 + 5w36 - 10v3 < 0
2w41 + 2.5w42 + 4w43 + 2w44 + 3.5w45 + 5w46 - 10v4 < 0
2w51 + 2.5w52 + 4w53 + 2w54 + 3.5w55 + 5w56 - 10v5 < 0
y11 - 2w11 = 0
y21 - 2w21 = 0
y31 - 2w31 = 0
y41 - 2w41 = 0
y51 - 2w51 = 0
y12 - 2.5w12 = 0
y22 - 2.5w22 = 0
y32 - 2.5w32 = 0
y42 - 2.5w42 = 0
DESIGN OF DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS:
case BBC
(lectures #13 - #16)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
74
y52 - 2.5w52 = 0
y13 - 4w13 = 0
y23 - 4w23 = 0
y33 - 4w33 = 0
y43 - 4w43 = 0
y53 - 4w53 = 0
y14 - 2w14 = 0
y24 - 2w24 = 0
y34 - 2w34 = 0
y44 - 2w44 = 0
y54 - 2w54 = 0
y15 - 3.5w15 = 0
y25 - 3.5w25 = 0
y35 - 3.5w35 = 0
y45 - 3.5w45 = 0
y55 - 3.5w55 = 0
y16 - 5w16 = 0
y26 - 5w26 = 0
y36 - 5w36 = 0
y46 - 5w46 = 0
y56 - 5w56 = 0
End
! All wij and vi were declared as (0,1)-variables.
DESIGN OF DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS:
case BBC
(lectures #13 - #16)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
75
OBJECTIVE FUNCTION VALUE
1) 19.49500
VARIABLE VALUE REDUCED COST
W11 1.000000 3.690000
W12 0.000000 4.175000
W13 1.000000 6.080000
W14 0.000000 -1.910000
W15 1.000000 7.680000
W16 0.000000 -2.800000
W21 0.000000 3.810000
W22 0.000000 -4.175000
W23 0.000000 4.600000
W24 0.000000 0.790000
W25 0.000000 1.380000
W26 0.000000 4.100000
W31 0.000000 0.930000
W32 0.000000 0.000000
W33 0.000000 0.000000
W34 0.000000 0.790000
W35 0.000000 6.595000
DESIGN OF DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS:
case BBC
(lectures #13 - #16)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
76
W36 0.000000 13.750000
W41 0.000000 3.710000
W42 0.000000 3.025000
W43 0.000000 4.520000
W44 0.000000 -2.810000
W45 0.000000 6.210000
W46 0.000000 0.000000
W52 1.000000 3.075000
W53 0.000000 5.400000
W54 1.000000 3.370000
W51 0.000000 0.930000
W55 0.000000 5.720000
W56 1.000000 12.400000
V1 1.000000 0.900000
V2 0.000000 0.900000
V3 0.000000 0.900000
V4 0.000000 0.900000
V5 1.000000 0.900000
X11 9.000000 0.000000
X12 0.000000 0.590000
X13 0.000000 0.490000
X14 0.000000 0.580000
X15 0.000000 0.730000
DESIGN OF DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS:
case BBC
(lectures #13 - #16)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
77
X21 0.500000 0.000000
X22 0.000000 0.090000
X23 0.000000 0.000000
X24 0.000000 0.120000
X25 1.500000 0.000000
X31 0.000000 0.030000
X32 0.000000 0.000000
X33 0.000000 0.020000
X34 0.000000 0.000000
X35 8.000000 0.000000
Y11 2.000000 0.000000
Y12 0.000000 0.000000
Y13 4.000000 0.000000
Y14 0.000000 3.210000
Y15 3.500000 0.000000
Y16 0.000000 3.490000
Y21 0.000000 0.000000
Y22 0.000000 2.950000
Y23 0.000000 0.000000
Y24 0.000000 1.450000
Y25 0.000000 1.430000
Y26 0.000000 1.740000
DESIGN OF DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS:
case BBC
(lectures #13 - #16)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
78
Y31 0.000000 1.570000
Y32 0.000000 1.320000
Y33 0.000000 1.460000
Y34 0.000000 1.680000
Y35 0.000000 0.000000
Y36 0.000000 0.000000
Y42 0.000000 0.000000
Y43 0.000000 0.000000
Y44 0.000000 3.240000
Y41 0.000000 0.000000
Y45 0.000000 0.000000
Y46 0.000000 2.560000
Y51 0.000000 1.550000
Y52 2.500000 0.000000
Y53 0.000000 0.000000
Y54 2.000000 0.000000
Y55 0.000000 0.000000
Y56 5.000000 0.000000
DESIGN OF DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS:
case BBC
(lectures #13 - #16)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
79
The brewery in Los Angeles is “marginal”.
The distribution centers in Chicago, Atlanta and Indianapolis remain closed.
PHIL serves Boston, Detroit and Dallas; KAN Memphis, Denver and San Francisco
The level of the flow variables: NY-1 TO PHIL-1: 9; LA-2 TO PHIL-1: 0.5; LA-2 TO KAN-5: 1.5;
StL-3 TO KAN-5: 8;
PHIL-1TO BO-1: 2; PHIL-1 TO DET-3: 4;PHIL-1 TO DA-5: 3.5; KAN-5 TO ME-2: 2.5; KAN-5 TO
DEN-4: 2; KAN-5 TO SF-6: 5.
NY-1(cap9) LA-2(cap7) StL-3(cap8)
PHIL-1 CHI-2 ATL-3 IND-4 KAN-5
BO-1(dem2) ME-2(dem2.5) DET-3(dem4) Den-4(dem2) DA-5(dem3.5) SF-6(dem5)
DESIGN OF DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS:
case BBC
(lectures #13 - #16)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
80
EXERCISE 1: Suppose the transportation costs from the brewery in Los Angeles to
all warehouses decrease with 25%. Use EXCEL to determine the optimal network
structure. Compare it to optimal solution of the base case.
EXERCISE 2: What happens to the model of the base case if the transportation costs
on the leg LA –CHIC drop from 0.91 to 0.45? (Use the EXCEL model of exercise 1.)
DESIGN OF DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS:
case BBC
(lectures #13 - #16) -EXERCISES
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
81
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS : LA CASA CATALUNYA
(lectures #17 - #21)
La Casa Catalunya - located in Dusseldorf (Germany) - is a well-known German-Spanish company specialised in selling speciality food products in Belgium, in the Southern part of the Netherlands and in the Western part of Germany. The total population in its area of activity is roughly 45 million.
Since the start of its operations in the late 1980's, the key success factor of the company was the clever use of the gastronomical reputation of the Catalunya region.
Casa Catalunya deliveres its products directly to 350 retail outlets spread (assume evenly) over the region.
Its product line covers specialty sausages, ham, dried fruits, liquors and so on.
A great part of its competitive strength can be found in two products: SALAMI "CATALAN" and SALAMI "IBERICO" with a sales volume of, respectively, 6 775 000 € and 4 350 000 €during last year. During the present year figures indicate a 25 % and a 15 % growth over last year‟s level for the two brands, respectively.
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
82
Cervantes SA, located in Barcelona, supplies both types of salami. The supplier delivers both salami varieties according to the very specific requirements of Casa Catalunya. The vacuum packed products are packaged for safe shipments to the retail outlets
Both products are purchased from Cervantes SA on FOB origin bases and sold to the retail outlets on a FOB destination basis. Approximately 40 % of the sales revenue are attributable to direct variable costs for both products; 60% of the direct variable costs are raw materials (the ingredients). These percentages are expected to hold for the next few years.
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS : LACA CATALUNYA
(lectures #17 - #21) SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS : LA CASA CATALUNYA
(lectures #17 - #21)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
83
Both products can be refrigerated for up to 3 weeks without spoiling. However, this does
not permit the company to engage in forward buying; also freezing costs are relatively high.
Consequently, Casa Catalunya purchases the salami products in simple economic order
quantities.
IBERICO and CATALAN are sold to retail outlets for 4.00 € and 3.50 € per kilo respectively.
CATALAN‟s next year‟s sales, after several years of growth, are expected to remain at this
year‟s level. However, due to some planned promotions and better positioning in
advertising, a 30% sales increase is expected for the IBERICO product line.
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS : LA CASA CATALUNYA
(lectures #17 - #21)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
84
It takes on the average 8 days for the railroad freezer cars ("door to door" involves partial
transport by trucks) from the Cervantes' factory in Barcelona to Dusseldorf where Casa
Catalunya operates its only centralised distribution center. It takes, on the average, another
two days to deliver the goods to the various retail outlets; transport is carried out by
commercial trucks.
IBERICO is shipped in cases of 25 kilo; CATALAN is shipped in 30 kilo cases.
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS : LA CASA CATALUNYA
(lectures #17 - #21)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
85
The inventory carrying costs and the in-transit inventory carrying costs (both expressed as a proportion of the raw materials costs) are 30 % and 25% per year.
The order processing costs are an estimated 20 € per order.
Casa Catalunya pays 8 € per hundred kilos for the refrigerated transport from Barcelona to Dusseldorf ; it pays an average of 12 € per hundred kilos of goods shipped by the commercial trucks (LTL shipments to stores on a daily basis).
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS : LA CASA CATALUNYA
(lectures #17 - #21)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
86
MAJOR ISSUES
The management of Casa Catalunya focused on two supply chain issues for the next year.
In the present year the company found itself out of stock of CATALAN on several
occasions while fresh goods were in transit. In view of the sales volume of CATALUNYA,
the company wants to minimise its cost of lost sales by determining the best reorder point
and the best order size. Future losses associated with a stockout position are estimated at
7 € per case in addition to the immediate contribution margin losses.
The accounting department reviewed 50 consecutive working days to estimate the daily
demand distribution from the retailers of the present year, - results are shown in TABLE 1
(fictitious!!)
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS : LA CASA CATALUNYA
(lectures #17 - #21)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
87
TABLE 1 : DEMAND FOR CATALAN DURING
THE LEAD TIME
Demand (kilo) Number of cases Frequency of
demand
5 400 180 6
6 060 202 8
6 720 224 22
7 380 246 8
8 040 268 6
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS : LA CASA CATALUNYA
(lectures #17 - #21)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
88
The current reordering policy for CATALAN is to reorder as soon as the on-hand inventory drops below 1 200 kilo, i.e., 40 cases. Management wants to use this information to determine: (i) the optimal reorder point and (ii) the optimal order quantity.
For the IBERICO product, management wants to evaluate an alternative mode of transportation, namely, the use of company-owned private trucks.
A company-owned truck is expected to cost 1 450 € per trip with a capacity of holding a maximum of 1 290 cases of IBERICO. (Note that both products are shipped separately.) Each trip ("door to door") is expected to take 4 days, i.e., from Barcelona to Dusseldorf. The empty haul from Dusseldorf to Barcelona takes 2.5 days. Deliveries to the retail outlets are left to the commercial ("third party") trucks.
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS : LA CASA CATALUNYA
(lectures #17 - #21)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
89
ISSUES TO BE RESOLVED
A. CATALAN Brand
Information: Average transit time (Barcelona-Dusseldorf)
= 8 DAYS
Standard Deviation (Barcelona-Dusseldorf) = 2 DAYS
Alternatives: Set [S1] = 0.84, 0.933 or 0.99.
QUESTION: What service level to use?
B. IBERICO Brand
QUESTION: Should Casa Catalunya continue with railroad transport or switch to
company-owned fleet?
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS : LA CASA CATALUNYA
(lectures #17 - #21)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
90
Symbols
r = 0.30/yr
rI= 0.25/yr
A = 20 €
v(ca) = 3.50€/kg * 30 kg/case = 105.0 €/case
v(ib)= 4.00€/kg * 25 kg/case = 100.0 €/case
W = 360 days/yr
C = truck capacity = 1290 cases
CATALAN (1)
Revenue from 1 case: 105.0 €/case. This covers:
(1) Direct variable costs: 42.00€, with 25.20€ raw materials (ingredients);
(2) Fixed costs and indirect variable costs: 63.00€
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS : LA CASA CATALUNYA
(lectures #17 - #21)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
91
CATALAN (2)
Forecast for next year:
Annual volume:
6 775 000 €/yr * 1.25 * 1 = 8 469 000 €/yr, hence 2 420 000 kg/yr, or d(ca) = 80 660 cases/yr
Average daily case volume:
µ=d(ca)/w= 225 cases/day
EOQ (in Dusseldorf):
Note: we used v(ca)!!
casesrcavcaAd 321)(/)(2
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS : LA CASA CATALUNYA
(lectures #17 - #21)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
92
CATALAN (3)
See table 1:
Average daily sales: µ(s) = 224.0 cases/day
Daily sales standard deviation: σ(s) = 26 cases/day
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS : LA CASA CATALUNYA
(lectures #17 - #21)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
93
CATALAN (4)
(1) The lead time is a stochastic variable with average µ(l) = 8 days and a standard deviation σ(l) = 2 days.
The lead time demand is a stochastic variable with average value x(c) and standard deviation σ(c) determined by the following formula:
(2) If S1 = 93.3 % then “k” = 1.5 and SS = k * σ(c) = 681 cases.
caseslsµslµc
casessµlµcµ
6.453)(*)()()()(
1792)(*)()(
222
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS : LA CASA CATALUNYA
(lectures #17 - #21)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
94
CATALAN (5)
If S1 = 99%, then SS = 1056 cases.
If S1 = 84%, then SS = 452 cases.
So, for example is S1 = 93.3 %, the reorder point R = µ(c) + SS = 2473 cases.
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS : LA CASA CATALUNYA
(lectures #17 - #21)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
95
CATALAN (6): TOTAL LOGISTICS COSTS
Inventory carrying costs:
CYCLE STOCK: [EOQ,)]/2 * r * v(ca) = 5 055 €/yr
SAFETY STOCK (S1=93.3): SS * r * v(ca) = 21 450 €/yr
IN-TRANSIT:
Barcelona - Dusseldorf: (8/360) * d(ca) * rI * v(ca) = 47 050 €/yr
Dusseldorf - "RETAIL": (2/360) * d(ca) * rI *v(ca) = 11 760 €/yr
Ordering costs:
A * d(ca)/EOQ = 5 025 €/yr
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS : LA CASA CATALUNYA
(lectures #17 - #21)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
96
Transportation costs:
Barcelona - Dusseldorf:
0.08€/kg * 30 kg/case * d(ca) = 193 600 €/yr
Dusseldorf - "RETAIL":
0.12€/kg * 30 kg/case * d(ca) = 290 400 €/yr
TOTAL LOGISTICS COSTS: 574 340 €/yr
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS : LA CASA CATALUNYA
(lectures #17 - #21)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
97
CATALAN (7): CHOICE OF THE SERVICE
LEVEL
S1-value S2-value SS-cost Lost sales
+margin
(7€+63€)
84% 88% 452*r*v(ca) =
14 238 €
70*0.12*d(ca)
= 677 544 €
93.3% 96% 681*r*v(ca)
= 21 451 €
70*0.04*d(ca)
= 225 848 €
99% 99.6% 1056*r*v(ca)
= 33 264 €
70*0.004*d(ca)
= 22 584 €
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS : LA CASA CATALUNYA
(lectures #17 - #21)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
98
STUDENT GROUPS WILL CARRY OUT THE ANALYSIS FOR THE PRODUCT
IBERICO ( see MAJOR ISSUES).
THREE SESSIONS WILL BE DEVOTED TO THE ANALYSIS OF THE CASE AND
REPORT WRITING.
SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS : LA CASA CATALUNYA
(lectures #17 - #21)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
99
INTEGRATION CASE : AVIATION LUBRICANTS
(lectures #23 - #25)
AVIATION LUBRICANTS INTERNATIONAL
EUROPEAN DIVISION (ALE)
ALE is part of a global company ALI specialized in the production of lubricants for the airline industry with its main offices in New York, in Paris and in Singapore.
The aviation lubricants market is – unlike the fuel market – driven by the superior quality of the product.
ALI is world leader with a market share of close to 50%.
ALI delivers its products and services in 170 airports globally.
THE SUPPLY CHAIN OF ALE (Europe!)
All lubricants delivered by ALE to its customers (airlines) are directly ordered in the NY plant of ALI by the warehouses of ALE. ALE has warehouses in the UK, Germany, France, Austria, Benelux (Rotterdam), Italy, Switzerland, Scandinavia/Russia (Copenhagen) and in Greece.
In ALE there is no structured ordering policy, each country warehouse has its own procedure for customer service, inventory policies, etc.
In all the cases the orders received in NY are (in pallets) loaded into containers and shipped from NY Harbor to the harbor closest to the warehouse from where it is shipped by truck(s) to the specific national warehouse.
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
100
Shipping time from NY to “Europe” is quite variable because of different productivity in the various harbors, the specifics of water transport and the variable times of customs clearance.
On the average it takes 12 days for a shipment with a range from 8 days up to 18 days.
Within Europe the orders of the airline companies at the various airports
by appropriate carriers within a maximum of 5 working days.
Casual inspection revealed quite a lot of safety stocks in the warehouses.
INTEGRATION CASE : AVIATION LUBRICANTS
(lectures #23 - #25)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
101
g
Product cost is 25 € a gallon (the analysis is done for the major lubricant, accounting for
close to 90% of the revenue); a carrying charge of 0.12 is considered appropriate by
ALE‟s management.
The product is delivered in cans of 1 gallon.
Relevant information concerning 2009 is given in the following TABLE (next page) and
some remarks follow.
gINTEGRATION CASE : AVIATION LUBRICANTS
(lectures #23 - #25)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
102
UK GER FRA AUS BNL IT SWI GR SCA
AVERAGE
(gallons/month)
3218 7264 8172 408 2549 2192 568 2369 2420
STANDDEV*
(gallons/month)
1064 2018 945 256 889 565 213 758 643
MIN 1650 290 5900 125 361 790 13 450 460
MAX 6150 10150 10430 1207 6256 2920 1022 4260 3100
AVERAGE INV
(average2009 in
gallons)
13860 18900 5376 1680 4200 3360 2800 7560 3850
LOG COSTS
(€/MONTH)
39250 12412
0
87183 8752 22693 26713 1101
0
15399 1850
0
#(airports) 3 5 4 1 3 2 1 3 4
WAREHOUSE LO FRA PAR WIE ROT MIL ZUR ATH COP
INTEGRATION CASE : AVIATION LUBRICANTS
(lectures #23 - #25)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
103
REMARKS:
1° Greece also serves Cyprus and Turkey.
2° The warehouse in Copenhagen also serves Sweden and Russia (Saint-Petersburg and Moscow).
3° Belgium is served from Rotterdam.
4° The (direct) logistics cost include: (i) the costs between NY and European warehouses, (ii) direct out-of-pocket warehousing costs, (iii) costs between warehouses and the different airports. The relative proportion between these costs is on an aggregate basis: 25%/60%/15%.
INTEGRATION CASE : AVIATION LUBRICANTS
(lectures #23 - #25)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
104
The management of ALE is considering a more important role for the harbor/warehouse of Rotterdam and would even consider making Rotterdam the only European warehouse and, thus, reorganize completely the total supply chain.
Uncertainty comes around the corner because this would be a very centralized option.
The cost components in Rotterdam are as follows:
i. cost of shipping and handling from NY harbor to Rotterdam warehouse: 0.16€/gallon,
ii. direct out-of-pocket warehousing cost in Rotterdam: 1.40€/gallon,
iii. cost of handling and transfer from Rotterdam warehouse to airports 170 000€/year.
Every day a cargo ship leaves from NY to Rotterdam harbor.
In view of the rather strategic importance for the safety and the smoothness of the airline business, service level standards would have to be rather high. ALE‟s management considers a P1-value of 0.97 a minimal requirement but is simultaneously afraid of the costly impact of higher service levels.
INTEGRATION CASE : AVIATION LUBRICANTS
(lectures #23 - #25)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
105
ASSIGNMENT:
i. Compare the present decentralized system with a completely centralized system including a discussion of setting an optimal service level. Of course, one has to take into account the peculiarities of the European geography/diversity in terms of distances/efficiencies and the like.
ii. Develop a more flexible structure using quantitative techniques from inventory theory/supply chain management. Estimate the cost savings that can be achieved by the new structure.
(Use the optimal service level found in part i.)
REMARKS
Note that in general not a single „correct‟ solution exists! So, state assumptions very clearly. Also mention where approximations are used.
The report should contain at most 5 pages, excluding appendices where technical issues can be developed.
The written report should be self-contained and self-explanatory.
INTEGRATION CASE : AVIATION LUBRICANTS
(lectures #23 - #25)
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
106
SCM: NEW DEVELOPMENTS
(lecture #26)
COMPLEXITY Management • Number of SKUs• Services• Channels• Size, Regions• Customer/Consumer is King
RELATIONSHIP Management
• Suppliers (ECR)
• Multi site production
• Key Customers
New TECHNOLOGY
• Internet
• e-commerce
•VMI, EDI, ...
• RFID
ENVIRONMENT
Recycling and Return logistics
• Less packaging & Waste
• Total Product Life Cycle
• Environmental Distribution
• Transport emissions
OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE
• Optimal Customer Service
• Lowest Operational Costs
• Short Lead times
• Information to replace inventory
• Processes
• Costs, Capital & Service
PEOPLE
• Skills & Competencies
• Creativity & Innovation
• Availability
LEAN? RESPONSIVE? AGILE? SAFE?
Summer University ASB 2011
Yvo M.I. Dirickx
107
FINAL…. (FUTURE STORE)
VIDEO SHOW OF THE FUTURE STORE OF THE METRO GROUP
END!