Current Status and Climatological Evolution of the 2010-2013 Drought
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Current Status and Climatological Evolution of the 2010-2013 Drought Michael Hayes, Director National Drought Mitigation Center University of Nebraska-Lincoln Xiaomao Lin, KS State Climatologist Kansas State University Photo: Xiaomao Lin, Tribune, KS, March
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Current Status and Climatological Evolution of the 2010-2013 Drought. Michael Hayes, Director National Drought Mitigation Center University of Nebraska-Lincoln Xiaomao Lin, KS State Climatologist Kansas State University. Photo: Xiaomao Lin, Tribune, KS, March 2013. Outline. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of Current Status and Climatological Evolution of the 2010-2013 Drought
Current Status and Climatological Evolution of the 2010-2013 Drought
Michael Hayes, DirectorNational Drought Mitigation CenterUniversity of Nebraska-Lincoln
Xiaomao Lin, KS State ClimatologistKansas State University
Photo: Xiaomao Lin, Tribune, KS, March 2013
Outline
Temporal and spatial contextU.S. Drought MonitorCurrent statusKansas State ClimatologistNext talk: Doug Kluck
Summer 2013 High Plains Drought Outlook and Assessment ForumJuly 24, 2013Colby, Kansas
Photo: Xiaomao Lin, Tribune, KS, March 2013
• Advantages of percentiles:– Can be applied to most parameters– Can be used for any length of data record– Puts drought in historical perspective
Percentiles and the U.S. Drought Monitor
• D4, Exceptional Drought: once per 50 to 100 years
• D3, Extreme Drought: once per 20 to 50 years• D2, Severe Drought: once per 10 to 20 years• D1, Moderate Drought: once per 5 to 10 years• D0, Abnormally Dry: once per 3 to 5 years
Courtesy: Brad Rippey, USDA
Continental U.S., Percent in DroughtJanuary 2000 to March 2013
Courtesy: Brad Rippey, USDA
D0
D1
D2D3 D4
High Plains Region, Percent in DroughtJanuary 2000 to March 2013
Plains Drought,2001-2005
Plains Drought,2006-2008 D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
Courtesy: Brad Rippey, USDA
2011 Drought Impacts
NCDC: total direct losses to crops, livestock, and timber = $12 billionNCDC: losses from wildfires in Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas exceeds $1 billionLargest wildfires in history in both New Mexico (Las Conchas) and Arizona (Wallow)Texas: Bastrop County fire Labor Day Weekend destroyed 1,625 homes and caused $325 million in insured losses
Drought Impact Reporterhttp://droughtreporter.unl.edu
2012 Drought Impacts
Economic loss estimates$30 billion, NCDC
Crop indemnities: $17 billion2011 the previous record with $10.8 billion
FiresColorado
Courtesy: Brad Rippey, USDA
Courtesy: Marty Hoerling et al., NOAA, 2013
Drought Impact Reporterhttp://droughtreporter.unl.edu
Drought Impact Reporterhttp://droughtreporter.unl.edu
Courtesy: Brad Rippey, USDA
Courtesy: Brad Rippey, USDA
Courtesy: Brad Rippey, USDA
Courtesy: Kansas Water Office, Weekly Drought Update, July 19, 2013
Courtesy: Xiaomao Lin, Kansas State University
How Much Water Vapor in Kansas Air ( 2m )
Courtesy: Xiaomao Lin, Kansas State University
Water Anomaly in Air ( 2m ) in June 2012 and 2013
Courtesy: Xiaomao Lin, Kansas State University
How Much Water in Kansas Soil (0-10cm)
Courtesy: Xiaomao Lin, Kansas State University
Water Anomaly in Soil ( 2m ) in June 2012 and 2013
Courtesy: Xiaomao Lin, Kansas State University
Southwest Kansas Available Water (Garden City)
How much water demand for our irrigation?
Courtesy: Xiaomao Lin, Kansas State University
Western and Central Kansas Drought Indicesduring Past 118 Years (1895 to 2012)
Courtesy: Xiaomao Lin, Kansas State University
Summary
A relatively wet period preceded the current dryness that the region is experiencingSouthern Kansas and southeastern Colorado are in their 3rd year of drought; the rest of Kansas, Nebraska, and Colorado are in their 2nd year of droughtImprovements in 2013 in the eastern Corn BeltLittle improvement west of the Missouri RiverLivestock sector continues to be hit hard
Photo: Xiaomao Lin, Tribune, KS, March 2013
Michael HayesNational Drought Mitigation [email protected]://drought.unl.edu
Xiaomao LinKansas [email protected]
