Crop Production 11/09/2021

39
Crop Production ISSN: 1936-3737 Released November 9, 2021, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Corn Production Up Less Than 1 Percent from October Forecast Soybean Production Down 1 Percent Cotton Production Up 1 Percent Corn production for grain is forecast at 15.1 billion bushels, up less than 1 percent from the previous forecast and up 7 percent from 2020. Based on conditions as of November 1, yields are expected to average 177.0 bushels per harvested acre, up 0.5 bushel from the previous forecast and up 5.6 bushels from last year. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 85.1 million acres, unchanged from the previous forecast but up 3 percent from the previous year. Soybean production for beans is forecast at 4.42 billion bushels, down 1 percent from the previous forecast but up 5 percent from last year. Based on conditions as of November 1, yields are expected to average 51.2 bushels per harvested acre, down 0.3 bushel from the previous forecast but up 0.2 bushel from 2020. Area harvested for beans in the United States is forecast at 86.4 million acres, unchanged from the previous forecast but up 5 percent from the previous year. All cotton production is forecast at 18.2 million 480-pound bales, up 1 percent from the previous forecast and up 25 percent from 2020. Based on conditions as of November 1, yields are expected to average 880 pounds per harvested acre, up 9 pounds from the previous forecast and up 33 pounds from 2020. Upland cotton production is forecast at 17.9 million 480-pound bales, up 1 percent from the previous forecast and up 27 percent from 2020. Pima cotton production is forecast at 346,000 bales, down 2 percent from the previous forecast and down 37 percent from 2020. All cotton area harvested is forecast at 9.92 million acres, unchanged from the previous forecast but up 20 percent from 2020.

Transcript of Crop Production 11/09/2021

Page 1: Crop Production 11/09/2021

Crop Production

ISSN: 1936-3737

Released November 9, 2021, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department

of Agriculture (USDA).

Corn Production Up Less Than 1 Percent from October Forecast Soybean Production Down 1 Percent Cotton Production Up 1 Percent

Corn production for grain is forecast at 15.1 billion bushels, up less than 1 percent from the previous forecast and up

7 percent from 2020. Based on conditions as of November 1, yields are expected to average 177.0 bushels per harvested

acre, up 0.5 bushel from the previous forecast and up 5.6 bushels from last year. Area harvested for grain is forecast at

85.1 million acres, unchanged from the previous forecast but up 3 percent from the previous year.

Soybean production for beans is forecast at 4.42 billion bushels, down 1 percent from the previous forecast but up

5 percent from last year. Based on conditions as of November 1, yields are expected to average 51.2 bushels per harvested

acre, down 0.3 bushel from the previous forecast but up 0.2 bushel from 2020. Area harvested for beans in the

United States is forecast at 86.4 million acres, unchanged from the previous forecast but up 5 percent from the previous

year.

All cotton production is forecast at 18.2 million 480-pound bales, up 1 percent from the previous forecast and up

25 percent from 2020. Based on conditions as of November 1, yields are expected to average 880 pounds per harvested

acre, up 9 pounds from the previous forecast and up 33 pounds from 2020. Upland cotton production is forecast at

17.9 million 480-pound bales, up 1 percent from the previous forecast and up 27 percent from 2020. Pima cotton

production is forecast at 346,000 bales, down 2 percent from the previous forecast and down 37 percent from 2020. All

cotton area harvested is forecast at 9.92 million acres, unchanged from the previous forecast but up 20 percent from 2020.

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2 Crop Production (November 2021) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

This report was approved on November 9, 2021.

Secretary of Agriculture

Designate

Seth Meyer

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Joseph L. Parsons

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Crop Production (November 2021) 3 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Contents

Corn for Grain Area Harvested, Yield, and Production – States and United States: 2020 and Forecasted

November 1, 2021 ................................................................................................................................................................... 5

Corn Production – United States Chart ................................................................................................................................... 6

Sorghum for Grain Area Harvested, Yield, and Production – States and United States: 2020 and Forecasted

November 1, 2021 ................................................................................................................................................................... 6

Rice Area Harvested, Yield, and Production – States and United States: 2020 and Forecasted November 1, 2021 .............. 7

Rice Production by Class – United States: 2020 and Forecasted November 1, 2021 ............................................................. 7

Soybean Production – United States Chart ............................................................................................................................. 7

Soybeans for Beans Area Harvested, Yield, and Production – States and United States: 2020 and Forecasted

November 1, 2021 ................................................................................................................................................................... 8

Peanut Area Harvested, Yield, and Production – States and United States: 2020 and Forecasted

November 1, 2021 ................................................................................................................................................................... 9

Cottonseed Production – United States: 2020 and Forecasted November 1, 2021 ................................................................. 9

Cotton Production – United States Chart ................................................................................................................................ 9

Cotton Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type – States and United States: 2020 and Forecasted

November 1, 2021 ................................................................................................................................................................. 10

Sugarbeet Area Harvested, Yield, and Production – States and United States: 2020 and Forecasted

November 1, 2021 ................................................................................................................................................................. 11

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed Area Harvested, Yield, and Production – States and United States: 2020 and

Forecasted November 1, 2021 .............................................................................................................................................. 11

Potato Area Planted and Harvested – States and United States: 2020 and 2021 .................................................................. 12

Potato Area Harvested, Yield, and Production – States and United States: 2020 and Forecasted

November 1, 2021 ................................................................................................................................................................. 12

Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units – United States: 2020 and 2021 ................... 13

Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units – United States: 2020 and 2021 ....................... 15

Fruits and Nuts Production in Domestic Units – United States: 2021 and 2022 .................................................................. 17

Fruits and Nuts Production in Metric Units – United States: 2021 and 2022 ....................................................................... 18

Corn for Grain Plant Population per Acre – Selected States: 2017-2021 ............................................................................. 19

Corn for Grain Number of Ears per Acre – Selected States: 2017-2021 .............................................................................. 20

Corn Objective Yield Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab – United States: 2017-2021.............................................. 20

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4 Crop Production (November 2021) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Corn for Grain Percentage Distribution by Plant Population Per Acre – Selected States: 2017-2021 ................................. 21

Corn for Grain Frequency of Farmer Reported Row Widths – Selected States: 2017-2021 ................................................ 22

Corn for Grain Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width and Average Row Width – Selected

States: 2017-2021 .................................................................................................................................................................. 23

Cotton Cumulative Boll Counts – Selected States: 2017-2021 ............................................................................................. 24

Soybean Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet – Selected States: 2017-2021 ....................................................................... 25

Soybean Frequency of Farmer Reported Row Widths – Selected States: 2017-2021 .......................................................... 26

Soybean Objective Yield Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab – United States: 2017-2021 ........................................ 27

Soybean Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width and Average Row Width – Selected

States: 2017-2021 .................................................................................................................................................................. 28

Percent of Normal Precipitation Map .................................................................................................................................... 30

Departure from Normal Temperature Map ........................................................................................................................... 30

October Weather Summary ................................................................................................................................................... 31

October Agricultural Summary ............................................................................................................................................. 31

Crop Comments .................................................................................................................................................................... 33

Statistical Methodology ......................................................................................................................................................... 36

Reliability of November 1 Crop Production Forecasts ......................................................................................................... 37

Information Contacts ............................................................................................................................................................. 38

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Crop Production (November 2021) 5 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Corn for Grain Area Harvested, Yield, and Production – States and United States: 2020 and Forecasted November 1, 2021

State

Area harvested Yield per acre Production

2020 2021 2020 2021

2020 2021 October 1 November 1

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (bushels) (bushels) (bushels) (1,000 bushels) (1,000 bushels)

Alabama ......................... Arkansas ........................ California ........................ Colorado ......................... Delaware ........................ Georgia .......................... Idaho .............................. Illinois ............................. Indiana ........................... Iowa ................................ Kansas ........................... Kentucky ......................... Louisiana ........................ Maryland ......................... Michigan ......................... Minnesota ....................... Mississippi ...................... Missouri .......................... Nebraska ........................ New York ........................ North Carolina ................ North Dakota .................. Ohio ................................ Oklahoma ....................... Pennsylvania .................. South Carolina ................ South Dakota .................. Tennessee ...................... Texas ............................. Virginia ........................... Washington .................... Wisconsin ....................... Other States 1 ................. United States ..................

320 605 60

1,060 176 390 130

11,100 5,250

12,900

5,720 1,360

485 430

1,990 7,510

490 3,280 9,890

500

940 1,780 3,300

320 1,000

370 4,450

815 1,810

420 85

2,930

447

82,313

340 830 95

1,110 170 440 105

10,800 5,250

12,450

5,300 1,450

565 390

1,970 7,800

700 3,380 9,600

500

910 3,820 3,380

300 870 390

5,650 970

1,700 390 75

2,940

445

85,085

158.0 184.0 187.0 116.0 160.0 180.0 199.0 191.0 187.0 177.0

134.0 184.0 181.0 155.0 153.0 191.0 180.0 171.0 180.0 157.0

113.0 139.0 171.0 135.0 138.0 132.0 162.0 170.0 128.0 122.0 228.0 173.0

160.1

171.4

162.0 184.0 195.0 134.0 170.0 176.0 214.0 210.0 194.0 201.0

140.0 185.0 181.0 166.0 171.0 178.0 186.0 164.0 190.0 167.0

146.0 107.0 188.0 150.0 169.0 136.0 133.0 170.0 140.0 155.0 225.0 172.0

161.1

176.5

162.0 183.0 195.0 136.0 175.0 180.0 214.0 207.0 189.0 201.0

139.0 189.0 181.0 172.0 175.0 186.0 185.0 160.0 191.0 170.0

146.0 108.0 188.0 155.0 169.0 134.0 137.0 171.0 140.0 155.0 225.0 172.0

161.1

177.0

50,560 111,320 11,220

122,960 28,160 70,200 25,870

2,120,100 981,750

2,283,300

766,480 250,240 87,785 66,650

304,470 1,434,410

88,200 560,880

1,780,200 78,500

106,220 247,420 564,300 43,200

138,000 48,840

720,900 138,550 231,680 51,240 19,380

506,890

71,574

14,111,449

55,080 151,890 18,525

150,960 29,750 79,200 22,470

2,235,600 992,250

2,502,450

736,700 274,050 102,265 67,080

344,750 1,450,800

129,500 540,800

1,833,600 85,000

132,860 412,560 635,440 46,500

147,030 52,260

774,050 165,870 238,000 60,450 16,875

505,680

71,707

15,062,002

1 Other States include Arizona, Florida, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, West Virginia, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will be published in the Crop Production 2021 Summary.

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6 Crop Production (November 2021) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Sorghum for Grain Area Harvested, Yield, and Production – States and United States: 2020 and Forecasted November 1, 2021

State

Area harvested Yield per acre Production

2020 2021 2020 2021

2020 2021 October 1 November 1

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (bushels) (bushels) (bushels) (1,000 bushels) (1,000 bushels)

Colorado .............................. Kansas ................................. Nebraska ............................. Oklahoma ............................ South Dakota ....................... Texas ................................... United States .......................

255 2,800

150 230 160

1,500

5,095

435 3,350

265 355 285

1,830

6,520

20.0 85.0 91.0 45.0 71.0 63.0

73.2

45.0 80.0 81.0 62.0 56.0 68.0

72.3

40.0 81.0 75.0 65.0 59.0 67.0

72.3

5,100 238,000 13,650 10,350 11,360 94,500

372,960

17,400 271,350 19,875 23,075 16,815

122,610

471,125

8.0

9.0

10.0

11.0

12.0

13.0

14.0

15.0

16.0

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Billion bushels

Corn Production – United States

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Crop Production (November 2021) 7 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Rice Area Harvested, Yield, and Production – States and United States: 2020 and Forecasted November 1, 2021

State

Area harvested Yield per acre Production 1

2020 2021 2020 2021

2020 2021 October 1 November 1

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (pounds) (pounds) (pounds) (1,000 cwt) (1,000 cwt)

Arkansas ................ California ................ Louisiana ................ Mississippi .............. Missouri .................. Texas ..................... United States ..........

1,441 514 474 165 214 179

2,987

1,198 405 413 101 194 188

2,499

7,500 8,720 6,820 7,420 7,250 8,150

7,619

7,500 8,900 6,900 7,400 8,000 7,000

7,625

7,600 9,200 6,900 7,500 8,100 7,300

7,756

108,107 44,810 32,306 12,241 15,522 14,597

227,583

91,048 37,260 28,497 7,575

15,714 13,724

193,818

1 Includes sweet rice production.

Rice Production by Class – United States: 2020 and Forecasted November 1, 2021

Year Long grain Medium grain Short grain 1 All

(1,000 cwt) (1,000 cwt) (1,000 cwt) (1,000 cwt)

2020 ........................ 2021 2 ......................

170,853 146,731

53,920 44,492

2,810 2,595

227,583 193,818

1 Sweet rice production included with short grain. 2 The 2021 rice production by class forecasts are based on class harvested acreage estimates and the 5-year average class yield compared to the all

rice yield.

2.4

2.9

3.4

3.9

4.4

4.9

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Billion bushels

Soybean Production – United States

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8 Crop Production (November 2021) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Soybeans for Beans Area Harvested, Yield, and Production – States and United States: 2020 and Forecasted November 1, 2021

State

Area harvested Yield per acre Production

2020 2021 2020 2021

2020 2021 October 1 November 1

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (bushels) (bushels) (bushels) (1,000 bushels) (1,000 bushels)

Alabama .......................... Arkansas .......................... Delaware ......................... Georgia ............................ Illinois ............................... Indiana ............................. Iowa ................................. Kansas ............................. Kentucky .......................... Louisiana ......................... Maryland .......................... Michigan .......................... Minnesota ........................ Mississippi ....................... Missouri ........................... Nebraska ......................... New Jersey ...................... New York ......................... North Carolina .................. North Dakota .................... Ohio ................................. Oklahoma ........................ Pennsylvania ................... South Carolina ................. South Dakota ................... Tennessee ....................... Texas ............................... Virginia ............................. Wisconsin ........................ United States ...................

275 2,800

148 95

10,250 5,730 9,370 4,750 1,840 1,020

465

2,190 7,380 2,060 5,810 5,160

93 312

1,570 5,700

4,920

540 630 295

4,920 1,620

110 560

1,990

82,603

305 3,010

153 130

10,550 5,690

10,020 4,800 1,790 1,050

480

2,140 7,630 2,190 5,650 5,550

98 320

1,630 7,250

4,830

550 570 370

5,450 1,470

100 590

2,070

86,436

41.0 51.5 49.0 41.0 60.0 59.0 54.0 41.0 55.0 53.0

47.0 48.0 50.0 54.0 51.0 58.0 46.0 51.0 38.0 34.0

55.0 30.0 46.0 35.0 46.0 50.0 34.0 42.0 52.0

51.0

44.0 50.0 49.0 43.0 64.0 60.0 61.0 42.0 55.0 54.0

51.0 50.0 49.0 54.0 50.0 61.0 42.0 53.0 39.0 26.0

58.0 28.0 52.0 33.0 40.0 49.0 35.0 44.0 54.0

51.5

45.0 50.0 51.0 46.0 64.0 57.0 60.0 41.0 56.0 53.0

53.0 50.0 49.0 55.0 50.0 62.0 43.0 53.0 40.0 26.0

56.0 25.0 52.0 36.0 41.0 50.0 34.0 44.0 54.0

51.2

11,275 144,200

7,252 3,895

615,000 338,070 505,980 194,750 101,200 54,060

21,855

105,120 369,000 111,240 296,310 299,280

4,278 15,912 59,660

193,800

270,600 16,200 28,980 10,325

226,320 81,000 3,740

23,520 103,480

4,216,302

13,725 150,500

7,803 5,980

675,200 324,330 601,200 196,800 100,240 55,650

25,440

107,000 373,870 120,450 282,500 344,100

4,214 16,960 65,200

188,500

270,480 13,750 29,640 13,320

223,450 73,500 3,400

25,960 111,780

4,424,942

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Crop Production (November 2021) 9 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Peanut Area Harvested, Yield, and Production – States and United States: 2020 and Forecasted November 1, 2021

State

Area harvested Yield per acre Production

2020 2021 2020 2021

2020 2021 October 1 November 1

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (pounds) (pounds) (pounds) (1,000 pounds) (1,000 pounds)

Alabama .......................... Arkansas ......................... Florida ............................. Georgia ........................... Mississippi ....................... New Mexico ..................... North Carolina ................. Oklahoma ........................ South Carolina ................. Texas .............................. Virginia ............................ United States ...................

183.0 38.0

166.0 805.0 22.0 5.2

105.0 14.0 80.0

170.0 27.0

1,615.2

182.0 35.0

160.0 750.0 17.0 11.0

113.0 15.0 66.0

155.0 29.0

1,533.0

3,400 4,800 3,400 4,120 4,400 2,850 3,900 4,220 3,700 2,850 4,150

3,813

3,600 5,000 3,700 4,400 4,100 3,100 4,000 4,000 4,100 3,550 4,600

4,105

3,400 5,000 3,500 4,400 4,100 3,100 4,300 3,500 4,100 3,500 4,600

4,072

622,200 182,400 564,400

3,316,600 96,800 14,820

409,500 59,080

296,000 484,500 112,050

6,158,350

618,800 175,000 560,000

3,300,000 69,700 34,100

485,900 52,500

270,600 542,500 133,400

6,242,500

Cottonseed Production – United States: 2020 and Forecasted November 1, 2021

State Production

2020 2021 1

(1,000 tons) (1,000 tons)

United States ............................ 4,509.0 5,549.0

1 Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

20.0

22.0

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Million bales

Cotton Production - United States

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10 Crop Production (November 2021) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Cotton Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type – States and United States: 2020 and Forecasted November 1, 2021

Type and State

Area harvested Yield per acre Production 1

2020 2021 2020 2021

2020 2021 October 1 November 1

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (pounds) (pounds) (pounds) (1,000 bales) 2 (1,000 bales) 2

Upland Alabama .......................... Arizona ............................ Arkansas .......................... California ......................... Florida .............................. Georgia ............................ Kansas ............................. Louisiana ......................... Mississippi ....................... Missouri ........................... New Mexico ..................... North Carolina .................. Oklahoma ........................ South Carolina ................. Tennessee ....................... Texas ............................... Virginia ............................. United States ................... American Pima Arizona ............................ California ......................... New Mexico ..................... Texas ............................... United States ................... All Alabama .......................... Arizona ............................ Arkansas .......................... California ......................... Florida .............................. Georgia ............................ Kansas ............................. Louisiana ......................... Mississippi ....................... Missouri ........................... New Mexico ..................... North Carolina .................. Oklahoma ........................ South Carolina ................. Tennessee ....................... Texas ............................... Virginia ............................. United States ...................

446.0 123.0 520.0 33.5 93.0

1,180.0 184.0 165.0 525.0 287.0

26.0

330.0 435.0 179.0 275.0

3,200.0 79.0

8,080.5

6.5 146.0 10.5 31.0

194.0

446.0 129.5 520.0 179.5 93.0

1,180.0 184.0 165.0 525.0 287.0

36.5

330.0 435.0 179.0 275.0

3,231.0 79.0

8,274.5

400.0 119.0 470.0 24.5 89.0

1,160.0 101.0 105.0 430.0 310.0

28.0

350.0 415.0 205.0 270.0

5,250.0 73.0

9,799.5

9.0 85.0 12.2 16.0

122.2

400.0 128.0 470.0 109.5 89.0

1,160.0 101.0 105.0 430.0 310.0

40.2

350.0 415.0 205.0 270.0

5,266.0 73.0

9,921.7

790

1,179 1,179 2,006

532 887 783 986

1,079 1,144

1,052

759 702 802

1,066 686 772

835

1,034 1,562

663 666

1,352

790 1,171 1,179 1,645

532 887 783 986

1,079 1,144

940 759 702 802

1,066 685 772

847

906

1,258 1,226 1,900

782 931 998

1,006 1,150 1,285

977 864 879 925

1,067 731

1,052

865

853 1,609

787 960

1,387

906 1,230 1,226 1,675

782 931 998

1,006 1,150 1,285

919 864 879 925

1,067 732

1,052

871

906

1,291 1,226 1,900

701 952

1,022 960

1,150 1,285

1,029

933 879 925

1,067 741

1,118

874

853 1,581

708 960

1,359

906 1,260 1,226 1,653

701 952

1,022 960

1,150 1,285

931 933 879 925

1,067 741

1,118

880

734.0 302.0

1,277.0 140.0 103.0

2,180.0 300.0 339.0

1,180.0 684.0

57.0

522.0 636.0 299.0 611.0

4,570.0 127.0

14,061.0

14.0 475.0 14.5 43.0

546.5

734.0 316.0

1,277.0 615.0 103.0

2,180.0 300.0 339.0

1,180.0 684.0

71.5

522.0 636.0 299.0 611.0

4,613.0 127.0

14,607.5

755.0 320.0

1,200.0 97.0

130.0 2,300.0

215.0 210.0

1,030.0 830.0

60.0

680.0 760.0 395.0 600.0

8,100.0 170.0

17,852.0

16.0 280.0 18.0 32.0

346.0

755.0 336.0

1,200.0 377.0 130.0

2,300.0 215.0 210.0

1,030.0 830.0

78.0

680.0 760.0 395.0 600.0

8,132.0 170.0

18,198.0

1 Production ginned and to be ginned. 2 480-pound net weight bale.

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Crop Production (November 2021) 11 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Sugarbeet Area Harvested, Yield, and Production – States and United States: 2020 and Forecasted November 1, 2021 [Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except California]

State

Area harvested Yield per acre Production

2020 2021 2020 2021

2020 2021 October 1 November 1

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (tons) (tons) (tons) (1,000 tons) (1,000 tons)

California 1 ................ Colorado ................... Idaho ........................ Michigan ................... Minnesota ................. Montana ................... Nebraska .................. North Dakota ............ Oregon ..................... Washington .............. Wyoming .................. United States ............

23.9 23.7

169.0 154.0 427.0 38.0 45.7

219.0 9.4 1.8

30.8

1,142.3

23.8 23.7

170.0 152.0 426.0 43.5 43.6

224.0 10.3 1.9

31.7

1,150.5

45.5 31.3 40.5 28.3 26.1 31.3 31.0 24.9 40.9 47.8 29.6

29.4

45.5 32.8 41.1 31.3 28.1 31.6 29.7 26.9 40.3 47.8 28.3

31.0

45.5 33.3 40.2 33.1 30.5 30.5 29.7 28.0 39.4 47.8 29.0

32.2

1,087 742

6,845 4,358

11,145 1,189 1,417 5,453

384 86

912

33,618

1,083 789

6,834 5,031

12,993 1,327 1,295 6,272

406 91

919

37,040

1 Relates to year of planting for overwintered beets in southern California.

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed Area Harvested, Yield, and Production – States and United States: 2020 and Forecasted November 1, 2021

State

Area harvested Yield per acre 1 Production 1

2020 2021 2020 2021

2020 2021 October 1 November 1

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (tons) (tons) (tons) (1,000 tons) (1,000 tons)

Florida ...................... Louisiana .................. Texas ....................... United States ............

423.3 488.4 35.9

947.6

406.0 490.0 36.0

932.0

44.4 33.1 31.7

38.1

42.7 32.2 32.8

36.8

42.7 31.8 32.8

36.6

18,795 16,167 1,138

36,100

17,336 15,582 1,181

34,099

1 Net tons.

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12 Crop Production (November 2021) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Potato Area Planted and Harvested – States and United States: 2020 and 2021 [Includes updates to planted and harvested area previously published]

State Area planted Area harvested

2020 2021 2020 2021 1

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres)

California ................................. Colorado .................................. Florida ...................................... Idaho ........................................ Maine ....................................... Michigan .................................. Minnesota ................................ Nebraska ................................. North Dakota ............................ Oregon ..................................... Texas ....................................... Washington .............................. Wisconsin ................................ United States ...........................

29.0 54.0 21.0

300.0 51.0 46.0 42.0 19.0 72.0 45.0

15.5

155.0 69.0

918.5

30.0 53.0 21.0

315.0 54.0 50.0 42.0 19.0 76.0 45.0

15.0

160.0 71.0

951.0

28.9 53.8 20.4

299.5 50.8 45.0 41.2 18.8 70.0 45.0

15.3

154.5 68.5

911.7

29.4 52.2 19.9

314.5 53.4 48.8 41.9 18.9 75.0 44.8

14.0

159.5 70.0

942.3

1 Forecasted.

Potato Area Harvested, Yield, and Production – States and United States: 2020 and Forecasted November 1, 2021

State Area harvested Yield per acre Production

2020 2021 2020 2021 2020 2021

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (cwt) (cwt) (1,000 cwt) (1,000 cwt)

California ................................. Colorado .................................. Florida ...................................... Idaho ........................................ Maine ....................................... Michigan .................................. Minnesota ................................ Nebraska ................................. North Dakota ............................ Oregon ..................................... Texas ....................................... Washington .............................. Wisconsin ................................ United States ...........................

28.9 53.8 20.4

299.5 50.8 45.0 41.2 18.8 70.0 45.0

15.3

154.5 68.5

911.7

29.4 52.2 19.9

314.5 53.4 48.8 41.9 18.9 75.0 44.8

14.0

159.5 70.0

942.3

445 420 260 450 265 390 435 490 340 600

465 645 420

461

420 405 270 420 345 410 420 485 280 570

430 585 445

438

12,861 22,596 5,304

134,775 13,462 17,550 17,922 9,212

23,800 27,000

7,115

99,653 28,770

420,020

12,348 21,141 5,373

132,090 18,423 20,008 17,598 9,167

21,000 25,536

6,020

93,308 31,150

413,162

Page 13: Crop Production 11/09/2021

Crop Production (November 2021) 13 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units – United States: 2020 and 2021 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2021 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

Crop Area planted Area harvested

2020 2021 2020 2021

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres)

Grains and hay Barley ..................................................................................... Corn for grain 1 ....................................................................... Corn for silage ........................................................................ Hay, all ................................................................................... Alfalfa ................................................................................. All other .............................................................................. Oats ........................................................................................ Proso millet ............................................................................. Rice ........................................................................................ Rye ......................................................................................... Sorghum for grain 1 ................................................................. Sorghum for silage .................................................................. Wheat, all ............................................................................... Winter ................................................................................. Durum ................................................................................. Other spring ........................................................................ Oilseeds Canola .................................................................................... Cottonseed ............................................................................. Flaxseed ................................................................................. Mustard seed .......................................................................... Peanuts .................................................................................. Rapeseed ............................................................................... Safflower ................................................................................ Soybeans for beans ................................................................ Sunflower ............................................................................... Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops Cotton, all ............................................................................... Upland ................................................................................ American Pima ................................................................... Sugarbeets ............................................................................. Sugarcane .............................................................................. Tobacco .................................................................................. Dry beans, peas, and lentils Chickpeas ............................................................................... Dry edible beans ..................................................................... Dry edible peas ....................................................................... Lentils ..................................................................................... Potatoes and miscellaneous Hops ....................................................................................... Maple syrup ............................................................................ Mushrooms ............................................................................. Peppermint oil ......................................................................... Potatoes ................................................................................. Spearmint oil ..........................................................................

2,726

90,652 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)

3,009 609

3,036 1,955 5,880 (NA)

44,450 30,450 1,690

12,310

1,824.0 (X)

305 97.0

1,662.5 11.2

136.0 83,354 1,719.1

12,092.0 11,890.0

202.0 1,162.2

(NA) (NA)

269.8 1,740.0

999.0 528.0

(NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)

918.5 (NA)

2,660

93,304

(NA) (NA) (NA)

2,550 600

2,541 2,133 7,340

46,703 33,648 1,635

11,420

2,152.0 (X)

390 88.0

1,580.0 15.5

135.0 87,235 1,280.0

11,190.5 11,066.0

124.5 1,161.5

(NA) (NA)

376.3 1,399.0

970.0 711.0

(NA) (NA) (NA)

951.0

2,214

82,313 6,711

52,238 16,230 36,008 1,009

484 2,987

330 5,095

239 36,789 23,029 1,665

12,095

1,787.8 (X)

296 91.4

1,615.2 10.1

126.7 82,603 1,666.1

8,274.5 8,080.5

194.0 1,142.3

947.6 198.1

262.9 1,676.5

973.0 514.0

58.6 (NA) (NA) 50.1

911.7 17.7

1,948

85,085

51,537 16,123 35,414

650

2,499 294

6,520

37,163 25,464 1,534

10,165

2,104.5 (X)

366 84.0

1,533.0 14.5

127.5 86,436 1,223.2

9,921.7 9,799.5

122.2 1,150.5

932.0 221.2

367.6 1,341.0

919.0 667.0

60.8 (NA) (NA)

942.3

See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued

Page 14: Crop Production 11/09/2021

14 Crop Production (November 2021) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units – United States: 2020 and 2021 (continued) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2021 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

Crop Yield per acre Production

2020 2021 2020 2021

(1,000) (1,000)

Grains and hay Barley ......................................................................... bushels Corn for grain .............................................................. bushels Corn for silage ................................................................. tons Hay, all ............................................................................. tons Alfalfa ........................................................................... tons All other ........................................................................ tons Oats ............................................................................ bushels Proso millet ................................................................. bushels Rice 2 ................................................................................. cwt Rye ............................................................................. bushels Sorghum for grain ....................................................... bushels Sorghum for silage ........................................................... tons Wheat, all .................................................................... bushels Winter ..................................................................... bushels Durum ..................................................................... bushels Other spring ............................................................ bushels Oilseeds Canola ........................................................................ pounds Cottonseed ...................................................................... tons Flaxseed ..................................................................... bushels Mustard seed .............................................................. pounds Peanuts ...................................................................... pounds Rapeseed ................................................................... pounds Safflower ..................................................................... pounds Soybeans for beans .................................................... bushels Sunflower .................................................................... pounds Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops Cotton, all 2 .....................................................................bales Upland 2 ......................................................................bales American Pima 2 .........................................................bales Sugarbeets ...................................................................... tons Sugarcane ....................................................................... tons Tobacco ...................................................................... pounds Dry beans, peas, and lentils Chickpeas 2 ........................................................................ cwt Dry edible beans 2 .............................................................. cwt Dry edible peas 2 ................................................................ cwt Lentils 2 .............................................................................. cwt Potatoes and miscellaneous Hops ........................................................................... pounds Maple syrup ................................................................. gallons Mushrooms ................................................................. pounds Peppermint oil ............................................................. pounds Potatoes ............................................................................ cwt Spearmint oil ............................................................... pounds

77.2

171.4 20.5 2.43 3.27 2.05 65.1 19.0

7,619 34.9 73.2 13.1 49.7 50.9 41.5 48.6

1,931 (X)

19.3 895

3,813 1,971 1,167 51.0

1,790

847 835

1,352 29.4 38.1

1,966

1,625 1,966 2,234 1,442

1,770 (NA) (NA)

99 461 121

60.4

177.0

2.34 2.99 2.04 61.3

7,756 33.4 72.3

44.3 50.2 24.3 32.6

1,119 (X)

4,072

51.2 1,554

880 874

1,359 32.2 36.6

2,097

825 1,686 1,322

763

1,924 (NA) (NA)

438

170,813

14,111,449 137,675 126,812 53,067 73,745 65,694 9,210

227,583 11,532

372,960 3,125

1,828,043 1,171,397

69,141 587,505

3,453,062 4,509.0

5,706 81,770

6,158,350 19,910

147,800 4,216,302 2,982,890

14,607.5 14,061.0

546.5 33,618 36,100

389,413

4,273 32,963 21,733 7,411

103,810.3 4,111

816,367 4,984

420,020 2,134

117,673

15,062,002

120,482 48,156 72,326 39,836

193,818

9,808 471,125

1,645,764 1,277,365

37,259 331,140

2,354,080 5,549.0

6,242,500

4,424,942 1,900,920

18,198.0 17,852.0

346.0 37,040 34,099

463,835

3,033 22,609 12,150 5,090

116,880.0 3,424

757,987

413,162

(NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1 Area planted for all purposes. 2 Yield in pounds.

Page 15: Crop Production 11/09/2021

Crop Production (November 2021) 15 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units – United States: 2020 and 2021 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2021 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

Crop Area planted Area harvested

2020 2021 2020 2021

(hectares) (hectares) (hectares) (hectares)

Grains and hay Barley ......................................................................... Corn for grain 1 ........................................................... Corn for silage ............................................................ Hay, all 2 ..................................................................... Alfalfa ..................................................................... All other .................................................................. Oats ............................................................................ Proso millet ................................................................. Rice ............................................................................ Rye ............................................................................. Sorghum for grain 1 ..................................................... Sorghum for silage ...................................................... Wheat, all 2 ................................................................. Winter ..................................................................... Durum ..................................................................... Other spring ............................................................ Oilseeds Canola ........................................................................ Cottonseed ................................................................. Flaxseed ..................................................................... Mustard seed .............................................................. Peanuts ...................................................................... Rapeseed ................................................................... Safflower .................................................................... Soybeans for beans .................................................... Sunflower ................................................................... Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops Cotton, all 2 ................................................................. Upland .................................................................... American Pima ....................................................... Sugarbeets ................................................................. Sugarcane .................................................................. Tobacco ...................................................................... Dry beans, peas, and lentils Chickpeas ................................................................... Dry edible beans ......................................................... Dry edible peas ........................................................... Lentils ......................................................................... Potatoes and miscellaneous Hops ........................................................................... Maple syrup ................................................................ Mushrooms ................................................................. Peppermint oil ............................................................. Potatoes ..................................................................... Spearmint oil ..............................................................

1,103,180

36,685,960 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)

1,217,710 246,460

1,228,640 791,170

2,379,580 (NA)

17,988,470 12,322,810

683,930 4,981,730

738,150 (X)

123,430 39,250

672,800 4,530

55,040 33,732,530

695,700

4,893,510 4,811,760

81,750 470,330

(NA) (NA)

109,190 704,160 404,290 213,680

(NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)

371,710 (NA)

1,076,480

37,759,200

(NA) (NA) (NA)

1,031,960 242,810

1,028,320 863,200

2,970,420

18,900,240 13,617,010

661,670 4,621,560

870,890 (X)

157,830 35,610

639,410 6,270

54,630 35,303,130

518,000

4,528,680 4,478,300

50,380 470,050

(NA) (NA)

152,280 566,160 392,550 287,730

(NA) (NA) (NA)

384,860

895,980

33,311,250 2,715,870

21,140,200 6,568,120

14,572,080 408,330 195,870

1,208,810 133,550

2,061,900 96,720

14,888,140 9,319,610

673,810 4,894,730

723,500 (X)

119,790 36,990

653,660 4,090

51,270 33,428,610

674,250

3,348,610 3,270,100

78,510 462,280 383,480 80,150

106,390 678,460 393,760 208,010

23,730 (NA) (NA)

20,270 368,960

7,160

788,340

34,433,050

20,856,510 6,524,820

14,331,690 263,050

1,011,320

118,980 2,638,580

15,039,490 10,305,030

620,790 4,113,670

851,670 (X)

148,120 33,990

620,390 5,870

51,600 34,979,780

495,020

4,015,210 3,965,760

49,450 465,600 377,170 89,520

148,760 542,690 371,910 269,930

24,580 (NA) (NA)

381,340

See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued

Page 16: Crop Production 11/09/2021

16 Crop Production (November 2021) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units – United States: 2020 and 2021 (continued) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2021 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

Crop Yield per hectare Production

2020 2021 2020 2021

(metric tons) (metric tons) (metric tons) (metric tons)

Grains and hay Barley ..................................................................................... Corn for grain .......................................................................... Corn for silage ........................................................................ Hay, all 2 ................................................................................. Alfalfa .................................................................................. All other ............................................................................... Oats ........................................................................................ Proso millet ............................................................................. Rice ........................................................................................ Rye ......................................................................................... Sorghum for grain ................................................................... Sorghum for silage .................................................................. Wheat, all 2 ............................................................................. Winter ................................................................................. Durum ................................................................................. Other spring ........................................................................ Oilseeds Canola .................................................................................... Cottonseed ............................................................................. Flaxseed ................................................................................. Mustard seed .......................................................................... Peanuts .................................................................................. Rapeseed ............................................................................... Safflower ................................................................................. Soybeans for beans ................................................................ Sunflower ................................................................................ Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops Cotton, all 2 ............................................................................. Upland ................................................................................ American Pima .................................................................... Sugarbeets ............................................................................. Sugarcane .............................................................................. Tobacco .................................................................................. Dry beans, peas, and lentils Chickpeas ............................................................................... Dry edible beans ..................................................................... Dry edible peas ....................................................................... Lentils ..................................................................................... Potatoes and miscellaneous Hops ....................................................................................... Maple syrup ............................................................................ Mushrooms ............................................................................. Peppermint oil ......................................................................... Potatoes ................................................................................. Spearmint oil ...........................................................................

4.15

10.76 45.99 5.44 7.33 4.59 2.34 1.07 8.54 2.19 4.59

29.31 3.34 3.42 2.79 3.27

2.16 (X)

1.21 1.00 4.27 2.21 1.31 3.43 2.01

0.95 0.94 1.52

65.97 85.40 2.20

1.82 2.20 2.50 1.62

1.98 (NA) (NA) 0.11

51.64 0.14

3.25

11.11

5.24 6.70 4.58 2.20

8.69 2.09 4.54

2.98 3.37 1.63 2.19

1.25 (X)

4.56

3.44 1.74

0.99 0.98 1.52

72.17 82.02 2.35

0.92 1.89 1.48 0.86

2.16 (NA) (NA)

49.14

3,719,010

358,447,310 124,896,660 115,041,910 48,141,570 66,900,340

953,550 208,880

10,322,990 292,930

9,473,620 2,834,950

49,751,180 31,880,200 1,881,710

15,989,270

1,566,280 4,090,500

144,940 37,090

2,793,380 9,030

67,040 114,748,940

1,353,020

3,180,410 3,061,420

118,990 30,497,740 32,749,370

176,630

193,820 1,495,180

985,790 336,160

47,090 20,560

370,300 2,260

19,051,790 970

2,562,030

382,592,470

109,299,430 43,686,390 65,613,040

578,220

8,791,440 249,130

11,967,130

44,790,360 34,764,180 1,014,020 9,012,150

1,067,790 5,033,970

2,831,550

120,427,190 862,240

3,962,150 3,886,820

75,330 33,602,120 30,934,090

210,390

137,570 1,025,530

551,110 230,880

53,020 17,120

343,820

18,740,710

(NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1 Area planted for all purposes. 2 Total may not add due to rounding.

Page 17: Crop Production 11/09/2021

Crop Production (November 2021) 17 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Fruits and Nuts Production in Domestic Units – United States: 2021 and 2022 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2021 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2020-2021 season. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

Crop Production

2021 2022

Citrus 1 Grapefruit ............................................................................................. 1,000 tons Lemons ................................................................................................ 1,000 tons Oranges ................................................................................................ 1,000 tons Tangerines and mandarins ................................................................... 1,000 tons Noncitrus Apples, commercial ........................................................................ million pounds Apricots .......................................................................................................... tons Avocados ........................................................................................................ tons Blueberries, Cultivated ..................................................................... 1,000 pounds Blueberries, Wild (Maine) ................................................................. 1,000 pounds Cherries, Sweet .............................................................................................. tons Cherries, Tart .................................................................................. million pounds Coffee (Hawaii) ................................................................................ 1,000 pounds Cranberries .................................................................................................. barrel Dates .............................................................................................................. tons Grapes ........................................................................................................... tons Kiwifruit (California) ......................................................................................... tons Nectarines (California) .................................................................................... tons Olives (California) ........................................................................................... tons Papayas (Hawaii) ............................................................................ 1,000 pounds Peaches ......................................................................................................... tons Pears .............................................................................................................. tons Plums (California) ........................................................................................... tons Prunes (California) .......................................................................................... tons Raspberries, all ............................................................................... 1,000 pounds Strawberries .......................................................................................... 1,000 cwt Nuts and miscellaneous Almonds, shelled (California) ........................................................... 1,000 pounds Hazelnuts, in-shell (Oregon) ........................................................................... tons Macadamias (Hawaii) ...................................................................... 1,000 pounds Pecans, in-shell ............................................................................... 1,000 pounds Pistachios (California) ...................................................................... 1,000 pounds Walnuts, in-shell (California) ........................................................................... tons

426 884

4,426 1,166

10,525.0 55,500

369,000 142.0

7,900,000

6,470,000

696,500 670,000

2,800,000

258,000

670,000

442 892

3,878 883

1 Production years are 2020-2021 and 2021-2022.

Page 18: Crop Production 11/09/2021

18 Crop Production (November 2021) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Fruits and Nuts Production in Metric Units – United States: 2021 and 2022 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2021 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2020-2021 season. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

Crop Production

2021 2022

(metric tons) (metric tons)

Citrus 1 Grapefruit .............................................................................................................. Lemons ................................................................................................................. Oranges ................................................................................................................ Tangerines and mandarins .................................................................................... Noncitrus Apples, commercial ............................................................................................... Apricots ................................................................................................................. Avocados .............................................................................................................. Blueberries, Cultivated .......................................................................................... Blueberries, Wild (Maine) ...................................................................................... Cherries, Sweet .................................................................................................... Cherries, Tart ........................................................................................................ Coffee (Hawaii) ..................................................................................................... Cranberries ........................................................................................................... Dates .................................................................................................................... Grapes .................................................................................................................. Kiwifruit (California) ............................................................................................... Nectarines (California) .......................................................................................... Olives (California) ................................................................................................. Papayas (Hawaii) .................................................................................................. Peaches ................................................................................................................ Pears .................................................................................................................... Plums (California) ................................................................................................. Prunes (California) ................................................................................................ Raspberries, all ..................................................................................................... Strawberries .......................................................................................................... Nuts and miscellaneous Almonds, shelled (California) ................................................................................ Hazelnuts, in-shell (Oregon) .................................................................................. Macadamias (Hawaii) ............................................................................................ Pecans, in-shell ..................................................................................................... Pistachios (California) ........................................................................................... Walnuts, in-shell (California) .................................................................................

386,460 801,950

4,015,200 1,057,780

4,774,060 50,350

334,750 64,410

358,340

5,869,490

631,850 607,810

1,270,060

117,030

607,810

400,980 809,210

3,518,060 801,040

1 Production years are 2020-2021 and 2021-2022.

Page 19: Crop Production 11/09/2021

Crop Production (November 2021) 19 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Corn for Grain Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 10 corn-producing States during

2021. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain fields are visited monthly from September through harvest to obtain

specific counts and measurements. Data in these tables are rounded actual field counts from this survey.

Corn for Grain Plant Population per Acre – Selected States: 2017-2021 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

State and month

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 State

and month 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

(number) (number) (number) (number) (number) (number) (number) (number) (number) (number)

Illinois September ....... October ........... November ........ Final ................ Indiana September ....... October ........... November ........ Final ................ Iowa September ....... October ........... November ........ Final ................ Kansas September ....... October ........... November ........ Final ................ Minnesota September ....... October ........... November ........ Final ................ Missouri September ....... October ........... November ........ Final ................

30,800 30,900 30,950 30,950

29,550 29,350 29,200 29,200

31,300 31,150 31,150 31,150

22,050 22,100 22,300 22,300

30,750 30,550 30,600 30,600

27,850 27,850 27,950 27,950

32,000 32,000 32,000 32,000

30,450 30,400 30,400 30,400

31,350 31,150 31,100 31,100

22,600 22,450 22,450 22,450

30,950 30,900 30,900 30,900

28,500 28,400 28,400 28,400

31,100 30,950 30,900 30,900

29,300 29,050 29,000 28,950

30,850 30,800 30,750 30,750

21,350 21,200 21,200 21,200

30,700 30,650 30,550 30,650

28,200 27,500 27,600 27,600

30,600 30,400 30,400 30,400

29,850 29,800 29,850 29,850

31,050 31,000 31,050 31,050

21,700 21,650 21,650 21,650

31,750 31,800 31,800 31,800

28,200 28,150 28,200 28,200

31,550 31,550 31,500

29,700 29,650 29,750

31,850 31,850 31,800

22,050 21,550 21,800

30,750 30,700 30,700

27,250 27,400 27,350

Nebraska All corn September .... October ......... November ..... Final ............. Irrigated September .... October ......... November ..... Final ............. Non-irrigated September .... October ......... November ..... Final ............. Ohio September ...... October .......... November ....... Final ............... South Dakota September ...... October .......... November ....... Final ............... Wisconsin September ...... October .......... November ....... Final ............... 10 State September ...... October .......... November ....... Final ...............

25,950 25,800 25,700 25,700

29,050 29,000 28,750 28,750

22,500 22,200 22,250 22,250

29,250 29,150 29,100 29,100

26,250 26,200 26,200 26,200

29,450 29,100 29,150 29,100

28,800 28,700 28,700 28,700

27,100 26,750 26,750 26,750

30,300 29,900 29,900 29,900

23,350 23,100 23,150 23,150

30,550 30,400 30,400 30,400

27,000 26,750 27,000 27,000

31,000 30,600 30,650 30,650

29,500 29,350 29,400 29,350

25,850 25,850 25,700 25,700

28,300 28,350 28,300 28,300

23,300 23,250 23,000 23,000

30,050 30,100 30,000 30,000

26,400 26,100 26,000 25,900

30,250 30,150 29,750 29,850

28,650 28,500 28,450 28,450

27,450 27,450 27,400 27,400

29,950 30,100 30,100 30,100

24,950 24,750 24,700 24,700

29,800 29,900 29,900 29,850

25,450 25,400 25,550 25,550

30,300 30,400 30,300 30,300

29,000 28,950 28,950 28,950

26,750 26,650 26,650

29,350 29,300 29,300

24,050 24,000 23,950

30,400 30,050 30,050

26,150 26,100 25,750

29,900 29,550 29,400

29,100 29,000 29,000

Page 20: Crop Production 11/09/2021

20 Crop Production (November 2021) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Corn for Grain Number of Ears per Acre – Selected States: 2017-2021 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

State and month

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 State

and month 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

(number) (number) (number) (number) (number) (number) (number) (number) (number) (number)

Illinois September ...... October ........... November ....... Final ................ Indiana September ...... October ........... November ....... Final ................ Iowa September ...... October ........... November ....... Final ................ Kansas September ...... October ........... November ....... Final ................ Minnesota September ...... October ........... November ....... Final ................ Missouri September ...... October ........... November ....... Final ................

30,200 30,300 30,250 30,250

28,900 29,100 28,850 28,850

30,600 30,600 30,600 30,600

22,800 22,600 22,650 22,650

30,750 30,850 30,850 30,600

27,750 27,800 27,850 27,850

31,550 31,500 31,500 31,500

30,000 29,800 29,750 29,750

31,150 30,900 30,800 30,800

22,350 21,650 21,700 21,700

30,850 30,850 30,800 30,800

27,400 27,300 27,300 27,300

30,300 30,300 30,150 30,150

28,900 28,700 28,650 28,600

30,250 30,200 30,100 30,100

21,550 22,250 22,200 22,200

30,050 29,800 29,650 29,700

26,950 26,950 27,100 27,100

29,900 29,800 29,800 29,800

29,600 29,600 29,600 29,600

30,600 30,450 30,550 30,550

22,050 21,250 21,250 21,250

31,750 31,850 31,850 31,850

27,650 27,600 27,650 27,650

31,100 31,050 31,050

29,700 29,750 29,900

31,750 31,800 31,800

22,250 21,450 21,700

30,800 30,650 30,600

26,900 26,950 26,950

Nebraska All corn September ... October ........ November .... Final ............. Irrigated September ... October ........ November .... Final ............. Non-irrigated September ... October ........ November .... Final ............. Ohio September ..... October .......... November ...... Final ............... South Dakota September ..... October .......... November ...... Final ............... Wisconsin September ..... October .......... November ...... Final ............... 10-State September ..... October .......... November ...... Final ...............

25,800 26,050 25,950 25,950

28,650 28,950 28,750 28,750

22,600 22,800 22,900 22,900

29,500 29,250 29,150 29,150

26,250 26,150 26,200 25,850

28,950 28,800 28,600 28,550

28,550 28,550 28,500 28,450

27,100 26,750 26,800 26,800

29,950 29,350 29,300 29,300

23,850 23,650 23,850 23,850

30,750 30,300 30,300 30,300

28,100 27,750 27,950 28,050

30,700 30,450 30,450 30,450

29,350 29,100 29,100 29,100

25,850 25,950 25,700 25,700

28,200 28,150 28,000 28,000

23,500 23,700 23,400 23,400

29,850 29,750 29,550 29,550

26,450 25,300 25,000 24,900

29,850 30,250 29,850 29,950

28,200 28,200 28,050 28,050

26,800 26,850 26,750 26,750

28,900 28,850 28,800 28,800

24,650 24,800 24,700 24,700

29,350 29,700 29,700 29,650

25,550 25,550 25,700 25,700

30,050 30,400 30,350 30,350

28,650 28,600 28,600 28,600

26,650 26,950 26,800

29,000 29,600 29,500

24,250 24,200 24,050

30,650 30,350 30,350

26,250 26,150 25,400

30,100 29,500 29,400

29,050 28,950 28,850

Corn Objective Yield Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab – United States: 2017-2021

Year October November

Dent stage 1 Mature 2 Dent stage 1 Mature 2

(percent) (percent) (percent) (percent)

2017 .................................... 2018 .................................... 2019 .................................... 2020 .................................... 2021 ....................................

41 13 49 25 22

51 80 29 68 69

(Z) (Z)

1 (Z) (Z)

96 96 94 96 94

(Z) Less than half of the unit shown. 1 Includes corn in the dent stage of development. Ears are firm and solid. Kernels fully dented with no milk present in most kernels. 2 Includes that portion of the crop that is mature and ready for harvest. No green foliage is present.

Page 21: Crop Production 11/09/2021

Crop Production (November 2021) 21 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Corn for Grain Percentage Distribution by Plant Population Per Acre – Selected States: 2017-2021

State and year

Plant populations

Less than 20,000

20,000- 22,500

22,501- 25,000

25,001- 27,500

27,501- 30,000

More than 30,000

(Percent) (Percent) (Percent) (Percent) (Percent) (Percent)

Illinois ...................................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Indiana .................................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Iowa ......................................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Kansas .................................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Minnesota ................................................ 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Missouri ................................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Nebraska ................................................. 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Ohio ......................................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 South Dakota ........................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Wisconsin ................................................ 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

0.5 -

0.9 0.6 1.6

5.7 1.5 5.6 1.3 1.6

1.3 0.4 0.8

- -

24.3 33.0 39.9 30.1 26.3

2.8

- 1.4

- 1.1

1.9 2.2 2.8 2.7 2.6

16.8 12.0 15.1 10.8 15.8

2.7 1.0

- -

2.3

8.1 7.4 9.3

13.7 14.5

4.0 2.0

- 1.4 1.5

1.4 0.9 2.8 1.9 0.8

4.9 0.8 5.6 3.8 1.6

3.4 1.7 0.8

- 1.6

21.2 12.4 8.0

14.5 13.1

4.7 1.7 4.2 0.8 4.3

1.0 6.5 8.3 0.9 5.3

6.3 4.9

12.3 8.8 2.5

4.4 3.9 4.3

- 1.1

13.5 12.6 7.0 9.6 1.8

2.7 2.0

- 1.4 4.5

3.8 1.4 3.7 5.8 1.6

6.5 2.3 5.6 5.1 6.3

2.1 3.3 3.8 4.3 2.4

17.2 12.4 12.0 12.7 24.2

5.6 8.7 8.3 2.3 2.2

15.5 8.6

16.7 10.9 14.5

12.6 7.1

12.3 8.8

14.2

7.1 3.9 4.3

14.4 4.6

16.2 11.6 23.3 21.9 21.8

6.7

- 9.4 8.1 4.5

11.5 6.6 9.3

13.5 7.1

13.0 10.7 11.1 12.8 14.3

5.9 6.3 9.0 9.4 5.5

21.2 14.4 14.7 13.6 15.2

7.5 6.1 2.8 3.8 4.3

26.2 20.4 22.2 22.7 18.4

19.4 16.4 17.9 8.8

14.2

15.0 7.8

12.8 13.6 9.2

16.2 18.9 23.3 21.9 25.5

20.0 7.9

15.6 6.8

10.6

20.6 15.6 18.7 16.0 19.0

21.1 27.5 24.1 19.2 25.4

13.5 19.2 21.1 21.7 12.6

12.1 7.2

14.7 16.4 9.1

12.1 13.9 25.0 19.5 28.3

26.2 28.0 16.7 32.8 44.7

17.8 25.1 19.8 23.0 20.0

25.7 23.5 19.1 26.3 32.2

25.7 21.1 30.1 13.7 20.0

21.3 19.8 25.0 23.0 28.8

62.2 75.5 64.6 62.2 69.9

48.8 57.2 48.0 57.8 50.8

73.8 69.1 64.5 64.6 77.9

4.0

20.6 10.7 12.7 12.1

67.3 69.6 58.3 73.6 59.8

29.2 34.3 33.3 30.0 14.5

27.1 34.5 22.6 39.8 33.3

45.1 59.9 59.5 45.7 50.6

20.3 28.4 7.0

19.2 16.4

45.3 68.3 50.0 59.3 50.1

- Represents zero.

Page 22: Crop Production 11/09/2021

22 Crop Production (November 2021) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Corn for Grain Frequency of Farmer Reported Row Widths – Selected States: 2017-2021

State and year

Row width (inches)

Less than 30

30 36 38 More than

38

(number) (number) (number) (number) (number)

Illinois .................................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Indiana .................................................. 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Iowa ...................................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Kansas .................................................. 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Minnesota ............................................. 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Missouri ................................................ 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Nebraska .............................................. 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Ohio ...................................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 South Dakota ........................................ 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Wisconsin ............................................. 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

6 9 2 8 3

7 9 4 2 1

2 12 3 9 4

2 10 9 2

14

27 21 15 25 22

3 5 5 7 2

2 6 3 2 -

2 3 2 5 3

6 8 5

11 3

4 4 1 3 2

210 211 110 148 127

117 126 53 79 63

236 234 136 140 126

106 91 70

110 91

89 97 63

109 73

101 90 30 99 72

169 160 98

138 108

109 100 45

113 83

75 92 45 62 55

83

108 39 78 71

4 - 1 2 -

- 1 1 1 -

3 2 - 5 2

2 - - - -

2 3 3 - -

5 1 1 - 1

23 25 15 15 20

1 - 1 - 1

1 2 - 2 2

5 4 - 1 2

1 - - - -

- 1 - - -

3 1 1 3 -

- - - - -

- 2 1 1 1

2 2 2 5 5

2 - - - -

1 - - - -

1 2 1 2 -

1 2 - 2 2

- - - - -

- - - - -

- - - - -

- - - - -

- - - - -

- 1 - - -

- - - - -

- - - - -

- - - - -

- - - - -

- Represents zero.

Page 23: Crop Production 11/09/2021

Crop Production (November 2021) 23 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Corn for Grain Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width and Average Row Width – Selected States: 2017-2021

State and year Samples

Row width (inches) Average row

width 20.5

or less 20.6- 30.5

30.6- 34.5

34.6- 36.5

36.6- 38.5

38.6 or greater

(number) (percent) (percent) (percent) (percent) (percent) (percent) (inches)

Illinois ................................................. 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Indiana ............................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Iowa .................................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Kansas ............................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Minnesota ........................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Missouri .............................................. 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Nebraska ............................................ 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Ohio .................................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 South Dakota ...................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Wisconsin ........................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

209 212 107 156 126

123 131 54 78 63

237 239 133 138 127

99 97 75

110 99

107 115 72

133 92

103 93 36

110 76

191 183 106 148 120

113 102 47

118 87

74 95 43 73 55

75

101 32 74 66

1.4 1.9

- 2.6 1.6

2.4 6.1 1.9 1.3 1.6

0.8 3.8 1.5 2.9 3.9

2.0 3.1 4.0 1.8 3.0

4.7 1.7 5.6

- 3.3

1.9 1.1 2.8 5.5 2.6

-

1.6 1.9

- -

0.9 2.9 4.3 1.7 3.4

8.1 5.3 4.7 5.5 1.8

1.3

- 3.1

- -

85.1 87.7 83.2 85.2 80.1

78.9 71.7 77.7 80.7 79.4

76.4 77.4 78.1 79.7 82.7

75.8 76.3 81.3 78.2 83.9

81.4 82.6 72.1 84.9 88.0

66.1 76.2 74.9 80.9 76.3

70.7 65.6 71.7 67.6 69.2

83.2 79.5 87.2 88.1 82.9

62.1 69.4 67.4 72.6 76.4

61.5 75.2 84.4 75.6 71.3

12.0 10.4 15.9 10.9 18.3

17.9 19.8 18.5 16.7 19.0

19.0 17.2 18.8 11.6 12.6

21.2 20.6 14.7 20.0 13.1

8.4

11.3 18.1 14.3 7.6

25.2 18.3 13.9 10.9 13.2

15.7 15.3 14.2 23.0 15.8

15.0 17.6 6.4

10.2 12.6

28.4 20.0 25.6 15.1 14.5

29.3 21.8 12.5 18.9 22.7

0.5 -

0.9 - -

0.8 0.8

- - -

0.4 0.8 0.8 2.9 0.8

- - - - -

0.9 2.6 4.2

- -

3.9 2.2 2.8

- 1.3

9.4

12.6 11.3 7.4

14.2

0.9 -

2.1 -

1.1

- 2.1

- 2.7 1.8

5.3

- -

2.7 1.5

0.5 - -

1.3 -

- 0.8 1.9 1.3

-

3.0 0.8 0.8 2.9

-

- - - - -

3.7 0.9

- -

1.1

1.0 1.1 5.6 2.7 6.6

4.2 4.9 0.9 2.0 0.8

- - - - -

1.4 2.1 2.3 1.4 5.5

1.3 3.0

- 1.4 4.5

0.5 - - - -

- 0.8

- - -

0.4 - - - -

1.0 - - - -

0.9 0.9

- 0.8

-

1.9 1.1

- - -

- - - - -

- - - - -

- 1.1

- 2.7

-

1.3 - -

1.4 -

30.1 29.9 30.2 29.8 30.0

29.8 29.8 30.2 30.2 30.1

30.4 29.9 30.0 30.1 29.7

30.1 29.7 29.9 29.7 29.9

28.9 29.3 29.0 28.9 28.5

30.4 30.1 30.2 29.6 30.5

31.0 31.2 30.8 30.8 30.9

30.0 29.9 29.8 29.9 29.9

29.6 30.0 30.0 29.8 30.2

30.6 30.2 29.6 30.4 30.5

- Represents zero.

Page 24: Crop Production 11/09/2021

24 Crop Production (November 2021) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Cotton Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted objective yield surveys in four cotton-producing States during

2021. Randomly selected plots in cotton fields are visited monthly from September through harvest to obtain specific

counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey.

Cotton Cumulative Boll Counts – Selected States: 2017-2021 [Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened bolls, and burrs per 40 feet of row. November, December, and Final exclude small bolls. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

State and month 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

(number) (number) (number) (number) (number)

Arkansas September ...................................... October ........................................... November ....................................... December ....................................... Final ................................................ Georgia September ...................................... October ........................................... November ....................................... December ....................................... Final ................................................ Louisiana 1 September ...................................... October ........................................... November ....................................... December ....................................... Final ................................................ Mississippi September ...................................... October ........................................... November ....................................... December ....................................... Final ................................................ North Carolina 1 September ...................................... October ........................................... November ....................................... December ....................................... Final ................................................ Texas September ...................................... October ........................................... November ....................................... December ....................................... Final ................................................ 4-State 2 September ...................................... October ........................................... November ....................................... December ....................................... Final ................................................

911 839 825 825 825

593 608 680 684 684

648 667 665 665 665

904 810 804 797 797

637 705 769 769 769

592 602 603 615 614

633 635 649 656 656

891 910 892 892 892

605 737 712 719 713

759 734 739 739 739

871 895 846 846 846

601 641 714 719 719

570 576 553 583 582

627 661 640 659 657

900 896 925 900 900

598 783 790 799 803

(NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)

944 895 904 901 901

(NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)

458 438 456 459 461

551 562 579 580 593

994 849 820 820 820

606 747 761 784 785

(NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)

900 867 877 875 875

(NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)

576 581 595 608 608

645 661 671 683 693

990 838 809

597 658 669

(NA) (NA) (NA)

957 807 848

(NA) (NA) (NA)

491 512 538

567 573 595

(NA) Not available. 1 Objective yield survey discontinued in 2019. 2 6-State total prior to 2019.

Page 25: Crop Production 11/09/2021

Crop Production (November 2021) 25 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Soybean Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 11 soybean-producing States during

2021. Randomly selected plots in soybean fields are visited monthly from September through harvest to obtain specific

counts and measurements. Data in these tables are actual field counts from this survey.

Soybean Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet – Selected States: 2017-2021 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

State and month

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 State

and month 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

(number) (number) (number) (number) (number) (number) (number) (number) (number) (number)

Arkansas September ....... October ........... November ........ Final ................ Illinois September ....... October ........... November ........ Final ................ Indiana September ....... October ........... November ........ Final ................ Iowa September ....... October ........... November ........ Final ................ Kansas September ....... October ........... November ........ Final ................ Minnesota September ....... October ........... November ........ Final ................

1,992 1,898 2,039 2,075

1,917 1,886 1,947 1,947

1,795 1,772 1,774 1,774

1,644 1,670 1,717 1,735

1,487 1,472 1,561 1,561

1,359 1,407 1,480 1,480

1,841 1,795 1,943 1,973

2,132 2,225 2,249 2,264

1,880 2,001 2,054 2,052

1,823 1,984 2,082 2,097

1,552 1,456 1,548 1,558

1,605 1,616 1,569 1,569

1,759 1,731 1,717 1,828

1,696 1,683 1,601 1,603

1,496 1,501 1,569 1,561

1,601 1,642 1,660 1,682

1,561 1,604 1,596 1,583

1,465 1,474 1,458 1,458

1,630 1,527 1,459 1,418

2,019 2,127 2,170 2,170

2,056 1,994 1,963 1,959

1,675 1,933 1,927 1,927

1,650 1,699 1,629 1,629

1,607 1,782 1,751 1,751

1,449 1,501 1,583

2,080 2,120 2,222

1,846 1,811 1,822

1,732 1,800 1,894

1,404 1,480 1,551

1,603 1,545 1,557

Missouri September ...... October .......... November ....... Final ............... Nebraska September ...... October .......... November ....... Final ............... North Dakota September ...... October .......... November ....... Final ............... Ohio September ...... October .......... November ....... Final ............... South Dakota September ...... October .......... November ....... Final ............... 11-State September ...... October .......... November ....... Final ...............

2,041 2,172 2,253 2,239

1,653 1,795 1,853 1,853

1,406 1,430 1,465 1,451

1,765 1,714 1,828 1,823

1,511 1,472 1,457 1,457

1,678 1,692 1,751 1,752

1,777 1,899 1,948 1,961

1,736 2,071 2,174 2,174

1,418 1,485 1,515 1,514

2,019 2,180 2,210 2,210

1,649 1,867 1,822 1,724

1,786 1,895 1,938 1,938

1,719 1,754 1,898 1,921

1,669 1,777 1,722 1,722

1,147 1,246 1,253 1,195

1,563 1,760 1,587 1,587

1,504 1,316 1,331 1,353

1,561 1,593 1,582 1,586

1,977 2,093 2,036 2,041

1,943 2,002 1,980 1,980

1,242 1,439 1,442 1,442

1,811 1,972 1,983 1,981

1,688 1,720 1,696 1,696

1,780 1,882 1,866 1,865

1,925 1,886 2,047

1,887 2,069 2,148

1,055 1,014 1,009

2,060 1,989 2,074

1,626 1,526 1,512

1,717 1,725 1,788

Page 26: Crop Production 11/09/2021

26 Crop Production (November 2021) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Soybean Frequency of Farmer Reported Row Widths – Selected States: 2017-2021

State and year

Row width (inches)

Less than 7.5 1

7.5 15 30 More than

30

(number) (number) (number) (number) (number)

Arkansas .............................................. 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Illinois ................................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Indiana ................................................. 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Iowa ..................................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Kansas ................................................. 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Minnesota ............................................ 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Missouri ............................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Nebraska ............................................. 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

9 9 - 5 -

2 3 2 - 2

3 1 - 1 1

1 1 1 1 2

10 2 - 1 1

1 3 3 3 1

1 1 1 - 1

1 3 - - 1

25 36 14 14 13

10 11 5

11 7

28 19 5

11 14

3

11 9 8 3

14 17 10 9

12

9 8 5 5 2

10 15 5

13 6

4 7 6 8 9

42 47 13 14 16

109 118 82 91 80

101 110 57 87 60

80 77 51 63 61

32 35 23 19 15

38 34 26 35 22

70 65 38 63 48

38 35 37 39 31

39 36 21 36 29

59 58 33 44 38

12 14 9 8 8

94 88 66 85 69

43 54 16 27 16

42 45 28 51 38

21 31 10 20 21

51 49 49 58 50

79 83 25 49 42

2 - 1 - -

- - 1 - -

1 3 - 3 1

2 1 - - 1

- 2 1 1 -

4 4 1

11 5

8 8 5 1 4

See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued

Page 27: Crop Production 11/09/2021

Crop Production (November 2021) 27 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Soybean Frequency of Farmer Reported Row Widths – Selected States: 2017-2021 (continued)

State and year

Row width (inches)

Less than 7.5 1

7.5 15 30 More than

30

(number) (number) (number) (number) (number)

North Dakota ....................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Ohio ..................................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 South Dakota ....................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

5 4 3 7 -

2 4 2 3 2

1 2 4 - -

16 31 11 27 16

38 31 11 30 21

4 4 - - 3

56 49 28 48 55

83 98 42 82 64

27 27 18 43 26

7 12 6

11 13

8 1 1 5 3

63 61 30 44 38

1 - - - -

- - - - 1

1 1 - - -

- Represents zero. 1 Includes broadcast soybeans.

Soybean Objective Yield Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab – United States: 2017-2021

Year October November

Mature 1 Mature 1

(percent) (percent)

2017 .................................... 2018 .................................... 2019 .................................... 2020 .................................... 2021 ....................................

49 57 25 64 61

93 93 91 94 92

1 Includes soybeans with brown pods and are considered mature or almost mature.

Page 28: Crop Production 11/09/2021

28 Crop Production (November 2021) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Soybean Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width and Average Row Width – Selected States: 2017-2021

State and year Samples

Row width (inches) Average row

width 1 10.0 or less 1

10.1- 18.5

18.6- 28.5

28.6- 34.5

34.6 or greater

(number) (percent) (percent) (percent) (percent) (percent) (inches)

Arkansas ............................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Illinois .................................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Indiana .................................................. 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Iowa ...................................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Kansas .................................................. 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Minnesota ............................................. 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Missouri ................................................ 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Nebraska .............................................. 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

197 208 73

121 105

181 185 119 147 128

141 150 74

108 84

180 177 124 162 136

105 106 49 57 49

88 85 59 93 61

106 113 51

110 80

100 101 98

107 96

16.3 18.3 19.2 12.8 11.9

6.1 5.7 4.6 7.2 5.5

14.6 10.1 4.1 8.3

12.5

1.1 4.8 4.9 3.4 1.5

9.0 8.1 9.2 5.3

12.2

7.4 10.0 11.9 7.5 4.1

9.4

12.8 7.8

13.6 10.0

4.0 5.9 4.6 5.2 7.3

24.2 18.3 15.1 11.2 15.2

50.6 57.6 58.0 49.4 56.9

68.3 74.8 74.7 77.3 64.3

34.4 36.5 36.0 32.4 37.5

38.1 39.3 47.0 50.9 46.0

23.3 28.8 18.6 19.9 14.8

63.7 52.7 68.7 50.5 58.7

31.0 27.2 32.1 32.4 30.7

2.3 6.7 5.5 3.3 6.2

5.0 5.9

10.9 10.6 5.5

9.3 5.7

11.6 6.5

12.5

12.8 10.1 9.7

10.8 11.0

5.7 6.6 7.1 2.6 7.1

18.8 14.7 26.3 15.6 23.8

5.7 8.0 7.8

10.0 6.3

10.5 10.9 11.2 10.8 8.3

19.8 14.7 23.3 25.6 30.5

37.7 30.8 26.5 32.1 31.3

7.8 9.4 9.6 7.9

10.7

50.6 45.8 48.6 52.2 49.3

47.2 45.1 36.7 37.7 34.7

50.5 46.5 41.5 54.8 57.3

19.3 23.0 15.7 19.5 22.5

47.0 48.1 47.0 50.7 48.5

37.4 42.0 36.9 47.1 36.2

0.6

- -

0.7 0.8

- - - - -

1.1 2.8 0.8 1.2 0.7

-

0.9 -

3.5 -

- -

1.7 2.2

-

1.9 3.5

- 6.4 2.5

7.5 7.9 5.1 0.9 5.2

26.4 26.5 26.6 29.9 27.9

20.8 19.9 19.4 20.3 19.9

15.8 16.2 17.3 16.2 16.4

23.7 22.8 23.1 23.8 23.6

21.8 22.0 20.4 21.1 19.8

23.5 22.6 23.0 24.5 25.2

18.3 19.2 17.8 19.3 19.1

24.2 24.3 23.9 22.9 23.2

See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued

Page 29: Crop Production 11/09/2021

Crop Production (November 2021) 29 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Soybean Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width and Average Row Width – Selected States: 2017-2021 (continued)

State and year Samples

Row width (inches) Average row

width 1 10.0 or less 1

10.1- 18.5

18.6- 28.5

28.6- 34.5

34.6 or greater

(number) (percent) (percent) (percent) (percent) (percent) (inches)

North Dakota ......................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Ohio ....................................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 South Dakota ......................................... 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

84 96 48 92 85

134 134 57

121 92

93 94 43 88 64

17.3 21.9 17.7 21.7 18.2

25.4 20.9 22.8 25.6 25.0

2.7 4.3 2.3

- 3.1

55.3 45.3 49.0 48.9 44.1

66.4 76.5 77.2 67.0 67.3

17.8 15.4 10.5 24.6 14.1

17.9 22.9 22.9 17.4 27.1

2.6 2.6

- 3.3 3.3

16.2 17.6 27.9 27.4 34.4

8.3 7.3

10.4 12.0 10.6

5.6

- -

4.1 3.3

61.7 62.2 59.3 46.3 46.1

1.2 2.6

- - -

- - - -

1.1

1.6 0.5

- 1.7 2.3

16.2 16.4 17.1 16.1 17.2

14.1 13.7 13.6 14.1 14.1

25.9 25.7 26.6 24.2 24.4

- Represents zero. 1 Broadcast soybeans included as "10.0 inches or less" but excluded in computation of average width.

Page 30: Crop Production 11/09/2021

30 Crop Production (November 2021) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Page 31: Crop Production 11/09/2021

Crop Production (November 2021) 31 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

October Weather Summary

Despite periodic rain-related fieldwork delays, Midwestern harvest activities remained near or ahead of the average pace.

By October 31, the Nation’s corn harvest was 74 percent complete, versus the 5-year average of 66 percent. The soybean

harvest, nearing completion by the end of October across much of the upper Midwest, was 79 percent complete nationally

by that date. During dry interludes between Midwestern rain events, warm weather assisted harvest efforts. In fact,

monthly temperatures averaged at least 5°F above normal in many Midwestern locations.

Above-normal monthly temperatures were common east of the Rockies, with the most anomalous warmth (more than 5°F

above normal) covering the Great Lakes region. In contrast, cooler-than-normal conditions blanketed much of the western

United States, especially from California into the Southwest, where monthly readings averaged as much as 5°F below

normal.

An increase in Western storminess culminated in a massive, early-season blast of precipitation on October 24-25,

especially across northern California. Indeed, multiple October storms carved a stormy path from northern California to

the northern Plains, providing drought relief and establishing high-elevation snowpack. Other areas of the West received

variable precipitation, although drier-than-normal weather prevailed across the southern half of the Rockies and adjacent

High Plains. Even with the October moisture, Western rangeland and pastures may not recover until at least spring 2022.

By October 31, at least 39 percent of the rangeland and pastures were rated in very poor to poor condition in eleven states

along and northwest of a line from California to Minnesota, led by Montana (95 percent very poor to poor).

Patchy dryness on the Plains locally limited winter wheat emergence and establishment, although many areas received

plenty of precipitation. Some of the region’s driest areas during October included north-central Montana and an area of

the High Plains extending as far north as southwestern Nebraska. Conversely, notably wet weather eased or eradicated

drought in Wyoming, the Dakotas, and southeastern Montana. Still, by the end of October, 46 percent of the winter wheat

was rated in very poor to poor condition in Texas, along with 44 percent in Montana, 31 percent in South Dakota, and

27 percent in Colorado.

Elsewhere, warm conditions across the South, accompanied by long stretches of dry weather, favored summer crop

maturation and harvesting. Much of the South had previously experienced slower-than-normal crop development and

delayed harvest due to a relatively cool, wet growing season. By October 31, harvest of many Southern crops, including

cotton (45 percent, versus the 5-year average of 48 percent) and peanuts (67 percent, versus 74 percent on average), was

still behind the average pace.

During the 5-week period ending November 2, drought coverage in the contiguous United States remained nearly

unchanged at 46 to 48 percent, according to the Drought Monitor. However, substantial October improvement in the

north-central United States and modest change in the West was offset by developing drought in the south-central

United States. National drought coverage has been significantly elevated for more than a year, and was last below

40 percent in late-September 2020. Since the beginning of the 21st century, the only other periods when the Nation’s

drought coverage continuously exceeded 40 percent for more than a year were March 12, 2002 – June 3, 2003, and

June 19, 2012 – October 1, 2013.

October Agricultural Summary

October was warmer than normal for most of the Nation. Large parts of the Great Lakes, Mid-Atlantic, Northeast, and

Northern Plains recorded temperatures 6°F or more above normal for the month. In contrast, much of the

Pacific Northwest, Southern Rockies, and Southwest were cooler than normal. Much of the Nation received higher than

normal amounts of precipitation for the month. Large parts of California, the Midwest, Nevada, Northern Plains, Rockies,

and Southeast recorded at least twice the normal amount of precipitation. Parts of Northern California and Washington

recorded 12 inches or more of precipitation for the month.

Eighty-eight percent of the Nation’s corn acreage was mature by October 3, three percentage points ahead of last year and

11 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Twenty-nine percent of the 2021 corn acreage was harvested by

October 3, five percentage points ahead of last year and 7 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average harvest pace.

Page 32: Crop Production 11/09/2021

32 Crop Production (November 2021) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Ninety-seven percent of the Nation’s corn acreage was mature by October 17, equal to last year but 4 percentage points

ahead of the 5-year average. Fifty-two percent of the 2021 corn acreage was harvested by October 17, five percentage

points behind last year but 11 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average harvest pace. On October 17, sixty percent of

the Nation’s corn acreage was rated in good to excellent condition, 1 percentage point below the same time last year.

Seventy-four percent of the 2021 corn acreage was harvested by October 31, seven percentage points behind last year but

8 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average harvest pace.

Soybean leaf drop was 86 percent complete Nationally by October 3, three percentage points ahead of last year and

6 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Soybean harvest across the Nation was 34 percent complete by

October 3, one percentage point behind last year but 8 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. On October 10,

fifty-nine percent of the Nation’s soybean acreage was rated in good to excellent condition, 4 percentage points below the

same time last year. Leaf drop was 95 percent complete Nationally by October 17, one percentage point behind last year

but equal to the 5-year average. Soybean harvest across the Nation was 60 percent complete by October 17,

thirteen percentage points behind last year but 5 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Soybean harvest across the

Nation was 79 percent complete by October 31, seven percentage points behind last year and 2 percentage points behind

the 5-year average.

Nationwide, producers had sown 47 percent of the intended 2022 winter wheat acreage by October 3, three percentage

points behind last year but 1 percentage point ahead of the 5-year average. Nationwide, 19 percent of the winter wheat

acreage had emerged by October 3, three percentage points behind last year but 1 percentage point ahead of the 5-year

average. Nationwide, producers had sown 70 percent of the intended 2022 winter wheat acreage by October 17,

six percentage points behind last year and 1 percentage point behind the 5-year average. Nationwide, 44 percent of the

winter wheat acreage had emerged by October 17, six percentage points behind last year and 3 percentage points behind

the 5-year average. Nationwide, producers had sown 87 percent of the intended 2022 winter wheat acreage by October 31,

one percentage point behind last year but 1 percentage point ahead of the 5-year average. Nationwide, 67 percent of the

winter wheat acreage had emerged by October 31, three percentage points behind last year and 1 percentage point behind

the 5-year average. Winter wheat emergence advanced by 10 percentage points or more in 13 of the 18 estimating States.

As of October 31, forty-five percent of the 2022 winter wheat acreage was reported in good to excellent condition,

2 percentage points above the same time last year.

By October 3, seventy percent of the Nation’s cotton had open bolls, 11 percentage points behind last year and

5 percentage points behind the 5-year average. By October 3, thirteen percent of the Nation’s cotton acreage was

harvested, 3 percentage points behind last year and 6 percentage points behind the 5-year average. By October 17,

eighty-six percent of the Nation’s cotton had open bolls, 7 percentage points behind last year and 2 percentage points

behind the 5-year average. By October 17, twenty-eight percent of the Nation’s cotton acreage was harvested,

5 percentage points behind last year and 6 percentage points behind the 5-year average. By October 31,

ninety-four percent of the Nation’s cotton had open bolls, 4 percentage points behind last year and 1 percentage point

behind the 5-year average. By October 31, forty-five percent of the Nation’s cotton acreage had been harvested,

6 percentage points behind last year and 3 percentage points behind the 5-year average. On October 31, sixty-two percent

of the 2021 cotton acreage was rated in good to excellent condition, 25 percentage points above the same time last year.

By October 3, seventy-nine percent of the Nation’s sorghum acreage was mature, 4 percentage points ahead of last year

and 12 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Thirty-eight percent of the 2021 sorghum acreage had been

harvested by October 3, one percentage point ahead of last year and 2 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average.

Fifty-five percent of the Nation’s sorghum acreage was rated in good to excellent condition on October 10,

five percentage points above the same time last year. By October 17, ninety-three percent of the Nation’s sorghum

acreage was mature, 1 percentage point behind last year but 5 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average.

Fifty-nine percent of the 2021 sorghum acreage had been harvested by October 17, two percentage points behind last year

but 9 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Ninety-two percent of Texas’ sorghum acreage was harvested by

October 17, equal to last year but 9 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Eighty percent of the 2021 sorghum

acreage had been harvested by October 31, one percentage point behind last year but 10 percentage points ahead of the

5-year average.

Page 33: Crop Production 11/09/2021

Crop Production (November 2021) 33 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Nationally, 73 percent of the rice acreage was harvested by October 3, four percentage points ahead of last year but

3 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Nationally, 92 percent of the rice acreage was harvested by October 17,

two percentage points ahead of last year and 1 percentage point ahead of the 5-year average. Ninety-five percent of the

2021 rice acreage had been harvested by October 24.

Nineteen percent of the Nation’s peanut acreage was harvested as of October 3, three percentage points ahead of last year

but 8 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Thirty-eight percent of the Nation’s peanut acreage was harvested as of

October 17, one percentage point behind last year and 14 percentage points behind the 5-year average. On October 24,

seventy-three percent of the Nation’s peanut acreage was rated in good to excellent condition, 9 percentage points above

the same time last year. Sixty-seven percent of the Nation’s peanut acreage was harvested as of October 31,

two percentage points ahead of last year but 7 percentage points behind the 5-year average.

By October 3, sugarbeet producers had harvested 20 percent of the Nation’s crop, 22 percentage points behind last year

and 8 percentage points behind the 5-year average. By October 17, sugarbeet producers had harvested 40 percent of the

Nation’s crop, 41 percentage points behind last year and 21 percentage points behind the 5-year average. By October 31,

sugarbeet producers had harvested 87 percent of the Nation’s crop, 7 percentage points behind last year but 3 percentage

points ahead of the 5-year average.

By October 3, six percent of this year’s sunflower crop was harvested, 4 percentage points behind last year but

2 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. By October 17, twenty-nine percent of this year’s sunflower crop was

harvested, 6 percentage points behind last year but 8 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. By October 31,

fifty-three percent of this year’s sunflower crop was harvested, 6 percentage points behind last year but 3 percentage

points ahead of the 5-year average.

Crop Comments

Corn: The 2021 corn harvested for grain acreage is forecast at 85.1 million acres, unchanged from the previous forecast,

but up 3 percent from last year.

The November 1 corn objective yield data indicate the third highest number of ears on record for the combined objective

yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin).

At 15.1 billion bushels, 2021 corn production for grain is forecast to be the second highest production on record for the

United States. The forecasted yield, at a record high 177.0 bushels per acre, is up 3 percent from last year’s final estimate

of 171.4 bushels per acre. Record high yields are forecast in California, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan,

New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, and Pennsylvania.

Eighty-eight percent of the Nation’s corn acreage was mature by October 3, three percentage points ahead of last year and

11 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Twenty-nine percent of the 2021 corn acreage was harvested by

October 3, five percentage points ahead of last year and 7 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average harvest pace.

Ninety-four percent of the Nation’s corn acreage was mature by October 10, one percentage point ahead of last year and

8 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Forty-one percent of the 2021 corn acreage was harvested by October 10,

two percentage points ahead of last year and 10 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average harvest pace.

Ninety-seven percent of the Nation’s corn acreage was mature by October 17, equal to last year but 4 percentage points

ahead of the 5-year average. Fifty-two percent of the 2021 corn acreage was harvested by October 17, five percentage

points behind last year but 11 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average harvest pace. On October 17, sixty percent of

the Nation’s corn acreage was rated in good to excellent condition, 1 percentage point below the same time last year.

Sixty-six percent of the Nation’s 2021 corn acreage was harvested by October 24, four percentage points behind last year

but 13 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average harvest pace. Seventy-four percent of the 2021 corn acreage was

harvested by October 31, seven percentage points behind last year but 8 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average

harvest pace.

Page 34: Crop Production 11/09/2021

34 Crop Production (November 2021) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Sorghum: Production is forecast at 471 million bushels, down slightly from the previous forecast but up 26 percent from

last year. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 6.52 million acres, unchanged from the previous forecast but up

28 percent from 2020. Based on conditions as of November 1, yield is forecast at 72.3 bushels per acre, unchanged from

the previous forecast but 0.9 bushel per acre below the 2020 yield of 73.2 bushels per acre. If realized, the forecasted yield

for Oklahoma will be a record high.

As of October 31, eighty percent of the sorghum acreage was harvested, 1 percentage point behind last year but

10 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average.

Rice: Production is forecast at 194 million cwt, up 2 percent from the previous forecast but down 15 percent from 2020.

Harvested area is expected to total 2.50 million acres, unchanged from the previous forecast but down 16 percent from

2020. Based on conditions as of November 1, the average United States yield is forecast at 7,756 pounds per acre, up

131 pounds per acre from the previous forecast and up 137 pounds per acre from 2020. If realized, this will be the highest

yield on record for the United States. Record high yields are forecast in Arkansas, California, Mississippi, and Missouri.

Nationally, 95 percent of the rice acreage was harvested by October 24, one percentage point ahead of last year but equal

to the five-year average. Rice harvest was 97 percent complete in Arkansas by October 31, two percentage points ahead of

last year. Harvest in Missouri had progressed to 90 percent complete by October 31, compared to the five-year average of

95 percent complete.

Soybeans: Production is forecast at 4.42 billion bushels, down 1 percent from the previous forecast but up 5 percent from

last year. Based on conditions as of November 1, yields are expected to average 51.2 bushels per acre, down 0.3 bushel

from the previous forecast but up 0.2 bushel from last year. If realized, this would be the second highest yield and

production on record for the United States. Area harvested for beans in the United States is forecast at 86.4 million acres,

unchanged from the previous forecast but up 5 percent from 2020.

The November objective yield data for the combined 11 major soybean-producing States (Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana,

Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, and South Dakota) indicate a lower pod count

compared with the previous year. Compared with final counts for 2020, pod counts are down in 6 of the 11 published

States. North Dakota showed the greatest decrease, down 433 pods per 18 square feet from the previous year.

Soybean harvest was 34 percent complete as of October 3, one percentage point behind last year but 8 percentage points

ahead of the 5-year average. As of October 31, harvest was 79 percent complete Nationwide, 7 percentage points behind

last year and 2 percentage points behind the 5-year average. At that time, harvest progress was at or behind the respective

State 5-year average pace in 11 of the 18 States estimated in the Crop Progress report.

If realized, the forecasted yield will be a record high in Delaware, Georgia, Illinois, Iowa, Kentucky, Maryland,

Mississippi, Nebraska, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, and Virginia.

Peanuts: Production is forecast at 6.24 billion pounds, down 1 percent from the previous forecast but up 1 percent from

the 2020 total of 6.16 billion pounds. Area harvested is expected to total 1.53 million acres, unchanged from the previous

forecast but down 5 percent from the 2020 total. Based on conditions as of November 1, the average yield for the

United States is forecast at 4,072 pounds per acre, down 33 pounds per acre from the previous forecast but up 259 pounds

per acre from the 2020 yield. A record high yield is forecast in South Carolina.

Sixty-seven percent of the Nation’s peanut acreage was harvested as of October 31, two percentage points ahead of last

year but 7 percentage points behind the five-year average. In Georgia, 69 percent of the peanuts had been harvested by

October 31, nine percentage points below the five-year average of 78 percent harvested. Excess moisture in the South

over the past two months has lowered yield expectations.

Cotton: Upland harvested area for the Nation is expected to total 9.80 million acres, unchanged from the previous

forecast but up 21 percent from last year. Expected Pima harvested area, at 122,200 acres, is unchanged from the previous

forecast but down 37 percent from last year.

Page 35: Crop Production 11/09/2021

Crop Production (November 2021) 35 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

As of October 31, sixty-two percent of the cotton acreage was rated in good to excellent condition, compared with

37 percent at the same time last year. As of October 31, ninety-four percent of the cotton acreage had open bolls,

4 percentage points behind last year and 1 percentage point behind the 5-year average. Forty-five percent of the cotton

acreage had been harvested by October 31, six percentage points behind last year and 3 percentage points behind the

5-year average.

If realized, the forecasted yield for Upland cotton in Arkansas will be a record high.

Ginnings totaled 3,542,900 running bales prior to November 1, compared with 3,975,750 running bales ginned prior to the

same date last year.

Sugarbeets: Production of sugarbeets for the 2021 crop year is forecast at 37.0 million tons, up 4 percent from last month,

and up 10 percent from last year. Producers expect to harvest 1.15 million acres, unchanged from the previous month but

up 1 percent from last year. Yield is forecast at 32.2 tons per acre, up 1.2 tons from last month and up 2.8 tons from last

year.

Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at 34.1 million tons, down 1 percent from last month

and down 6 percent from 2020. Producers intend to harvest 932,000 acres for sugar and seed during the 2021 crop year,

unchanged from last month, but down 2 percent from 2020. Yields for sugar and seed are expected to average

36.6 tons per acre, down 0.2 ton from last month and down 1.5 tons from 2020.

Potatoes: Production of potatoes for the 2021 crop year is forecast at 413 million cwt, down 2 percent from last year.

Planted acreage, at 951,000 acres, is up 1 percent from the June estimate and up 4 percent from last season. Area

harvested, at 942,300 acres, is up 3 percent from the previous year. The yield forecast, at 438 cwt per acre, is down 23 cwt

from last year’s yield.

Colorado, Idaho, North Dakota, Oregon, and Wisconsin completed harvest by October 31. In Washington, as of October

31, ninety-three percent of the potato acreage was harvested.

Page 36: Crop Production 11/09/2021

36 Crop Production (November 2021) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Statistical Methodology Field crop survey procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between October 24 and

November 4 to gather information on expected yield as of November 1. The objective yield surveys for corn, cotton, and

soybeans were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent of the United States

production. Randomly selected plots were revisited to make current counts. The counts made within each sample plot

depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, plant counts are recorded along with other measurements

that provide information to forecast the number of ears, bolls, or pods and their weight. The counts are used with similar

data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net

yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm

operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. Starting in 2019,

NASS eliminated the August objective yield survey for cotton (except Texas), corn, and soybeans.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail, internet, and personal

interviewers. Approximately 6,800 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about

probable yield.

Field crop estimating procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for

reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather

patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each Regional Field Office submits their

analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State

analyses to prepare the published November 1 forecasts.

Revision policy: The November 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each

month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the marketing

season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks.

Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. Estimates of

planted acres for spring planted crops are subject to revision in the August Crop Production report if conditions altered

the planting intentions since the mid-year survey. Current year, planted acres may also be revised for cotton, peanuts, and

rice in the September Crop Production report each year; spring wheat, Durum wheat, barley, and oats only in the

Small Grains Summary report at the end of September; and all other spring planted crops in the October Crop Production

report. Revisions to planted acres will only be made when either special survey data, administrative data, such as Farm

Service Agency program “sign up” data, or remote sensing data are available. Harvested acres may be revised any time a

production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last forecast.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the November 1 production forecast, the “Root Mean Square

Error,” a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the November 1 production

forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of the squared percentage

deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the “Root Mean

Square Error.” Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the

final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing

recent years. For example, the “Root Mean Square Error” for the November 1 corn for grain production forecast is

1.2 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the final

estimate by more than 1.2 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not

exceed 2.0 percent.

Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the November 1

forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the November 1 forecast and the final

estimate during the last 20 years have averaged 115 million bushels, ranging from 4 million bushels to 395 million

bushels. The November 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 7 times and above 13 times. This does not imply that

the November 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production.

Page 37: Crop Production 11/09/2021

Crop Production (November 2021) 37 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Reliability of November 1 Crop Production Forecasts [Based on data for the past twenty years]

Crop Root mean square error

90 percent confidence

interval

Difference between forecast and final estimate

Production Years

Average Smallest Largest Below final

Above final

(percent) (percent) (millions) (millions) (millions) (number) (number)

Corn for grain .................................. bushels Peanut 1 ........................................... pounds Potato .................................................... cwt Rice ....................................................... cwt Sorghum for grain ........................... bushels Soybeans for beans ........................ bushels Sugarbeets for sugar ............................ tons Sugarcane ............................................ tons Upland cotton 1 ................................... bales

1.2 4.9 2.2 1.6 5.0 1.8 1.5 4.6 5.0

2.0 8.5 3.9 2.8 8.6 3.0 2.6 7.9 8.6

115 207

6 2

14 49 (Z)

1 534

4 10 1

(Z) 1 2

(Z) (Z) 45

395 662 37 11 33

171 1 2

2,474

7 14 14 15 11 11 11 9 7

13 6 6 5 9 9 9

11 13

(Z) Less than half of the unit shown. 1 Quantity is in thousands of units.

Page 38: Crop Production 11/09/2021

38 Crop Production (November 2021) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact

for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to [email protected]

Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch ....................................................................................................... (202) 720-2127

Chris Hawthorn, Head, Field Crops Section ......................................................................................... (202) 720-2127

Irwin Anolik – Crop Weather ........................................................................................................... (202) 720-7621

Joshua Bates – Oats, Soybeans ........................................................................................................ (202) 690-3234

David Colwell – Current Agricultural Industrial Reports ................................................................ (202) 720-8800

Michelle Harder – Barley, County Estimates, Hay .......................................................................... (202) 690-8533

James Johanson – Rye, Wheat ......................................................................................................... (202) 720-8068

Greg Lemmons – Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet ............................................................................... (202) 720-9526

Becky Sommer – Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum ..................................................................... (202) 720-5944

Travis Thorson – Sunflower, Other Oilseeds ................................................................................... (202) 720-7369

Lihan Wei – Peanuts, Rice ............................................................................................................... (202) 720-7688

Fleming Gibson, Head, Fruits, Vegetables and Special Crops Section ................................................. (202) 720-2127

Fleming Gibson – Apples, Blueberries, Cranberries, Cucumbers, Pistachios, Potatoes,

Pumpkins, Raspberries, Squash, Strawberries, Sugarbeets, Sugarcane,

Sweet Potatoes ........................................................................................................................... (202) 720-2127

Robert Little – Apricots, Dry Beans, Lettuce, Macadamia, Maple Syrup,

Nectarines, Pears, Snap Beans, Spinach, Tomatoes .................................................................. (202) 720-3250

Fleming Gibson – Almonds, Asparagus, Carrots, Coffee, Onions,

Plums, Prunes, Sweet Corn ........................................................................................................ (202) 720-2127

Krishna Rizal – Artichokes, Cauliflower, Celery, Grapefruit, Garlic, Hazelnuts,

Kiwifruit, Lemons, Mandarins and tangerines, Mint, Mushrooms, Olives, Oranges,

Tobacco ...................................................................................................................................... (202) 720-5412

Antonio Torres – Cantaloupes, Dry Edible Peas, Green Peas, Honeydews, Lentils,

Papayas, Peaches, Sweet Cherries, Tart Cherries, Walnuts, Watermelons ................................ (202) 720-2157

Chris Wallace – Avocados, Bell Peppers, Broccoli, Cabbage, Chickpeas,

Chile Peppers, Dates, Floriculture, Grapes, Hops, Pecans ........................................................ (202) 720-4215

Page 39: Crop Production 11/09/2021

Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways:

➢ All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: www.nass.usda.gov

➢ Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e-mail subscription. To set-up this free

subscription, visit www.nass.usda.gov and click on “National” or “State” in upper right corner above “search”

box to create an account and select the reports you would like to receive.

➢ Cornell’s Mann Library has launched a new website housing NASS’s and other agency’s archived reports. The

new website, https://usda.library.cornell.edu. All email subscriptions containing reports will be sent from the new

website, https://usda.library.cornell.edu. To continue receiving the reports via e-mail, you will have to go to the

new website, create a new account and re-subscribe to the reports. If you need instructions to set up an account or

subscribe, they are located at: https://usda.library.cornell.edu/help. You should whitelist notifications@usda-

esmis.library.cornell.edu in your email client to avoid the emails going into spam/junk folders.

For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540,

7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: [email protected].

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination against its customers, employees, and applicants for

employment on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, sex, gender identity, religion, reprisal, and where

applicable, political beliefs, marital status, familial or parental status, sexual orientation, or all or part of an individual's

income is derived from any public assistance program, or protected genetic information in employment or in any program

or activity conducted or funded by the Department. (Not all prohibited bases will apply to all programs and/or

employment activities.)

If you wish to file a Civil Rights program complaint of discrimination, complete the USDA Program Discrimination

Complaint Form (PDF), found online at www.ascr.usda.gov/filing-program-discrimination-complaint-usda-customer, or

at any USDA office, or call (866) 632-9992 to request the form. You may also write a letter containing all of the

information requested in the form. Send your completed complaint form or letter to us by mail at U.S. Department of

Agriculture, Director, Office of Adjudication, 1400 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, by fax

(202) 690-7442 or email at [email protected].