Credit Suisse IV Equity Ideas Conference 2011
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Transcript of Credit Suisse IV Equity Ideas Conference 2011
CORPORATE PRESENTATION
Credit Suisse IV Equity Ideas Conference 2011
January, 2011
1
AGENDA
1. Company Overview
2. Strategy
3. Financials
4. Recent Developments
5. Quality Requirements
6. Conclusion
2
– Distance learning launching
– New academic model
– Shared Services Center (“SSC”)
– 2005 – 2007: for-profit transformation
Greenfield Growth
Consolidation of national leadership
Listed Company
and preparation for growth
4.8%
22.5%(5.5%) 4.4%
1970 … … 2002 … … 2007 2008 2009… 80’s - 90’s …
41.7%
1.5%23
141
178
218206
216
35
# of students (‘000)
CAGR
Turn around Turn aroundIPOIPO
Follow-OnFollow-On
– Acquisitions in the São Paulo market – GP acquires 20% of Estácio
– Estácio joins in Novo Mercado
– Organic growth
– M&A
– Efficiency gains
– Distance Learning
– Complete management organization restructuring
Note: Until 2007 the student base did not include graduate students.
9M10
ESTÁCIO: KEY MILESTONES
3
ESTÁCIO’S REGIONAL FOOTPRINT¹
KEY FIGURES
HIGHLIGHTS
.
..
.
...
..
...
.
.
..
.
.
ESTÁCIO AT-A-GLANCE
– Largest private post-secondary education group in Brazil
– Leading presence in the large and underserved working adults target group
– Diversified portfolio of programs with differentiated quality and competitive pricing
– Only Brazilian education company listed in Novo Mercado
Nationwide operations, covering states that account
for 86% of GDP and 82% of population
University Center
University
College
In process to Upgrade to University Center
. Distance Learning Center
216k students
69 campuses in 35 major cities in Brazil
51 accredited Distance-learning Centers
78 programs
(1) Estácio also owns a University in Paraguay with 2.7 thousand students
4
76mm
98mm+22mm
EMERGING CLASS¹
Brazilian Population189 milhões
Population Agedfrom 18 to 35 years
57 MM
Enrolled in PostSecondary Programs
4.9 MM
Graduated in PostSecondary Programs
5.1 MM
Penetration = 17%
FOCUS ON MIDDLE AND LOWER CLASSES²
43%
52%
2003 2008
Estácio’s Target
A Class B Class C Class D&E Classes Total Mkt
77% 36% 9% 3% 17%
2.3 5.7 2.1 0.48 10.6
22% 54% 20% 5% 100%
0.7 10.1 21.2 15.5 47.6
1% 21% 45% 33% 100%
Emergence of a class C with enormous consumption power and increasing awareness of the value of education
(% households, Apr/03 – Apr/08)
Income per capita CAGR of 4% since 1980 and 22 million individuals entered the class C income segment in the last 5 yearsAccording to FGV, 36 million people will join class C over the next 4 years
Note: (1) Households earning: R$1,064 to R$4,591 per month (2) PNAD - IBGE
Market size and penetration per Income Brackets:
Penetration Level
Current Mkt Size
Share of Penetrated Mkt
Unpenetrated Mkt
Share of Unpenetrated
ATTRACTIVE MARKET ENVIRONMENT
5
AGENDA
1. Company Overview
2. Strategy
3. Financials
4. Recent Developments
5. Quality Requirements
6. Conclusion
6
Quality of Products
Sales & Marketing
GrowthOpportunities
EfficiencyGains
StrongManagement
Culture
VALUE CREATION STRATEGY
7
8
DIFFERENTIATED QUALITY PROCUCTS…
Innovation and product reengineering aiming at better quality at competitive pricingInnovation and product reengineering aiming at better quality at competitive pricing
….WITH REDUCED COSTS
Higher attraction and retention of
students
Higher attraction and retention of
students
Improved gross margin
Improved gross margin
41 programs updated to labor market
demands (90% of Estácio’s current student
base)
Tailor made text books bundled in tuitions
Comprehensive student portal
On-line library with more than 2,000 titles
Integrated curricula with shared
disciplines
20% of distance learning content in on-
campus programs
20% of on-line self-learning activities
NEW ACADEMIC MODEL DRIVING QUALITY AND EFFICIENCY
8
STRUCTURES SALES FORCE
MARKET INTELLIGENCE
BRANDING AND ADVERTISING
Screening of key geographies and targets for:
- New programs and revenue sources
- Expansion through new units
- M&A targets
Geographical and channel segmentation
7,000 high schools and 2,000 companies regularly visited for
student sourcing
Trade marketing approach
Full planning, execution and tracking for all admission cycles
Strong national brand equity:
2nd most valuable brand in the education sector and
48th overall, by InBrands
New media channels (online and social networks)
SALES & MARKETING EFFORTS
9
OTHER ORGANIC OPPORTUNITIES
Market share gains, increased points of presence and time to market
Market share gains, increased points of presence and time to market
(Students in thousands)
Quality of education coupled with technology and support
Lower average ticket: bringing D Class to the addressable market
No additional CAPEX: 51 centers within our 69 campuses
Higher profitability
Launching of new programs and courses
Focus on high growth segments according to market
needs (Ex: courses for oil & gas, infrastructure and tourism
industries)
Opening of new campuses
Geographic expansion
New revenue sources
Corporate education and vocational courses
6.2 7.5
14,919.2
22.3
1.62.1
1.5
1.7
2.4
set/09 dec/09 mar/10 jun/10 set/10
+216.7%24.7
20.9
16.4
9.67.8
Graduate
Undergraduate
ORGANIC GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES
DISTANCE LEARNING
10
8 17 17 17 1713
2
124
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
North and NE48
Central Brazil30
SP and South32
Rio de Janeiro10
<Region><# of Targets>
M&A
Course period
120
R$ / month
2.016 private Entities
247
Long-term financing to low-income students
3.5% a.a. nominal interests with 18-year term
No guarantor required from 2011 onwards
Allows further penetration in Classes C and D
Students become more quality sensitive and less price sensitive
Lower level of drop-outs: financing is currently the major reason for drop-outs
Size over 2 thousand studentsAttractive citiesStrategic fitAssets quality
Example: payment flow for a 100% FIES financed of a 4-year course
and R$600/month tuition
MARKET GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES
STUDENT FINANCING
11
46%
44%43%
44%
42%
2007 2008 2009 9M09 9M10
19%18%
17% 17%16%
2007 2008 2009 9M09 9M10
1
2
3
(1) Excluding INSS and non-recurring
3
2
( as a % of net revenues)
( as a % of net revenues)
Product reengineering – new academic model
More efficient faculty cost allocation:PPC modeling and control
Management on a unit-by-unit basis(individual P&Ls and internal benchmarking)
Zero based / matrix budgeting
Strong cost austerity1
Centralizationof back-office (SSC) Scalability
Better managementof receivables
Lower bad debtprovisions
EFFICIENCY GAINS
LOWER OPERATING COSTS PERSONNEL COSTS¹
G&A DILUTION G&A
12
Culture set to groom internal talents for self-sustained growth– Excellence in human talents in all levels is top priority
Capacity to attract and retain new talents– Trainee programs and accelerated meritocratic career planning in all levels
Expertise in education combined with experience from several industries
Management by “walking around” to guarantee execution and disseminate culture– 220 managers with individual, monthly tracked goals driving their variable compensation– 68 units visited by CEO in the first 18 months
Stock options & variable compensation fully aligned with shareholders– EBITDA based variable compensation for executives, managers and faculty members– Stock option to 28 senior executives (up to 4.5% of capital to be granted)
Result-oriented culture is key to differentiation and long-term sustainability of business model
RESULT-ORIENTED MANAGEMENT CULTURE
13
AGENDA
1. Company Overview
2. Strategy
3. Financials
4. Recent Developments
5. Quality Requirements
6. Conclusion
14
178,1206,7
186,9 180,7
11,6
9,2 10,87,5 22,32,1
2,4
STUDENT BASE NET REVENUES
AVERAGE TICKETS
178.1
218.3205.7
216.2
( in ‘000 students ) total
Distance Learning GraduateDistance Learning Undergraduate
On Campus GraduateOn Campus Undergraduate
2007 2008 2009 Set/10
+22.6%
–9.6%
STUDENT BASE AND REVENUES
+14.0%+2.9%
-0.1%
(1) Average ticket = net revenues in the period over student base at the end of the period
On Campus Average Ticket Distance Learning Average Ticket
399,5 417
158,8 173,7
9M09 9M10
-6.9%
+9.2%+4.4%
15
58,8 55,5 61,941,7 41,1
4,8 7,57,8
6,3 8,3
100,6114,7 99,7
74,5 70,1
2007 2008 2009 9M09 9M10
32,6
58,9
43,8
23,8 26,4
16,9
24,9
30,1
2933,6
2007 2008 2009 9M09 9M10
396,5 427,4 431,7
332,2 312,5
41,759,1 74,3
57,1 62,7
75,4
92,697,4
74,6 72,0
40,5
49,952,1
40,0 48,0
2007 2008 2009 9M09 9M10
STRICT CONTROL OF COSTS AND EXPENSES
Better management of faculty offset the step up of INSS and inflation
Better management of faculty offset the step up of INSS and inflation
Benchmark delinquency in the industryDiscretionary increase in marketing to
advertise new academic model and FIES
Benchmark delinquency in the industryDiscretionary increase in marketing to
advertise new academic model and FIES
Note: (1) Not considering depreciation and non-recurring items
Real decrease in G&A expenses – scalable model
Real decrease in G&A expenses – scalable model
6.9% 7.9%7.3%8.6%5.8%64.8%65.9%65.0%64.2%64.4%73.9
16.0% 15.6%16.8%18.1%19.1%
% of net revenues( in R$ million )
Payroll INSS Rentals Others
554.1
629.1655.5
503.9495.2
49.5
83.8
73.9
52.8
60.0
PDD Marketing
% of net revenues( in R$ million ) % of net revenues( in R$ million )
164.2177.7
169.4
122.5119.5
Payroll INSS Others
COST OF SERVICES SELLING EXPENSES G&A EXPENSES
16
100,3 98,4119,1
93,4 100,2
2007 2008 2009 9M09 9M10
282,8 319,8 321,3
236,4 254,6
2007 2008 2009 9M09 9M10
SIGNIFICANT ROOM FOR MARGIN EXPANSION
ADJUSTED GROSS PROFIT (R$MM) AND GROSS MARGIN¹
ADJUSTED EBITDA (R$MM) AND EBITDA MARGIN (%)¹
32.6% 31.9% 30.9% 33.3%32.9%
Note: (1) On a recurring basis
Student base growth and efficiency gains will leverage margin expansionStudent base growth and efficiency gains will leverage margin expansion
10.0% 11.8% 12.2% 13.1%11.7%
% of net revenues
17
SOLID CASH POSITION
NET CASH (NET DEBT) AS OF 30-SEP-2010 (R$MM)
DIVIDENDS DISTRIBUTED (R$ MM) AND PAYOUT RATIO
% of net income
52.6% 56.7% 50.0%
AESA
kroton
ESTACIO
16.1
-0.6x
Net debt/EBITDA LTM
238.5
(130.8)
18
AGENDA
1. Company Overview
2. Strategy
3. Financials
4. Recent Developments
5. Quality Requirements
6. Conclusion
19
OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE
19%5%0%
76%
GP Investments Administrators and Counselors TreasuryFree Float
BEFORE PUBLIC OFFER AFTER PUBLIC OFFER
20%0%
0%
28%36%
5%5% 5%
GP Investments Administrators and CounselorsTreasury Free FloatJoao Uchoa Cavalcanti Monique Uchoa CavalcantiAndre Uchoa Cavalcanti Marcel Uchoa Cavalcanti
Free Float reaches 76%
Number of shares78,751,843
Number of shares78,751,843
Number of shares82,038,041
Number of shares82,038,041
20
December
November
October
September
August
July
June
May
April
March
February
January
STOCK PERFORMANCE 2010
ESTACIO’S LIQUIDITY
1.1 MM
Average Daily Trading Volume (Reais)Before vs. After the Public Offer
+680%
Public Offer Announcement
8.7 MM
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
ESTC3 IBOV
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
STOCK PERFORMANCE AND MARKET VALUE
Stock price increases 39% after the Public OfferStock price increases 39% after the Public Offer
1.9 1.5 2.2
Market Cap (in R$ billion)
Average Trading Volume grows over 6 times from Jan-Aug to Sep-DecAverage Trading Volume grows over 6 times from Jan-Aug to Sep-Dec
21
EXPANSION THROUGH NEW CAMPUSES
CHACARA FLORA CAMPUS SULACAP CAMPUS
Location: Rio de Janeiro
Number of courses: 18
Capacity: 3200 students per shift
Location: Rio de Janeiro
Number of courses: 18
Capacity: 3200 students per shift
Location: São Paulo
Number of courses: 2 (niche programs)
Capacity: 2100 students
22
SALES & MARKETING EFFORTS
“TIRA DÚVIDAS” PROJECT
ESTÁCIO´S POINTS OF SALES
CLICK PROFISSÃO
Sale outlets well located
Focus on neutralizing the actions of our competitors
Promote brand and products
Promote vocational tests
Events in high schools
Educational stands at the subway
Estacio professors answer population’s doubts
STRUCTURED TRADE MARKETING AND FOCUS ON DIRECT MARKETINGSTRUCTURED TRADE MARKETING AND FOCUS ON DIRECT MARKETING
23
COMING SOON
24
TOWARD A CULTURE OF SUSTAINABILITY
IN 2009, 200.000 STUDENTS WERE ACHIEVED BY OUR 206 PROJECTS TO THE COMMUNITY
2008 2009
50% 36%
40% 36%
10%
29%
Health Area Legal Area Others
500.000
700.000
COMMUNITY ATTENDANCE
+40 %
25
AGENDA
1. Company Overview
2. Strategy
3. Financials
4. Recent Developments
5. Quality Requirements
6. Conclusion
26
HIGH EDUCATION EVALUATION
IES
COURSE
ACCREDITATION
REACCREDITATION
AUTHORIZATION*
RECOGNITION
RECOGNITION RENEWAL
Accreditation Assessment
Grades
Accreditation Assessment
Grades
CPC²CPC²
¹General Index of Courses – Represents the average weighted graduate and undergraduate grades from each institution; ²Preliminary Course Concept; ³Represets the highest wight in the CPC calculos compositon; *If the IES is a College, and doesn’t have autonomy; except Law, Medicine, Odontology and Psicology.
REGULATORY EVENTS MEC EVALUATIONS
ENADEENADE
IDDIDD
Supplies³Supplies³
IES grades
Grades from courses in each minicipality
Graduate and undergraduate average grades
Graduate and undergraduate average grades
Infraestructure Faculty
Student satisfaction
Infraestructure Faculty
Student satisfaction
Positive assessmentmay render dismissal
of regulatory
events
5
4
3
2
1
(High Education Institution)
Negative assessment may render penalties by the Ministry of Education
(MEC)
IGC¹IGC¹
27
100% of Acts of Authorization submitted with MEC were granted with grades equal or above 3, by an External Assessment Committee.
Out of 50 municipality-courses evaluated by MEC in 2010, 48% exceeded the minimum grades required, reaching grades of excellence (4 and 5).
48% Grades 4 e 5
52% Grade 3
REGULATORY EVENTS RESULTS
100% Acts of Authorization
granted
100% Acts of Authorization
granted
28
Implementation of the New Academic Model;
Dashboard of regulatory compliances;
Action plans to all and evey regulatory events;
Legal Opinions, Tecnical Notes and Reports issued by Central Compliance
Intelligence;
Operations, academic and legal teams with goals and bonuses driven by
regulatory compliance.
MEASURES IMPLEMENTED IN 2010
29
AGENDA
1. Company Overview
2. Strategy
3. Financials
4. Recent Developments
5. Quality Requirements
6. Conclusion
30
Management culture drives self sustained business model and long term growthManagement culture drives self sustained business model and long term growth
Scalable business model with margin expansion potentialScalable business model with margin expansion potential
Organic and M&A growth platformOrganic and M&A growth platform
Quality product and competitive pricingQuality product and competitive pricing
UNIQUELY POSITIONED IN A HIGH GROWTH MARKET
31
Investor Relations:Flávia de Oliveira
E-mail: [email protected]: +55 (21) 3311-9789Fax: +55 (21) 3311-9722
Address: Av. Embaixador Abelardo Bueno, 199 – Office Park – 6thfloor CEP: 22.775-040 – Barra da Tijuca – Rio de Janeiro – RJ – Brazil
Website: www.estacioparticipacoes.com/ir
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements concerning the industry’s prospects and Estácio Participações’ estimated financial and operating results; these are ere projections and, as such, are based solely on the Company management’s expectations regarding the future of the business and its continuous access to capital to finance Estácio Participações’ business plan. These considerations depend substantially on changes in market conditions, government rules, competitive pressures and the performance of the sector and the Brazilian economy as well as other factors and are, therefore, subject to changes without previous notice. We are a holding company, and our only assets are our interests in SESES, SESSA and IREP, and we currently hold 99.9% of the capital stock of each of these subsidiaries. Considering that the Company was incorporated on March 31 2007, the information presented herein is for comparison purposes only, on a proforma unaudited basis, relative to the first three months of 2007, as if the Company had been organized on January 1 2007. Additionally, information was presented on an adjusted basis, in order to reflect the payment of taxes on SESES, our largest subsidiary, which from February 2007, after becoming a for-profit company, is subject to the applicable taxation rules applied to the remaining subsidiaries, except for the exemptions arising out of the PROUNI – University for All Program (“PROUNI”). Information presented for comparison purposes should not be considered as a basis for calculation of dividends, taxes or for any other corporate purposes.
IR CONTACTS
32