Corum Group MA Flash Report 7-2-2009
Transcript of Corum Group MA Flash Report 7-2-2009
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www.corumgroup.com
M&A Flash ReportM&A Flash Report ± ± July 2009July 2009Software and IT Industry Market Update
Thursday, July 2, 200910:00 am PT
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Corum Group Presentation 2
Mark ReedExecutive Vice PresidentCorum Group Ltd.
>> For today¶s presentation or more information, contact Pat Sultan([email protected], +1 425-455-8281 ext. 248)
Ryan BlakelyVice President, ResearchCorum Group Ltd.
Ward Carter PresidentCorum Group Ltd.
Ward's technology background includes a variety of management positions with theBurroughs Corporation (later Unisys). Then, as vice president of a Wall Streetinvestment firm and as principal in a regional venture firm, he raised capital for ventures in computer hardware, software, and biotechnology. As an executive for aSeattle-based archival storage software company, he attracted venture capital andassisted with the eventual acquisition of the company by a larger competitor. Aspresident of InfoMatrix, and later Discovery Sales + Marketing, Ward providedstrategic consulting support to emerging software companies.
He joined Corum in 1997, has successfully managed numerous software companymergers and acquisitions worldwide, and was appointed president in 2006. Hegraduated with Honors from Seattle University with a B.A. in Business.
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Corum Group Presentation 3
Agenda
O verview of Current Market
Managing for an Exit
Marc Brown - Microsoft
Market and Valuation Analysis
Closing Comments - Q&A
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Corum Group Presentation 4
Recent Headlines are Mixed
Economic contraction is slowing
Markets up 30-50% from lows
Mortgage defaults continue
Inflation a threat
Unemployment rising
³O ptimism´ indexes rising
M&A valuations stabilizing
Recovery by 2010 or 2014??
«. Have markets bottomed?
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Corum Group Presentation 5
W here are Markets Headed?
Don¶t know, and can¶t control
DJIA +/- 2000 points in 12 months?
Don¶t base decisions on indexes
What you can control: how you spend your cash &
manage your business
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Corum Group Presentation 6
Take Stock of W here You Are
Be honest about your business
Growing, adding customers, hiring, solid cash
position, attractive market, profitable
Cash stable, business slowing, not hiring
Burning cash, flat or negative growth, market sector troubled
Step back, evaluate situation and goals
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Corum Group Presentation 7
Starting Today
O ld ModelGrowth at all costGet big fastRevolutionary product
Horizontal expansionThe next big thing
New ModelCash flow at all costCut the fatBecome necessary
Core focusImprove customers¶business now
1) Manage your cash carefully
2) Tune business model for the times
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Corum Group Presentation 8
Starting Today«
3) Look at your company with an acquirer¶s eye
4) Clean up your company
Record keepingBusiness processBusiness planning & projections
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Corum Group Presentation 9
Starting Today«
5) Make decisions with M&A in mindDevelopmentMarketing and SalesRevenue composition
6) Articulate your story
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Corum Group Presentation 11
M&A ± from a Buyer¶s Perspective
Use downturn to build a more
valuable company
Act while competitors are scramblingBenefit from strong recurring revenue
Deal based on perceived value, not multiples
No patience for unsubstantiated upside pitch
Cash balances strong
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Corum Group Presentation 12
C orporate C ash
C ompany Year Ago C ash C urrent Period C ash
Sun $2,272 $2,700
Apple $11,875 $25,010
Nokia $3,130 $2,404
Microsoft $10,339 $23,900
Oracle $8,262 $12,620
HP $10,153 $12,920
EMC $5,843 $7,250
Cisco $5,191 $33,550
Google $8,656 $17,780SAP $1,804 n/a
Yahoo! $2,292 $3,450
IBM $12,741 $12,300
Sym a n tec $1,890 $1,990
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Corum Group Presentation 13
Top Technology Stocks
C ompany Stock Price07/01/2008
Stock Price03/03/2009
Stock Price07/01/2009
% C hange fromMarch
Sun $10.74 $4.54 $9.22 103.08%
Apple $174.68 $87.71 $142.83 62.84%
Nokia $24.21 $9.25 $14.77 59.68%Microsoft $26.87 $16.03 $24.04 49.97%
Oracle $21.31 $15.06 $21.74 44.36%
HP $44.00 $28.30 $38.68 36.68%
EMC $14.65 $10.13 $13.14 29.71%
Cisco $23.15 $14.50 $18.80 29.66%
Google $534.73 $326.67 $418.99 28.26%
SAP $51.89 $32.28 $40.37 25.06%
Yahoo! $20.20 $12.58 $15.41 22.50%
IBM $119.27 $88.01 $104.84 19.12%
Sym a n tec $19.74 $13.15 $15.63 18.86%
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Corum Group Presentation 14
Shopping List ± Buyer One
Competitors active in M&A³Dramatically expand´ software side through acquisitionsPrefer SaaSVertical focus vs. horizontalConsider Retail, Telecom, Financial Services, PublicSector, Healthcare
Targets 5 to 100 mil in revO EM or outright acquisition
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Corum Group Presentation 15
Shopping List ± Buyer Two
IT services / BP O ServicesBuilding geographic reach, adding technology andcustomers
$10 to 200 mil revenueNorth America, Japan or EuropeERP, CRM, Data Recovery, Infrastructure Mgmt,HealthcareO ff-shoring opportunities a plus
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Corum Group Presentation 16
Marc BrownManaging Director, Corporate DevelopmentGroup
Marc Brown is a managing director in the Corporate Development Group at Microsoft Corp.,where he has been employed since January 2000. From May 1998 to December 1999, hewas an associate in the Private Equity and Emerging Companies Group of the law firmGoodwin, Procter & Hoar LLP. Before that, he was an associate in the Mergers and
Acquisition and Merchant Banking groups at the Union Bank of Switzerland, from 1987 to1991.
Brown holds a doctor of jurisprudence degree from Georgetown University Law Center, anMBA in Finance from New York University and a bachelor of arts in Economics from ColgateUniversity.
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Corum Group Presentation 17
Ryan Blakely
Vice President, ResearchCorum Group Ltd.
Ryan joined Corum in 1998 and has held a number of roles central to research and marketanalysis in the software and technology space. With over ten years experience in thesoftware M&A environment, Ryan has an intimate understanding of the software industry asa whole, especially as it relates to mergers and acquisitions. As the Vice President of
Research, Ryan directs Corum¶s research group in both North America and Europe, andhas played a direct role in developing buyer relationships during his tenure with Corum. Healso is a major contributor to Corum¶s research reports. Ryan graduated from WashingtonState University with a B.A. in Business Management, with a focus on EntrepreneurialStudies.
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Corum Group Presentation 18
M&A Activity ± June
Number of Software and IT M&A Transactions
0 50 100 1 50 2 0 0 250 300 350 400
June
2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
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Corum Group Presentation 19
M&A Activity
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 3 5 0 400
a ¡ uary
February
March
April
May
Ju ¡ e
2009 2006 2005
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Corum Group Presentation 21
Public Markets
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
100.00
110.00
120.00
Ju n- 08 Ju l-08 Aug -08 S ep- 08 Oct -08 Nov -08 D e c -08 J an- 09 Feb-09 M a ¢ -09 A p ¢ -09 M ay- 09 Ju n- 09
Nasdaq S& P Te ch Dow
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Corum Group Presentation 22
Q 2:08 Q 3:08 Q 4:08 Q 1:09 Q 2:09
EV EBI D 10 .12 x 11 .01 x 7 .69 x 6 .82 x 9 .99 x
EV S 1 .81 x 1 .71 x 1 .04 x 1 .12 x 1 .50 x
Ho zontpp c t on
Softw
Horizontal Application Software Market
Public Valuations
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Corum Group Presentation 23
N otable Transactions Spotlight:
Sector: Accounting/PayrollTarget: PayCycle Inc.
Buyer: IntuitDate: June 2009Transaction Value: $170 millionStructure: CashTransaction Multiple: 5.7x
C omments:Expanding product portfolioSaaS
Horizontal Application Software Market
Target Buyer
ETH Tech Ltd. Clear2Pay NVCura SoftwareSolutions
Softpro Systems
XyEnterprise SDL International
PayCycle Inc. Intuit, Inc.
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Corum Group Presentation 24
Public Valuations
Vertical Application Software Market
Q2 : Q3 : Q4 : Q1 : Q2 :
V BI D 11.07 x 9.37 x 6.92 x 6.53 x 8.17 x
EV S 2.19 x 1.71 x 1.26 x 1.14 x 1.51 x
V t c Applic t ion
So ft
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Corum Group Presentation 25
N otable TransactionsSpotlight:
Sector: Financial ServicesTarget: Prospectus CentralBuyer: RR Donnelley & SonsDate: June 2009Transaction Value: Undisclosed
C omments:Big buys smallDistressed sector Building on prior successSaaS
Target Buyer
eResearchTechnology (EDC)
O mniCommSystems
eQuilibriumSolutions
EnerN O C
Prospectus Central R.R. Donnelley
Vertical Application Software Market
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Corum Group Presentation 26
Public Valuations
C onsumer Application Software Market
Q2 :08 Q3 :08 Q4 :08 Q1 :09 Q2 :09
EV EBI DA 10.99 x 11.45 x 5.41 x 2.74 x 4.47 x
EV S 1.70 x 0.99 x 0.61 x 0.64 x 0.53 x
Consum r Applic t ion
So ft r
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Corum Group Presentation 27
N otable TransactionsSpotlight:
Sector: MobilityTarget: Dash NavigationBuyer: Research In MotionDate: June 2009Transaction Value: Undisclosed
C omments:SaaSDifferentiator Hot space
Target Buyer
Fueps SpA Dada SpAId Software ZeniMax Media
Mustache Inc. Fanzter
Dash Navigation Research InMotion
C onsumer Application Software Market
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Corum Group Presentation 28
Infrastructure Market
Public Valuations
Q2:08 Q3:08 Q4:08 Q1:09 Q2:09
E E D 11 .39 x 8 .98 x 6 .4 7 x 6 .98 x 8 .7 4 x
E 1 .98 x 1 .67 x 1 .4 7 x 1 .43 x 1 .7 2 x
Infrastru ctureSoftware
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Corum Group Presentation 29
N otable TransactionsSpotlight:
Sector: Development ToolsTarget: Wind River Buyer: Intel CorporationDate: June 2009Transaction Value: $884 millionStructure: CashTransaction Multiple: 2.2x
C omments:New software focus
Target Buyer
HourGlassTechnologies
Ipswitch
Wind River Intel Corporation
Infrastructure Market
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Corum Group Presentation 30
Internet Market
Public Valuations
Q 2 08 Q 3 08 Q 4 08 Q 1 09 Q 2 09
E E ITD 11 .94 x 9 .60 x 8 .11 x 7 .54 x 11 .81 x
E S 2 .71 x 2 .34 x 1 .10 x 1 .60 x 2 .30 x
Internet
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Corum Group Presentation 31
N otable TransactionsSpotlight:
Sector: Advertising /local networking
Target: GoingBuyer: AO L, Inc.Date: June 2009Transaction Value: Undisclosed
C omments:Desire to be localMillion-plus unique visitors monthly
Target Buyer
Talkzilla.com TZ HoldingsSiliconinvestor.com TZ Holdings
SendTec Inc. PHIDS Inc.
SnapTell A9.com
Going Inc. A O L
Internet Market
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Corum Group Presentation 32
IT Services Market
Public Valuations
Q 2 08 Q 3 08 Q 4 08 Q 1 09 Q 2 09
E E ITD 6 .92 x 6 .50 x 5 .36 x 5 .32 x 5 .24 x
E S 0 .89 x 0 .80 x 0 .70 x 0 .56 x 0 .63 x
ITSer vices
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Corum Group Presentation 33
N otable TransactionsSpotlight:
Sector: ServicesTarget: Carillion plcBuyer: Capita Group plcDate: June 2009Transaction Value: $57 million
C omments:Intra-countryServices around the networkValuation in µservices¶ range
Target Buyer
Resource Group AG
Swisscom AG
Bearing Point Keane
Structurum AS Inmeta ASA
Carillion plc Capita Group plc
IT Services Market
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Corum Group Presentation 34
C ontact Information
Research and Conferences:www.corumgroup.com
C orum Group Ltd.
Ward Carter, [email protected]
Ryan Blakely, VP [email protected]
10500 NE 8th Street, Suite 1500Bellevue, W A 98004USA
+1 425-455-8281
C orum Group International S.à.r.l.
Beim ParadeplatzBasteiplatz 78001 ZürichSwitzerland
+41 44 251 82 65