Consortium for Scenario Planning2018 ConferenceSeptember 12-14Columbus, OhioHosted by the Mid-Ohio Regional Planning Commission

Event Facilities

Sessions on Wednesday, September 12 will be held at the offices of the Mid-Ohio Regional Planning Commission at 111 Liberty Street, Suite 100, Columbus, Ohio 43215.

The networking reception on Wednesday, September 12 at 5:30-7:30 will be held at Strongwater Columbus at 401 West Town Street, Columbus, Ohio 43215.

Sessions on Thursday, September 13 and Friday, September 14 will be held at the Crowne Plaza Columbus-Downtown at 33 East Nationwide Boulevard, Columbus, Ohio 43215.

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Wednesday, September 12Location: Mid-Ohio Regional Planning Commission (MORPC) Offices

1:00-1:30Welcome and Introductions Scioto Conference Room - William Murdock, Executive Director, MORPC - Dr. George “Mac” McCarthy, President & CEO, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

1:30-2:30Local Scenario Planning Initiatives: insight2050 Corridor ConceptsScioto Conference RoomInsight2050 changed the way Central Ohio communities plan for growth and development. Today, the region remains at the forefront of innovative scenario planning with its latest project, insight2050 Corridor Concepts. Panelists will discuss the project’s expected impacts on development patterns and regional mobility. Speakers: - Kerstin Carr, Director of Planning & Environment, MORPC - Kimberly Sharp, Deputy Director of Planning & Development, City of Westerville - Mark Wagenbrenner, President, Wagenbrenner Development Moderator: - Trudy Bartley, Associate Vice President for Community Relations, Ohio State University

2:30-2:45Break

2:45-3:30Addressing Social Equity Through Scenario PlanningScioto Conference RoomScenario planning is a mechanism for purposeful decision-making, helping to measure impacts on metrics like traffic and land consumption. The social implications of decision-making can be much more difficult to measure. As scenario planning becomes more prevalent, how can equity be integrated as a value into the scenario planning process? Panelists will focus on the qualitative side of scenario planning and offer strategies for elevating equitable representation of community interests. Speakers: - Bobbie Garber, Executive Director, Affordable Housing Alliance of Central Ohio - Jason Reece, Assistant Professor, The Ohio State University - Tijs Van Maasakkers, Assistant Professor, Ohio State University Moderator: - Jennifer Noll, Principal Planner, MORPC

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3:30-5:30 Walking Tour Preview and Walking Tour Scioto Conference Room and Downtown Columbus Join us for a walking tour of the host city. Our tour hosts will kick off the afternoon with a preview of the sights and sounds. We’ll take a short break before setting off for an adventure through downtown Columbus. You won’t want to miss the 2016 recipient of the American Planning Association’s National Planning Excellence Award for Implementation, the Scioto Mile, or one of the newest additions to the Columbus skyline, the Michael B. Coleman Government Center.Note that participants are encouraged to wear comfortable shoes. This two-mile tour will take approximately 60 to 75 minutes and will conclude at the site of the evening reception. Terrain is mostly flat and paved. Please notify conference organizers of any special requests. Tour Hosts: - Mark Lundine, Economic Development Administrator, City of Columbus - Ashley Senn, Downtown + Neighborhoods Manager, City of Columbus

5:30-7:30Networking ReceptionStrongwater ColumbusThe day concludes at Strongwater, a unique adaptive reuse of a 100-year-old warehouse in the Columbus neighborhood of Franklinton. Regional partners Smart Columbus and the Central Ohio Transit Authority will offer greetings and remarks followed by a special in memoriam tribute to John Fregonese. Speakers: - Brandi Braun, Deputy Innovation Officer, City of Columbus/Smart Columbus - Laura Koprowski, Vice President of Government Affairs and Strategic External Communications, Central Ohio Transit Authority

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Thursday, September 13Location: Crowne Plaza Columbus-Downtown

7:30-9:00Continental Breakfast Fusion Room

8:00-9:15Scenario Planning Basics Part 1: Introduction to Scenario PlanningScioto RoomLearn about what scenario planning is, how it can help your planning work, and how you can get started. Practical insights from the profession will be provided to contextualize scenario planning. Speaker: Janae Futrell, Decision Support Fellow, Consortium for Scenario Planning

Defining and Evaluating Scenario Planning SuccessRiviera RoomAs scenario planning becomes more commonly used in planning processes, understanding what defines success for various types of scenario planning efforts, and how that can be evaluated, is key. Goodspeed will share his recent research exploring this topic and lead an interactive session to gain feedback from practitioners for broader application. Speaker: Robert Goodspeed, Assistant Professor of Urban Planning, University of Michigan Moderator: Jessie Grogan, Senior Policy Analyst, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Scenario Planning at the Local LevelKingsmill RoomScenario planning at the regional level (e.g., multiple jurisdictions), is sometimes perceived to be less common than at the local level (e.g., municipalities, counties, or single jurisdictions). Becker, Marra, and Stapleton will share project examples of scenario planning at the local level and explain why scenario planning was applied, what issues it was used to address, and what setbacks or successes they experienced. They will lead a conversation with the audience on how regional and local plans could interact, the cost of not collaborating, and ways forward. Speakers: - Gary Becker, Executive Director, Local Government Institute of Wisconsin - Ralph Marra, Senior Principal, Southwest Water Resources Consulting - Jeremy Stapleton (also serving as moderator), Director of Climate Resilience, Sonoran Institute

9:15-9:30Break

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9:30-10:45Scenario Planning Basics Part 2: Workshopping your Scenario Planning ProcessScioto RoomParticipants will apply what they learned during Part 1 to their planning work through an interactive mini-workshop session. This session will result in concrete steps they can take to integrate scenario planning into their work. Speaker: Janae Futrell, Decision Support Fellow, Consortium for Scenario Planning

Mixing and Matching Scenario Planning Types for Regional NeedsRiviera RoomScenario planning includes a few different types, including exploratory, normative, and predictive. Each type is applicable to certain planning purposes, and planning processes increasingly integrate elements of two or more types. Avin, Haynes, and Kim will explain the types of scenario planning applied to their regional work, illustrate the basics of the project, and provide details about the solutions scenario planning helped to provide. With the audience, they will discuss how and when certain types of scenario planning should be applied as well as how multiple types can be used together. Speakers: - Uri Avin (also serving as moderator), Research Professor, National Center for Smart Growth, University of Maryland - David Haynes, Long Range Transportation Plan Manager, Transportation Access and Mobility Group, Atlanta Regional Commission - Martin Kim, Director of Regional Planning, Miami Valley Regional Planning Commission

Quantitative Approaches for Policy DevelopmentKingsmill RoomMany planners struggle to understand which planning questions are well-suited for a quantitative approach to scenario planning and how to get started with such an analysis. Chakraborty, Flynn, and Reardon will share their quantitative work in scenario planning, some with a major geographic component, and others with limited geographic exploration. They will lead the audience in a discussion of planning needs for which quantitative approaches are commonly helpful. Speakers: - Arnab Chakraborty, Professor of Urban and Regional Planning, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Dan Flynn (also serving as moderator), Data Scientist, Volpe National Transportation Systems Center - Tim Reardon, Data Services Director, Metropolitan Area Planning Council

10:45-11:00Break

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11:00-12:15Scenario Planning Basics Part 3: Reflecting on the theory and value of scenario planning Scioto RoomIs scenario planning consistent with Jane Jacob’s perspective on cities? How does it differ from visioning? And how can it be both indispensable for planning—and difficult to explain? To answer these questions and more, this session will focus on the underlying theoretical assumptions of scenario planning, how scenario planning ideas relate to longstanding planning approaches like forecasting, visioning, collaboration and strategic planning, and the different ways scenario planning can be valuable to planning. The audience discussion will not only clarify basic ideas and assumptions, but also show how contemporary scenario planning practice reflects a fresh perspective on what good planning should be. Speaker: Robert Goodspeed, Assistant Professor of Urban Planning, University of Michigan Moderator: Janae Futrell, Decision Support Fellow, Consortium for Scenario Planning

Scenario Planning for Public Engagement and Tradeoff ExplorationRiviera RoomScenario planning and spatial impact analysis can be used as tools to help the public and professionals understand different trajectories their future could take, and the tradeoffs these trajectories might entail. Snyder will cover an example of transit-oriented development with potentially negative consequences, such as geographic displacement, along with funding and collaborative mechanisms to help address such issues. Fregonese and Reisemann will discuss how the indicators in Envision Tomorrow can be used to target specific outcomes of planning efforts, in particular during public outreach. They will lead the audience in a discussion of other examples of how scenario planning can help with engaging the public. Speakers: - Scott Fregonese, Principal, Fregonese Associates - Julia Reisemann, GIS Manager, Fregonese Associates - Ken Snyder (also serving as moderator), Programming Director, Radian|PlaceMatters Potentials for Scenario Planning Software InteroperabilityKingsmill RoomGreater interoperability between the software tools used in scenario planning would give users access to best-in-class functionality regardless of which platform they choose to adopt, expanding the market and speeding the flow of innovation. Yet software interoperability remains uncommon. With the Consortium’s software interoperability working group, Lenk has been conducting informal research with software developers into why and what can be done to improve this situation. This interactive session will involve ground-truthing the conclusions with developers as well as widening the conversation for practitioner input with the audience. Speaker: Frank Lenk, Director of Research Services, Mid-America Regional Council Moderator: Jessie Grogan, Senior Policy Analyst, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

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12:15-1:45Lunch with 2-minute Lightening TalksFusion RoomLightening talks are 2-minute, pre-reserved slots to share recent updates, ideas, or questions with all event attendees. These can cover any topic of interest including ideas for projects to propose for funding by the Consortium, proposals for sessions for Friday’s unconference, updates on projects that may be of interest to conference participants, or other topics.

1:45-2:00Consortium Progress to Date Fusion RoomWith the Consortium now in place for nearly one year, it’s time to reflect on what has been accomplished to date, and think about plans for the future, including initiatives planned for 2019. To increase the Consortium’s impact in the coming year, it will be launching a funding allocation process to find and support impactful projects across its areas of interest. Speaker: Jessie Grogan, Senior Policy Analyst, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

2:00-2:45Consortium Reflection on 2018 and Direction for 2019Fusion RoomParticipants will be asked to discuss with their table-mates their ideas and preferences for Consortium areas of focus for 2019. Board members will be distributed at all the tables to help lead the conversations. Potential topics include what has been going well so far, what activities should be kept or scaled up, and what has been missing or lacking.

2:45-3:00Break

3:00-4:30Working Group Reflection on 2018 and Direction for 2019 Current and future working group members will have time to develop a vision for their work together in 2019. Potential topics include the working group’s role in 2019, its current and future initiatives, how it supports the Consortium’s mission, and ideas for projects to propose for funding by the Consortium. In addition, each working group will select a new chair. Software Interoperability - Scioto Room Scenario Planning as a Process - Riviera Room Capacity Building and Peer Exchange - Kingsmill Room

4:30-5:00Working Group Report-out The new chair of each working group will lead a report-out on the primary topics of discussion and conclusions.

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Friday, September 14Location: Crowne Plaza Columbus-Downtown

7:30-9:00Continental Breakfast Fusion Room

8:00-8:30Unconference Introduction and Call for TopicsFusion RoomAn “unconference” is an interactive event, in this case a component of a conference, which allows ideas to come from anyone and with short notice. This enables the latest ideas to emerge and be proposed democratically, with attendees “voting with their feet.” The process of idea submission and selection, taking place on the day of the event, will be explained over breakfast.

8:30-9:00Topic Selection and OrganizationFusion RoomConsortium staff will organize the topics submitted and match topics with rooms while attendees network over breakfast.

9:00-10:00Unconference Session 1 Topic Set 1 - Scioto Room Topic Set 2 - Riviera Room Topic Set 3 - Kingsmill Room Topic Set 4 - Fusion Room

10:00-11:00Unconference Session 2 Topic Set 1 - Scioto Room Topic Set 2 - Riviera Room Topic Set 3 - Kingsmill Room Topic Set 4 - Fusion Room

11:00-11:15Break

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11:15-12:00Board ElectionsFusion Room

12:00-1:00Working Lunch for New Board MembersKingsmill RoomNew board members will take part in their first meeting over lunch.

12:00-1:00Networking Lunch Fusion RoomAttendees who are not new board members are invited to a networking lunch to catch up with current contacts and get to know new contacts better.

1:00 Conference Adjourns

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Thank you for joining the Consortium for Scenario Planning’s 2018 Conference.

For more about the Consortium, visit www.scenarioplanning.io. To learn about participation benefits, visit www.scenarioplanning.io/participation.

Contact Janae Futrell, Decision Support Fellow, at jfutrell@lincolninst.edu with any questions.

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