• Involves both rational analysis and creative thinking • Allows for a dialogue around worldviews by

acknowledgement of systemic drivers and enhance thesharing of visions.

Scenario Planning

IndependentAotearoa

Fruitsfor a Few

Living onNo. 8Wire

New Frontiers

Adapted from: Work in progress: four future scenarios for New Zealand. Developed by the Landcare ResearchScenarios Working Group; documented with additional commentary by Rhys Taylor, Bob Frame, Kate Delaney andMelissa Brignall-Theyer. 2nd ed. – Lincoln, N.Z.: Published by Manaaki Whenua Press, 2007.

Game Participants’Perceptions of where NZ is in 2006-7

Resources: Plenty

Resources: Depleted

Identity: Individual Identity: Collective

IndependentAotearoa

Fruits fora Few

Living onNo. 8 Wire

NewFrontiers

Games Participants’Desired Location for NZ in 2055

Work in progress: four future scenarios for New Zealand. Developed by the Landcare Research Scenarios WorkingGroup; documented with additional commentary by Rhys Taylor, Bob Frame, Kate Delaney and Melissa Brignall-Theyer. 2nd ed. – Lincoln, N.Z.: Published by Manaaki Whenua Press, 2007.

Resources: Plenty

Identity: Individual Identity: Collective

Resources: Depleted

Current Trend Directionfrom 2006 (starting near the centre)

Work in progress: four future scenarios for New Zealand. Developed by the Landcare Research Scenarios WorkingGroup; documented with additional commentary by Rhys Taylor, Bob Frame, Kate Delaney and Melissa Brignall-Theyer. 2nd ed. – Lincoln, N.Z.: Published by Manaaki Whenua Press, 2007.

IndependentAotearoa

Fruits fora Few

Living onNo. 8 Wire

NewFrontiers

Resources: Plenty

Identity: Individual Identity: Collective

Resources: Depleted

The Dominion Post, 5 Sep 2012

Do ‘the few’ see it coming?