Mexico’s REDD+Conservation and Low Carbon Development Opportunities.

REDDexCancún, July 14, 2010

1. Key elements for low-carbon development throughout REDD+2. Mexico’s GHG emissions3. Reference scenario4. Biomass density5. Monitoring 25,000 sampling conglomerate6. National Readiness Management Arrangements7. Implementation scales8. Problem and opportunities

Mexico’s REDD+ Conservation and Low Carbon Development Opportunities.

Outline presentation

• Building and/or strengthening institutional capacities• Government: SEMARNAT, CONAFOR, INE, CONANP, CONABIO, PROFEPA,

SAGARPA• Research: ECOSUR, COLPOS, Programa Mexicano de Carbono• OSC: WWF, TNC, CI, CCMSS, FMCN• Landholders and Indigenous People• Professionals on Forestry Sector

• Improving targeting and effectiveness of existing programs (PES) and/or extending its coverage (communitarian forestry -PROCYMAF-).

• Promoting Sustainable Forest Management (SFM) and diversification• Improving monitoring capabilities for LU/LUC based on National Forest Inventory.• Integrating new national and local financing mechanisms (carbon finance) with

positive impact on biodiversity conservation and livelihoods of forest landholders and inhabitants.

Key elements for low-carbon development throughout REDD+

Mexico’s GHG emissions: More than 700 MtCO2e

10% of GHG total emissions in Mexico comes from LULUCF:• Deforestation • Degradation -forest fires,

erosion, pests, abandoned forests

Reference scenario

Fuente: ECOSUR

Variables included:• Population density• Proximity to population

and comercialization centers

• Roads• Land suitability (slope)

Deforestation risk

Source: ECOSUR (2009)

Biomass density

Low

MediumHigh

Non-forestBiomass class (tdb/ha)

Biomass density map updated from National Forest Inventory

ABOUT 25,000 SAMPLING CONGLOMERATES

Inter-Secretary Commission for Climate Change (CICC)

Working group Special Program on Climate

Change (SEMARNAT)

Working Group for International Affairs

(SRE) REDD Working Group

(CONAFOR/SEMARNAT)

Government only

Adaptation Working Group

(INE-SEMARNAT)

National Readiness Management Arrangements• Institutional support from the highest political

level for the design and implementation of any CC Strategy.

• Looking for synergies between policy programs and budget allocation.

• Build legal and institutional frameworks as appropriate,

• Work as one government regarding climate change M&A.

GOVERNMENT INSTITUTIONS

• SAGARPA• SEMARNAT• SHCP• SEDESOL• SER• SCT• SENER

Mario Molina CentreMexican Carbon Program (research)International Experts

Private organizations

Advisory Council on

Climate Change

CTC REDD+Technical Advisory

Committee

CSO+Gov.

National Readiness Management Arrangements

CTC REDD+

Technical Advisory Committee for REDD+

Working Groups

Government(DGPCC-

SEMARNAT. CONAFOR, INE,

CONANP, SAGARPA, CONABIO, PROFEPA)

CSO(WWF, FMCN,

CCMSS, PRONATURA,

CI, TNC)

Research and Academic

Institutions(ECOSUR, COLPOS,

COLMEX)

Landholders Representatives

Indigenous Peoples

Representatives

• Multidisciplinary• Space for analysis and

discussion• Space for building

consensus and agreement• Building a common vision

Participation has begun recently

National Emissions Reductions

• National Reference Scenario (spatially explicit)

• National Monitoring and Accounting System

Land Planning/Surveillance/Law

Enforcement

SFM and certification

Improved Agriculture and Grazing (PROCAMPO,

PROGAN

ProÁrbol

15 tCo2

5 tCo2

15 tCo2

25 tCo2

Community and IP´s REDD+ Project

Intermunicipal REDD+ Project

State REDD+ Project

1 tCo2

4 tCo2

5 tCo2

70 MtCO22010 - 2015

10 Mt

60 Mt

National Programs

Sub-national REDD projects

Mexican Forest Fund

Implementation scales

Acervo de Carbono en los Bosques

Superficieha

Densidadde carbonotC/ha

Deforestación

Degradación“+”

aforestaciónreforestaciónmanejo forestal“conservación”

Sólo las acciones adicionales queeviten DD o quemejoren los acervos

REDD+

1. REDD+ activities◦ Sustainable Forest

Management

◦ Communitarian Forestry

◦ Payment for Environmental Services

◦ Soil conservation and restoration

◦ Forest fires and pest protection

◦ CBMA. Meso American Biological Corridor…

2. Carbon sequestration

activities

◦Reforestation

◦Commercial plantations

◦Agroforestry

Current programs at national scale: ProÁrbol, SAGARPA, SEDESOL…

3. Identify National programs that should

adjust policies to promote REDD + activities, or to

compensate undesirable current

effects.

Adjust PROGAN

Adjust PROCAMPO

Adjust+Reconvert other national and state programs…

Development objectiveFo

rest

Cover

Time

100%

0%

REDD

Conservation and stock enhancement

Sustainable Management of

Forest

Transition of the forest sectorfrom source to a sink

Carbon stock lossesStable or growing Carbon

stocks57% under no-management

plan43% under sustainable forest

management

Deforestation and

forest

degradati

on

12 million hectares 9 million hectares under SFM Sustai

nable Forest Management

Potential for:• timber production• Non-timber forest

production• Ecosystem services

• 0.9 million hectares already certified

• 1 million hectares pre-certified

ProÁrbol: PSA, PRODEFOR, PROCYMAFTimber and non-timber production, Payments for Ecosystem Services, Ecotourism, Wildlife

Management Units

Forest Land ProtectionImproved Land Use Planning, Communitarian Land Use Planning. Natural Protected Areas,

Communitarian and Private Protected Areas

Sectoral PolicyAgriculture (PROCAMPO, PROGAN), Land Use Change (urban, infrastructure, roads)

Problems and opportunities for a low carbon development

Focal Points:Sergio Graf Monterosgraf@conafor.gob.mx

José Carlos Fernández jcfernandez@conafor.gob.mx Panelist:

Leonel Iglesias-Gutiérrezliglesias@conafor.gob.mx

Thank you very much