CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

40
CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES TRAINING COURSE ON “ENVIRONMENTAL GOODS AND SERVICES NEGOTIATIONS” 10-11 AUGUST 2016 United Nations Conference Centre, Bangkok, Thailand Rajan Sudesh Ratna Economic Affairs Officer Trade Policy and Analysis Section Trade, Investment and Innovation Division UNESCAP, Bangkok [email protected]

Transcript of CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Page 1: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION

ISSUES TRAINING COURSE ON

“ENVIRONMENTAL GOODS AND SERVICES NEGOTIATIONS” 10-11 AUGUST 2016

United Nations Conference Centre, Bangkok, Thailand

Rajan Sudesh Ratna Economic Affairs Officer

Trade Policy and Analysis Section

Trade, Investment and Innovation Division UNESCAP, Bangkok

[email protected]

Page 2: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Recap

Conduct negotiations

Post negotiation issues

Some evidences

Way forward

Rajan Sudesh Ratna 2

Presentation structure

Page 3: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

RECAP

Page 4: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Cost benefit analysis : Study Patterns of trade Modeling Identify gains and losses Vulnerable sectors Regulatory audit

Evaluation of maximum gain: PTA or FTA, BIT or RTA, WTO, Autonomous?

Wide consultations: stakeholders Strengths and weakness Sensitive sectors Market access benefits Rules of Origin – Juridical or natural persons

Rajan Sudesh Ratna 4

Recap: Pre–negotiation step

Page 5: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Decide modalities first

Negotiations are held in different Rounds

Positive/Negative list approach

Request is made to other Parties on export interest sectors

Other Party then offers – items & level

Negotiations are then held on expanding the sectors and domestic regulations

Rajan Sudesh Ratna 5

Recap: Negotiation step

Page 6: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Framing the negotiations and issues

Analysis of the issues involved

Exploration of Stakeholders Interests

Establishing a Negotiating Strategy and start negotiation

Implementing the Agreement

Rajan Sudesh Ratna 6

Negotiations Process

Page 7: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

CONDUCT NEGOTIATIONS

Page 8: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Rajan Sudesh Ratna 8

Page 9: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

National Law and International influence

National law needs to be in conformity with international

obligations

Care to be taken while making international commitments

Experience in negotiations a crucial factor

Negotiating skills

Networking with like-minded states

Rajan Sudesh Ratna 9

Page 10: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

… International influence…2

First stage of using trade positions

Identify national priority and objectives on the issue (SWOT)

Harmonise the laws across borders irrespective of the stage of development

Second stage

Stress on effective enforcement of harmonised laws in bilateral negotiations

Third stage

Seek multilateral redress at WTO/RTA Dispute Settlement

Rajan Sudesh Ratna 10

Page 11: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Frame the issue for negotiations

Identify of win-win solutions

Identify potential supporters among domestic and foreign stakeholders

Outline message to potential supporters

Identify opposing stakeholders & the means for reducing or deflecting opposition

Establish the utility, legitimacy and fairness of proposed outcome

Rajan Sudesh Ratna 11

Key negotiating strategy

Page 12: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Structure

Definitional and legal issues?

Market access

WTO Doha Round Negotiations

FTA negotiations

Goods or services – different approaches

Opportunities and Challenges

12 Rajan Sudesh Ratna

Page 13: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Negotiating issues

How do you define what is “environmental goods or services”?

Should you look at national perspective or global perspective?

What is a ‘win-win-win’ situation?

Is import always bad?

13 Rajan Sudesh Ratna

Page 14: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Negotiations

Goods

Reduction/elimination of tariffs and non-tariffs

Services

Market access

Domestic Regulation

Mutual Recognition

Investment

Technology Transfer

14 Rajan Sudesh Ratna

Page 15: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Negotiations in Doha

The negotiations focus on three main themes:

the relationship between the WTO rules and multilateral environmental agreements (MEAs)

the collaboration between the WTO and MEA secretariats; and the elimination of tariffs and non-tariff barriers on environmental goods and services

These discussions take place in “Special Sessions” of the Committee on Trade and Environment.

15 Rajan Sudesh Ratna

Page 16: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Doha Mandate

Paragraph 31 (iii) of the Doha Ministerial Declaration calls for negotiations on "the reduction or, as appropriate, elimination of tariff and non-tariff barriers to environmental goods and services", with a view to enhancing the mutual supportiveness of trade and environment.

16 Rajan Sudesh Ratna

Page 17: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Non- tariff measures on env. goods

Chairman of CTESS in March 2010 reported:

'16. With respect to non-tariff barriers, there are some proposals on the table, relating in particular to the harmonization of standards on organic products and energy efficient goods. Some examples of NTBs were also mentioned in the context of the September 2009 workshop, including with respect to renewable energy products in the wind and solar sectors; these examples included: difficulty to obtain working visa; business licensing and registration; local content requirements; lengthy procedures at point of entry; non recognition of testing standards; and transiting procedures. Such examples could be reverted to in future discussions, and Members' constructive ideas and proposals will be required to make progress.‘

17 Rajan Sudesh Ratna

Page 18: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Negotiating dilemma

• No fixed definition of “Environmental goods and Services” • Avoid inverted duty structure:

– Certification of only end product as being environmentally benign would provide tariff benefits to these products but in long run open up case for tariff reduction for all its sub-components/components and raw materials thereof as otherwise inverted tariff structures may arise.

– This would weaken the position to negotiate for sub-components and materials which are of polluting nature but go in for manufacture of environment friendly end products.

• Identifying ex-outs • Identifying dual use risk • Possibility to monitor end use:

– Is it possible to certify that an environmental product will only be used for environmental purposes (i.e., actual user)? E.g. many of the renewable energy products , such as mechanical devices like AC generators, steam generators and controlling instruments are dual/multiple purpose devices which can even be used where conventional fuels are adopted for power energy/applications.

– Are Customs in developing countries equipped?

18 Rajan Sudesh Ratna

Page 19: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Negotiating dilemma (2)

• Technology Transfer & Investment:

– Most environment goods are of export interest to developed countries. If developed countries get duty-free market access to the developing country, why will the investments come to the developing countries and how will TOT take place? If there is no mechanism for TOT, in the long run the developing countries may become dependent on the developed countries for their imports and the major players may create a monopolistic situation that is neither warranted nor desirable.

19 Rajan Sudesh Ratna

Page 20: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Green Goods Initiative

In July 2014, 14 WTO members (Australia, Canada, China, Costa Rica, Taiwan Province of China, the European Union, Hong Kong,China; Japan, Republic of Korea, New Zealand, Norway, Switzerland, Singapore, USA, Israel, Turkey and Iceland) launched negotiations to liberalise global trade in environmental goods.

This ’green goods initiative’ aims to remove barriers to trade and investment in ’green’ goods, services and technologies.

At the first stage the talks are focussing on removing tariffs on a list of 54 products on which the member countries of APEC (Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation) have agreed to reduce their tariffs to 5% or less by 2015, and a broad range of additional products.

20 Rajan Sudesh Ratna

Page 21: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

The 15th round of the Environmental Goods Agreement negotiations took place from 25th to 29th July 2016 in Geneva. The round represented an important milestone in the negotiation process, building on the commitment expressed by G20 Trade Ministers on 10 July 2016 in Shanghai: "G20 EGA participants recognize the substantial progress made to date in the negotiations on an Environmental Goods Agreement, and aim to conclude, using best efforts, an ambitious, future-oriented EGA that seeks to eliminate tariffs on a broad range of environmental goods by an EGA Ministerial meeting to be held by the end of 2016, having achieved a landing zone by the G-20 Summit in September in Hangzhou, after finding effective ways to address the core concerns of participants."

During the round, the Chair of EGA talks tabled a proposal for such 'landing zones' in line with the G20 instructions. The proposal lists 303 products (identified by Customs Codes) further narrowing down the previous Chair's list of December 2015.

Rajan Sudesh Ratna 21

Green Goods Initiative (2)

Page 22: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Services, Investments and ToT

Not much progress in WTO nor in FTAs

Important sectors:

Environmental services (Sewage, Refuge disposal, Sanitation and similar services, Other)

Professional Services (Architectural services, Urban planning and landscape architectural services, Other)

Research and development services

Other business services (Building-cleaning services)

22 Rajan Sudesh Ratna

Page 23: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Services, Investments and ToT (2)

Market access

Mode 1

Mode 3

Mode 4

MRAs

Liberalizing sectors for investments – attract FDIs

Technical assistance and capacity building.

23 Rajan Sudesh Ratna

Page 24: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

WTO (Bound, different than actual)

Goods – tariff and non tariff

Services – market access and domestic regulations

FTAs (WTO bound plus)

Goods – tariff (duty free), non-tariff

Services – market access and domestic regulations

Transfer of technology - investment

Technical Assistance

Rajan Sudesh Ratna 24

Approaches

Page 25: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Schedules to be drawn:

WTO

FTAs

Binding commitments

Violation - subject to disputes

Ratification:

Domestic policy changes

Implementation

Rajan Sudesh Ratna 25

Implementation

Page 26: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Role of coordinating Ministry is important

Ratification

Ensure that all the domestic legislations are in place before the implementation date

Transparency: notify to partners

Preparing domestic industry as well as other stakeholders

Monitor progress – annual or as per schedule and re-notify

Cases of surge in imports - monitor

Rajan Sudesh Ratna 26

Monitoring and enforcement

Page 27: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

SOME EVIDENCES

Page 28: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Goods - Lists

Environmental Goods and Services:

OECD (132)

WTO (480, 153, request list)

APEC (54)

• Climate Friendly List

World Bank (43)

Climate Smart Goods and Technologies

UNESCAP (64)

28 Rajan Sudesh Ratna

Page 29: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Tariffs

Doha Round: Reduction and elimination of EGS being discussed.

APEC list of 54 items: Autonomously decided to bring duties to 5% level.

In various PTAs/FTAs countries are undertaking commitments to eliminate duties on substantially covered items including environmental goods.

NTBs and transfer of technology is an issue….

29 Rajan Sudesh Ratna

Page 30: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

APEC Average MFN Tariff

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

11.0

APEC 54 ESCAP 64 OECD 248

30 Rajan Sudesh Ratna

Page 31: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

11.0

12.0

13.0

14.0

15.0

16.0

Singapore Vietnam Myanmar Malaysia Philippines Thailand Indonesia Lao PDR Brunei Cambodia

APEC 54 ESCAP 64 OECD 248

31 Rajan Sudesh Ratna

ASEAN Average MFN Tariff

Page 32: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

0

5

10

15

20

25

Afghanistan Sri Lanka India Nepal Bangladesh Pakistan Bhutan Maldives

SAARC Average MFN Tariff

APEC ESCAP OECD

32 Rajan Sudesh Ratna

Page 33: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

APEC ESCAP OECD

33 Rajan Sudesh Ratna

RCEP Average MFN Tariff

Page 34: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

WTO: Notified SPS and TBT measures

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

Total SPS and TBT measures (APEC - 25 at 4 digit HS) Total SPS and TBT measures (ESCAP - 40 at 4 digit HS)

Total SPS and TBT measures (OECD - 106 at 4 digit HS)

Source: Compiled on the basis of Centre for WTO Studies, India database on SPS and TBT

34 Rajan Sudesh Ratna

Page 35: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

WAY FORWARD

Page 36: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Directly and indirectly trade-related SDGs

Rajan Sudesh Ratna 36

Page 37: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

The SDGs put significant emphasis on the role that trade can play in promoting sustainable development. There are direct references to WTO activities in many of the SDGs, including: SDG 2 on hunger, food security, nutrition and sustainable

agriculture SDG 3 on healthy lives and wellbeing SDG 8 on economic growth, employment and work SDG 10 on inequalities within and among countries SDG 14 on oceans, seas, and marine resources.

SDG 17 on strengthening the global partnership for sustainable development contains a separate section on trade, including a commitment to promoting a “universal, rules-based, open, non-discriminatory and equitable multilateral trading system” under the WTO.

Rajan Sudesh Ratna 37

Page 38: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Lessons

Tremendous potential exist for production and export of CSGT in Asia Pacific.

Even MFN tariffs on these items are lower. Countries are liberalizing these items in PTAs/FTAs. But

needs to be established if this is as a conscious policy to liberalise CSGT or in general.

Non-tariff issues are not yet addressed, especially standards maintained due to environmental reasons.

Technology transfer on these items need to be facilitated as market access is not the only solution.

38 Rajan Sudesh Ratna

Page 39: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Way forward…

Asia Pacific need to take steps to reduce emissions in GHG emissions without compromising on its development objectives.

Technology transfer and FDI inflows: especially from China, Japan and RoK who are leaders in Asia Pacific.

Regional or sub-regional developing/setting of environmental standards or labeling.

South-South cooperation Agreement?

39 Rajan Sudesh Ratna

Page 40: CONDUCTING NEGOTIATIONS AND POST NEGOTIATION ISSUES

Rajan Sudesh Ratna 40

THANK YOU