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Climate Working Group Briefing Wednesday 29 March 2006

NOAA Climate Program Office

Chet Koblinsky Director, NOAA Climate Program Office

NOAA CLIMATEUnderstanding climate variability and change to enhance society’s ability to

plan and respond

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Outline

Overview of Meeting and Agenda Response to March 2005 mtg recommendations NOAA Climate program overview Congressional and EOP update Budget Discussion

FY05 Highlights FY06 Enacted FY07 Request FY08 Priorities FY09 Directions

NOAA/NASA Research and Operations Transition CCSP Update NOAA Climate in the community Climate Working Group Issues

2006 Meeting schedule Membership

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Meeting purpose and Agenda

Purpose: Program review and priorities

Agenda - Wednesday

7:30-8:00 Continental Breakfast 8:00-10: 00 Executive Session (Closed)10:00-10:30 Break 10:30-10:45 Welcome and Introductions Mark Abbott, Otis Brown 10:45-12:00 Overview Chet Koblinsky

12:00-1:00 Lunch Carl Burleson, FAA

Climate Program Status and Review1:00-3:00 Observations and Analysis Program Tom Karl, lead 3:00-3:30 Break 3:30-5:30 Observations and Analysis Program (continued) 5:30 Adjourn

CWG Dinner with Director

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Meeting Agenda (cont.)

Purpose: Program review and priorities

Agenda - Thursday

7:30-8:00 Continental Breakfast 8:00- 10:00 Climate Forcing Program A.R. Ravishankara, lead10:00-10:30 Break 10:30-11:30 Climate Forcing Program (continued)11:30-12:30 Climate Predictions and Projections Ants Leetmaa, lead

12:30-1:30 Lunch

1:30-3:30 Climate Predictions and Projections (continued)3:30-4:00 Break 4:00-5:00 Climate and Ecosystems Kenric Osgood, lead 5:00 Adjourn

7:00 Reception for retiring NOAA Dep. Admin. James R. MahoneyNational Press Club

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Meeting Agenda (cont.)

Purpose: Program review and priorities

Agenda - Friday

7:30-8:00 Continental Breakfast 8:00-10:00 Regional Decision Support Jim Laver, lead10:00-10:30 Break10:30-11:30 Regional Decision Support (continued)

Additional Topics and Wrap-up11:30-12:00 Summary Chet Koblinsky 12:00-2:00 Working Lunch: Executive Session (Closed)2:00 Adjourn

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Response to March 2005CWG Recommendations

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Response to Recommendations A relevant question was whether or not there would be changes at OMB in response to changes in Congress? No.

Those areas that are still in need of further attention include:

• Decision support: water resource and major ecosystem restoration. Not a lot of progress, California RISA activity is still the main link via its CalFed work. Decision support research feedback to guide NOAA R+D decisions. Will be revisited in at Summer Retreat.

• Atmospheric composition: Lack of connectivity between this element and modeling strategy across the whole of the program. Still remains an area of concern. Need to evaluate this Session

NACP: Lack of integration in the observing and analysis plans remains a concern. Need to evaluate this Session

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Response to Recommendations

The discussion that followed Koblinsky’s presentation focused on the overall strategy for the climate program office in the context of the overall vision vis a vis implementation.

The overall strategy for promoting new priorities at the expense of established successful programs was questioned. Is the present approach undermining the base?

This all depends on whether or not the future requested increases are actually realized. Recent history and the present Federal deficit would suggest that the requested increases will be hard to come by and that more offsets may be anticipated. If this comes to pass, the strategy for new initiatives needs much more careful attention. Otherwise, the implications of this would be that growth in decision support would come from predictions and projections. This led to a discussion as to whether or not the way to increase the budget is via better links to decision support and better links to constituents.

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Climate Program Overview

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NOAA Goals • Protect, restore, and manage the use of

coastal and ocean resources through an ecosystem approach to management

• Understand climate variability and change to enhance society’s ability to plan and respond

• Serve society’s needs for weather and water information

• Support the nation’s commerce with information for safe, efficient, and environmentally sound transportation

• Provide critical support for NOAA’s mission

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NOAA Climate Goal Understand Climate Variability and Change to Enhance Society’s Ability to Plan and Respond

OUTCOMES

• A predictive understanding of the global climate system on time scales of weeks to decades with quantified uncertainties sufficient for making informed and reasoned decisions

• Climate-sensitive sectors and the climate-literate public effectively incorporating NOAA’s climate products into their plans and decisions

Climate Forcing

Observations &Analysis

Regional Decision Support

Predictions &Projections

PR

OG

RA

MS

Climate & Ecosystems

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Program Structure

Program Charter

Executive Summary Program Requirements Requirement Drivers

Legislation Executive/NOAA Directives International agreements)

Mission Requirements Links to NOAA Strategic Plan

Goal outcomes Goal performance objectives Goal strategies

Program Outcomes Program Roles and Responsibilities

Participating Line Office, staff office and council responsibilities External Agency/Organization Responsibilities (International Partners)

End User or Beneficiaries of the Program

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Climate Goal

Directives driving the course and priorities of the NOAA Climate Goal

INTERNATIONAL AGREEMENTS

US EXECUTIVE BRANCH

US LEGISLATION INTERAGENCY AGREEMENTS

Bi-lateral agreements

Global Climate Observing System (GCOS)

Global Earth Observation System of Systems

(GEOSS)

Global Ocean Observing System (GOOS)

Montreal Protocol

WMO Global Atmospheric Watch

UN Framework Convention for Climate Change

(UNFCCC)

Climate Change Science Program Strategic Plan

(CCSP) 2003

Strategic Plan for the US Integrated Earth

Observing System

US Ocean Action Plan

US Global Change Research Act

Magnuson-StevensFisheries Act

Weather Service Organic Act

Coastal Zone Management Act

National Climate Program Act of 1978

Clean Air Act of 1990

Global Climate Protection Act

Oceans Act 2000 PL (106-256)

National Integrated Drought Information

System (NIDIS)

North American Carbon Plan (NACP)

Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS)

Integrated Earth Observation System (IEOS)

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NOAA Climate Programs vs. NOAA Line Offices

OAR NESDIS NWS NMFS

Observations and Analysis

Ocean observations, reanalysis, dataset

improvements

Climate Reference Network, Data

Management, GCOS

Climate Forcing

Greenhouse gas observing system, extramural carbon cycle research, aerosol and

ozone process research

Climate Predictions and Projections

Intraseasonal forecasting skill, decadal and long-term projections, extramural

research on climate variability

Seasonal climate

outlooks

Climate and Ecosystems

North Pacific Climate and Ecosystems

Regional Decision Support

Decision Support Research, Transition to Applications

Regional Climate Centers

Operational Climate Services

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OMB PART

NOAA’s score: Moderately effective

Major findings: The Program is relatively strong and has undertaken steps to improve program management and focus on results. NOAA Climate coordinates with other federal agencies through the Climate

Change Science Program Deficiencies in the mgmt of NOAA labs activities as identified by the NOAA

Research Review Team Need to better integrate performance into budget decisions Program has appropriate long-term goals and annual measures which

demonstrate progress

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Congressional And EOP Update

                                             

               

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Commerce

• Secretary – Carlos M. Guitierrez

• Deputy Secretary – David A. Sampson

• UnderSecretary for Atmospheres and Oceans – Conrad Lautenbacher

• Assistant Secretary for Atmospheres and Oceans – James R. Mahoney (Ret. 3/31/06)

• Deputy UnderSecretary for Atmospheres and Oceans – Jack Kelly

• AA for Research – Richard Spinrad

• AA for Weather Service – D.L. Johnson

• AA for Satellite and Data Information Service – Greg Withee

• AA for Ocean Service – Jack Dunnigan

• AA for Fisheries – Bill Hogarth

• AA for Planning, Programming and Integration – Mary Glackin

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OSTP

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OSTP• DIRECTOR'S OFFICE

– John H. Marburger III, Director OSTP, Science Adviser to the President– Sharon Hays, Chief of Staff – Joan Rolf, Assistant to Director for International Affairs

• TECHNOLOGY DIVISION– Richard Russell, Associate Director for Technology– Stanley Sokul, Deputy Associate Director for Technology– Kevin Hurst, Senior Policy Analyst (covers climate change technology)

• SCIENCE DIVISION– Associate Director for Science - VACANT– Diane Jones (primary Point of Contact for Science) - Deputy Associate Director

for Science– Teresa Fryberger (primary Point of Contact on climate) - Assistant Director,

Environment– Rob Dimeo - Assistant Director, Physical Sciences– Mark Weiss - Assistant Director, Social and Behavioral Sciences– Jon Morse - Senior Policy Analyst– Kevin Geiss - Senior Policy Analyst– (OSTP anticipates finding replacement in the next few months for David Halpern

who covered climate and oceans, including GEOSS, for OSTP)

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OMBCommerce Branch Head – Randy Lyons; NOAA Climate and CCSP Analyst – Andrea Petro

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HR Science

Sen. Rep. Name; State; (Party – District) Sen. Rep. Name; State; (Party – District) Sen. Rep. Name; State; (Party – District)

16 Jo Bonner, Alabama (R-1) 7 Roscoe G. Bartlett, Maryland (R-6) 3 Lamar S. Smith, Texas (R-21)

5 Dana Rohrabacher, California (R-46) 12 Wayne Gilchrest, Maryland (R-1) 22 Michael T. McCaul, Texas (R-10)

6 Ken Calvert, California (R-44) 8 Vernon J. Ehlers, Michigan (R-3 3 Eddie Bernice Johnson, Texas (D-30)

4 Lynn C. Woolsey, California (D-6) 21 Joe Schwarz, Michigan (R-7) 12 Sheila Jackson Lee, Texas (D-18)

8 Michael M. Honda, California (D-15) 9 Gil Gutknecht, Minnesota (R-1) 17 Al Green, Texas (D-9)

13 Brad Sherman, California (D-27) 13 W. Todd Akin, Missouri (R-2) 15 Jim Matheson, Utah (D-2)

16 Jim Costa, California (D-20) 9 Brad Miller, North Carolina (D-13 15 J. Randy Forbes, Virginia (R-4)

6 Mark Udall, Colorado (D-2) 1 Sherwood L. Boehlert, New York, Chairman (R-24)

19 Dave G. Reichert, Washington (R-8)

17 Tom Feeney, Florida (R-24) 10 Frank D. Lucas, Oklahoma (R-3) 14 Brian Baird, Washington (D-3)

11 Judy Biggert, Illinois (R-13 5 Darlene Hooley, Oregon (D-5)

14 Timothy V. Johnson, Illinois (R-15) 7 David Wu, Oregon (D-1)

2 Jerry F. Costello, Illinois (D-12) 4 Curt Weldon, Pennsylvania (R-7)

11 Daniel Lipinski, Illinois (D-3) 18 Bob Inglis, South Carolina (R-4)

20 Michael E. Sodrel, Indiana (R-9) 1 Bart Gordon, Tennessee (D-6)

19 Dennis Moore, Kansas (D-3) 10 Lincoln Davis, Tennessee (D-4)

18 Charlie Melancon, Louisiana (D-3) 2 Ralph M. Hall, Texas (R-4)

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HR Appropriations CommitteeJerry Lewis, CA-41 (R - Chairman) Anne Northup, KY-3 (R) David R. Obey, WI-7 (D - Ranking

Democratic Member)Patrick J. Kennedy, RI-1 (D)

Ralph Regula, OH-16 (R) Robert Aderholt, AL-4 (R) John P. Murtha, PA-12 (D) James E. Clyburn, SC-6 (D)

Harold Rogers, KY-5 (R) Jo Ann Emerson, MO-8 (R) Norman D. Dicks, WA-6 (D) Maurice D. Hinchey, NY-22 (D)

Frank R. Wolf, VA-10 (R) Kay Granger, TX-12 (R) Martin Olav Sabo, MN-5 (D) Lucille Roybal-Allard, CA-34 (D)

Tom DeLay, TX-22 (R) John E. Peterson, PA-5 (R) Steny H. Hoyer, MD-5 (D) Sam Farr, CA-17 (D)

Jim Kolbe, AZ-8 (R) Virgil Goode, VA-5 (R) Alan B. Mollohan, WV-1 (D) Jesse L. Jackson, Jr., IL-2 (D)

James Walsh, NY-25 (R) John Doolittle, CA-4 (R) Marcy Kaptur, OH-9 (D) Carolyn C. Kilpatrick, MI-13 (D)

Charles H. Taylor, NC-11 (R) Ray LaHood, IL-18 (R) Peter J. Visclosky, IN-1 (D) Allen Boyd, FL-2 (D)

David L. Hobson, OH-7 (R) John Sweeney, NY-20 (R) Nita M. Lowey, NY-18 (D) Chaka Fattah, PA-2 (D)

Ernest J. Istook, Jr., OK-5 (R) Don Sherwood, PA-24 (R) Jose E. Serrano, NY-16 (D) Steven R. Rothman, NJ-9 (D)

Henry Bonilla, TX-23 (R) Dave Weldon, FL-15 (R) Rosa L. DeLauro, CT-3 (D) Sanford D. Bishop, Jr., GA-2 (D)

Joe Knollenberg, MI-9 (R) Michael K. Simpson, ID-2 (R) James P. Moran, VA-8 (D) Marion Berry, AR-1 (D)

Jack Kingston, GA-1 (R) John Abney Culberson, TX-7 (R) John W. Olver, MA-1 (D)

Rodney P. Frelinghuysen, NJ-11 (R) Mark Steven Kirk, IL-10 (R) Ed Pastor, AZ-4 (D)

Roger F. Wicker, MS-1 (R) Ander Crenshaw, FL-4 (R) David E. Price, NC-4 (D)

Todd Tiahrt, KS-4 (R) Dennis R. Rehberg, MT-At Large (R) Chet Edwards, TX-17 (D)

Zach Wamp, TN-3 (R) John Carter, TX-31 (R) Robert E. Cramer, Jr., AL-5 (D)

Tom Latham, IA-4 (R) Rodney Alexander, LA-5 (R)

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Senate Commerce

Seniority, Name; State; Party Seniority, Name; State; Party

1 Ted Stevens - Alaska, Chairman R 9 E. Benjamin Nelson - Nebraska D

10 Mark Pryor - Arkansas D 4 Byron L. Dorgan - North Dakota D

2 John McCain - Arizona R 10 John Sununu - New Hampshire R

5 Barbara Boxer - California D 8 Frank Lautenberg - New Jersey D

6 Bill Nelson - Florida D 8 John Ensign - Nevada R

1 Daniel K. Inouye - Hawaii, Ranking D 7 Gordon Smith - Oregon R

12 David Vitter - Louisiana R 11 Jim DeMint - South Carolina R

3 John F. Kerry - Massachussetts D 5 Kay Bailey Hutchison - Texas R

6 Olympia Snowe - Maine R 9 George Allen - Virginia R

4 Trent Lott - Mississippi R 7 Maria Cantwell - Washington D

3 Conrad Burns - Montana R 2 John D. Rockefeller IV - West Virginia D

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Senate Appropriations

Seniority, Name; (Party - State) Seniority, Name; (Party - State)

2 Ted STEVENS (R-Alaska) 7 Conrad BURNS (R-Montana)

8 Richard SHELBY (R-Alabama) 9 Byron DORGAN (D-North Dakota)

10 Dianne FEINSTEIN (D-California) 9 Judd GREGG (R-New Hampshire)

15 Wayne ALLARD (R-Colorado) 4 Pete DOMENICI (R-New Mexico)

2 Daniel INOUYE (D-Hawaii) 6 Harry REID (D-Nevada)

4 Tom HARKIN (D-Iowa) 13 Mike DeWINE (R-Ohio)

11 Larry CRAIG (R-Idaho) 3 Arlen SPECTER (R-Pennsylvania)

11 Richard DURBIN (D-Illinois) 12 Tim JOHNSON (D-South Dakota)

14 Sam BROWNBACK (R-Kansas) 12 Kay Bailey HUTCHISON (R-Texas)

6 Mitch McCONNELL (R-Kentucky) 10 Robert BENNETT (R-Utah)

13 Mary LANDRIEU (D-Louisiana) 3 Patrick LEAHY (D-Vermont)

5 Barbara MIKULSKI (D-Maryland) 8 Patty MURRAY (D-Washington)

5 Christopher BOND (R-Missouri) 7 Herb KOHL (D-Wisconsin)

1 Thad COCHRAN (R-Mississippi, Chairman) 1 Robert BYRD (D-West Virginia, Ranking)

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Active Legislation

NOAA & CLIMATE RELATED LEGISLATION UNDER CONSIDERATION OR PASSED (February 2006) (bill reference/title/sponsor/date of last action)

• *HR 50 NOAA Organic Act (Ehlers), May 2005• *HR 1386 National Drought Preparedness Act of 2005 (Hastings), March 2005: Establishes the National Drought

Council to develop an action plan• *HR 1489 Coastal Ocean Observation System Integration Implementation Act (Gilchrest), May 2005: establish a

coastal ocean observation system• *HR 1584/S 361 Ocean and Coastal Observation Act (Weldon, Allen, Snowe), July 2005: The Committee on Ocean

Policy shall establish and maintain an integrated coastal and ocean observing system. NOAA shall be the lead federal agency in maintaining and operating the system

• *HR 2995/S 517 Weather Modification Research and Technology Transfer Authorization Act (M. Udall, Hutchinson), June 2005: Establishes in Commerce the Weather Modification Advisory and Research Board including representatives from the American Meteorological Society and American Society of Civil Engineers

• *S 245 Abrupt Climate Change Research Act of 2005 (Collins), February 2005: NOAA ordered to set up an abrupt climate change research program within OAR

• *S 342 Climate Stewardship Act of 2005 (McCain), February 2005• *S 786 National Weather Services Duties Act (Santorum), November 2005: Prohibits the National Weather Service

from providing a product or service (except for severe weather forecasts and warnings) that is or could be provided by the private sector

• *S 1281 NASA Authorization Act of 2005 (Hutchinson), SIGNED INTO LAW: Section 306 of S 1281 limits the NASA Administrator’s flexibility to transfer “any NASA earth science mission or Earth observing system to NOAA” until funds to support such a transfer are in the President’s budget request for NOAA. It also specifies that Administrators of both agencies must approve such a transfer.

• *S 1932 Work, Marriage, and Family Promotion Reconciliation Act of 2005 (Gregg), SIGNED INTO LAW: The Report provides $156 million to “provide for a modern all hazards alert and warning program to provide alerts in response to natural disasters, man-made accidents, and terrorist incidents.” The Republican Policy Committee summary of the Conference Report said that the Commerce Department would administer the program.

• *National Integrated Drought Information system (NIDIS) Authorization Act, not yet introduced

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Budget

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FY 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13

Annual Operating Plan

Programming

NOAA FY08 Budget Development

Planning

Execution Congress

Where we are Now

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FY05 Highlights

Congress maintained a steady budget level for Climate and Global Change research

Congress increased the Climate Observations & Services budget by a net $5.4M over FY 2004

Congress increased the CCRI Budget by $17.1M for ocean observations, carbon cycle, aerosols, and climate modeling efforts

However, Congress decreased all other activities by $11.7M for NOAA’s Climate Reference Network Network, Baseline Observations, and other climate research such as NWS climate services, RISA, & Weather/Climate Research

Climate Program redirected CCRI funding to maintain critical long-term monitoring capabilities.

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FY06 Enacted

Congress maintained a steady budget level for Climate and Global Change research and a small increase for ARGO

This core capability allows for the infusion of cutting edge climate and global change research from academic and other renowned scientific institutions into NOAA.

After setting aside funding for Climate and Global Change research and ARGO, the remaining funds are $14.0M below the FY 2005 appropriation.

This reduction deeply undercuts the gains made from the Climate Change Research Initiative (CCRI) started in FY 2003.

Congress consolidated budget lines, allowing for more flexibility in determining funding allocations for priority areas.

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BUDGET CATEGORY Enacted Budget Difference

  FY 2004 FY 2005 FY 2006 2006-2004

NATIONAL MARINE FISHERIES SERVICE 1,433 1,478 1,478 45

NOAA Research 171,210 173,828 166,098 -5,112

Climate and Global Change 69,659 67,517 67,490 -2,169

Climate Observations and Services 25,393 13,707 12,419 -12,974

Climate Change Research Initiative 22,356 39,427 27,524 5,168

Laboratories and Joint Institutes 47,246 42,860 42,842 -4,404

Arctic Research (less earmarks) 3,637 2,933 2,987 -650

Earmarks (OAR) 2,953 7,384 12,836 9,883

NESDIS 51,651 60,512 59,882 8,231

NESDIS Data Center’s & Info. Mgt. 29,897 35,908 31,781 1,884

Earmarks 21,754 24,604 28,101 6,347

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 17,258 17,634 19,699 2,441

Program Support - Facilities 3,464 3,465 3,479

TOTAL CLIMATE 241,552 256,669 234,908 -11,624

SUMMARY FY 2004 - FY 2006 ENACTED CLIMATE BUDGET

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FY06 EarmarksNOAA Climate Program FY 2004 FY 2005 FY 2006($ in 000's) Earmarks Earmarks Earmarks

OAR Climate Research NOAA Joint Institute 3,001 CA Ozone 247 Climate System Research Center 739 740 Univ of AL Huntsville Climate Research 986 986 Intl Council for local environmental initiatives 492 Abrupt Climate Change Research 247 Drought Research Study 986 Coastal Vulnerability to Climate Change 1,480 Abrupt Climate Change Research (U of ME) 495 487 Climate & Environmental Change 2,458 2,438 Center for Urban Environmental Research 986 Advanced Study Institute for Environmental Prediction 1,479 Arctic Research 1,995 2,931 Barrow Arctic Research Center

Subtotal, OAR Earmarks 2,953 7,384 12,836

NESDIS Climate Research Archive, Access, & Assessment - KY 6,051 5,766 5,647 Archive, Access, & Assessment - MD 3,930 3,925 3,930 Archive, Access, & Assessment - WV 5,941 5,656 5,537 Regional Climate Centers 2,073 2,464 2,959 International Pacific Research Ctr (U of H) 989 1,971 1,972 Integrated Environmeantal Applications & Information Center 2,959 Pacific Ocean & Environment Information Center 986 National Climatic Data Center - GOES Date Archive Project2,473 2,437 2,466 National Climatic Data Center - Prototyping Data Grids 296 Quality Assurance / Quality Control 1,071 Payment to NMAO 297 328 Comprehensive Large Array Data Stewardship Sys (CLASS) 2,335

Subtotal, NESDIS Earmarks 21,754 24,604 28,101

Total Climate Earmarks 24,707 31,988 40,937

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Grants Distribution NOAA has maintained a steady proportion of our appropriation for the external community through the Climate Program Office (formerly Office of Global Programs)

NOAA has kept its promise to put more money into the external community through the Climate Observations & Services Program (COSP) as a result of the CCRI initiative since FY 2003. However, because the appropriation for CCRI and COSP has been significantly decreased, we expect this portion to go down in COSP

Climate &Global Change

FY03 FY04 FY05

71 %

COSP

FY06(estimate)

70 % 71 % 71 %

48 % 56 % 55 % 48 %

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FY07 Expanding Priorities OSTP Environment Research Initiatives

Global Earth Observations “Pilot integrated observing systems, such as those that contribute to natural hazard

assessment and disaster warnings.”

“Ensure continued coordination and implementation of the US Strategic Plan (for IEOS) and continued strong US leadership in the international community.”

Global Climate Change“Implement the 2003 ‘Strategic Plan for the US Climate Change Science Program’ and focus

on the topics described in the 2003 ‘US Climate Change technology Program: Research and Current Activities.’”

Ocean Observations and Research“Implement activities outlined in the Administration's 2004 US Ocean Action Plan.”

Fresh Water Supplies, US and Global“Improve research to understand the processes that control water availability and quality… collect and make available the data needed to ensure an adequate water supply for the future.”

FY2007 Administration Research and Development Budget Priorities Release; 8 th July 2005

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FY07 Request

National Integrated Drought Information System +$4M Coping with Drought: Impacts Research

Improved Climate Predictions +$2M Explain Climate Conditions to Improve Predictions (Reanalysis)

Integrated Ocean Observation System +$6.1M

Climate Reference Network (CRN) +$1.2M (restores to FY04 level)

Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) +$2.7M (restores to FY04 level)

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New Structure Old Structure

Labs & Joint Institutes Labs & Joint Institutes Climate & Global Change

Climate Observations & Services

Climate Change Research Initiative

Arctic Research (from OC&GL)

Climate Operations Climate Observations & Services

Climate Data & Information Climate Change Research Initiative

Other Partnerships Other Partnerships

Climate Regimes & Ecosystem Productivity Climate Regimes & Ecosystem Productivity

Operations and Research Operations and Research

Archive, Access & Assessment Archive, Access & Assessment

NESDIS

 NOAA RESEARCH – CLIMATE RESEARCH

Climate Competitive Research Program

NATIONAL MARINE FISHERIES SERVICE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

Comparison of NOAA Climate Budget Structure

NOAA has been working with OMB and Congressional staff to improve its budget structure and enable NOAA to have more flexibility when executing its budget

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NOAA CLIMATE PROGRAM

  Operations, Research and Facilities & FY 2004 FY2005 FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2006 FY 2007

 Procurement, Acquisition, & Construction Enacted President Enacted President's Enacted President's

NATIONAL MARINE FISHERIES SERVICE 1,433 2,000 1,478 2,000 1,478 1,984

Climate Regimes & Ecosystem Productivity 1,433 2,000 1,478 2,000 1,478 1,984

NOAA RESEARCH 171,210 181,204 173,828 174,276 166,098 177,832

Laboratories & Cooperative Institutions 44,163 46,005 42,860 44,627 45,843 44,968

Climate Data & Information 3,049 0 0 0 2,401 6,266

Competitive Research Program 0 0 0 0 110,587 125,712

Climate Operations 0 0 0 0 363 886

Climate & Global Change Program 69,659 59,325 67,517 57,405 0 0

Climate Observations & Services 47,749 72,820 53,134 69,227 0 0

Arctic Research Program 3,637 3,054 4,928 3,017 0 0

Other Partnership Programs 2,953 0 5,389 0 6,904 0

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 17,258 18,060 17,634 21,635 19,699 9,612

NESDIS 51,651 38,192 60,512 38,511 59,882 37,157

PROGRAM SUPPORT 3,514 3,464 3,514 3,465 3,479

Facilities 0 3,514 3,464 3,514 3,465 3,479

TOTAL NOAA CLIMATE PROGRAM 241,552 242,970 256,916 239,936 250,622 230,064

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Climate Programs FY 2004

EnactedFY 2005Enacted

FY 2006Enacted

Difference2006-2004

FY 2007Pres.Bud.

COA 127,685 138,446 133,969 6,284 114,300

CF 33,712 42,887 37,748 4,036 39,200

CPP 61,785 59,358 59,576 -2,209 57,400

CE 1,433 1,478 4,437 3,004 1,764

RDS 16,937 14,747 14,892 -2,045 17,400

Total 241,552 256,916 250,622 9,070 230,064

Climate Goal BudgetBy Climate Program

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Proposed FY08 Priorities

National Integrated Drought Information System Drought Internet Portal Improved Observations System monitoring

Improved Climate Predictions Climate Test Bed Weather Climate Connection

Integrated Ocean Observation System

Climate Forcing Aerosol Forcing Carbon Monitoring Water Vapor Processes

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Core Function PRIORITY AREAS FY09-FY13 EXTERNAL DEMANDS PRIORITY ACTIVITIES FY09-FY13

Observation and data management system and models

Integrated approach to environmental information management and modeling Focus for FY09 on integrated earth observation and information management system for space and non-space based observing systems.

U.S. Integrated Earth Observation System (IEOS)

Global Earth Observing System of Systems (GEOSS)

Climate Change Science Program (CCSP)

Arctic Climate Impact Assessment (ACIA))

1. Linkages between Climate forcing, Air Quality, and Regional Climate Changes

2. CTB projects that influence regions

3. Forecasting decadal signals – link to ecosystems and extreme events, e.g., drought

4. Integrated Observation System (IOS) to include IOOS, ISOS, IUOS, Baseline Observatories, Arctic Ocean Observing System, and Reference Networks (CRN, AK CRN, SEBN, Reference Radiosonde)

5. Scientific Data Stewardship/CLASS

6. Satellite (NOAA-NIST) Cal/Val to include use of reference stations measurements

Information services, forecasts and predictions

Leadership of science-based climate information services

Focus for FY09 on Attribution and Understanding of the links between climate and extreme events such as drought, hurricanes, fires, floods, and weather extremes.

National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS)

CCSP/CCTP links

Americas Partnership Program (APP)

Stakeholder workshops in FY05

World Climate Conference 3

1. Implement NIDIS

2 Enabling hazard resilient communities via development of the various coastal information such as coastal climatologies, coastal inundation and erosion, sea level rise, sea ice, and wind/extratropical storms. Use hindcast and reanalysis and understand the requirements and use of climate information.

3. Consequences of sectoral changes (i.e. energy usage) – understanding and strategies for mitigation and adaptation

4. Climate of the 20th century and past 1,000 years

5. Strengthened provision of climate services nationally, regionally, and internationally

Ocean and coastal ecosystem management

Understanding of climate impacts on marine ecosystems to improve ecosystem forecasting and management

- U.S. Commission on Ocean Policy (USCOP) Report

- U.S. Ocean Policy Plan

- Stakeholder workshops in FY05

1. Climate-Ecosystem Competitive Program

2. Climate-Ecosystem Indices

3. Significant change in sea ice extent and duration

4. Vulnerability of fisheries to regime changes

Breakthrough organizational performance

Focus for FY09 is identification of operational needs from research satellites and new operational capabilities needed by NOAA (i.e.

NASA Authorization Act of 2005 NASA-NOAA Transition and satellites such as altimeter (To be discussed with Satellites sub-goal and Admiral)

Proposed FY09 Themes

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Trends

Bleak Fiscal Climate

Growing Commitments

Increasing External Demands

Expanding Priorities

The Risks of Drift

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NOAA/NASA Research and Operations

Transitions

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Background• A Joint Working Group was (JWG) established

December 2005 by Interagency Agreement on Terms of Reference (ToR)

• ToR states that JWG will report on progress of the following activities by January 31, 2006:– Organizational and performance framework for R&O activity– Process for transitioning the use of NASA research

capabilities to NOAA and to facilitate use of NOAA operational capabilities in support of NASA

– Near-term opportunities for transitioning capabilities

• NASA FY2005 Authorization Act directs the establishment of JWG, with status report to Congress by February 15, 2007

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Approach to Process• Approach to Process

– Identify Opportunities– Form Transition Teams to:

• Evaluate the ability to achieve the transition;• Assess what would be required to effect a successful transition;• Connect with NOAA and/or NASA budget planning;• Report to JWG

• Opportunity Categories– Observing Capability Transition (implementing operational satellite

observations to continue measurement streams begun in research programs)

– Mission Extension: (extending research missions beyond their prime missions when those missions have both research and operational uses)

– Data Record Development and Stewardship (creation of long-term data records that extend the research data records)

– Data utilization (acceleration of the operational use of data from research programs)

– Tools and Standards Transition (development of tools and standards that can be used for both research and operations)

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Opportunity Categories

Near Term Mid Term Long Term

NASA funded and deployed effort, demonstrated operational benefits,NOAA currently expending funds to support transition

Under development and/or deployed by NASA, NOAA evaluating potential operational benefit

Under study or concept development by NASA, NOAA anticipates potential future operational benefit

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Links to Ongoing NOAA Budget Execution

• FY2006 Execution

– Sea Surface Height, Surface Vector Winds, Ocean Color

• Develop and execute plan for $4M earmark – NOAA team’s for each effort are in place, NASA has been encouraged to participate

• FY2007 Budgeting

– Ocean Surface Topography Mission

• Program funds for ground station development and pre-launch calibration/validation work are in place

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Links to NOAA Process • FY2008 Budgeting

– Respond to FY2008 Program Decision Memorandum

• Weather and Water Goal to assess feasibility of Solar Wind BAA proposals

• NOAA Observing System Council to analyze impact of loss of NASA research capabilities on NOAA operational products and services – recommend research capabilities that require transition to operations

• Satellite sub-goal to consider additional inter-satellite calibration of instruments and development of improved product suites. Develop recommendation for inclusion in FY08 budget formulation (e.g., NOAA/NIST Initiative)

• JWG provide input to NOAA Transition Board on JWG-identified transitions

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Links to NOAA Process • FY2009 Planning

– Identify transition opportunities in April Workshop

– Provide input to Mission Goals by June 1 for preparation of POPs

– Provide Transition Plans to Goals by August 31, for preparation of Program Plans

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Working Schedule

NASA & NOAAJWG Formed

JWG First Report

7/06 11/064/06 5/06

FY-09OpportunitiesSelected

2/07

Final Report to Congress

1/06 9/06

TransitionTeamsFormed

Cross-NOAA Team Re-constituted(for $4M)

NOAA FY09 POP InputSubmitted

JWG Second Report

Transition Teams Develop Plans

Transition Plans Completed (Defining steps necessary for successful transitions)

Draft Report to Congress(about FY08 opportunities)

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NOAA Climate Program And the

US Climate Change Science Program

Update

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CCSP Retreat

• Interagency Working Groups

• Decision Support

• Program Integration

• Metrics

• Leadership

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CCSP 63%Operations 32%Data Centers, Predictions, Delivery

Directly Related 1%Arctic, Fisheries

Other Partnerships 3%

Program Support 1%(Boulder Facilities)

NOAA Climate ActivitiesFY06 Enacted Budget

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FY06 Our Changing Planet

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

FY04 43.2 26.0 36.5 0.0 9.4

FY05 50.6 29.1 34.8 0.0 8.0

FY06 72.3 48.1 55.9 0.0 8.5

Goal 1 Goal 2 Goal 3 Goal 4 Goal 5

NOAA Climate Program alignment with CCSP Goals

FY04 Actual

$116.4M

FY05

Actual$119.9M

FY06 Enacted

$150.5M

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Selected CCSP Agencies(from “Our Changing Planet FY06)

AGENCY

FY 05

Estimate

($ M)

FY 06 Pres.Bud.

($ M)FOCUS

NOAA/1 $123.7 $180.9Sustained observations and extended

climate records, applied research, projections and decision support

NSF $198.0 $197.0 Basic research

NASA (research)

$292.1 $280.9 Remote sensing

DOE $128.6 $132.1 Climate modeling/scenarios

USDA $72.7 $88.5 Land-use, terrestrial ecosystems

EPA $20.0 $20.5 Risk Assessments

/1 Starting in FY06, funding to NOAA’s Laboratories is included as part of the NOAA’s activities. This is a result of the evolution of NOAA’s role in CCSP.

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CCSP Near-Term Deliverables

• To comply with the terms of Section 106 of GCR Act, the CCSP will produce assessments that focus on a variety of science and policy issues important for public discussion and decision-making.

• The assessments will be composed of syntheses, reports, and integrated analyses that the CCSP will complete over the next 4 years.

• This approach takes account of the need for assessments on the full range of issues spanning all CCSP objectives and will provide a "snapshot" of knowledge of the environmental and socioeconomic aspects of climate variability and change.

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CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Products (S&A)

Status of NOAA IQA-Led CCSP S&A Products CCSP S&AP

Fe de ral Advis o ry

Co mmitte e

Pro s pe c tus Status

Autho rs hip Re vie w Appro ac h

We b public atio n date (CY)

Temp trends (1.1)

established Complete 11 Feds, 14 non-fed

NRC (complete) Q2 2006

Reanalysis (1.3)

planned Under Review 6 Feds, 7 university

NOAA-led Q2 2008

Carbon (2.2) N/A Complete 10 Feds, 11

non-fed (funded via contract)

NOAA-led Q1 2007

Ozone (2.4) N/A Under

development Feds NOAA-led Q2 2008

Projections (3.2) N/A

Under development Feds NRC (tentative) Q3 2007

Extremes (3.3 ) planned Under Review Feds, non-feds NRC (tentative) Q2 2008

Decision support (5.3)

Planned/ approval underway

Under Review 14 Feds, 18 non-fed

NRC Q4 2007

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Climate Working Group

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Next Meetings

July 31 - Aug 3: Summer RetreatTopic: NOAA and the Drought ChallengePlace: Lodge at Santa Fe, New MexicoSee Handout for ProposalNeed to Approve by March 31.

October 10 -11: PrioritiesTopic: Review of NOAA FY09-13 PrioritiesPlace: TBD

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CWG MembershipGet updated nominee list and

needs

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CWG Membership Rotation

2006 2007 2008

Abbott Curry Wood

Brown Prather Weller

Busalacchi Broad Shea

Penner Overpeck Pietrafesa

Trenberth Stephens Carbone

TBD TBD TBD

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BACKUP

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Potential CWG Member Nominees

•1. Regional Services•Kelly Redmond (Western RCC, DRC)•D. Robinson (Rutgers, State Cli.)•Ken Kunkel (Ill. State Water Survey)•2. Operations•Tony Hollingsworth (ECMWF)•Alan Betts (ECMWF)•Vanessa L. Griffin (NASA Goddard Space Flight Center)•3. Industry•Heidi Cullen (The Weather Channel)•Raymond J. Ban (The Weather Channel)•Bob Ryan (WRC-4)•Kristie L. Ebi (Electric Power Research Institute)•Frank Nutter (ReInsurance Assoc)•George Frederick (Vaisala)•Mack McFarland (DuPont) – (Emissions and Atm. Comp.)•Ken Haas (Ford Motor)•Brian P. Flannery (Exxon Mobil Corporation) –(Emissions, tech)•T. Stephen Wittrig (BP) – (Emissions, Tech.)

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Potential CWG Member Nominees

•4. Carbon

•Mike Bender (Princeton)

•Steve Pacala (Princeton)

•Steven C. Wofsy (Harvard University)

•Cindy Lee (SUNY-Stonybrook)

•Bob Anderson (LDEO/Columbia)

•Dave Karl (Univ. of Hawaii)

•A. Scott Denning (Colorado State University)

•Chris Field (Carnegie/Stanford)

•Alan Lucier (National Council for Air and Stream Improvement)

•5. Decision Support

•Roger Pulwarty (Univ. of Colorado/CIRES)

•Katharine L. Jacobs (Arizona State Department of Water Resources)

•William Pizer or Molly Macauley (RFF)

•David Cash (Mass State Env. Affairs) – Air Policy (former Harvard U – Clark group, evaluated dec. supp. activities)

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Potential CWG Member Nominees

•6. Socio-Economic Impacts•Diana M. Liverman (Oxford)•Bill Easterling (Pennsylvania State University)•Diane McKnight (Ucolorado)•Cynthia Rosenzweig (NASA GISS)•7. Water Resources/Land Processes•Jim Shuttleworth (Univ. of Arizona)•Dennis Lettenmaier (Univ. of Washington)•John R. Townshend (University of Maryland)•Douglas McChesney (Washington State Department of Ecology) or somebody from a State Water Resources Board•Peter Gleick (Pacific Institute)•David Matthews (Bureau of Reclamation)•Daniel Lashof (Natural Resources Defense Council)•Roni Avissar (Duke University)•Jayant Sathaye (Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory)•Anthony C. Janetos (H. John Heinz, III Center)•Steven W. Running (University of Montana)•David Skole (Michigan State University)

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Potential CWG Member Nominees

•8. Oceans•Paul Bissett (Florida Env. Res. Inst.)•Rita Colwell (Univ. of Maryland, Canon)•9. Atmospheric Dynamics, Chemistry/Composition•James Anderson (Harvard University)•Daniel J. Jacob (Harvard University)•William H. Brune (Pennsylvania State University)•James Hurrell (NCAR)•10. Ecosystem•Richard A. Houghton (Woods Hole Research Center)•11. Polar•John Walsh (Univ. of Alaska)•Lawson W. Brigham (U.S. Arctic Research Commission)•12. Socio-Economic•James A. Edmonds (PNNL)•Andrew Solow (Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution)

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Potential CWG Member Nominees

• 13. Climate Change and Modeling

• Max J. Suarez (NASA)

• Philip B. Duffy (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory)

• 14. Observations and Data Systems

• Thomas A. Boden (Oak Ridge National Laboratory)

• Bruce Wielicki (NASA Langley)

• Roberta Balstad Miller (Columbia University)(Social Sciences and data issues, not services)

• 15. Integrated Assessments

• Gerald M. Stokes (Joint Global Change Research Institute)

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NOAA Climate Program In the Community

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NRC Studies ? NRC Committee on Archiving and Accessing Environmental and Geospatial Data at

( )NOAA DOC directed

2006Workshops ? , 16Climate Impacts on California Current Ecosystems May-18, 2006, , La Jolla CA ? , ; 22GCOS Upper Air Workshop Series Seattle May-24 , 2006. ? 2 , , 27 2006nd Climate Data Homogeneity Workshop NCDC March ? .North America Drought Workshop for October in Mexico City ? Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop ? Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop

2005Workshops ? GCOS Upper Air Works , ; 8hop Series Boulder February-11, 2005 ? , 2005Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop October ? , 2005NCEP Product Review December ? Annual Ocean Climate Observations Workshop ? Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop ? Planning Workshop to Develop H ydroclimatic Reconstructions for Decision Support in the

Colorado River Basin ? 2005 , , Western States Seasonal Climate and Fire Assessment Workshop Boulder CO ? ( ) 1, 2005, , Western Water Assessment WWA on December in Golden Colorado and

12, 2005, December in C , heyenne Wyoming Town Hall Meetings ? Research Directions for NOAA: Near - and Long -Term

Perspectives, AGU, May 2005 ? Integrated Earth Observing System Public Workshop, Washington, DC from May 9-10,

2005 ? Memberships o Member of the NRC Committee on the Scientific Bases of Colorado River Basin Water

Management (Connie Woodhouse, NCDC)

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NOAA ClimateWhat makes NOAA’s role in Climate Science unique?

NOAA has many leadership roles…

Only agency that provides operational climate forecasts and information services (nationally and internationally)

Only agency that provides daily information about climate to all sectors

Recognized as a leader in climate change science both nationally and internationally

Provides scientific leadership for the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC) Working Group I

Leader for the US Climate Change Science Program (CCSP)

Leader for 7 of the 21 CCSP Synthesis and Assessment products

Leader in the implementation of the Global Ocean Observing System (NOAA contributes 51% of in situ observations, other US agencies 3%)

Examples of interagency coordination: Interagency Working Group on Earth Observations, North American Carbon Program, CCSP Interagency Working Groups

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Emerging Delivery of Climate Services

Climate Services are the timely production and

delivery of useful climate data, information, and knowledge to users,

including decision makers.

Type of Service Sample Products Frequency of Issuance

Example Users

Data and Monitoring Products

Observed Data Sets, Climatologies, Climate Normals, Indices, Drought Monitor

Weekly, Annually, Decadally

Construction, Heating, Fire management,

Assessments IPCC, Ozone layer, Fisheries stocks [North American Carbon Budget, Sea level rise impacts]

5 years, Biannually

National/ International energy and land use, Agriculture, Insurance

Outlooks Week Two to Interannual, Drought outlook [Air Quality, chemistry, and ecosystem outlooks, Weather risks.]

Weekly, Monthly Public health, Energy, Agriculture, Water, resource managers, policy makers, public

Projections (“if…, then…”)

Scenario model runs [Ecosystem outlooks, Net oceanic and terrestrial primary productivity, Coastal ecosystem response]

Annually, 5 year, 10 year

Energy, Coastal and Marine Ecosystems managers, Policy makers

Regional Decision Support

Streamflow information, Fine scale climate mapping, Local ENSO impacts [Wildfire outlooks, Coastal inundation mapping, Regional carbon maps]

On demand, Monthly,

Seasonally-Annually

Agriculture, Fire and water resource mgmt., Coastal and fisheries mgmt., Energy/emissions mgmt.

Current Products; [Future Products]

NOAA’s climate services provide data, operational,

and information products.

Product is a general term for tangible results,

technology, or information that have potential value

in one or more uses.

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CLIMATE PROGRAM PERFORMANCE MEASURES

PROGRAM PERFORMANCE MEASURE PERFORMANCE OBJECTIVE DESIRED END STATE

OBSERVATIONS AND

ANALYSIS

Increased percentage of ocean, atmospheric, and select terrestrial climate “state variables” with quantitative analysis reports in NOAA’s Annual State of the Climate reports

Describe and understand the state of the climate system through integrated observation, analysis, and data stewardship

Integrated and complete ocean and surface, upper air and space observing systems in support of the mission outcome

CLIMATE FORCING

Improved estimates of the magnitude, associated error, and sources of variability in atmospheric forcing agents

Reduce uncertainty in climate projections through timely information on the forcing and feedbacks contributing to change in the Earth’s climate

Sufficient information and understanding necessary to link specific emissions to the radiative forcing of climate change, leading to useful products and services for science-based decisions at global, regional, and local levels

CLIMATE PREDICTIONS

AND PROJECTIONS

Increased climate predictive skill over a range of time scales

Improve climate predictive capability from weeks to decades, with an increased range of a applicability for management and policy decisions

A seamless suite of forecasts on intraseasonal, interannual, and multi-decadal timescales and applications using ensembles of multiple climate models in support of the mission outcome

CLIMATE AND ECOSYSTEMS

Increased number of ecological forecasts and living marine resource assessments used by managers that incorporate indices of climate variability and change

Understand and predict the consequences of climate variability and change on marine ecosystems

An ability to predict probable consequences of global climate change on ecological systems and living resources in support of the mission outcome

REGIONAL DECISION SUPPORT

Improved ability of society to plan and respond to climate variability and climate change using NOAA climate products and information

Increase availability of climate products and services to enhance public and private-sector decision-making

A mature and efficient system for understanding and responding to stakeholder needs for products and services in support of the mission outcome to incorporate NOAA products into plans and decisions

Performance measures to assess achievement of goal outcomes

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Climate Performance Objective GPRA Measure

Describe and understand the state of the climate system through integrated observations, analysis, and data management.

Determine the National Explained Variance (%) for Temperature and Precipitation for the Contiguous United States using USCRN Stations (Baseline 2003: 95%/84%, Target 2011: 98%/95%)Reduce the Error in Global Measurement of Sea Surface Temperature (Baseline 2006 new: 0.5C, Target 2011: 0.2C)

Reduce uncertainty in climate projections through timely information on the forcing and feedbacks contributing to changes in the Earth’s climate.

Reduce the Uncertainty in the Magnitude of the North American (NA) Carbon Uptake (Baseline 2003: Target 2011: 0.3GtC/year)Reduce the Uncertainty in Model Simulations of the Influence of Aerosols on Climate (Baseline 2006 new: IPCC TAR, Target 2011: 50%)

Improve climate predictive capability from weeks to decades, with an increased range of applicability for management and policy decisions.

U.S. Temperature Forecasts (Cumulative Skill Score Computed Over the Regions Where Predictions are Made) (Baseline 2003: 17; Target 2011: 22)

Understand and predict the consequences of climate variability and change on marine ecosystems. 

None

Increase number and use of climate products and services to enhance public and private sector decision-making. 

Improve Society's Ability to Plan and Respond to Climate Variability and Change Using NOAA Climate Products and Information (Baseline 2006 new: 32, Target 2011: 35 assessments)

CLIMATE PROGRAM PERFORMANCE MEASURES

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Senate language in the NOAA FY05 budget for NOAA

• “Provide NOAA the capability to transition NASA remote sensed ocean measurements into operational products for the user community”

• Observations explicitly mentioned: “ocean winds from scatterometers,…sea level…from altimeters, and…ocean color”

• Initially a one-year $4M level of effort, with no assurance for continuation, it was continued in the FY06 budget

• Continued as “Research to Operations/NASA-NOAA Partnerships”

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NASA FY2005 Authorization ActSEC. 306. COORDINATION WITH THE NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

(a) JOINT WORKING GROUP.—The Administrator and the Administrator of NOAA shall appoint a Joint Working Group, which shall review and monitor missions of the two agencies to ensure maximum coordination in the design, operation, and transition of missions where appropriate. The Joint Working Group shall also prepare the plans required by subsection (c).

(b) COORDINATION REPORT.—Not later than February 15 of each year, beginning with the first fiscal year after the date of enactment of this Act, the Administrator and the Administrator of NOAA shall jointly transmit a report to the Committee on Science of the House of Representatives and the Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation of the Senate on how the earth science programs of NOAA and NASA will be coordinated during the fiscal year following the fiscal year in which the report is transmitted.

(c) COORDINATION OF TRANSITION PLANNING AND REPORTING.— The Administrator, in conjunction with the Administrator of NOAA and in consultation with other relevant agencies, shall evaluate relevant NASA science missions for their potential operational capabilities and shall prepare transition plans for the existing and future Earth observing systems found to have potential operational capabilities.

(d) LIMITATION.—The Administrator shall not transfer any NASA earth science mission or Earth observing system to the NOAA until the plan required under subsection (c) has been approved by the Administrator and the Administrator NOAA and until financial resources have been identified to support the transition or transfer in the President’s budget request for NOAA

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Sea Surface Height Transition

• NOAA Lead: Ants Leetma (OAR/GFDL)

• Near Term Objectives

– Sign the MOU for OSTM/Jason-2

– Complete ground system with EUMETSAT for OSTM

– Confirm requirements for Jason-3

• How many altimeters? What kind? (frequencies, orbits, etc.)

– Build case for Jason-3 in FY2009 budget

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Surface Vector Winds Transition

• NOAA Lead: Bob Atlas (OAR/AOML)

• Near Term Objectives

– Confirm requirements for Surface Vector Winds (SVW)

• Hold workshop 1st week of June at Tropical Prediction Center to lay out plan for evaluating the similarities, differences, and synergies for all sources of SVW observations

– Examples are: Windsat, CMIS, ASCAT, QuikSCAT, Dual-frequency MEOSCAT

• Assess options to meet those requirements

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Ocean Color Transition

• Lead: Rick Stumpf (NOS/NCCOS)

• Near Term Objectives

– Include MOBY in Climate/NIST initiative

– Clarify requirements (M. Abbott 2nd workshop at NOAA Cooperative Institute for Oceanographic Satellite Studies)

– Insert Ocean Color requirements in the FY2009 PPBES Planning Phase

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A Research-to-Operations Transition ProcessHow it has been done - sequential

• NASA– Justify a research mission – on whatever basis– Implement the research mission

• Demonstrate the technology – show that it works• Retrieve geophysical products – show that they make sense• Demonstrate scientific utility – show that the products are useful

• NOAA & NASA– Conduct demonstrations in a setting to entrain operational users

• Supply access – timely down-linking and product generation• Provide knowledge of, and tools for, using those products• Demonstrate real/potential benefits – satisfy operational user needs & show value

• NOAA– Justify an operational mission based on cost and benefit– Implement the new/modified systems with a means to ensure continuity– Optimize the performance of the operational system

• Maintain scientific involvement to validate operational products

• NASA & NOAA– Encourage access to data for research use in order to facilitate the development of

improved operational products

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A Research-to-Operations Transition Process How it could be done – in parallel

• NASA – at the same time, NOAA enters a complementary wedge in PPBES process

– Justify a research mission – on whatever basis– Implement the research mission

• Demonstrate the technology – show that it works• Retrieve geophysical products – show that they make sense• Demonstrate scientific utility – show that the products are useful

• NOAA & NASA– Conduct demonstrations in a setting to entrain operational users

• Supply access – timely down-linking and product generation• Provide knowledge of, and tools for, using those products• Demonstrate real/potential benefits – satisfy operational user needs & show value

• NOAA– Justify an operational mission based on cost and benefit– Implement the new/modified systems with a means to ensure continuity– Optimize the performance of the operational system

• Maintain scientific involvement to validate operational products

• NASA & NOAA– Encourage access to data for research use in order to facilitate the development of

improved operational products