Climate Change Projections: The case of the Volcano Rabbit Angélica Domínguez & Enrique Martínez...
-
Upload
maryann-scott -
Category
Documents
-
view
216 -
download
0
description
Transcript of Climate Change Projections: The case of the Volcano Rabbit Angélica Domínguez & Enrique Martínez...
Climate Change Projections: The case of the Volcano Rabbit Anglica Domnguez & Enrique Martnez Meyer The case of the volcano rabbit (Romerolagus diazi) Climatic stations in the distribution of the rabbit Min Temperature in December Max Temperature in December Results Uncertainty is a big issue in climate change studies Uncertainty in climatic scenarios Peterson et al Can J Zool. 82: CGCM1-A2CGCM1-B2HadCM3-A2HadCM3-B2 Predicted distribution of Colias paleaeno under 4 climatic scenarios Uncertainty in climatic scenarios Algorithmic uncertainty 1.ANN1 (SPECIES) 2.ANN2 (SPLUS) 3.BIOCLIM 4.CTA 5.GA 6.GAM 7.GARP 8.GLM 9.DOMAIN Pearson et al Journal of Biogeography Uncertainty in the dispersal capacity of species No dispersionUniversal disperal Change Dispersion Establishment Uncertainty in the effect of CC on biotic interactions