Claude Henry,IDDRI Sciences Po Parigi - Columbia University New York
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Transcript of Claude Henry,IDDRI Sciences Po Parigi - Columbia University New York
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INNOVATION FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE
ENERGY, FOOD, WATER
Claude HENRY, Sciences Po Paris and Columbia University (June 2015)
Introduction Why should we muster the best of our resources -‐ both human and material -‐ in order to implement a more sustainable and equitable form of development? .because billions of our fellow humans live in unacceptable poverty .because the condition of our planet worsens at such a pace that all forms of life, including ours, will come under the most serious threats during the present century, be they biodiversity erosion, water and fertile soil scarcity, energy obesity and climate change. Current generations are – at an unbearable pace -‐ squandering the heritage of natural capital in their hands. It will not be easy, to say the least, to switch from the present development trajectory to a significantly more sustainable one. Success requires mobilizing the resources and strengthening the will of human societies: scientific, technical and managerial resources on one hand, behaviors and institutions on the other hand. More of the required methods and instruments than currently appreciated are available; and among those that are not, some of the most critical ones might be developed in time (electricity storage, carbon capture from ambient air, biological rather than chemical technologies in agriculture, etc.). However mobilizing science and technology would be of little value if sweeping changes are not made as regards: the channels for science and technology dissemination; the incentives orienting individual and collective behaviors; the design and conduct of institutions for the governance of common concerns, at all levels from local to worldwide. These changes require huge efforts – and right now mankind obviously doesn’t seem prepared to make enough of them
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– but they are not incompatible with economic growth, albeit growth with a quickly shifting content, some activities being developed very fast, others being dramatically downsized. Science and technology appropriate conception and dissemination, behavioral innovations, proper institutional design, are of special significance and potential in developing countries. This I will illustrate for three different resources in three different countries, energy in India, food in Kenya, water in Cambodge. To be in coherence with this session’s topic, I’ll only briefly allude to water and food; I nevertheless want to stress that the concerns and approaches are similar. As emphasized by Richard Nelson: “technological solutions to global problems must be deployed throughout the world by many different actors in decentralized ways” (2010); see also von Hippel (2005). This is particularly true as regards the provision of adequate energy to all people on earth while containing climate change. It is also true for meeting other essential needs, in priority food and water availability. Let us thus consider how to carry and support decentralized initiatives for designing and deploying systems -‐ with their various components, technical, social, economical -‐ meant at sustainably meeting fundamental needs in developing countries. We base our discussion on three remarkable endeavors aimed, in the same spirit, at electricity, food or water provision to disadvantaged communities, in ways that are renewable and sustainable; the convergences in the three approaches are illuminating. We put special emphasis on the following factors that sustain innovation and development: . entrepreneurship . technical versatility . managerial skills and social awareness . education and knowledge dissemination along appropriate channels. Husk Power Systems: providing electricity in rural India
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In 2007, an Indian engineer, Gyanesh Pandey, who had graduated in electrical engineering at Rensselaer Polytechnic (Troy, NY, USA), and who at the time had a gratifying job in Los Angeles, decided to head back to his native Bihar. Bihar is mostly rural and is one of the poorest states in the Indian Federation. More than 80% of households there are deprived of access to electricity, a proportion that both reveals and breeds poverty. Those who can afford them use inconvenient and costly kerosene lamps that generate indoor pollution; diesel generators, also polluting and costly, are used to pump water for irrigation and sustain artisanal and commercial activities. Pandey himself doesn’t come from a well-‐off family, and when a child suffered from the lack of proper lighting. By 2007 he was determined to try and muster his technical skills to remedy the situation in his home state. After a few unconvincing attempts with solar cells and biofuels, he came to the idea of using rice husk to generate electricity. He teamed with a local entrepreneur and with two Indian graduates from Virginia University’s Darden Business School. Husk Power Systems was started in 2009. In Bihar rice is the dominant crop; husk, i.e. the envelope of the rice grains, is thus abundant. It is good neither for burning in stoves (because of its very high content in silica) nor for returning nutrients to the soil (because of its low content in nutrients). However it can be decomposed by fermentation in a gasifier. Because it had very few uses, 75/80% of the 2M tons obtained each year, as byproduct of the rice crop, were rotting in landfills. The resource is thus plentiful, and its use as precursor of fuel doesn’t harm any other activity food production in particular. At Husk Power Systems small simple gasifiers are fed with husk. The gas is then burnt to drive a turbine, from which electricity is produced in a standard way. Typically a 32kw plant consumes 50kg of husk per hour. The components, from which these mini power plants are made, are not tailor-‐made; they are bought in such conditions that costs are minimized; however their arrangement into a specific equipment is innovative, with its quest for simplicity and efficiency in using an unusual fuel.
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Typically the investment cost is about $ 1300 per kw, partially paid for by consumers and partially by modest grants from the Indian Federal Government, the International Finance Corporation and foundations like the Shell Foundation and the Fondation Alstom. The variable cost is about $ 0.15 per kwh, and is covered by consumers in counterpart for the delivery of enough electricity for one or two low consumption bulbs and mobile phone recharges; what consumers pay is about half the expense of a kerosene lamp. At a modest additional price, electric stoves can also be powered. Electricity is distributed through local mini networks, i.e. simple wiring of a few villages totalling up to 4000 inhabitants, for whom it becomes possible to extend home activities, in particular student work, beyond daylight hours. For artisanal and commercial activities it represents a less polluting, more convenient and cheaper source of energy, making them more productive. Each local network allows the saving of about 40.000l of kerosene and 20.000l of diesel per year; it also saves firewood, and for women the time and effort of collecting firewood. Last but not least, one of the greatest benefits is the reduction of indoor pollution and the health hazards such pollution provokes. At the” Husk Power University” (in German it would more accurately be called “Technische Schule”), most students are recruited locally. They are trained either as “plant’s junior mechanic”-‐ with the perspective of being put in charge of operation and maintenance of a single plant (an eight weeks course) or “senior mechanic” and middle manager for a number of plants, with the ability to face more intricate problems than those dealt with at plant level ( a six months course). Husk Power System is more than a technical innovation, however valuable it is in this respect. It integrates into the economic life of the communities involved a local, abundant and underutilized raw resource. It also promotes local talents. And providing an essential service, it transforms the economic, social and health conditions of the communities it serves. Within four years, almost 100 plants and networks have been set up with cumulative improvements in service and costs. The pace of development is accelerating and inroads have been made into a neighbouring state, Utar Pradesh; there is interest in Bangladesh as well (see Islam and Ahiduzzaman 2013). Pandey himself
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concludes that the main lesson of the endeavor is about how to create a system providing an essential service, adapted to the needs of poor people, out of the material and labor resources that are readily available locally. Push pull systems: protecting crops in Kenya This biology-‐based method of protecting maize in East Africa is the product of a joint project (see Icipe 2011) at the International Centre of Insect Physiology and Ecology (Icipe, Kenya) and Rothamsted Research, UK, one of the longest running and most productive agricultural research stations in the world, established in 1843 and known for a long time as Rothamsted Experimental Station. The targets are maize stemborers, i.e. larvae of various moths that attack maize -‐ the main crop in East Africa -‐ from the inside of the stems; if unchecked, stemborers reduce yields by 20-‐40%; sometimes up to 80%. As research progressed a second target popped up by chance, or more accurately by recognition of an unexpected side effect: striga hermontica, a weed extremely difficult to eradicate by conventional methods as it parasitizes the maize, the yield losses ranging from 30 to 100% in the infested fields. Pesticides are not very effective to reach larvae inside the stems. An all too common reaction is for the farmers to increase the quantities applied; that results in more harm to soil biodiversity than to pests. And yet the stakes are high; according to Icipe (2011), ”preventing crop losses from stemborers could increase maize harvests by enough to feed an additional 27 million people in the region.” This sounds like a strong motivation to try and find effective ways, if not to eradicate the pest, at least to keep the stemborer populations within limits so they cause little harm, while minimizing negative effects to soil and environment. Research led to identifying a tree (that it is a tree that fixes nitrogen from ambient air is a bonus), silverleaf desmodium, for the push, and two varieties of grass, Napier grass and Sudan grass, for the pull. The reseachers considered a few candidates for push, and a stunning 400 varieties of grass for pull. Desmodium and Napier/Sudan grass were selected for several interrelated reasons:
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. Desmodium, that is intercropped with maize, repels female moths and thus deters them to lay their eggs on the maize lines. That worked as anticipated. What was not anticipated is that their roots emit in the soil a chemical substance that checks the growth of the striga weed; in the experimental fields with maize and desmodium, the progressive disappearance of striga was observed with a measure of surprise and then great satisfaction. . Napier/Sudan grass, which is planted along the borders of maize-‐desmodium parcels, emits volatile chemical substances that attract female moths and make them lay their eggs there; the grass is also home to various predators of the eggs, or of the larvae coming out of these eggs; these are ants, earwigs, spiders, and a remarkable variety of tiny wasps that parasitize eggs. Another reason why Napier/Sudan grass was selected is that it provides valuable fodder for livestock. Adoption by 50,000 smallholders (by 2012) has resulted from an effort of associating farmers to the experiments, and from broad knowledge dissemination and demonstration of results. Adoption takes place at an accelerating rate that makes the million adopters by 2020 a realistic objective. This is mainly the effect of demonstrated increases in yields: control yields on maize monocrop fields are typically between 1 and 2 tons/ha/year; on push-‐pull fields they are between 4 and 5, moreover with less volatility. At this point, Voltaire would warn against the Candide delusion. And indeed, with all its virtues, push-‐pull is not without its problems: the broad use of Napier grass causes the spread of a disease hitherto marginal, and desmodium is attacked by its own variety of borer. Nothing is more inventive than life, with positive effects that human endeavors can take advantage of, and negative ones that they must try and circumvent. In this case, researchers are back to work, trying inter alia to identify and transfer resistance genes among various strains of desmodium. Mille et une fontaines: providing drinking water in Cambodia
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Aiming at the provision of safe drinking water in rural Cambodge. Mille et une fontaines has been designed independently from Husk Power Systems, but their structures have striking similarities, that reflect converging assessments of similar circumstances. In both cases : . entrepreneurship is a driving force (see Rambicur et Jaquenoud 2013) . technology is characterized by innovative sobriety . production is centered on preexisting communities of consumers, a village or a small cluster of villages . the articulation between (i) local plants run by local technicians-‐managers recruited from the local communities and trained in the Mille et une Fontaines « Academy » (similar to the HPS « University ») and (ii) a central body for dealing with problems that cannot be solved at local level and for sustaining the geographic expansion of the system (60 plants in 2011, 120 in 2013 and 250 in 2015-‐6), is carefully designed and monitored . interactions with consumers are also closely monitored. In the case of Mille et une fontaines, the priority in this respect is to convince the villagers that getting safe drinking water is worth paying a price that, however modest, is not negligible for them. HSP has similar concerns. Conclusion In defining and implementing objectives in the above situations, it appears that: . entrepreneurship is a driving force , embodied in small teams of pioneers or in local R&D organizations . technology is “as simple as possible, but no simpler” -‐ to paraphrase Albert Einstein’s recommendation about the use of mathematics by his students in physics -‐ with special attention to the specificities of the problem at hand and the reliability of the system designed . implementation is centered on preexisting communities of consumers or
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producers and on underused locally available human and material resources . there is a duality between the running of the local means of production and the impulse and supervision from the core of entrepreneurship, with interactions closely monitored. References Icipe (2011), Push-pull: A model for Africa’s green revolution, Report. Islam, S. and M. Ahiduzzaman, « Green electricity from rice husk : a model for Bengladesh », chapter 6 in Mohammad Rasul, ed. (2013), Thermal power plants – Advanced applications, InTech Open Access Publishing. Mowery, D., R. Nelson and B. Martin (2010), “Technology policy and global warming: Why new policy models are needed”, Research Policy, 39: 1011-1023. Rambicur, J.-‐F. et F. Jaquenoud (2013), « Pour une nouvelle économie de l’eau potable », Le Journal de l’Ecole de Paris, 102 : 25-‐31. Von Hippel, E. (2005), Democratizing Innovation, Cambridge, Mass.: M.I.T. Press.