Church Dropouts: How Many Leave Church between ages 18-22 and Why? Spring 2007.
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Transcript of Church Dropouts: How Many Leave Church between ages 18-22 and Why? Spring 2007.
Church Dropouts:Church Dropouts:
How Many Leave Church How Many Leave Church
between ages 18-22 and between ages 18-22 and
Why?Why?
Spring 2007
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Report Contents
• Methodology 3• Key Findings 4• How Many are Church Dropouts? 6• Why do Dropouts Leave? 8• When do Dropouts Leave? 20• Why do Some Dropouts Return to Church? 29• Why do Some Young Adults Stay in Church? 34
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Methodology• Survey of Young Adults ages 18-30 in April-May 2007
• Sample size of 1,023 provides 95% confidence that sampling error does not exceed +3.1%
• Eligible respondents attended a Protestant church regularly (twice a month or more) for at least a year in high school
• The web survey utilized a representative national panel of Americans
– Panels have been utilized by research firms such as the Gallup Organization and National Family Opinion (NFO) for over 60 years
– Online panels have been heavily utilized by Gallup, NFO, Harris Interactive and others for over 10 years
– Panels facilitate accurate sampling and high response rates and ensure that emerging generations without telephone landlines are included
• Church “Dropouts” are defined as those who “stopped attending church regularly for at least a year between the ages of 18 and 22”
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Key Findings
How many leave church between ages 18-22?Among those who attended a Protestant church twice a month or more for at least a year in high school:
70 percent of 23-30 year olds stopped attending church regularly for at least a year between ages 18-22*– 35% of these dropouts eventually returned and are attending church twice a month
*Throughout this report, those who “stopped attending church regularly for at least a year between the ages of 18 and 22” are referred to as church “dropouts”
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Key Findings Why do young people drop out of church?• Life changes or situations are the top category of reasons – 97% of
those who dropped out of church indicate at least one of 19 reasonsLife changes/situation examples:– “Simply wanted a break from church” (27%) – “Moved to college and stopped attending church” (25%)– “Work responsibilities prevented me from attending” (23%)
• Church or Pastor related reasons are the second category – 58% of those who dropped out indicate at least one item among these 14 reasonsChurch/Pastor-related examples:– “Church members seemed judgmental or hypocritical” (26%)– “Didn’t feel connected to the people in my church” (20%)
• Religious, ethical or political beliefs are the third category – 52% of those who dropped out indicate at least one item among these 12 reasons
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How Many are Church Dropouts?
Percentage who leave between ages 18-22
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The Dropout RateAmong those who attended a Protestant church twice a month or more for at least a year in high school:
70 percent of young adults ages 23-30 stopped attending church regularly for at least a year between ages 18-22
23 - 30 Year Olds
70%
30%
Dropped Out
Stayed in
Church Those who stayed in church attended with varying levels of frequency
Note: This study includes 18-30 year olds. The dropout rate for 18-30 year olds, including 18-22 year olds who may still drop out, is 65%
S3. Did you stop attending church regularly for at least a year between the ages of 18 and 22? Base: Attended a Protestant church for at least a year in high school. 18-30 year olds (n=1,557), 23-30 year olds (n=732)
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Why do Dropouts Leave?Dropouts indicate the factors that contributed to
their decision
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Why dropouts stop attending church
• 45 specific reasons were listed in three categories and an opportunity was provided to specify other reasons within each category
• 19 reasons were listed in the category life changes/situations,
• 14 reasons were listed in the category church/pastor-related, and
• 12 reasons were listed in the category religious, ethical or political beliefs
• Almost every church dropout indicated a change in their life or their life situation contributed to their decision to stop attending church regularly
• Half indicated a specific reason in the other two categories
• Six of the top 10 specific reasons indicated are life changes/situations
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Top 10 reasons church dropouts indicate they stopped attending church
17%
17%
18%
20%
22%
22%
23%
25%
26%
27%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Was only going to church to please others
Chose to spend more time with friends outsidethe church
Disagreed with the church's stance onpolitical/social issues
Didn't feel connected to the people in my church
Became too busy, though still wanted to attend
Moved too far away from the church to continueattending
Work responsibilities prevented me fromattending
Moved to college and stopped attending church
Church members seemed judgmental orhypocritical
Simply wanted a break from church
Q2a. Which of the following factors contributed to your decision to stop attending church regularly between the ages of 18 and 22? Base: S3 = “Yes” (n=615)
Life changes/situations
Church/ pastor-related
Religious, ethical or political beliefs
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Church dropouts are most likely to indicate they stopped attending church because of life changes or situations
Categories of specific reasons for stopping church attendance
52%
58%
97%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Religious, ethical orpolitical beliefs
Church or Pastor-related reasons
Life changes orsituations
% of church dropouts specifying a reason within category
Q2a. Which of the following factors contributed to your decision to stop attending church regularly between the ages of 18 and 22? Base: S3 = “Yes” (n=615)
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Life changes/situations dropouts indicate contributed to the stop in
church attendance
Q2a. Which of the following factors contributed to your decision to stop attending church regularly between the ages of 18 and 22? Base: S3 = “Yes” (n=615)
12%
14%
16%
17%
22%
22%
23%
25%
27%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Family/home responsibilities prevented me fromattending
Wanted to make life decisions that were notaccepted by the church
School responsibilities prevented me fromattending
Chose to spend more time with friends outsidethe church
Became too busy, though still wanted to attend
Moved too far away from the church to continueattending
Work responsibilities prevented me fromattending
Moved to college and stopped attending church
Simply wanted a break from church
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Life changes/situations dropouts indicate contributed to the stop in
church attendance -- continued
4%
6%
7%
7%
8%
8%
9%
9%
11%
11%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%
Sports activities were on Sunday
Parents did not expect me to continue attending
Moved with my family too far away from the church
Friends stopped attending
Parents divorced/separated
Desire to attend not embraced by my group offriends
Got married
Felt too guilty about lifestyle to attend church
Other activities/scheduling conflicts prevented mefrom attending
Lost touch with my church-going friends
Q2a. Which of the following factors contributed to your decision to stop attending church regularly between the ages of 18 and 22? Base: S3 = “Yes” (n=615)
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Church/pastor-related reasons dropouts indicate contributed to the
stop in church attendance
13%
13%
14%
15%
20%
26%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Pastor I liked left the church
Church was not helping me to developspiritually
Sermons did not capture my attention
Church members were unfriendly/unwelcoming/ cliquish
Didn't feel connected to the people in mychurch
Church members seemed judgmental orhypocritical
Q2a. Which of the following factors contributed to your decision to stop attending church regularly between the ages of 18 and 22? Base: S3 = “Yes” (n=615)
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Church/pastor-related reasons dropouts indicate contributed to the stop in church attendance -- continued
5%
7%
7%
7%
8%
10%
10%
11%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%
Youth minister/ leader I liked left the church
Church expected too much of me (time,money, etc.)
Sermons were not relevant to my life
Didn't feel involved in meaningful work in thechurch
Pastor was not a good preacher
Worship style was unappealing
Church members were too different from me
Church did not offer programs of interest
Q2a. Which of the following factors contributed to your decision to stop attending church regularly between the ages of 18 and 22? Base: S3 = “Yes” (n=615)
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Religious, ethical or political reasons dropouts indicate contributed to the
stop in church attendance
14%
15%
16%
16%
17%
18%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
Disagreed with the church's teachings aboutGod
Went through a challenge in life that causedme to question my faith
Disagreed with the church's moral/ ethicalguidelines for everyday living
No longer wanted to identify withchurch/organized religion
Was only going to church to please others
Disagreed with the church's stance onpolitical/ social issues
Q2a. Which of the following factors contributed to your decision to stop attending church regularly between the ages of 18 and 22? Base: S3 = “Yes” (n=615)
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Religious, ethical or political reasons dropouts indicate contributed to
stopping -- continued
7%
7%
9%
9%
12%
13%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14%
Stopped believing in God
Became angry at God for personal reasons
No longer wanted to identify with thatparticular denomination
No longer wanted to identify myself as aChristian
Was unsure of the reasons behind my faith
Was only going to church out of habit
Q2a. Which of the following factors contributed to your decision to stop attending church regularly between the ages of 18 and 22? Base: S3 = “Yes” (n=615)
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While attending regularly only 20% of church dropouts planned to leave church after high school
Q5. Thinking back to your days of regular church attendance in high school, had you planned on taking a break from church once you finished high school? Base: S3 = “Yes” (n=615)
After high school, I’m
leaving church!
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Few dropouts who plan to leave church, tell anyone of their plans
Q5a. Did you talk to anyone about your desire to leave church? If so, who did you talk to? Base: Q5 = “Yes” (n=101)
After high school, I’m
leaving church! Among 101 church dropouts surveyed who
planned to leave church after high school:
26 Told someone about their desire“Mother,” “friends,” and “parents” were the most common person they told
75 Did not tell anyone“I kept my feelings secret for fear of losing my friends”
“Not really, I just told my parents I didn’t like it”
“No, there was no one I knew that would support my decision to reject God, Jesus and the Holy Spirit.”
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When do Dropouts Leave?Church attendance is a revolving door
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Who attends church is constantly changing, but the number drops sharply
between ages 17-19
• Churn occurs at every age: some attendees are new or returning to church at the same time others are leaving
• About two-thirds attend twice a month or more at a given age under 14, 14, 15, and 16
• This is followed by fewer teens attending church twice a month at age 17, even fewer at age 18, and fewer still at age 19 – less than half the number compared to age 16
• The lowest twice-a-month attendance levels occur at age 22
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Ages young people attended church at least twice a month
Q1a. At which of the following ages did you regularly attend church (by “regularly attend,” we mean attend at least twice a month for three or more months)? Base: All (n=1,023 through age 18)
44%
58%
68%
68%
66%
70%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Age 18
Age 17
Age 16
Age 15
Age 14
Under 14
% attending 2+ times per month
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Ages young people attended church at least twice a month -- continued
Q1a. At which of the following ages did you regularly attend church (by “regularly attend,” we mean attend at least twice a month for three or more months)? Base: Current Age >= Age asked about (n ranges from =964 at age 19 to 465 at age 26)
35%
33%
32%
32%
28%
29%
29%
31%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Age 26
Age 25
Age 24
Age 23
Age 22
Age 21
Age 20
Age 19
% attending 2+ times per month
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There is constant turnover in those who attended at one age compared to those
who attended the following year
Q1a. At which of the following ages did you regularly attend church (by “regularly attend,” we mean attend at least twice a month for three or more months)? Base: All (n=1,023 through age 18)
Note: “Net” percent may not equal “new/returning” minus “stop/attend less” due to rounding
Age 14Net 4% loss
Under 14
Age 15Net 2% gain
Age 16Net 1% gain
Age 17Net 15% loss
Age 18Net 24% loss
+9% new or returning
-14% stop or attend less
-7% stop or attend less
-10% stop or attend less
-21% stop or attend less
-32% stop or attend less
+9% new or returning
+11% new or returning
+5% new or returning
+8% new or returning
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Churn among those who attended church at least twice a month is heavy
through ages 18 to 22
Q1a. At which of the following ages did you regularly attend church (by “regularly attend,” we mean attend at least twice a month for three or more months)? Base: All (n ranges from =964 at age 19 to 785 at age 22)
Age 19Net 29% loss
Age 18
Age 20Net 5% loss
Age 21Net 2% gain
Age 22Net 2% loss
+8% returning
-37% stop or attend less
-18% stop or attend less
-14% stop or attend less
-14% stop or attend less
+13% returning
+16% returning
+11% returning
Note: “Net” percent may not equal “new/returning” minus “stop/attend less” due to rounding
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Churn continues after age 22, but the number returning to twice-a-month attendance exceeds those leaving
Q1a. At which of the following ages did you regularly attend church (by “regularly attend,” we mean attend at least twice a month for three or more months)? Base: All (n ranges from =785 at age 22 to 465 at age 26)
Age 23Net 13% gain
Age 22
Age 24Net 1% gain
Age 25Net 3% gain
Age 26Net 4% gain
+16% returning
-3% stop or attend less
-7% stop or attend less
-6% stop or attend less
-6% stop or attend less
+9% returning
+9% returning
+11% returning
Note: “Net” percent may not equal “new/returning” minus “stop/attend less” due to rounding
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This study only included those who attended a Protestant church regularly for at least a
year in high school, but the religious background they indicated did vary
Q10. Please indicate which of the following religious preferences most closely match your own childhood religious background. Base: All (n=1,023)S6. What is your current religious preference? Base: All (n=1,023)
Childhood Religious Background Total
Catholic 13% Protestant or Christian (non-denominational) 68% Mormon/ Jehovah’s Witness/ Christian Science 5% Secular/ Nonreligious/ Agnostic/ Atheist 2% Other 7% None of the above 4%
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This study only included those who attended a Protestant church regularly for at least a
year in high school, but the current religious preference they indicated did vary
Q10. Please indicate which of the following religious preferences most closely match your own childhood religious background. Base: All (n=1,023)S6. What is your current religious preference? Base: All (n=1,023)
Current Religious Preference Total Catholic 14% Protestant 59% Mormon/ Jehovah’s Witness/ Christian Science 7% Secular/ Nonreligious/ Agnostic/ Atheist 5% Other 2% No preference 12%
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Why do Some Dropouts Return to Church?
Dropouts who returned indicate the influences that contributed to their decision to return
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Church dropouts do not all leave for good – one third have resumed attending at least twice a month
S5. Which of the following best describes your CURRENT church attendance? Base: S3 = “Yes” (23-30 year olds n=477 )
Current church attendance among those who dropped out
Do NOT currently attend
Attend once a month or less
Attend twice a month or more
23-30 Year Olds
30%
34%35%
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Why young adults return to church after dropping out for a year or more
Dropouts who returned to church indicate they did so because of encouragement from family and friends, a desire to return or a life event
Encouragement from others• 39 percent returned due to encouragement from parents or family members• 21 percent returned through encouragement from friends or acquaintances• 50 percent returned through encouragement from either family OR friends
Desire or calling• 34 percent started attending again because of a simple desire to return – this
was a significantly higher reason for women than men (41% vs. 22%)• 28 percent felt that God was calling them to return to church – this was a
significantly higher reason for women than men (34% vs. 18%)
Life events• 24 percent had children and felt it was time for them to start attending – this
was a significantly higher reason for women than men (31% vs. 13%)• 20 percent got married and wanted to attend with their spouse
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Why some dropouts return to church*
Q4. Which of the following situations or influences contributed to your decision to start attending church again? Base: S5 = Attend and S3 = “Yes” (n=394)
20%
20%
21%
24%
28%
34%
39%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Got married and wanted to attend with my spouse
Wanted to make a difference and help others
Friends or acquaintances encouraged me toattend
Had children and felt it was time for them to startattending
Felt that God was calling me to return to thechurch
Simply felt the desire to return
Parents or family members encouraged me toattend
* Reasons indicated by young adults who returned to church after dropping out for at least a year
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Q4. Which of the following situations or influences contributed to your decision to start attending church again? Base: S5 = Attend and S3 = “Yes” (n=394)
5%
7%
7%
11%
14%
15%
18%
16%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Other
Church was involved in social issues of interest tome
Needed the church for a significant life event (i.e.wedding, baptistm, etc.)
Had a crisis in my life (i.e. death in the family, etc.)
Wanted to find new friends
Became interested in attending group studies oractivities at the church
Felt convicted of the need to return
Felt that church was more relevant to my life thanit was when I was younger
Why some dropouts return to church* -- continued
* Reasons indicated by young adults who returned to church after dropping out for at least a year
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Why do Some Young Adults Stay in Church?
Young adults who stay in church indicate the factors that contributed to their continued
attendance
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Almost all young adults who stayed in church between ages 18-22 attend church today at least occasionally
S5. Which of the following best describes your CURRENT church attendance? Base: S3 = “No” (23-30 year olds n=255 )
Current church attendance among those who stayed in church between ages 18-22
Do NOT currently attend
Attend once a month or less
Attend twice a month or more
23-30 Year Olds
82%
6% 12%
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Why some young church goers continue attending church
Church goers who stayed in church between ages 18 and 22, indicate they did so because they saw personal relevance (now and in the future) and were committed to the church’s purpose
Personal relevance and commitment• Two-thirds stayed in church because it was a vital part of their relationship with
God (65%)• 58 percent stayed to receive guidance from the church for everyday decisions• 42 percent remained out of commitment to the purpose and work of the church
Perceived benefits• Similarly, half of church goers saw church helping them become a better
person (50%)• Almost a third were drawing help from the church to get through a difficult time
in their life (30%)• 43 percent desired to follow the example of a parent or family member
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Reasons young adults who stayed in church indicate for continuing to attend
regularly
Q3. Which of the following factors contributed to your continued regular attendance between the ages of 18 and 22? Base: S3 = “No” (n=406)
24%
30%
35%
42%
43%
50%
58%
65%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Was afraid living a life without spiritual guidance
Church was helping me through a difficult time inmy life
Church activities were a big part of my life
Was committed to the purpose and work of thechurch
Wanted to follow a parent/family member'sexample
Felt that church was helping me become a betterperson
Wanted the church to help guide my decisions ineveryday life
Church was a vital part of my relationship withGod
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More reasons young adults who stayed in church indicate for continuing to
attend regularly
Q3. Which of the following factors contributed to your continued regular attendance between the ages of 18 and 22? Base: S3 = “No” (n=406)
5%
10%
15%
17%
18%
20%
20%
23%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Other
Attended church mainly to please others
Attended a lot of missions trips/communityservice events run by the church
Mainly went to church out of habit
Wanted to follow the example of someone I knewat church
Friends were attending church at the time
Time of the worship service(s) was convenientfor me
Location of the church was convenient for me