Chris Kromm "As Goes the South"
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AS THE SOUTH GOES Chris Kromm, Institute for Southern Studies Public Interest Projects Donor Learning Institute September 27-28, 2012
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Chris Kromm, Executive Director of the Institute for Southern Studies, gave this interactive training on the Southeast at the 2012 Learning Institute. He provided key data on the important changes in the Southern landscape and engage them in strategic conversations about why those changes also matter to the rest of the country. Watch/listen to more presentations, http://www.publicinterestprojects.org/research-reports/learning-institute-2012/
Transcript of Chris Kromm "As Goes the South"
AS THE SOUTH GOESChris Kromm, Institute for Southern StudiesPublic Interest Projects Donor Learning InstituteSeptember 27-28, 2012
“You can’t understand [the South]. You would have to be born there.” — William Faulkner
“I’m Southern, and I know neurotic behavior.”— Faye Dunaway
“We are all magicians. We created the mystery of the South and we can dissolve it.” — Howard Zinn
"Stop talking about the South. Long as you’re south of the Canadian border, you’re in the
South.” — Malcolm X
Is your community in the South?
90%+ 75%+ 45%+
11
13
17
13
The Growing South
Winners and Losers: Congressional Seats
+8
Share of Electoral College
SOUTHERN32%
NON-SOUTHERN
68%
2012 Conventions Go South
Newcomers fuel growth
ALABAMA
ARKANSAS
FLORID
A
GEORGIA
KENTUCKY
N. CAROLIN
A
S. CAROLIN
A
TENNESSEE
TEXAS
VIRGIN
IA
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
4,500,000
TOTAL POPULATION CHANGEMIGRATION
Growing Latino communities
States with Fastest Latino/Hispanic Growth, 2000-2010
Latino communities fuel urban growth
The growing Southern Latino electorate
STATE2000-2010 Growth in
Latino Electorate
Total Latino Eligible Voters
Percent of State Electorate
Texas 38% 4,376,000 24.80%
Florida 66% 2,100,000 16.80%
Georgia 181% 194,000 2.90%
North Carolina 117% 182,000 2.80%
Louisiana 34% 67,000 2.50%
Virginia 76% 254,000 2.20%
South Carolina -2% 45,000 1.60%
Arkansas 200% 48,000 1.50%
Missisippi -58% 8,000 1.20%
Tennessee 177% 72,000 1.10%
Alabama 333% 20,000 0.90%
Tennessee 177% 72,000 1.10%
West Virginia 0% 5,000 0.30%
The Black Belt
African-American urban growth
Asian-American community growth
Majority People of Color counties
Majority People of Color counties – age 65 and older
Majority People of Color counties – age 18 to 34
Majority People of Color counties – age 1 and under
The growing urban South
… but still a big rural presence
Urban vs. Rural: N.C. Anti-Gay Marriage Amendment
POLITICAL POWER
EMERGING SOUTHERN MAJORITY
The war on voting
The impact of photo ID laws
STATE ESTIMATED VOTERS WITHOUT ID
PRESIDENTIAL VOTE MARGIN 2008
N. Carolina 460,000 14,177
S. Carolina 178,175 172,447
Tennessee 216,596 391,741
Texas 600,000 950,695
Congressional plans
State legislative plans
50% of people of color in the state are packed into:
3 of 13 Congressional districts (23%) 10 of 50 state Senate districts (20%) 25 of 120 state House districts (21%)
North Carolina
“[The 2011 Texas redistricting plan violated the Voting Rights Act by] diminishing the ability of citizens of the United States, on account of race, color, or membership in a language minority group, to elect their preferred candidates of choice … The only explanation Texas offers for this pattern is ‘coincidence.’ But if this was coincidence, it was a striking one indeed.”— U.S. Circuit Judge Thomas B. Griffith, August 2012
Texas
Anti-immigrant legislation
3 Art Pope groups = 75% of all outside money flowing into N.C. state legislative races in 2010, giving Republicans 10-to-1 money advantage
Associated Press, November 3, 2010
Right to work (for less) states
States with lowest union density
STATE % IN UNION
North Carolina 2.9South Carolina 3.4Georgia 3.9Arkansas 4.2Louisiana 4.5Tennessee 4.6Virginia 4.6Mississippi 5.0South Dakota 5.1Texas 5.2
Florida 6.3Kentucky 8.9Alabama 10.0West Virginia 13.8
The poverty belt
The South behind bars
12
45
7
8910
1213
Percent of ex-felons disenfranchised
Percent of African-American ex-felons disenfranchised
What’s our Southern Strategy?
Questions/More Information
CHRIS KROMMExecutive Director/[email protected]@chriskromm
INSTITUTE FOR SOUTHERN STUDIESwww.southernstudies.org
FACING SOUTH WEEKLY [email protected] “subscribe” in subject line
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