Chapter Eleven Sampling: Design and Procedures Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. 11-1.

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Chapter Eleven Sampling: Design and ocedures Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. 11-1

Transcript of Chapter Eleven Sampling: Design and Procedures Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. 11-1.

Page 1: Chapter Eleven Sampling: Design and Procedures Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. 11-1.

Chapter Eleven

Sampling: Design and Procedures

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. 11-1

Page 2: Chapter Eleven Sampling: Design and Procedures Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. 11-1.

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1. Chapter Outline

1) Overview

2) The Sampling Design Process

3) A Classification of Sampling Techniques

4) Nonprobability Sampling

5) Probability Sampling

6) Choosing Nonprobability Versus Probability Sampling

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2. The Sampling Design Process

A. Define the Population

B. Determine the Sampling Frame

C. Select Sampling Technique(s)

D. Determine the Sample Size

E. Execute the Sampling Process

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2. The Sampling Design Process: Define the Target Population

A. Define the Target PopulationThe target population is the collection of

elements/objects/people that possess the information sought by the researcher and about which inferences are to be made. The target population should be defined in terms of:

• An element is the object about which or from which the information is desired• e.g., a person in the population.

• A sampling unit is an element that is available for selection at some stage of the sampling process. • E.g., a respondent who takes your survey

• Extent refers to the geographical boundaries.• Time is the time period under consideration.

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Important factors in determining the sample size are:

• the nature of the research• Surveys need more people; qualitative

interviews need less

• the number of variables• More variables = more people

• the nature of the analysis• Certain methods require more people –

e.g. t-tests need more than simple averages.

• sample sizes used in similar studies

2. The Sampling Design Process: Define the Target Population

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2. Sample Sizes Used in Marketing Research Studies

Type of Study

Minimum Size Typical Range

Market potential research

500

1,000-2,500

Pricing research

200 300-500

Product tests

200 300-500

Test marketing studies

200 300-500

TV, radio, or print advertising (per commercial or ad tested)

150 200-300

Test-market audits

10 stores 10-20 stores

Focus groups

2 groups 6-15 groups

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3. Classification of Sampling Techniques

Sampling Techniques

NonprobabilitySampling

Techniques

ProbabilitySampling

Techniques

ConvenienceSampling

JudgmentalSampling

QuotaSampling

SnowballSampling

SystematicSampling

StratifiedSampling

ClusterSampling

Simple RandomSampling

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3. Classification of Sampling Techniques

• A probability sampling scheme is one in which every unit in the population has a chance (greater than zero) of being selected in the sample.

• Nonprobability sampling is any sampling method where some elements of the population have no chance of selection • these are sometimes referred to as 'out of

coverage'/'undercovered'.

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4. Nonprobability Sampling -Convenience Sampling

Nonprobability sampling techniques include:convenience, judgmental, quota, and snowball sampling

Convenience sampling attempts to obtain a sample of convenient elements. Often, respondents are selected because they happen to be in the right place at the right time. Examples: • Use of student respondents• Members of social organizations• “People on the street” interviews

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4. Nonprobability Sampling - Judgmental Sampling

Judgmental sampling is a form of convenience sampling in which the population elements are selected based on the judgment of the researcher.

Examples: • Test markets.

• e.g. Columbus, OH• Bellwether precincts (precincts that indicate

broader trends) selected in voting behavior research.

• Expert witnesses used in court.

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4. Nonprobability Sampling - Quota Sampling

Quota sampling may be viewed as two-stage restricted judgmental sampling. 1. The first stage consists of developing quotas of

population elements. 2. In the second stage, sample elements are selected

based on convenience or judgment.

Quota Population SampleVariable composition

composition319m. total 1000 total

Sex Percentage PercentageNumber

Male 48% 48% 480 Female 52% 52% 520

____ ____ ____100% 100% 1000

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4. Nonprobability Sampling - Snowball Sampling

In snowball sampling, an initial group of respondents is selected, usually at random.

• After being interviewed, these respondents are asked to identify others who belong to the target population of interest.

• Subsequent respondents are selected based on the referrals.

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5. Probability Sampling – Simple Random Sampling

Probability sampling techniques include:•Simple random, systematic, stratified, and cluster sampling

Simple Random Sample:•Each element in the population has a known and equal probability of selection. • Each possible sample of a given size (n) has a

known and equal probability of being the sample actually selected.

• This implies that every element is selected independently of every other element.

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5. Probability Sampling – Systematic Sampling

Systematic Sampling

•The sample is chosen by selecting a random starting point and then picking every ith (e.g. 5th, 10th) element in succession from the sampling frame.

•The sampling interval, i, is determined by dividing the population size, N, by the sample size, n, and rounding to the nearest integer.

•When the ordering of the elements is related to the characteristic of interest (e.g. age), systematic sampling increases the representativeness of the sample.

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5. Probability Sampling – Systematic Sampling

For example: • There are 100,000 people in the population (N).

• Each person is put into order based on age.

• A sample (n) of 1,000 is desired. • In this case the sampling interval, i, is 100.

• (100,000/1,000) = 100

• A random number between 1 and 100 is selected.• If, for example, this number is 23, the sample consists of elements 23, 123, 223, 323, 423, 523, and so on.

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5. Probability Sampling – Stratified Sampling

Stratified Sampling:1.A two-step process in which the population is partitioned into subpopulations, or strata.

• Every person in the population should be assigned to one and only one stratum and no population elements should be omitted.

2.Next, elements are selected from each stratum by a random procedure, usually simple random sampling.

•A major objective of stratified sampling is to increase precision without increasing cost.

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5. Probability Sampling – Stratified Sampling

• The elements/people within a stratum (e.g. male) should be as homogeneous as possible.

• The elements/people across strata (e.g. male, female) should be as heterogeneous as possible.

• The stratification variables should also be closely related to the characteristic of interest.

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5. Probability Sampling – Stratified Sampling

• In proportionate stratified sampling, the size of the sample drawn from each stratum is proportionate to the relative size of that stratum in the total population.

• E.g. stratify by gender, pick 50 men and 50 women

• In disproportionate stratified sampling, the size of the sample from each stratum is proportionate to the relative size of that stratum and to the standard deviation of the distribution of the characteristic of interest among all the elements in that stratum.

• E.g. gender + employment status (see next page)

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5. Probability Sampling – Disproportionate Stratified Sampling

Disproportionate Stratified Sampling, example:Suppose that in a company there are the following staff:• female, full time: 90• female, part time: 18• male, full time: 9• male, part time: 63• Total: 180

We are asked to take a sample of 40 staff, stratified according to the above categories.

Find the total number of staff (180), calculate the percentage in each group, and calculate the number per group

• % female, full time = 90 / 180 = 50% = 20• % female, part time = 18 / 180 = 10% = 4• % male, full time = 9 / 180 = 5% = 2• % male, part time = 63 / 180 = 35% = 14

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5. Probability Sampling – Cluster Sampling

Cluster Sampling:

1.The target population is first divided into mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive subpopulations, or clusters.

2.Then a random sample of clusters is selected, based on a probability sampling technique such as simple random sampling.

3.For each selected cluster, either all the elements are included in the sample (one-stage) or a sample of elements is drawn probabilistically (two-stage).

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5. Probability Sampling – Cluster Sampling

Note: In stratified sampling, a random sample is drawn from each of the strata, whereas in cluster sampling only the selected clusters are studied (all elements are used).

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Technique Strengths WeaknessesNonprobability Sampling Convenience sampling

Least expensive, leasttime-consuming, mostconvenient

Selection bias, sample notrepresentative, not recommended fordescriptive or causal research

Judgmental sampling Low cost, convenient,not time-consuming

Does not allow generalization,Subjective, selection bias

Quota sampling Sample can be controlledfor certain characteristics

Selection bias, no assurance ofrepresentativeness

Snowball sampling Can estimate rareCharacteristics, convenient

Selection bias, time-consuming

Probability Sampling Simple random sampling

Representative,results, projectable

Difficult to construct samplingframe, expensive, lower precision

Systematic sampling Can increaserepresentativeness,easier to implement thanSRS, sampling frame notnecessary

Can accidentally decrease representativeness

Stratified sampling Include all importantsubpopulations,representative

Difficult to select relevantstratification variables, not feasible tostratify on many variables, expensive

Cluster sampling Easy to implement, costeffective, more representative

Imprecise, difficult to compute andinterpret results

6. Choosing Nonprobability Vs. Probability Sampling

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6. Choosing Nonprobability Vs. Probability Sampling

Conditions Favoring the Use of

Factors

Nonprobability sampling

Probability sampling

Nature of research

Exploratory

Conclusive

Variability in the population

Homogeneous (low variability)

Heterogeneous (high variability)

Statistical considerations

Unfavorable

Favorable

Operational considerations Favorable Unfavorable

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